NYSE: TALO

Talos Energy (TALO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$17.34+0.54 (+3.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news for Talos Energy centers on insider and major-holder selling, with Control Empresarial De Capital, a 10% owner, selling 480,000 shares worth $8.14 million on 6 October at a weighted average price of $16.9596, following another sale in September. A separate Form 4 filing on 11 October notes an additional insider transaction without further detail, and a Talos executive had 2,146 shares withheld on 1 October to cover tax obligations from RSU vesting.

Talos closed at $17.34, up 3.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $16.56 and 200-day average of $14.52, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 50, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, though the index has slipped 6.9 points over the past five sessions. Price stands 37% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.53. Shares have returned 22.5% over three months and 79.1% over the past year, though down 1.9% over the last month.

Talos next reports earnings on 3 November, 21 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report missed with an EPS of -0.44 against a -0.32 estimate, triggering a 13.8% reaction. Five of the last eight quarters beat estimates, with an average absolute reaction of 6.9%. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 1.8%, positive in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus across 6 firms stands at 4 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $20.22.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Talos Energy price vs fair value

▲$27.53$17.34Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $17.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $27.53

Talos Energy quick facts

Market cap
$2.89B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.36
Revenue, TTM
$1.98B
Profit margin
-20.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.43
Volume
6.16M avg 2.66M
1-year return
+79.1%
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%
50-day average
$16.56
200-day average
$14.52
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
167.0M
52-week range
$8.97$18.73

Talos Energy swing-trade checklist

Talos Energy scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $17.34 is above the 50-day ($16.56) and 200-day ($14.52) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50, Neutral

    Reading 50 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.0% below

    Price is 37% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Talos Energy stock chart and price history

Talos Energy closed at $17.34 on Oct 12, 2026, +79.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.97 to $18.73.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Talos Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$12$14$16$18NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct17.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.9%
3 months
+22.5%
6 months
+14.6%
1 year
+79.1%
The full TALO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TALO in Gekko

Follow Talos Energy through every session

Put TALO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Talos Energy

Talos Energy operates as an independent business focused on finding and producing oil and natural gas. Its work centers on offshore fields in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and in Mexican waters, and it is recognized for this offshore exploration and production activity.

The company holds proven reserves measured in barrels of oil equivalent, made up of crude oil and natural gas volumes recorded as of a given year end. Its operations are built around identifying hydrocarbon deposits and bringing them into production from these offshore fields, with its business tied directly to the resources it extracts rather than to a separate customer base described in its records.

Talos Energy was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker TALO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Energy minerals
Industry
Oil & gas production
Website
talosenergy.com

Talos Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Talos Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50, in the Neutral zone, down 6.9 points over five sessions.

010050Neutral

Down 6.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying36+1.9%+4.4%+6.2%+1.3%
Accumulation221+2.0%+2.9%+4.2%+4.6%
Neutral (current zone)388−0.3%−0.4%0.0%+2.5%
Distribution36−2.9%−4.0%−3.9%+1.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TALO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TALO price, zone by zone.Track TALO in Gekko

Is Talos Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Talos Energy trades 37.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.53, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Talos Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$27.53

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

37.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 43.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$28$17Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TALO in Gekko

Talos Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Talos Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TALO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TALO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TALO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TALO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TALO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TALO in Gekko

Buybacks

Talos Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$200.0M, Aug 4, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$38.20M
As a share of market cap
1.32%
Trailing four quarters
$140.4M

From company filings.

Talos Energy earnings: next date and track record

Talos Energy reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.7%May ’24+19.2%Aug ’24+8.2%Nov ’24+6.2%Feb ’25+1.0%May ’25−1.0%Aug ’25+2.3%Nov ’25−13.8%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Talos Energy reported strong 2025 results with significant free cash flow generation from high production and operational excellence. The company delivered $72 million in free cash flow improvements, far exceeding the $25 million target, through over 80 initiatives. Operating costs were 30% lower than offshore peer averages, resulting in top decile EBITDA margins. Key operational achievements included first production at Sunspear and Katmai West #2.
Guidance
Management expects to build on 2025 momentum while balancing volatile commodity prices and long-cycle offshore operations. The company has structural savings of approximately $36 million recurring into 2026 from efficiency initiatives.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 24, 2026−$0.44
est −$0.32
−36.6%$392.2M
est $432.2M
−9.3%−13.8%
Nov 5, 2025−$0.19
est −$0.35
+45.7%$450.1M
est $439.1M
+2.5%+2.3%
Aug 6, 2025−$0.27
est −$0.27
0.0%$424.7M
est $421.7M
+0.7%−1.0%
May 23, 2025$0.06
est −$0.10
+162.4%$513.1M
est $450.9M
+13.8%+1.0%
Feb 26, 2025$0.08
est −$0.06
+234.9%$485.2M
est $488.9M
−0.8%+6.2%
Nov 4, 2024$0.49
est −$0.05
+1,076.6%——+8.2%
Aug 7, 2024$0.03
est −$0.13
+123.1%$549.2M
est $517.6M
+6.1%+19.2%
May 6, 2024−$0.13
est −$0.10
−30.0%$429.9M
est $406.5M
+5.8%−3.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Talos Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Talos Energy is $20.22, +16.6% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$20.22consensus 12-month target, +16.6% from the last close
Low $17High $23
Buy4
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15KeyBancBuy, maintained$23+32.6%
Sep 7Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$20+15.3%
Sep 2Roth MKMBuy, maintained$17−2.0%
Aug 27Roth MKMBuy, maintained$17−2.0%
Aug 5Roth MKMBuy, maintained$17−2.0%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Talos Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Talos Energy averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.7%2021+4.9%2022−12.5%2023+8.2%2024+14.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−4.7%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.3%2 of 5

For scale, TALO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.4%.

Talos Energy market cap and key statistics

Talos Energy’s market cap is $2.89B and revenue of $1.98B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.89B
Forward P/E
15.1
EPS, TTM
−$2.36
Gekko Fair Value
$27.53

Trading

Volume
6.16M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.66M
52-week high
$18.73
52-week low
$8.97
Shares outstanding
167.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.98B
Profit margin
-20.5%
Return on equity
-17.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−38.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.43
Typical daily move
±3.3%
Typical 20-day move
±8.4%

Talos Energy stock news this week

Coverage of Talos Energy this week reads negative: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Talos Energy peers

Talos Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
COPConocoPhillips+1.1%Neutral32.8% below
FANGDiamondback Energy+0.1%Neutral11.2% above
ARAntero Resources+0.9%Neutral22.1% below
RRCRange Resources+0.6%Neutral2.2% above
SMSM Energy0.0%Neutral16.9% above
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas+0.2%Accumulation28.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Talos Energy stock FAQ

What is Talos Energy’s market cap?

Talos Energy’s market cap is $2.89B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.34, with 167.0M shares outstanding.

What is the Talos Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Talos Energy is $20.22, +16.6% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Talos Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Talos Energy is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $17.34 is 37.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $27.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Talos Energy report earnings next?

Talos Energy is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $526.2M. Talos Energy beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.

What is Talos Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Talos Energy’s 52-week high is $18.73 and its 52-week low is $8.97; it closed at $17.34 on Oct 12, 2026, +79.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $25.49 on Jun 8, 2022.

Is Talos Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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