Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for COP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every COP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COP in Gekko
NYSE: COP
ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$136.94−7.46 (−5.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeConocoPhillips heads into its third-quarter report, due 5 November, with attention on the first quarterly test for new CEO Andy O'Brien following the earlier transition from Ryan Lance. Coverage frames the setup around the company's pure-play upstream focus, with analysts anticipating year-over-year growth in EPS and revenue alongside a sequential decline from the second quarter. Separately, Jay Woods of Freedom Capital Markets described ConocoPhillips as a low-risk, high-reward way to invest in oil, while other previews note shareholder payout commitments being watched against volatile oil prices.
The stock closed at $136.94, down 5.2% on the day, sitting just above its 50-day average of $136.69 and above its 200-day average of $121.99, with the 50-day still above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 57.6, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price stands 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $216.72.
Earnings arrive 5 November, zero days away, placing the report inside the next 20-trading-day window; the prior quarter beat estimates with EPS of $3.24 against a $2.96 estimate and a 2.2% reaction, part of a run of 7 beats in the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 1.9%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -3.1% across 5 years, rising in just 1 of them. Consensus among 21 firms stands at 16 buy, 5 hold, 0 sell, with a target of $151.56.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
ConocoPhillips price vs fair value
Close $136.94200-day averageGekko Fair Value $216.72
ConocoPhillips quick facts
- Market cap
- $164.5B
- P/E ratio
- 20.4
- Forward P/E
- 14.5
- EPS, TTM
- $7.20
- Revenue, TTM
- $64.46B
- Profit margin
- 14.4%
- Dividend yield
- 2.14%
- Beta
- 0.16
- Volume
- 11.16M avg 6.22M
- 1-year return
- +54.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- 50-day average
- $136.69
- 200-day average
- $121.99
- Next earnings
- Nov 5
- Shares outstanding
- 1.20B
ConocoPhillips swing-trade checklist
ConocoPhillips scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $136.94 is above the 50-day ($136.69) and 200-day ($121.99) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
57.6, Neutral
Reading 57.6 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
36.8% below
Price is 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports tomorrow
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, tomorrow — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−3.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.1% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
ConocoPhillips stock chart and price history
ConocoPhillips closed at $136.94 on Nov 4, 2026, +54.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $85.57 to $154.28.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +5.9%
- 3 months
- +17.3%
- 6 months
- +15.2%
- 1 year
- +54.6%
The full COP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open COP in Gekko
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About ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips works across the energy supply chain, finding, extracting, moving and selling resources such as crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas and natural gas liquids on a worldwide basis. Its work spans conventional drilling as well as harder-to-reach sources like tight oil, shale gas, heavy crude, oil sands and LNG projects, making it recognizable for the breadth of extraction methods it employs rather than a single resource type.
Its holdings are spread across regions and resource types, mixing unconventional assets in North America with established conventional operations across North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. The company also holds interests in several LNG ventures, oil sands land in Canada, and a stockpile of exploration prospects, both conventional and unconventional, that could feed future output.
ConocoPhillips traces its founding to 1917 and runs its operations from Houston, Texas. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker COP.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Oil & gas production
- Website
- conocophillips.com
ConocoPhillips GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
ConocoPhillips’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.6, in the Neutral zone, up 12.2 points over five sessions.
57.6Neutral
Up 12.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 28 | +2.3% | +6.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 244 | +0.8% | +1.2% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 379 | −0.2% | +0.7% | ||
| Distribution | 45 | +1.3% | −0.4% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average COP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COP price, zone by zone.Track COP in Gekko
Is ConocoPhillips stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
ConocoPhillips trades 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $216.72, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what ConocoPhillips shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$216.72
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
36.8% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.4% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COP in Gekko
ConocoPhillips insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ConocoPhillips, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in COP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for COP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COP in Gekko
Buybacks
ConocoPhillips has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $2.00B
- As a share of market cap
- 1.22%
- Trailing four quarters
- $5.39B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds COP.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
ConocoPhillips earnings: next date and track record
ConocoPhillips reports on Nov 5, 2026 (tomorrow), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Tomorrow
- EPS estimate
- $3.05
- Revenue estimate
- $18.59B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ConocoPhillips reported a strong second quarter with production above the high end of guidance (2.248 MMboe/d), record Permian volumes (>900 Mboe/d), robust cash generation (operating cash flow ~$7.2B, free cash flow ~$4.2B), and increased shareholder distributions ($3B: ~$2B buybacks + $1B dividends). Management announced a CEO transition (Ryan Lance retiring Sept. 1; Andrew O'Brien named President and incoming CEO; Connie Haines Welsh named CFO). Full-year guidance items were reiterated as unchanged. Management reiterated the company is on track to deliver a $7B free cash flow inflection, target returning 45% of CFO to shareholders for the year, and expects capital expenditures to decline as projects (including Willow and LNG projects) come online and reinvestment rates and breakeven prices structurally fall (free cash flow breakeven from mid-$40s WTI to low-$30s by 2029). Operations: Ras Laffan (Qatar) experienced shutdowns in Q2 with limited volumes; management assumes a ramp in Q3 but notes uncertainty. New business activity: progressing transactions in Iraq (Kirkuk) and Syria, low-entry capital expectations, and additional LNG offtake added (2 mtpa, Indonesia and Gulf Coast). Technology and productivity improvements in the Lower 48 were described (real-time fracture diagnostics, surfactants, far-field diverters).
