NASDAQ: ABNB

Airbnb (ABNB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$176.37+9.41 (+5.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Airbnb shares advanced this week on a mix of company-specific and sector-wide catalysts. Raymond James reiterated an Outperform rating with a $200 price target, citing underappreciated AI and core business tailwinds, while other firms including Bernstein SocGen Group were also referenced as covering the stock. Separately, a broader rally lifted consumer platform and gig-economy names together with Airbnb after a drop in crude oil prices and positive manufacturing data. Coverage ahead of the upcoming Q3 report also noted that strong travel demand, rising bookings, and AI-driven enhancements could benefit results, even as higher costs are flagged as a possible pressure on margins.

Airbnb closed at $176.37, up 5.6%, and sits above both its 50-day average of $169.32 and its 200-day average of $147.31, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reading of 53.6 places the stock in the Neutral zone, down 6.3 over five days. The price stands 15.8% above the Gekko Fair Value of $152.32.

Airbnb reports Q3 earnings on 5 November after close, with the last reaction at 16.8% following an EPS beat of $1.37 versus a $1.2 estimate, and 4 beats in the last 8 quarters; the average absolute reaction has been 6.3%, a figure that falls inside the typical 20-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +0.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus target stands at $183.95, implying 4.3% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Airbnb price vs fair value

$176.37$152.32Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $176.37200-day averageGekko Fair Value $152.32

Airbnb quick facts

Market cap
$105.6B
P/E ratio
39
Forward P/E
27
EPS, TTM
$4.39
Revenue, TTM
$13.16B
Profit margin
20.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.27
Volume
5.70M avg 3.45M
1-year return
+39.1%
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
50-day average
$169.32
200-day average
$147.31
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
419.5M
52-week range
$110.81$193.45

Airbnb swing-trade checklist

Airbnb scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $176.37 is above the 50-day ($169.32) and 200-day ($147.31) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.6, Neutral

    Reading 53.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    15.8% above

    Price is 15.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports tomorrow

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, tomorrow — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Airbnb stock chart and price history

Airbnb closed at $176.37 on Nov 4, 2026, +39.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $110.81 to $193.45.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Airbnb share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$140$160DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct176.37

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.0%
3 months
+16.3%
6 months
+26.1%
1 year
+39.1%
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Follow Airbnb through every session

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About Airbnb

Airbnb runs an online marketplace that brings together hosts offering places to stay and travelers looking to book them. Through its website and mobile apps, guests can arrange stays ranging from private rooms in someone's home to entire vacation properties, along with local experiences hosts choose to offer. The platform is best known for this peer-to-peer approach to travel accommodation, linking everyday hosts with people seeking a place to stay almost anywhere in the world.

The company operates through Airbnb, Inc. and its affiliated entities, functioning as the connective platform between these two groups of users rather than owning the properties listed. Hosts supply the range of accommodations and experiences, while guests worldwide make up the demand side of the marketplace.

Airbnb traces its roots to a company founded in 2007 under the name AirBed & Breakfast, Inc., before taking on its current name in November 2010. It is headquartered in San Francisco, California, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ABNB.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
Website
airbnb.com

Airbnb GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Airbnb’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.6, in the Neutral zone, down 6.3 points over five sessions.

010053.6Neutral

Down 6.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying30+1.3%+1.3%+2.8%+10.9%
Accumulation227+0.1%+1.2%+3.1%+4.7%
Neutral (current zone)401+0.4%+0.2%−0.1%−0.8%
Distribution25−1.0%−2.0%−4.4%−2.7%
Selling14−0.2%+1.1%−1.1%+3.9%

Average ABNB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ABNB price, zone by zone.Track ABNB in Gekko

Is Airbnb stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Airbnb trades 15.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $152.32, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Airbnb shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$152.32

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

15.8% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 13.9% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$152$167Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ABNB in Gekko

Airbnb insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Airbnb, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ABNB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ABNB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ABNB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ABNB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ABNB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ABNB in Gekko

Buybacks

Airbnb has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.05B
As a share of market cap
1.00%
Trailing four quarters
$4.25B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold ABNB.

