Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RIVN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every RIVN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RIVN in Gekko
NASDAQ: RIVN
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$14.79−0.68 (−4.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryRivian's week centers on the R2 rollout and its next-generation plans, with the CEO describing the upcoming R3 as "materially cheaper" than the R2, alongside continued commercial ties to Amazon and a software joint venture with Volkswagen. The company also recalled nearly 99,000 vehicles in the US over a rearview camera display issue flagged by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Coverage this week also compares Rivian to Lucid, noting Rivian's commercial partnerships against Lucid's Saudi government purchase agreement, and several pieces frame Rivian's stock decline since early July.
Shares closed at $14.79, down 4.4%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $15.92 and the 200-day average of $16.22, with the shorter average below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 63.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 14.6% below the Gekko Fair Value of $17.31.
Rivian's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 November 2026, after the close, 35 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Options activity over the last 30 days shows one unusual signal, with call premium of $792,068 against put premium of $70,470. Seasonality over 4 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -13.4% with no positive years in that sample. Analyst views span 15 firms, with 5 buy, 7 hold and 3 sell ratings and a consensus target of $19.31.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Rivian Automotive price vs fair value
Close $14.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $17.31
Rivian Automotive quick facts
- Market cap
- $17.95B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.64
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.88B
- Profit margin
- -55%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.62
- Volume
- 24.89M avg 20.43M
- 1-year return
- −6.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±12.2%
- 50-day average
- $15.92
- 200-day average
- $16.22
- Next earnings
- Nov 3 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 1.44B
Rivian Automotive swing-trade checklist
Rivian Automotive scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $14.79 is below the 50-day ($15.92) and 200-day ($16.22) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.9, Accumulation
Reading 63.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
14.6% below
Price is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 35 days
Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−13.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −13.4% over 4 years, rising in 0 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Rivian Automotive stock chart and price history
Rivian Automotive closed at $14.79 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.39 to $22.69.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −12.0%
- 3 months
- −12.0%
- 6 months
- +0.1%
- 1 year
- −6.0%
The full RIVN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RIVN in Gekko
Follow Rivian Automotive through every session
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About Rivian Automotive
Rivian Automotive works on creating, developing, and producing battery-powered vehicles, along with accessories that go with them. Among its offerings are pickup trucks and sport utility vehicles built to carry five passengers, aimed at everyday drivers. It has also built an electric van platform meant for commercial delivery use, a project connected to a partnership with Amazon.com.
Vehicles reach buyers through direct sales rather than a dealer network, with the company serving both everyday drivers and business clients. This means its truck, SUV, and van lines all fall under a single sales approach spanning personal and commercial use.
Rivian Automotive traces its founding back to 2009 and runs its main operations out of San Jose, California. Shares of the company are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker RIVN.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Motor vehicles
- Website
- rivian.com
Rivian Automotive GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Rivian Automotive’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.9 points over five sessions.
63.9Accumulation
Up 0.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 52 | +0.7% | −1.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 256 | +1.5% | +3.1% | ||
| Neutral | 331 | −0.2% | +1.2% | ||
| Distribution | 32 | −2.6% | −5.6% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average RIVN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RIVN price, zone by zone.Track RIVN in Gekko
Is Rivian Automotive stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Rivian Automotive trades 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $17.31, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Rivian Automotive shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$17.31
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
14.6% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RIVN in Gekko
Rivian Automotive insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Rivian Automotive, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in RIVN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for RIVN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RIVN in Gekko
Buybacks
Rivian Automotive has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2020
- $6.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.03%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 92% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $863K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RIVN.
0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Rivian Automotive earnings: next date and track record
Rivian Automotive reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
Expected after the close, 35 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$0.67
- Revenue estimate
- $1.95B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.8%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Rivian's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted the start of external deliveries for the R2, positive early customer feedback and strong marketing engagement (record 57,000 demo drives). Q2 consolidated revenue rose 27% year-over-year to $1.66 billion with consolidated gross profit of $179 million (11% margin). Automotive revenue grew 23% YoY to $1.14 billion driven by a 14% increase in vehicle deliveries and higher regulatory credit revenue, while automotive gross loss narrowed significantly versus prior year. Production output (12,613 produced; 12,194 delivered) exceeded guidance, helped by EDV and R1 growth and the introduction of R2. Management emphasized the R2 production ramp (single shift now, targeting two shifts by end of Q3), supply chain coordination, and Georgia facility construction toward 515k annual capacity. Autonomy roadmap progress was reiterated: point-to-point launch later this year (Level 2++ initially), eyes-off/Level 3 in 2027, and Level 4/robotaxi ambitions in 2028 (including Uber partnership). Financially, adjusted EBITDA losses continue (Q2 adjusted EBITDA loss of $379M); management raised the bottom end of the EBITDA range by $100M (midpoint +$50M) reflecting stronger regulatory credits and incremental volumes but noted H2 headwinds (absence of first-half regulatory credits and ramp inefficiencies). The company expects R2 to achieve positive automotive gross profit as part of its 2026 exit rate and reaffirmed investment in autonomy (GPU and RAP1 silicon) and SG&A/R&D build-out.