- Guidance
- Full-year guidance unchanged; targeting return of 45% of CFO to shareholders for the full year (averaged ~40% in H1, expecting higher in H2); reaffirmed on-track to deliver $7B free cash flow inflection; expect CapEx to decline from current levels (Willow peak CapEx described as behind the company); free cash flow breakevens expected to fall to low-$30s WTI by 2029; Iraq (Kirkuk) transaction expected to close around year-end with acquisition capital of $300-$500M at close.
- Risks flagged
- Geopolitical disruption: conflict affecting Qatar (Ras Laffan shutdown) with uncertain ramp timing and throughput; broader Middle East operational and political risks tied to new transactions; commodity-price volatility impacting cash flow and distributions; project execution and timing risks for major projects (Willow, LNG trains) and assumptions about achieving cost reductions; regulatory/permit risk (though management cited improved permitting environment).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $3.24 est $2.96 | $19.52B est $18.79B | +2.2% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.89 est $1.69 | $16.05B est $15.62B | −3.9% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $1.02 est $1.07 | $14.19B est $13.95B | 0.0% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $1.61 est $1.41 | $15.03B est $14.61B | −1.0% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $1.42 est $1.35 | $13.98B est $14.68B | +0.9% |
| May 8, 2025 | $2.09 est $2.05 | $16.46B est $16.33B | +1.0% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.98 est $1.83 | $14.24B est $14.45B | −1.8% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $1.78 est $1.64 | $13.60B est $13.97B | +4.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ConocoPhillips stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ConocoPhillips is $151.56, +10.7% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$151.56consensus 12-month target, +10.7% from the last close
Now $136.94Avg $151.56
Low $126High $189
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | William Blair | $167 | +22.0% |
| Oct 27 | Piper Sandler | $157 | +14.6% |
| Oct 20 | Susquehanna | $175 | +27.8% |
| Oct 20 | Goldman Sachs | $157 | +14.6% |
| Oct 15 | Morgan Stanley | $151 | +10.3% |
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
ConocoPhillips seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, ConocoPhillips averaged −3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.4% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −3.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −5.7% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, COP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.
ConocoPhillips market cap and key statistics
ConocoPhillips’s market cap is $164.5B, with a P/E ratio of 20.4 and revenue of $64.46B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $164.5B
- P/E ratio
- 20.4
- Forward P/E
- 14.5
- EPS, TTM
- $7.20
- Gekko Fair Value
- $216.72
Trading
- Volume
- 11.16M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 6.22M
- 52-week high
- $154.28
- 52-week low
- $85.57
- Shares outstanding
- 1.20B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $64.46B
- Profit margin
- 14.4%
- Return on equity
- 14.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +107.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.16
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.14%
ConocoPhillips stock news this week
Coverage of ConocoPhillips this week reads positive: 5 positive, 5 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Toyota, ConocoPhillips On Deck Thursday As Auto Demand, Oil Prices Face TestBenzinga, Nov 4
- ConocoPhillips earnings on deck: New CEO’s first quarterly testInvesting.com, Nov 4
- Jay Woods says ConocoPhillips offers a low-risk, high-reward way to invest in oilCNBC, Nov 4
- ConocoPhillips Q3 preview: High expectations as upstream focus drives growthTradingView, Nov 4
- ConocoPhillips Reports Soon: How Has The Stock Reacted To Past Earnings?Trefis, Nov 4
- ConocoPhillips and Devon Energy Earnings Previews: What Shareholders Should Watch24/7 Wall St., Nov 4
ConocoPhillips peers
ConocoPhillips’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| FANGDiamondback Energy | Accumulation | 3.7% above |
| RRCRange Resources | Neutral | 17.8% above |
| ARAntero Resources | Neutral | 21.4% below |
| SMSM Energy | Buying | 7.2% below |
| MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas | Accumulation | 32.4% below |
| MURMurphy Oil | Accumulation | 0.4% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
ConocoPhillips stock FAQ
What is ConocoPhillips’s market cap?
ConocoPhillips’s market cap is $164.5B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $136.94, with 1.20B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.4.
What is the ConocoPhillips stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ConocoPhillips is $151.56, +10.7% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is ConocoPhillips stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate ConocoPhillips is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $136.94 is 36.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $216.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does ConocoPhillips report earnings next?
ConocoPhillips is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (tomorrow). Analysts expect earnings of $3.05 per share on revenue of $18.59B. ConocoPhillips beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.9% on average across the report.
What is ConocoPhillips’s 52-week high and low?
ConocoPhillips’s 52-week high is $154.28 and its 52-week low is $85.57; it closed at $136.94 on Nov 4, 2026, +54.6% over the past year.
Is ConocoPhillips stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and fair value), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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