1added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Airbnb earnings: next date and track record

Airbnb reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (tomorrow), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.5%Nov ’24+14.9%Feb ’25+2.7%May ’25−7.6%Aug ’25−1.3%Nov ’25+1.5%Feb ’26+1.2%May ’26+16.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Airbnb's Q2 2026 earnings call presented a strong quarter with broad-based growth across markets and product lines, driven by AI-enabled product improvements and strategic initiatives. Revenue grew 17% YoY to $3.6B; gross booking value (GBV) grew 16% YoY to $27.2B; nights and seats booked grew 10% YoY with nights on app up 23% and first-time bookers up 11%. Management highlighted AI-native transformation, faster product iteration, Reserve Now Pay Later (RNPL) adoption (20% of GBV), simplified single service fee rollout, hotel listings ramping quickly, pricing/host tools and numerous services (car rentals, luggage storage, groceries) to expand bookings. Hotels are currently single-digit % of nights but growing ~3x faster than homes; expansion markets (India, Brazil, Latin America) outpace core markets; ADR up 5% YoY (4% ex-FX). Airline emphasized efficiency of AI spend and improvements in customer service costs (-16% per booking). Guidance: management said they are raising full-year guidance and sealed outlook, and provided Q3 and full year commentary (specific numbers not included in transcript segments). Risks mentioned included the Middle East conflict impact (less than expected) and general forward-looking statement caveats; management also identified AI and policy as risks but positioned AI as an existential opportunity better managed with new hires. Overall tone upbeat and confident; Q&A responses were direct and optimistic about initiatives and AI.
Guidance
Management announced they are raising full-year guidance and said they "sealed our outlook"; Ellie referenced updated guidance that assumes material increase in AI spend but still expands margins while absorbing costs. Specific numeric guidance details were not included in the provided transcript segments.
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks: ongoing conflict in the Middle East (impact less than anticipated), general forward-looking statement risks and uncertainties per SEC filings, and policy risks around AI; management also cited AI as an existential risk historically but framed it as an opportunity. No other specific operational risks were detailed in the provided segments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.37
est $1.20
+14.2%$3.61B
est $3.58B
+0.8%+16.8%
May 7, 2026$0.26
est $0.30
−14.5%$2.68B
est $2.62B
+2.3%+1.2%
Feb 12, 2026$0.56
est $0.67
−15.9%$2.78B
est $2.71B
+2.3%+1.5%
Nov 6, 2025$2.21
est $2.31
−4.3%$4.10B
est $4.08B
+0.4%−1.3%
Aug 6, 2025$1.03
est $0.94
+9.9%$3.10B
est $3.03B
+2.2%−7.6%
May 1, 2025$0.24
est $0.23
+2.8%$2.27B
est $2.26B
+0.5%+2.7%
Feb 13, 2025$0.73
est $0.61
+19.7%$2.48B
est $2.42B
+2.4%+14.9%
Nov 7, 2024$2.13
est $2.14
−0.5%$3.73B
est $3.72B
+0.4%−4.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Airbnb stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Airbnb is $183.95, +4.3% from the last close, from 33 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$183.95consensus 12-month target, +4.3% from the last close
Low $150High $220
Buy22
Hold10
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 33 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3UBSHold, reiterated$181+2.6%
Oct 27OppenheimerBuy, maintained$210+19.1%
Oct 22Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$170−3.6%
Oct 20RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$195+10.6%
Oct 15BernsteinBuy, maintained$217+23.0%
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Airbnb seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Airbnb averaged +0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−6.6%2021+2.5%2022+13.2%2023+0.4%2024−1.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.3%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.8%2 of 5

For scale, ABNB’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.

Airbnb market cap and key statistics

Airbnb’s market cap is $105.6B, with a P/E ratio of 39 and revenue of $13.16B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$105.6B
P/E ratio
39
Forward P/E
27
EPS, TTM
$4.39
Gekko Fair Value
$152.32

Trading

Volume
5.70M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.45M
52-week high
$193.45
52-week low
$110.81
Shares outstanding
419.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.16B
Profit margin
20.4%
Return on equity
34.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+33.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.27
Typical daily move
±2.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%

Airbnb stock news this week

Coverage of Airbnb this week reads positive: 2 positive, 0 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Airbnb peers

Airbnb’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MARMarriott International+0.4%Distribution37.0% above
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises+3.5%Distribution9.3% above
HLTHilton Worldwide+1.1%Neutral31.5% above
CCLCarnival+4.4%Distribution10.3% above
VIKViking+3.8%Neutral3.2% below
HHyatt Hotels+0.2%Neutral26.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines

Airbnb stock FAQ

What is Airbnb’s market cap?

Airbnb’s market cap is $105.6B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $176.37, with 419.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.

What is the Airbnb stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Airbnb is $183.95, +4.3% from the last close. Of the 33 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 22 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Airbnb stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Airbnb is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $176.37 is 15.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $152.32. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Airbnb report earnings next?

Airbnb is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (tomorrow). Analysts expect earnings of $2.85 per share on revenue of $4.75B. Airbnb beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is Airbnb’s 52-week high and low?

Airbnb’s 52-week high is $193.45 and its 52-week low is $110.81; it closed at $176.37 on Nov 4, 2026, +39.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $212.58 on Nov 17, 2021.

Is Airbnb stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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