Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TSLA in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TSLA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TSLA in Gekko
NASDAQ: TSLA
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$385.19−13.31 (−3.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeTesla fell this week after Democratic gains in the midterm elections raised policy and governance concerns for the company and for SpaceX, with reports citing increased regulatory scrutiny and complications for a proposed Tesla-SpaceX merger. Shares were described as falling 5% and separately 4% in different reports, among the few Magnificent Seven names down on the day. Separately, coverage noted Tesla's plan to build 20,000 Optimus robots a week and a million units in 2027, with one report pointing to a supplier expected to see its analog revenue rise by up to $500 million from the buildout.
Tesla closed at $385.19, down 3.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $372.11 and 200-day average of $384.76. The GekkoIndex reads 56.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 7.7 over five days. Price sits 8.5% above the Gekko Fair Value of $354.93.
The next earnings date is 27 January 2027, 83 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day window; the last report on 21 October 2026 beat estimates with $0.48 versus $0.46 and drew a 0.2% reaction. Over the last 90 days Congress recorded 3 buys and 0 sells, and the last 30 days saw 7 unusual options signals, with call premium of $288.0 million against put premium of $169.1 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus among 29 firms shows 14 buy, 12 hold, 3 sell, with a consensus target of $413.1.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Tesla price vs fair value
Close $385.19200-day averageGekko Fair Value $354.93
Tesla quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.52T
- P/E ratio
- 443.8
- Forward P/E
- 163.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.91
- Revenue, TTM
- $103.6B
- Profit margin
- 3.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.74
- Volume
- 47.05M avg 36.57M
- 1-year return
- −17.8%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.1%
- 50-day average
- $372.11
- 200-day average
- $384.76
- Next earnings
- Jan 27 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 3.95B
Tesla swing-trade checklist
Tesla scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $385.19 sits between the 50-day ($372.11) and 200-day ($384.76) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
56.4, Neutral
Reading 56.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
8.5% above
Price is 8.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 7 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 84 days
Next report Jan 27, 2027, 84 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Tesla stock chart and price history
Tesla closed at $385.19 on Nov 4, 2026, −17.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $297.38 to $498.83.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +1.2%
- 3 months
- +20.5%
- 6 months
- −3.4%
- 1 year
- −17.8%
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About Tesla
Tesla designs, builds, and sells electric vehicles worldwide, with a presence in the United States, China, and other markets. It is widely recognized for its electric sedans and sport utility vehicles, which customers can buy new or used, or upgrade through in-app purchases tied to its Supercharger charging network. Beyond vehicles, the company also produces solar power and energy storage systems for homes, businesses, and utilities.
The business runs through two main segments. The Automotive segment covers vehicle sales, regulatory credit revenue, and after-sale offerings such as insurance, used car sales, retail merchandise, financing, leasing, and maintenance through company-run service centers and mobile technicians. The Energy Generation and Storage segment handles the manufacture, installation, sale, and rental of solar and storage products, serving residential, commercial, industrial, and utility customers through its website, stores, showrooms, and partner networks, along with financing and repair services for those products.
Tesla was established in 2003 under the name Tesla Motors, Inc. and adopted its current name in February 2017. The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TSLA.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Motor vehicles
- Website
- tesla.com
Tesla GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Tesla’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.4, in the Neutral zone, up 7.7 points over five sessions.
56.4Neutral
Up 7.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 40 | −2.4% | +0.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 213 | +1.7% | +3.3% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 411 | +0.6% | +3.8% | ||
| Distribution | 29 | +1.5% | +0.5% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TSLA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TSLA price, zone by zone.Track TSLA in Gekko
Is Tesla stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Tesla trades 8.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $354.93, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Tesla shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$354.93
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
8.5% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TSLA in Gekko
Tesla insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Tesla, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 25 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $15,001 - $50,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 11 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $15,001 - $50,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 4 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
7signals, 63% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Oct 30, $35.64M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
6of the funds Gekko tracks hold TSLA.
2added2opened2trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Tesla earnings: next date and track record
Tesla reports on Jan 27, 2027, after the close (84 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 27, 2027
Expected after the close, 84 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.51
- Revenue estimate
- $28.62B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Tesla reported a strong Q3 2026 with vehicle demand significantly exceeding production capacity, driven primarily by Full Self-Driving adoption. Tesla Semi production began in Q3. Cybercab robotaxi fleet in Austin grew 10x within one month of launch. Megapack energy storage is nearly sold out through 2027 with expanding gross margins expected. Optimus humanoid robot early production has begun at Fremont.
