Trip.com (TCOM) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$42.69+1.31 (+3.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Trip.com this week draws attention mainly on revenue growth and financial strength, with recent reporting highlighting 5.5% year-over-year revenue growth, a 36.9% net margin, and a net cash position of CNY 47.1 billion, which commentary frames as flexibility for product development, marketing, and international expansion despite regulatory and cost pressures. Separate coverage notes the stock trading at differing levels on European listings, alongside a seasonal returns profile for the name.

The stock closed at $42.69, up 3.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $40.22 and 200-day average of $47.59, with a one-month return of 11.6% against a six-month return of -21.6% and a one-year return of -40.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 48.1, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a higher reading five days prior. Gekko Fair Value stands at $68.48, putting the current price 37.7% below that level.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main event is the earnings report due 16 November 2026, after the close, 11 days away, following a prior quarter in which EPS of $1.07 beat the $0.88 estimate and the stock moved 3.5% in reaction, with average absolute reactions around 7% historically. Smart-money and options activity show no recorded signals in their respective windows. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of 1.5%, positive in 4 of those years from this point in the calendar. Analyst consensus from 11 firms carries a target of $58.77.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Trip.com price vs fair value

$68.48$42.69Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $42.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $68.48

Trip.com quick facts

Market cap
$27.73B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
11.4
EPS, TTM
$4.96
Revenue, TTM
$65.61B
Profit margin
36.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
-0.01
Volume
3.05M avg 2.64M
1-year return
−40.3%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%
50-day average
$40.22
200-day average
$47.59
Next earnings
Nov 16 after close
Shares outstanding
629.7M
52-week range
$37.58$78.99

Trip.com swing-trade checklist

Trip.com scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $42.69 sits between the 50-day ($40.22) and 200-day ($47.59) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.1, Neutral

    Reading 48.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.7% below

    Price is 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 11 days

    Reports on Nov 16, 2026, 11 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Trip.com stock chart and price history

Trip.com closed at $42.69 on Nov 4, 2026, −40.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $37.58 to $78.99.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Trip.com share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$50$60$70$80DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct42.69

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+11.6%
3 months
−7.7%
6 months
−21.6%
1 year
−40.3%
The full TCOM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TCOM in Gekko

Follow Trip.com through every session

Put TCOM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Trip.com

Trip.com is a travel services company serving customers in China and in markets abroad. It works as a booking intermediary, arranging hotel stays, flights, train and bus tickets, and ferry passage, and it layers on extras such as travel insurance, ticket delivery, online check-in, seat selection, faster security screening, flight tracking, and lounge access. For leisure travelers it builds packaged trips, ranging from group tours to fully customized itineraries, bundling transport, cruises, car rental, local activities, visas, guides, and combined transport-and-lodging deals.

For business customers, it offers services covering corporate visits, incentive trips, and meeting or conference planning, backed by travel data analysis and benchmarking, plus an online Corporate Travel Management System for bookings, approvals, inquiries, and reporting. The company has also moved into online advertising and financial services, including marketing planning and travel media. Its brands include Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, and Skyscanner.

Trip.com was founded in 1999 and was formerly named Ctrip.com International, before adopting its current name in October 2019. It is headquartered in Singapore. Its shares trade under the ticker TCOM.

Sector
Consumer services
Website
group.trip.com

Trip.com GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Trip.com’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.1, in the Neutral zone, down 15 points over five sessions.