- Guidance
- - R2 expected to achieve positive gross profit as part of Rivian's 2026 exit rate. - Scale to two shifts for R2 production by end of Q3 2026; second shift materially contributes in Q4 2026. - Combination of Normal + Georgia sites provides path to 515,000 units annual capacity. - Point-to-point autonomy capability launching late 2026; Level 3 (eyes-off) in 2027; Level 4/robotaxi targeted for 2028 (Uber partnership deployment in 2028). - Improved adjusted EBITDA outlook: bottom end of range improved by $100M (midpoint +$50M) vs prior guidance.
- Risks flagged
- - Supply chain bottlenecks and single slowest supplier gating R2 production ramp; need for supplier readiness and potential expedited freight/premiums (~$100M estimated ramp cost). - Input cost inflation: raw materials, memory, and logistics pressures. - Absence of regulatory credits in second half of 2026 versus first-half benefit (Q1/Q2 regulatory credits helped margins). - Uncertainty around IEEPA tariff refund (DOJ appeal) and partial receivable recognition. - Commercial EDV adoption beyond Amazon slower than hoped; fleet adoption timing is uncertain. - Execution risk around autonomy feature rollout, GPU sourcing needs, and in-house silicon (RAP1) deployment timeline.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | −$0.97 est −$0.82 | $1.66B est $1.52B | −6.8% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | −$0.33 est −$0.64 | $1.38B est $1.37B | −6.5% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | −$0.70 est −$0.71 | $1.29B est $1.26B | +20.1% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | −$0.70 est −$0.74 | $1.56B est $1.51B | +16.9% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | −$0.80 est −$0.65 | $1.30B est $1.29B | −6.2% |
| May 6, 2025 | −$0.41 est −$0.77 | $1.24B est $997.7M | −6.1% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | −$0.52 est −$0.69 | $1.73B est $1.40B | −6.9% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | −$1.03 est −$0.96 | $874.0M est $991.5M | +9.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Rivian Automotive stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Rivian Automotive is $19.31, +30.6% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$19.31consensus 12-month target, +30.6% from the last close
Now $14.79Avg $19.31
Low $8High $24
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Citi | $18 | +21.7% |
| Sep 14 | Citi | $18 | +21.7% |
| Aug 24 | Stifel Nicolaus | $22 | +48.7% |
| Aug 10 | Needham | $23 | +55.5% |
| Aug 3 | J.P. Morgan | $15 | +1.4% |
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−13.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Rivian Automotive seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Rivian Automotive averaged −13.4% across the last 4 years, rising in 0 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −6.1% | 0 of 4 |
| Next 10 trading days | −10.5% | 0 of 4 |
| Next 15 trading days | −10.9% | 0 of 4 |
| Next 20 trading days | −13.4% | 0 of 4 |
| Next 30 trading days | −10.9% | 0 of 4 |
For scale, RIVN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.2%.
Rivian Automotive market cap and key statistics
Rivian Automotive’s market cap is $17.95B and revenue of $5.88B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $17.95B
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.64
- Gekko Fair Value
- $17.31
Trading
- Volume
- 24.89M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 20.43M
- 52-week high
- $22.69
- 52-week low
- $12.39
- Shares outstanding
- 1.44B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $5.88B
- Profit margin
- -55%
- Return on equity
- -57.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.62
- Typical daily move
- ±4.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±12.2%
Rivian Automotive stock news this week
6 headlines about Rivian Automotive from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Lucid vs. Rivian Automotive: Which Electric Vehicle Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?The Motley Fool, Sep 28
- Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to ConsiderZacks Investment Research, Sep 25
- NewEdge Advisors LLC Sells 94,290 Shares of Rivian Automotive, Inc. $RIVNDefense World, Sep 25
- Why the Market Dipped But Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Gained TodayZacks Investment Research, Sep 24
- Rivian vs. the S&P 500: Which Investment Wins Through 2030?The Motley Fool, Sep 24
- Rivian Ready to Launch $30,000 EV? CEO Says R3 Will Be ‘Materially Cheaper' Than R2Benzinga, Sep 23
Rivian Automotive peers
Rivian Automotive’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TSLATesla | Neutral | 6.2% above |
| GMGeneral Motors | Accumulation | 13.3% below |
| RACEFerrari | Accumulation | 14.0% above |
| FFord Motor | Accumulation | 16.2% below |
| STLAStellantis | Accumulation | 21.7% below |
| OSKOshkosh | Buying | 19.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Rivian Automotive stock FAQ
What is Rivian Automotive’s market cap?
Rivian Automotive’s market cap is $17.95B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.79, with 1.44B shares outstanding.
What is the Rivian Automotive stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Rivian Automotive is $19.31, +30.6% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Rivian Automotive stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Rivian Automotive is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $14.79 is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $17.31. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Rivian Automotive report earnings next?
Rivian Automotive is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.67 per share on revenue of $1.95B. Rivian Automotive beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.8% on average across the report.
What is Rivian Automotive’s 52-week high and low?
Rivian Automotive’s 52-week high is $22.69 and its 52-week low is $12.39; it closed at $14.79 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $179.47 on Nov 16, 2021.
Is Rivian Automotive stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Rivian Automotive?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Rivian Automotive over the last 30 days, with $792K of flagged premium in calls and $70K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $863K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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