- Guidance
- Tesla targets 5 million vehicles annually by approximately 2030. EU-wide FSD approval anticipated by Q1 2027. Optimus deliveries to external companies expected around end of 2027, with production ramping to 20,000 units per week over the next year-plus.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | $0.48 est $0.46 | $28.05B est $28.06B | +0.2% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | $0.33 est $0.32 | $28.24B est $26.42B | −15.6% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $0.41 est $0.35 | $22.39B est $22.10B | −3.3% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $0.50 est $0.45 | $24.90B est $24.78B | −3.3% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $0.50 est $0.56 | $28.10B est $26.54B | +1.4% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.40 est $0.40 | $22.50B est $22.28B | −8.1% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $0.27 est $0.41 | $19.34B est $21.27B | +10.2% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $0.73 est $0.77 | $25.71B est $27.26B | +0.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Tesla stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Tesla is $413.10, +7.2% from the last close, from 29 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$413.10consensus 12-month target, +7.2% from the last close
Now $385.19Avg $413.10
Low $24.86High $550
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 29 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | Bank of America Securities | $460 | +19.4% |
| Oct 26 | Barclays | $450 | +16.8% |
| Oct 26 | Evercore ISI | $300 | −22.1% |
| Oct 26 | Deutsche Bank | $420 | +9.0% |
| Oct 26 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $485 | +25.9% |
+3.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Tesla seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Tesla averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.3% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +13.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, TSLA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.1%.
Tesla market cap and key statistics
Tesla’s market cap is $1.52T, with a P/E ratio of 443.8 and revenue of $103.6B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.52T
- P/E ratio
- 443.8
- Forward P/E
- 163.9
- EPS, TTM
- $0.91
- Gekko Fair Value
- $354.93
Trading
- Volume
- 47.05M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 36.57M
- 52-week high
- $498.83
- 52-week low
- $297.38
- Shares outstanding
- 3.95B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $103.6B
- Profit margin
- 3.1%
- Return on equity
- 3.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −43.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.74
- Typical daily move
- ±4.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±10.1%
Tesla stock news this week
Coverage of Tesla this week reads negative: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 7 negative headlines.
- Apple, Tesla Supplier Is Taking on 3M: Here's What Investors Should KnowTradingView, Nov 4
- SpaceX and Tesla face policy and governance risks after Democratic gainsYahoo Finance Singapore, Nov 4
- The Nasdaq-100 Is Outperforming Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, and Tesla This Year. Here's My Favorite Low-Cost ETF to Buy the Dip.The Motley Fool, Nov 4
- Tesla Wants to Build 20,000 Optimus Robots a Week. Here's the Supplier That Gets Paid for Every Single One -- and It's Not Nvidia.The Motley Fool, Nov 4
- SpaceX Declines 6%, Tesla Falls 5% as Democratic Sweep Raises Merger and Regulatory Risks; General Motors Rises 2%24/7 Wall St., Nov 4
- Lucid Jumps 12%, Rivian Climbs 6% as Post-Election Rally Lifts EV Stocks; Tesla Slides 3%24/7 Wall Street, Nov 4
Tesla peers
Tesla’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GMGeneral Motors | Neutral | 2.3% above |
| RACEFerrari | Distribution | 24.4% above |
| FFord Motor | Neutral | 8.2% below |
| RIVNRivian Automotive | Neutral | 11.6% below |
| STLAStellantis | Neutral | 40.1% below |
| OSKOshkosh | Neutral | 10.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Tesla stock FAQ
What is Tesla’s market cap?
Tesla’s market cap is $1.52T at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $385.19, with 3.95B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 443.8.
What is the Tesla stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Tesla is $413.10, +7.2% from the last close. Of the 29 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 12 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Tesla stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Tesla is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $385.19 is 8.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $354.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Tesla report earnings next?
Tesla is expected to report on Jan 27, 2027, after the market closes (84 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $28.62B. Tesla beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.3% on average across the report.
What is Tesla’s 52-week high and low?
Tesla’s 52-week high is $498.83 and its 52-week low is $297.38; it closed at $385.19 on Nov 4, 2026, −17.8% over the past year.
Is Tesla stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Tesla?
Gekko flagged 7 unusual options signals in Tesla over the last 30 days, with $288.0M of flagged premium in calls and $169.1M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $35.64M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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