Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for FANG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every FANG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FANG in Gekko
NASDAQ: FANG
Diamondback Energy (FANG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$182.88−9.46 (−4.9%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeDiamondback Energy's shares moved this week on a Q3 earnings beat, with adjusted earnings per share reaching $5.86 and revenue surging to $5.43 billion on higher oil prices and production. Commentary from the earnings call emphasized capital discipline, a sector-leading reinvestment rate of 30-32%, strong free cash flow, and continued Permian Basin development, including a raised 2026 production outlook and a shift toward full-field development of Barnett shale holdings. CEO Kaes Van't Hof also indicated plans to keep drilling activity largely flat into 2027 even with crude prices hovering near $100 per barrel, reflecting a cautious stance despite favorable pricing.
Shares closed at $182.88, down 4.9%, sitting between the 50-day average of $196.55 and the 200-day average of $190.27, with the stock down 1.1% over one month and 6.3% over six months despite a 29.5% one-year return. The GekkoIndex reads 66.1, placing FANG in the Accumulation zone, up from a five-day change of 14.5. Price sits 3.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $176.29.
The next earnings date falls on 22 February 2027, outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality is a notable headwind, with the next 20 trading days averaging a -2.3% return over 5 years, rising in just 1 of those years. Analyst consensus among 17 firms includes 15 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $240.17.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Diamondback Energy price vs fair value
Close $182.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $176.29
Diamondback Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $51.21B
- P/E ratio
- 38.1
- Forward P/E
- 9.8
- EPS, TTM
- $5.25
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.25B
- Profit margin
- 9%
- Dividend yield
- 2.00%
- Beta
- 0.47
- Volume
- 3.45M avg 2.05M
- 1-year return
- +29.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- 50-day average
- $196.55
- 200-day average
- $190.27
- Next earnings
- Feb 22
- Shares outstanding
- 281.3M
Diamondback Energy swing-trade checklist
Diamondback Energy scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $182.88 sits between the 50-day ($196.55) and 200-day ($190.27) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
66.1, Accumulation
Reading 66.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
3.7% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.7% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 109 days
Next report Feb 22, 2027, 109 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Diamondback Energy stock chart and price history
Diamondback Energy closed at $182.88 on Nov 4, 2026, +29.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $137.03 to $216.90.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.1%
- 3 months
- −3.6%
- 6 months
- −6.3%
- 1 year
- +29.5%
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About Diamondback Energy
Diamondback Energy is engaged in finding, developing and pumping oil and natural gas from onshore fields that require modern extraction methods, with nearly all of its activity clustered in the Permian Basin spanning West Texas and New Mexico. It is best known for its concentrated footprint there, drilling into formations such as the Spraberry and Wolfcamp layers on the Midland side and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring layers on the Delaware side of that basin.
Beyond running its own wells, the company holds mineral and royalty stakes across a broad swath of acreage stretching into the Eagle Ford Shale as well as the Permian, which lets it collect income from land it does not operate directly. It also owns and runs midstream assets, including pipeline networks for moving crude oil and gas and a water-handling system, supporting the fields it works in the Midland and Delaware Basins.
Diamondback Energy traces back to 2007 and is based in Midland, Texas. It trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker FANG.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Oil & gas production
- Website
- diamondbackenergy.com
Diamondback Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Diamondback Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 14.5 points over five sessions.
66.1Accumulation
Up 14.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 30 | +3.0% | +7.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 222 | +1.3% | +3.0% | ||
| Neutral | 409 | −0.3% | −0.7% | ||
| Distribution | 32 | −0.6% | +2.8% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average FANG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FANG price, zone by zone.Track FANG in Gekko
Is Diamondback Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Diamondback Energy trades 3.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $176.29, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Diamondback Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$176.29
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
3.7% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 23.8% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FANG in Gekko
Diamondback Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Diamondback Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in FANG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for FANG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FANG in Gekko
Buybacks
Diamondback Energy has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $272.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.53%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.95B
From company filings.
Diamondback Energy earnings: next date and track record
Diamondback Energy reports on Feb 22, 2027 (109 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 22, 2027
109 days away
- EPS estimate
- $5.89
- Revenue estimate
- $5.19B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.1%average move across the report
0 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Diamondback Energy's Q2 2026 earnings call emphasized strong operational execution, production outperformance, balance-sheet improvements, and strategic optionality. Management highlighted a ~4% year-to-date production increase, gas production outperformance aided by improved marketing and new pipeline egress (Waha firming), and ongoing efficiency gains across drilling, completions and LOE. Key strategic initiatives include accelerated Barnett development, a shovel-ready behind-the-meter power project (Bryant Ranch) with first gas targeted in H2 2027 and grid connection potential in 2028, continued development of Deep Blue midstream/water capabilities, an expanding enhanced oil recovery (EOR/surfactant) pilot with promising initial results, and early-stage deployment of AI/automation for lift and downtime reduction. Capital allocation remains flexible: Diamondback removed a minimum free-cash-return commitment, is opportunistically buying back shares while also reducing net debt by $1.6 billion in the quarter, and intends to retain optionality to grow production organically (low single-digit growth) while maintaining capital efficiency. Management communicated cautious optimism on macro oil market dynamics (low global inventories), acknowledged inflationary pressures (casings, consumables, fuel), and reiterated readiness to adjust pace of growth if market conditions change.
