Trip.com (TCOM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Trip.com Group Limited. Consumer services sector. Market cap $26.43B.

$40.68+0.32 (+0.8%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Trip.com (TCOM) closes at $40.68, up 0.8%, still below both its 50-day average of $43.84 and its 200-day average of $52.85, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Trailing returns are negative across horizons, down 12.5% over one month, 9.8% over three months, 21.4% over six months and 47% over the past year, against a 52-week range of $38.04 to $78.99. The GekkoIndex reads 67.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 41.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $69.72.

The week's news centers on Trip.com Group's Q2 2026 results, released 15 September, showing group net revenue of RMB 15.7 billion, up 6% year over year, with EPS of $1.07 against an estimate of $0.88, prompting a 3.5% reaction. International business grew around 50% year over year, and AI-assisted orders through TripGenie rose roughly 400% year over year. Commentary also flags a "show-me" narrative following a SAMR regulatory matter, referencing an antitrust fine of RMB 3.5 billion and confiscation of RMB 1.6 billion, along with mandated changes to hotel exclusivity and pricing practices that raise questions about take rate and competitive dynamics.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date is 16 November 2026, after the close, 57 days out and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Analyst coverage stands at 16 firms, with 14 rating it buy, 2 hold and none sell, and a consensus target of $58.47. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 3.3% from this point, rising in 2 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $40.68200-day averageGekko Fair Value $69.72

Key stats

Market cap
$26.43B
P/E ratio
7.8
Forward P/E
11.4
EPS, TTM
$5.16
Revenue, TTM
$65.61B
Profit margin
36.9%
Dividend yield
Beta
-0.05
Volume
3.83M avg 3.45M
1-year return
−47.0%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
50-day average
$43.84
200-day average
$52.85
Next earnings
Nov 16 after close
Shares outstanding
629.7M
52-week range
$38.04$78.99

Trip.com swing-trade checklist

Trip.com scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $40.68 is below the 50-day ($43.84) and 200-day ($52.85) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.4, Accumulation

    Reading 67.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    41.7% below

    Price is 41.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 57 days

    Next report Nov 16, 2026, 57 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Trip.com stock chart and price history

Trip.com closed at $40.68 on Sep 18, 2026, −47.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.04 to $78.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.5%
3 months
−9.8%
6 months
−21.4%
1 year
−47.0%
The full TCOM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TCOM in Gekko

Follow Trip.com through every session

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About Trip.com

Trip.com is a travel services company serving customers in China and in markets abroad. It works as a booking intermediary, arranging hotel stays, flights, train and bus tickets, and ferry passage, and it layers on extras such as travel insurance, ticket delivery, online check-in, seat selection, faster security screening, flight tracking, and lounge access. For leisure travelers it builds packaged trips, ranging from group tours to fully customized itineraries, bundling transport, cruises, car rental, local activities, visas, guides, and combined transport-and-lodging deals.

For business customers, it offers services covering corporate visits, incentive trips, and meeting or conference planning, backed by travel data analysis and benchmarking, plus an online Corporate Travel Management System for bookings, approvals, inquiries, and reporting. The company has also moved into online advertising and financial services, including marketing planning and travel media. Its brands include Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner.

Trip.com was founded in 1999 and was formerly named Ctrip.com International, before adopting its current name in October 2019. It is headquartered in Singapore. Its shares trade under the ticker TCOM.

Sector
Consumer services
Website
group.trip.com

Trip.com GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Trip.com’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 10.2 points over five sessions.

