Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PBR in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every PBR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PBR in Gekko
Petrobras (PBR) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$20.80−0.14 (−0.7%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryPetrobras trades at $20.80, down 0.7% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $19.01 and 200-day average of $17.45. Shares are up 12.2% over one month, 24.2% over three months, and 61% over the past year, with the 52-week range spanning $11.43 to $22.24. The GekkoIndex reads 51.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price remains 36.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.86.
News this week centers on diesel pricing and subsidies alongside international expansion. Petrobras's board approved joining a government diesel subsidy program worth 1.00 real per liter for 30 days, and the company raised diesel prices to distributors by roughly 1 real per liter while offsetting the increase with a matching discount. Petrobras also received $434 million in new diesel subsidy payments, lifting cumulative fuel-program compensation to 9.5 billion reais. A widening gap between international diesel prices and Petrobras's domestic pricing has reportedly prompted independent importers to delay purchases. Separately, Petrobras signed production-sharing contracts with Ivory Coast and Petroci for eight offshore exploratory blocks.
Earnings are scheduled for 10 November 2026, after the close, 51 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the last report on 6 August showed EPS of $1.62 against a $1.52 estimate, with a -2.2% reaction, and five beats across the last eight quarters. Analyst coverage from four firms shows all four rated buy, with a consensus target of $22.38. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 3.1% across five years, rising in three of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $20.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $32.86
Key stats
- Market cap
- $134.0B
- P/E ratio
- 5.3
- Forward P/E
- 5.4
- EPS, TTM
- $3.96
- Revenue, TTM
- $548.5B
- Profit margin
- 24.3%
- Dividend yield
- 17.50%
- Beta
- -0.21
- Volume
- 14.99M avg 22.56M
- 1-year return
- +61.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7%
- 50-day average
- $19.01
- 200-day average
- $17.45
- Next earnings
- Nov 10 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 3.72B
Petrobras swing-trade checklist
Petrobras scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $20.80 is above the 50-day ($19.01) and 200-day ($17.45) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
51.9, Neutral
Reading 51.9 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
36.7% below
Price is 36.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 51 days
Next report Nov 10, 2026, 51 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Petrobras stock chart and price history
Petrobras closed at $20.80 on Sep 18, 2026, +61.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.43 to $22.24.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +12.2%
- 3 months
- +24.2%
- 6 months
- +5.2%
- 1 year
- +61.0%
The full PBR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PBR in Gekko
Follow Petrobras through every session
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About Petrobras
Petrobras works across the full oil and gas business, pulling crude out of the ground in Brazil and other countries and then moving it through refining, trading and distribution. Its reach covers onshore fields, offshore platforms and shale formations, and it also handles natural gas and various refined fuels sold to end markets.
The business is split into four segments. One unit hunts for and develops crude, natural gas liquids and gas, mostly to keep the firm's domestic refineries supplied. Another oversees refining, shipping, sales and trading of crude and fuel products, sends ethanol abroad, works shale deposits and holds shares in petrochemical firms. A third segment trades natural gas and power, moves and sells LNG, runs thermoelectric plants, holds interests in gas pipeline and delivery systems, and produces fertilizer while processing gas. The last segment makes biodiesel and related byproducts, produces ethanol and distributes petroleum products more broadly.
Petrobras traces back to 1953 and runs its operations out of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Its stock carries the ticker PBR.
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Website
- petrobras.com.br
Petrobras GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Petrobras’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.9, in the Neutral zone, up 6.9 points over five sessions.