- Guidance
- Management provided multiple forward-looking operational and financial signals: they expect low single-digit organic production growth into 2027 if they elect to grow, plan to run five frac crews consistently, and indicated a quarterly capital run-rate to hold production flat of roughly $1.0 billion to a little over $1.0 billion. They targeted Barnett drilling cost goals around ~$400/ft (with some wells already near or below that) and cited Wolfcamp D drilling stretch goal near $300/ft. LOE guidance centered around roughly $6/boe (management expects LOE to circle that level). For the Bryant Ranch power project, Diamondback expects first behind-the-meter gas delivery in H2 2027 and potential grid-connected power by 2028 (pending ERCOT Batch Zero determinations). Management also removed a fixed minimum free-cash-return percentage and will allocate buybacks opportunistically while prioritizing balance-sheet flexibility for upcoming debt maturities.
- Risks flagged
- Key risks mentioned include macro and geopolitical volatility disrupting price/inventory relationships; uncertainty in durable demand and LNG uptake; inflationary pressures (notably tubular/casing costs and other consumables) that could raise well and LOE costs; potential increased pressure on service costs if rig counts continue to rise; execution risk on scaling Barnett development and EOR programs (wide dispersion of EOR results); project and regulatory risk for the power project (ERCOT decisions and commercial agreements with hyperscalers); potential water/injection constraints in the basin (RRC changes) though management said they have not yet seen acute constraints and are working with Deep Blue to increase capacity; and the company's debt maturity runway (noted maturities in 2029-2032) that motivates conservative cash management.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | $6.48 est $5.96 | $4.82B est $4.89B | −5.5% |
| May 4, 2026 | $4.23 est $2.28 | $4.24B est $3.83B | −0.7% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $1.74 est $2.00 | $3.03B est $3.28B | −2.0% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $3.08 est $2.94 | $3.92B est $3.53B | −2.6% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $2.67 est $2.76 | $3.65B est $3.35B | −0.3% |
| May 5, 2025 | $4.54 est $4.20 | $4.03B est $3.77B | −3.5% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $3.64 est $3.38 | $3.70B est $3.55B | −1.8% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $3.38 est $3.99 | $2.65B est $2.43B | −0.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Diamondback Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Diamondback Energy is $240.17, +31.3% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$240.17consensus 12-month target, +31.3% from the last close
Now $182.88Avg $240.17
Low $215High $269
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Scotiabank | $250 | +36.7% |
| Nov 4 | UBS | $260 | +42.2% |
| Nov 4 | Wells Fargo | $244 | +33.4% |
| Nov 3 | Siebert Williams Shank & Co | $269 | +47.1% |
| Nov 3 | Stifel Nicolaus | $259 | +41.6% |
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Diamondback Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Diamondback Energy averaged −2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −3.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.3% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −6.2% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, FANG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.
Diamondback Energy market cap and key statistics
Diamondback Energy’s market cap is $51.21B, with a P/E ratio of 38.1 and revenue of $16.25B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $51.21B
- P/E ratio
- 38.1
- Forward P/E
- 9.8
- EPS, TTM
- $5.25
- Gekko Fair Value
- $176.29
Trading
- Volume
- 3.45M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.05M
- 52-week high
- $216.90
- 52-week low
- $137.03
- Shares outstanding
- 281.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.25B
- Profit margin
- 9%
- Return on equity
- 3.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +179.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.47
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6%
- Dividend yield
- 2.00%
Diamondback Energy stock news this week
Coverage of Diamondback Energy this week reads positive: 18 positive, 4 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Diamondback Q3 Earnings Beat on Higher Oil Prices and ProductionTradingView, Nov 4
- What Diamondback Energy (FANG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings CallTradingView, Nov 4
- FANG Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Capital Discipline and Permian GrowthZacks Investment Research, Nov 4
- FANG Q3 FY2026 earnings callBigGo Finance, Nov 3
- Diamondback Maintains Best-in-Class PositionMorningstar, Nov 3
- Diamondback shifting to full-field development of Barnett holdingsOil & Gas Journal, Nov 3
Diamondback Energy peers
Diamondback Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| COPConocoPhillips | Neutral | 36.8% below |
| RRCRange Resources | Neutral | 17.8% above |
| ARAntero Resources | Neutral | 21.4% below |
| SMSM Energy | Buying | 7.2% below |
| MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas | Accumulation | 32.4% below |
| MURMurphy Oil | Accumulation | 0.4% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Diamondback Energy stock FAQ
What is Diamondback Energy’s market cap?
Diamondback Energy’s market cap is $51.21B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $182.88, with 281.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 38.1.
What is the Diamondback Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Diamondback Energy is $240.17, +31.3% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Diamondback Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Diamondback Energy is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $182.88 is 3.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $176.29. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Diamondback Energy report earnings next?
Diamondback Energy is expected to report on Feb 22, 2027 (109 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.89 per share on revenue of $5.19B. Diamondback Energy beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.1% on average across the report.
What is Diamondback Energy’s 52-week high and low?
Diamondback Energy’s 52-week high is $216.90 and its 52-week low is $137.03; it closed at $182.88 on Nov 4, 2026, +29.5% over the past year.
Is Diamondback Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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