010067.4Accumulation

Down 10.2 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying49+2.3%+2.5%+3.5%+10.2%
Accumulation (current zone)216−0.5%−0.2%+0.6%+1.6%
Neutral329+0.2%+0.2%−0.2%−2.1%
Distribution20−0.6%−2.6%−2.1%+0.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TCOM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TCOM price, zone by zone.Track TCOM in Gekko

Is Trip.com stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Trip.com trades 41.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.72, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Trip.com shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$69.72

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

41.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TCOM in Gekko

Trip.com insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Trip.com, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TCOM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TCOM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TCOM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TCOM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TCOM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TCOM in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TCOM.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Trip.com earnings: next date and track record

Trip.com reports on Nov 16, 2026, after the close (57 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.5%Nov ’24−14.5%Feb ’25−2.4%May ’25+15.6%Aug ’25+0.6%Nov ’25−2.8%Feb ’26−11.0%Jun ’26+3.5%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 15, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Trip.com Group reported Q2 2026 group net revenue of RMB 15.7 billion amid challenging macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions. International business showed strong growth with inbound and world-to-world travel gaining momentum. AI-assisted orders through TripGenie grew ~400% YoY, with 60% of interactions now booking-related. Management is executing a G2 strategy focused on globalization and quality, with increased investment in inbound travel to China.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in long-term travel demand despite near-term headwinds from elevated fuel costs and geopolitical uncertainty. Q3 2026 outlook was referenced but details were not yet provided in the excerpt. Inbound travel to China is expected to be a key structural growth driver.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 15, 2026$1.07
est $0.88
+22.3%$2.31B
est $2.29B
+0.6%+3.5%
Jun 24, 2026$0.68
est $0.74
−8.1%$2.35B
est $2.30B
+2.1%−11.0%
Feb 25, 2026$4.97
est $4.67
+6.4%$2.20B
est $2.13B
+3.6%−2.8%
Nov 17, 2025$27.56
est $7.98
+245.4%$2.58B
est $2.09B
+23.2%+0.6%
Aug 27, 2025$7.20
est $6.13
+17.5%$2.07B
est $2.04B
+1.3%+15.6%
May 19, 2025$0.73
est $0.77
−5.2%$1.90B
est $1.90B
−0.3%−2.4%
Feb 24, 2025$4.35
est $3.90
+11.5%$12.66B
est $12.32B
+2.8%−14.5%
Nov 18, 2024$8.75
est $6.97
+25.5%$2.26B
est $2.23B
+1.6%+5.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Trip.com stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Trip.com is $58.47, +43.7% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$58.47consensus 12-month target, +43.7% from the last close
Low $42High $71
Buy14
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$60+47.5%
Sep 17MacquarieBuy, upgraded$53.20+30.8%
Sep 17CMB International SecuritiesBuy, maintained$64.60+58.8%
Sep 17J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$62+52.4%
Sep 16DBSBuy, maintained$54+32.7%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Trip.com seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Trip.com averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+13.8%2021−5.8%2022−7.9%2023+22.3%2024−10.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+9.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.4%2 of 5

For scale, TCOM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.

Trip.com market cap and key statistics

Trip.com’s market cap is $26.43B, with a P/E ratio of 7.8 and revenue of $65.61B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$26.43B
P/E ratio
7.8
Forward P/E
11.4
EPS, TTM
$5.16
Gekko Fair Value
$69.72

Trading

Volume
3.83M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.45M
52-week high
$78.99
52-week low
$38.04
Shares outstanding
629.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$65.61B
Profit margin
36.9%
Return on equity
15.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−39.7%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.05
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%

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Trip.com stock FAQ

What is Trip.com’s market cap?

Trip.com’s market cap is $26.43B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $40.68, with 629.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.8.

What is the Trip.com stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Trip.com is $58.47, +43.7% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Trip.com stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Trip.com is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $40.68 is 41.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $69.72. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Trip.com report earnings next?

Trip.com is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026, after the market closes (57 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.17 per share on revenue of $2.82B. Trip.com beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7% on average across the report.

What is Trip.com’s 52-week high and low?

Trip.com’s 52-week high is $78.99 and its 52-week low is $38.04; it closed at $40.68 on Sep 18, 2026, −47.0% over the past year.

Is Trip.com stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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