010048.1Neutral

Down 15 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying57+2.2%+2.2%+2.4%+9.9%
Accumulation236−0.5%−0.3%+0.4%+1.4%
Neutral (current zone)336+0.1%+0.2%−0.5%−3.0%
Distribution20−0.6%−2.6%−2.1%+0.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average TCOM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TCOM price, zone by zone.Track TCOM in Gekko

Is Trip.com stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Trip.com trades 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $68.48, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Trip.com shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$68.48

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

37.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$68$41Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TCOM in Gekko

Trip.com insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Trip.com, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TCOM in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TCOM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TCOM in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TCOM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TCOM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TCOM in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TCOM.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Trip.com earnings: next date and track record

Trip.com reports on Nov 16, 2026, after the close (11 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.5%Nov ’24−14.5%Feb ’25−2.4%May ’25+15.6%Aug ’25+0.6%Nov ’25−2.8%Feb ’26−11.0%Jun ’26+3.5%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 15, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Trip.com Group reported Q2 2026 group net revenue of RMB 15.7 billion amid challenging macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions. International business showed strong growth with inbound and world-to-world travel gaining momentum. AI-assisted orders through TripGenie grew ~400% YoY, with 60% of interactions now booking-related. Management is executing a G2 strategy focused on globalization and quality, with increased investment in inbound travel to China.
Guidance
Management expressed confidence in long-term travel demand despite near-term headwinds from elevated fuel costs and geopolitical uncertainty. Q3 2026 outlook was referenced but details were not yet provided in the excerpt. Inbound travel to China is expected to be a key structural growth driver.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 15, 2026$1.07
est $0.88
+22.3%$2.31B
est $2.29B
+0.6%+3.5%
Jun 24, 2026$0.68
est $0.74
−8.1%$2.35B
est $2.30B
+2.1%−11.0%
Feb 25, 2026$4.97
est $4.67
+6.4%$2.20B
est $2.13B
+3.6%−2.8%
Nov 17, 2025$27.56
est $7.98
+245.4%$2.58B
est $2.09B
+23.2%+0.6%
Aug 27, 2025$7.20
est $6.13
+17.5%$2.07B
est $2.04B
+1.3%+15.6%
May 19, 2025$0.73
est $0.77
−5.2%$1.90B
est $1.90B
−0.3%−2.4%
Feb 24, 2025$4.35
est $3.90
+11.5%$12.66B
est $12.32B
+2.8%−14.5%
Nov 18, 2024$8.75
est $6.97
+25.5%$2.26B
est $2.23B
+1.6%+5.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Trip.com stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Trip.com is $58.77, +37.7% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$58.77consensus 12-month target, +37.7% from the last close
Low $48High $64.60
Buy10
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$62+45.2%
Sep 17CMB International SecuritiesBuy, maintained$64.60+51.3%
Sep 17MacquarieBuy, upgraded$53.20+24.6%
Sep 17Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$60+40.5%
Sep 16JefferiesBuy, maintained$64+49.9%
−0.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Trip.com seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Trip.com averaged +1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−11.7%2021+16.8%2022−3.1%2023+1.2%2024+1.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.9%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days0.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.2%3 of 5

For scale, TCOM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.5%.

Trip.com market cap and key statistics

Trip.com’s market cap is $27.73B, with a P/E ratio of 8.3 and revenue of $65.61B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$27.73B
P/E ratio
8.3
Forward P/E
11.4
EPS, TTM
$4.96
Gekko Fair Value
$68.48

Trading

Volume
3.05M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.64M
52-week high
$78.99
52-week low
$37.58
Shares outstanding
629.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$65.61B
Profit margin
36.9%
Return on equity
15.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−39.7%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.01
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±7.5%

Trip.com stock news this week

Coverage of Trip.com this week reads positive: 2 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

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In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

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Trip.com stock FAQ

What is Trip.com’s market cap?

Trip.com’s market cap is $27.73B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $42.69, with 629.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.3.

What is the Trip.com stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Trip.com is $58.77, +37.7% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Trip.com stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Trip.com is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $42.69 is 37.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $68.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Trip.com report earnings next?

Trip.com is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026, after the market closes (11 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.18 per share on revenue of $2.82B. Trip.com beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7% on average across the report.

What is Trip.com’s 52-week high and low?

Trip.com’s 52-week high is $78.99 and its 52-week low is $37.58; it closed at $42.69 on Nov 4, 2026, −40.3% over the past year.

Is Trip.com stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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