Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PBR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Petrobras shares fell sharply this week, dropping about 6.97% to $19.61, amid investor anxiety over Brazilian political developments and energy policy uncertainty. Against that backdrop, the company announced a third oil discovery in the Morpho well in block FZA-M-59, in the ultra-deep waters of Brazil's Equatorial Margin, reinforcing its exploration strategy to replenish reserves. Separately, analysts trimmed their average 12-month price target to $23.67 from $23.93, still implying upside, ahead of next week's earnings report.
Price now sits at $19.61, between the 50-day average of $22.11 and the 200-day average of $19.26, a mixed trend picture. The GekkoIndex reads 68.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 5.3 points over the past five sessions. Shares trade 42.5% below the Gekko Fair Value of $34.10.
Petrobras reports third-quarter results after the close on 10 November 2026, five days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day hold; its prior release showed EPS of $1.62 against an estimate of $1.52, with a -2.2% reaction. No insider or Congress activity appears in the past 90 days, and no unusual options activity appears in the past 30 days. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.8% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Petrobras scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
Averages disagree
Close $19.61 sits between the 50-day ($22.11) and 200-day ($19.26) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart68.3, Accumulation
Reading 68.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex42.5% below
Price is 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueNo data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart moneyReports in 5 days
Reports on Nov 10, 2026, 5 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+1.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Petrobras closed at $19.61 on Nov 4, 2026, +65.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.43 to $26.39.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put PBR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Petrobras works across the full oil and gas business, pulling crude out of the ground in Brazil and other countries and then moving it through refining, trading and distribution. Its reach covers onshore fields, offshore platforms and shale formations, and it also handles natural gas and various refined fuels sold to end markets.
The business is split into four segments. One unit hunts for and develops crude, natural gas liquids and gas, mostly to keep the firm's domestic refineries supplied. Another oversees refining, shipping, sales and trading of crude and fuel products, sends ethanol abroad, works shale deposits and holds shares in petrochemical firms. A third segment trades natural gas and power, moves and sells LNG, runs thermoelectric plants, holds interests in gas pipeline and delivery systems, and produces fertilizer while processing gas. The last segment makes biodiesel and related byproducts, produces ethanol and distributes petroleum products more broadly.
Petrobras traces back to 1953 and runs its operations out of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Its stock carries the ticker PBR.
Petrobras’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.3 points over five sessions.
Up 5.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 52 | +1.1% | +10.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 193 | +0.5% | +2.7% | ||
| Neutral | 347 | +0.1% | −0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 58 | +2.0% | +6.7% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average PBR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Petrobras trades 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $34.10, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Petrobras shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$34.10
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
42.5% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.0% below the estimate.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Petrobras, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PBR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in PBR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Petrobras has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PBR.
Petrobras reports on Nov 10, 2026, after the close (5 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Nov 10, 2026
Expected after the close, 5 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $1.62 est $1.52 | $33.61B est $31.46B | −2.2% |
| May 11, 2026 | $0.96 est $1.02 | $23.54B est $26.53B | +0.8% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $0.72 est $0.57 | $23.61B est $23.09B | +4.9% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.82 est $0.79 | $23.48B est $23.58B | +5.9% |
| Aug 8, 2025 | $0.64 est $0.70 | $21.04B est $21.29B | −7.4% |
| May 12, 2025 | $0.62 est $0.92 | $21.07B est $22.30B | +3.3% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.49 est $0.37 | $20.82B est $21.45B | −6.4% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.93 est $0.82 | $23.37B est $22.46B | +2.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Petrobras is $24.14, +23.1% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Citi | $21.50 | +9.6% |
| Oct 29 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Oct 26 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Oct 21 | Goldman Sachs | $24.30 | +23.9% |
| Oct 14 | Bank of America Securities | $28 | +42.8% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Petrobras averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.1% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, PBR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.1%.
Petrobras’s market cap is $126.4B, with a P/E ratio of 5.3 and revenue of $548.5B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Petrobras this week reads positive: 9 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
Petrobras’s market cap is $126.4B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $19.61, with 3.72B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 5.3.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Petrobras is $24.14, +23.1% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Petrobras is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $19.61 is 42.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $34.10. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Petrobras is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, after the market closes (5 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.23 per share on revenue of $33.26B. Petrobras beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.
Petrobras’s 52-week high is $26.39 and its 52-week low is $11.43; it closed at $19.61 on Nov 4, 2026, +65.9% over the past year.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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