51.9Neutral
Up 6.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 52 | +1.1% | +10.5% | ||
| Accumulation | 193 | +0.5% | +2.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 321 | 0.0% | −1.9% | ||
| Distribution | 49 | +1.8% | +6.6% | ||
| Selling | 0 | Not available | |||
Average PBR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PBR price, zone by zone.Track PBR in Gekko
Is Petrobras stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Petrobras trades 36.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.86, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Petrobras shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$32.86
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
36.7% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PBR in Gekko
Petrobras insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Petrobras, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in PBR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for PBR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PBR in Gekko
Buybacks
Petrobras has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
- $4.86M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PBR.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Petrobras earnings: next date and track record
Petrobras reports on Nov 10, 2026, after the close (51 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 10, 2026
Expected after the close, 51 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.13
- Revenue estimate
- $30.15B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Petrobras reported record-high recurring net profit and gross profit in Q2 2026, the highest in company history. Oil production reached 2.7 million barrels per day (3 million BOE/day), surpassing the 2.5 million barrel target by 200,000 bpd. Refinery utilization exceeded 100%, byproduct production grew 6% QoQ, and oil exports increased 12%. Results were achieved without asset sales, supported by Brent above $100/barrel and accelerated platform deliveries including P-78 and P-79.
- Guidance
- Management expects continued production growth driven by additional platform deliveries scheduled for the remainder of 2026. Increased cash flow generation will fund future investments and long-term company growth, with capital discipline remaining a stated priority.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $1.62 est $1.52 | $33.61B est $31.46B | −2.2% |
| May 11, 2026 | $0.96 est $1.02 | $23.54B est $26.53B | +0.8% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $0.72 est $0.57 | $23.61B est $23.09B | +4.9% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.82 est $0.79 | $23.48B est $23.58B | +5.9% |
| Aug 8, 2025 | $0.64 est $0.70 | $21.04B est $21.29B | −7.4% |
| May 12, 2025 | $0.62 est $0.92 | $21.07B est $22.30B | +3.3% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.49 est $0.37 | $20.82B est $21.45B | −6.4% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.93 est $0.82 | $23.37B est $22.46B | +2.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Petrobras stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Petrobras is $22.38, +7.6% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$22.38consensus 12-month target, +7.6% from the last close
Now $20.80Avg $22.38
Low $20High $24
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | J.P. Morgan | $24 | +15.4% |
| Aug 27 | Bradesco | $20 | −3.8% |
| Aug 7 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Jul 29 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
| Jun 25 | Goldman Sachs | $22.10 | +6.3% |
−1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Petrobras seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Petrobras averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −3.0% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, PBR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.
Petrobras market cap and key statistics
Petrobras’s market cap is $134.0B, with a P/E ratio of 5.3 and revenue of $548.5B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $134.0B
- P/E ratio
- 5.3
- Forward P/E
- 5.4
- EPS, TTM
- $3.96
- Gekko Fair Value
- $32.86
Trading
- Volume
- 14.99M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 22.56M
- 52-week high
- $22.24
- 52-week low
- $11.43
- Shares outstanding
- 3.72B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $548.5B
- Profit margin
- 24.3%
- Return on equity
- 30.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +96.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- -0.21
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7%
- Dividend yield
- 17.50%
Petrobras stock news this week
6 headlines about Petrobras from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Brazil's Petrobras board approves joining diesel subsidy programReuters, Sep 19
- Petrobras signs production-sharing deals for Ivory Coast exploratory blocksReuters, Sep 17
- Petrobras raises diesel price, offsets increase with new Brazil subsidyReuters, Sep 16
- Brazil diesel imports at risk as global prices surge, widening Petrobras pricing gapReuters, Sep 16
- Petrobras Q4 Dividends Create An Absurdity: Yield Exceeds P/E (Rating Upgrade)Seeking Alpha, Sep 16
- Petrobras (PBR) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for InvestorsZacks Investment Research, Sep 15
Petrobras stock FAQ
What is Petrobras’s market cap?
Petrobras’s market cap is $134.0B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $20.80, with 3.72B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 5.3.
What is the Petrobras stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Petrobras is $22.38, +7.6% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Petrobras stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Petrobras is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $20.80 is 36.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $32.86. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Petrobras report earnings next?
Petrobras is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026, after the market closes (51 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.13 per share on revenue of $30.15B. Petrobras beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.
What is Petrobras’s 52-week high and low?
Petrobras’s 52-week high is $22.24 and its 52-week low is $11.43; it closed at $20.80 on Sep 18, 2026, +61.0% over the past year.
Is Petrobras stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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