Oct 12 close
Group 1 Automotive's week centered on the Hennessy acquisition, a definitive agreement to buy Hennessy Automobile Companies for approximately $1.3 billion, adding 10 dealerships and $1.7 billion in annualized revenues and expanding the company's Atlanta presence to 15 dealerships. The deal was funded in part through a private placement of $1.25 billion in senior unsecured notes. Alongside this, JPMorgan Chase & Co. lowered its price target on the stock from $275 to $260 while maintaining a neutral rating, and shares touched a new 52-week low following the downgrade. StoneX, by contrast, reiterated a Buy rating with a $425 target, citing the Hennessy deal as a partial offset to declining industry retail volumes. The company also scheduled its third-quarter 2026 results for 22 October 2026.
GPI closed at $229.64, down 1% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $261.48 and 200-day average of $317.80, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock's 52-week low stands at $227.88 against a high of $461.27, following declines of 17.5% over one month, 23.2% over three months, and 46% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 66.6, placing it in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.07.
Earnings are scheduled for 28 October 2026, 16 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS miss and a -19.9% reaction, with average absolute reactions of 5.7%. Over the last 90 days, insider activity includes 95 open-market purchases. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +7.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst views remain split, with consensus from 7 firms showing 4 buy, 2 hold and 1 sell ratings and a consensus target of $353.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Group 1 Automotive scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $229.64 is below the 50-day ($261.48) and 200-day ($317.80) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart66.6, Accumulation
Reading 66.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex7.4% below
Price is 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueLeans bullish
Last 90 days: 95 open-market insider purchases.
See smart moneyReports in 16 days
Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+7.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Group 1 Automotive closed at $229.64 on Oct 12, 2026, −46.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $227.88 to $461.27.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put GPI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Group 1 Automotive runs a network of car dealerships, selling new and used vehicles and light commercial trucks along with parts for them. It is also known for the services that surround a vehicle purchase, including arranging financing, selling service and insurance contracts, and running maintenance and repair operations alongside its collision repair work.
The business operates through a number of subsidiary companies that together own and run dealerships, franchises, and collision repair centers. Through these outlets it carries vehicles from numerous car brands, serving buyers across 17 states in the United States and 35 towns in the United Kingdom.
Group 1 Automotive was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GPI.
Group 1 Automotive’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.6 points over five sessions.
Up 1.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 34 | +1.0% | +0.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 245 | +0.3% | +1.9% | ||
| Neutral | 374 | −0.2% | −1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 27 | −1.8% | +0.3% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average GPI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Group 1 Automotive trades 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.07, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Group 1 Automotive shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$248.07
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
7.4% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.0% above the estimate.
Insiders filed 95 open-market purchases in Group 1 Automotive worth $187.0M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$187.0Min 95 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | Conifer Management, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $8.41M |
| Sep 30 | Conifer Management, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $8.35M |
| Sep 30 | Conifer Management, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $6.93M |
| Sep 30 | Conifer Management, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $4.73M |
| Sep 30 | Conifer Management, L.L.C. 10 percent owner | Purchase | $4.02M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in GPI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Group 1 Automotive has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold GPI.
Group 1 Automotive reports on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Oct 28, 2026
16 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $9.61 est $10.79 | $5.39B est $5.66B | −19.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $8.66 est $8.82 | $5.41B est $5.42B | +1.3% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $8.49 est $9.16 | $5.58B est $5.62B | −10.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $10.45 est $10.73 | $5.78B est $6.05B | −3.7% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $11.52 est $10.31 | $5.70B est $5.67B | +4.6% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $10.17 est $9.72 | $5.51B est $5.43B | +2.0% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $10.02 est $9.11 | $5.55B est $5.22B | +0.7% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $9.91 est $9.87 | $5.22B est $5.07B | +2.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Group 1 Automotive is $353.00, +53.7% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | UBS | $271 | +18.0% |
| Oct 6 | Morgan Stanley | $232 | +1.0% |
| Oct 6 | Barclays | $320 | +39.3% |
| Oct 6 | J.P. Morgan | $260 | +13.2% |
| Oct 4 | Morgan Stanley | $232 | +1.0% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Group 1 Automotive averaged +7.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +7.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.6% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, GPI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.
Group 1 Automotive’s market cap is $2.74B, with a P/E ratio of 9.9 and revenue of $22.15B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Group 1 Automotive this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 4 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
Group 1 Automotive’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMTWalmart | Neutral | 2.5% below |
| COSTCostco Wholesale | Neutral | 16.4% above |
| ORLYO'Reilly Automotive | Neutral | 4.7% below |
| TGTTarget | Accumulation | 5.7% above |
| CVNACarvana | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| AZOAutoZone | Neutral | 28.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Group 1 Automotive’s market cap is $2.74B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $229.64, with 11.92M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.9.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Group 1 Automotive is $353.00, +53.7% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Group 1 Automotive is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $229.64 is 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.07. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Group 1 Automotive is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $10.04 per share on revenue of $5.65B. Group 1 Automotive beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.
Group 1 Automotive’s 52-week high is $461.27 and its 52-week low is $227.88; it closed at $229.64 on Oct 12, 2026, −46.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $490.09 on Feb 14, 2025.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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