Insider buying last 90 days
1 sale worth $56K
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3 | Martine Nathan General Counsel | Sale | $56K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: SGHC
Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$11.72−0.25 (−2.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summarySuper Group (SGHC) shares fell to $11.72 this week, down 2.09% in the latest session and part of a slide that follows a -1.26% drop the prior week, with no company-specific catalyst cited beyond broader market weakness. The stock has now moved further from its recent highs, continuing a pattern of underperformance relative to the broader market noted in both sessions.
The close of $11.72 sits between the 50-day average of $13.54 and the 200-day average of $12.19, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 76.7, placing SGHC in the Buying zone, while the price sits 16.2% below the Gekko Fair Value of $13.98.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 2 November 2026, 34 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a 0.6% reaction with EPS of $0.22 against a $0.21 estimate. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days shows no insider purchases against one sale. Seasonality data over 5 years shows an average 20-trading-day return of 2.6% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 3 of those years. Consensus among 6 firms stands at buy ratings, with a consensus target of $19.50.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Super Group (SGHC) price vs fair value
Close $11.72200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.98
Super Group (SGHC) quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.95B
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Forward P/E
- 12.4
- EPS, TTM
- $0.72
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.43B
- Profit margin
- 15.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.41%
- Beta
- 1.08
- Volume
- 2.46M avg 2.55M
- 1-year return
- −10.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.3%
- 50-day average
- $13.54
- 200-day average
- $12.19
- Next earnings
- Nov 2 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 508.1M
Super Group (SGHC) swing-trade checklist
Super Group (SGHC) scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $11.72 sits between the 50-day ($13.54) and 200-day ($12.19) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
76.7, Buying
Reading 76.7 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
16.2% below
Price is 16.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 90 days: insiders 0 open-market purchases / 1 sale.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 34 days
Next report Nov 2, 2026, 34 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Super Group (SGHC) stock chart and price history
Super Group (SGHC) closed at $11.72 on Sep 28, 2026, −10.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $8.46 to $15.86.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −15.3%
- 3 months
- −14.9%
- 6 months
- +12.4%
- 1 year
- −10.0%
The full SGHC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SGHC in Gekko
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About Super Group (SGHC)
Super Group (SGHC) provides online sports betting and casino gaming to customers around the world. Its offerings include Betway, which covers sports wagering and casino games, and Spin, a group of online casino brands. Through these platforms, the company is known for combining sports betting with a range of casino-style gaming products.
The business reaches players across Africa, the Middle East, Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America and South and Latin America, serving bettors and casino gamers in each of these regions. Its two main brands, Betway and Spin, allow it to address both sports betting audiences and those seeking casino-style entertainment under separate identities.
Super Group (SGHC) is based in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker SGHC.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Casinos/Gaming
- Website
- supergroup.com
Super Group (SGHC) GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Super Group (SGHC)’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 76.7, in the Buying zone, up 5.5 points over five sessions.
76.7Buying
Up 5.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 22 | +3.6% | +9.1% |
| Accumulation | 166 | +1.3% | +9.9% |
| Neutral | 402 | +0.9% | +4.0% |
| Distribution | 66 | +2.4% | +1.9% |
| Selling | 16 | +4.0% | +8.6% |
Average SGHC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SGHC price, zone by zone.Track SGHC in Gekko
Is Super Group (SGHC) stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Super Group (SGHC) trades 16.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.98, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Super Group (SGHC) shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$13.98
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
16.2% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SGHC in Gekko
Super Group (SGHC) insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Super Group (SGHC), and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in SGHC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for SGHC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SGHC in Gekko
Super Group (SGHC) earnings: next date and track record
Super Group (SGHC) reports on Nov 2, 2026, before the open (34 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 2, 2026
Expected before the open, 34 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.21
- Revenue estimate
- $646.9M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Super Group reported a strong Q2 2026 with record revenue, adjusted EBITDA, deposits and wagering activity, driven by robust performance across regions (particularly Africa) and increased engagement during the FIFA World Cup. Management highlighted key operational improvements — pricing, risk management, cross-sell into casino, product and trading enhancements and integration synergies from acquisitions — which contributed to margin expansion (adjusted EBITDA margin of 30%, sports margin hit a record 17% for the quarter). Average monthly active users grew 13% y/y to 6.2 million; wagering rose in sports (8%) and casino (15%). The company closed the quarter with $548 million cash, returned $25 million to shareholders in the quarter and $218 million over the last 12 months, and announced a landmark Manchester United partnership expected to enhance brand reach. Management raised full-year 2026 guidance. Capital allocation (dividends, buybacks, disciplined M&A, organic growth) was discussed with emphasis on maintaining flexibility and discipline. Operational headwinds cited included tax impacts (UK and Alberta) and seasonality/time-zone effects for the World Cup, but management remained confident in the business trajectory and 2027 margin goals.
- Guidance
- Raised full-year 2026 guidance: total revenue > $2.6 billion; adjusted EBITDA > $710 million. Marketing (% of revenue) guide: ~21%-22% for remainder of year. Sports margin normal cadence expectation ~13%-14% combined (International + Africa). Alberta migration to be completed by end of September 2026. One named country launch: Namibia in Q4 2026. Target to approach ~30% EBITDA margin into 2027 (management reiterated target).
- Risks flagged
- Risks mentioned include regulatory and tax headwinds (U.K. iGaming tax increase, Alberta tax/migration effects), seasonal and sports-outcome variability (sports results can adversely affect earnings), integration and one-time costs from recent acquisitions (temporary G&A step-up), competitive pressures in key markets (e.g., Nigeria retail incumbents, acquisitive competitors with leverage), and operational/market entry execution risks in new African jurisdictions (banking, taxes, licensing).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | $0.22 est $0.21 | — est $659.9M | −0.6% |
| May 11, 2026 | $0.17 est $0.16 | $612.0M est $584.7M | −1.2% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $0.13 est $0.16 | $568.0M est $566.1M | +7.0% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $0.16 est $0.12 | $555.7M est $489.6M | +13.1% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | −$0.01 est $0.13 | $579.4M est $529.2M | −3.7% |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.12 est $0.11 | $566.8M est $445.7M | −8.7% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $0.13 est $0.10 | $524.9M est $506.1M | −4.0% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.09 est $0.07 | $493.5M est $389.5M | +27.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Super Group (SGHC) stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Super Group (SGHC) is $19.50, +66.4% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$19.50consensus 12-month target, +66.4% from the last close
Now $11.72Avg $19.50
Low $18High $20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 | Oppenheimer | $20 | +70.6% |
| Aug 6 | Needham | $18 | +53.6% |
| Aug 5 | Canaccord Genuity | $18 | +53.6% |
| Aug 5 | Benchmark Co. | $20 | +70.6% |
| Aug 5 | Needham | $17 | +45.1% |
+9.1%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Super Group (SGHC) seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Super Group (SGHC) averaged +2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +1.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +9.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, SGHC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.3%.
Super Group (SGHC) market cap and key statistics
Super Group (SGHC)’s market cap is $5.95B, with a P/E ratio of 16.6 and revenue of $2.43B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.95B
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Forward P/E
- 12.4
- EPS, TTM
- $0.72
- Gekko Fair Value
- $13.98
Trading
- Volume
- 2.46M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.55M
- 52-week high
- $15.86
- 52-week low
- $8.46
- Shares outstanding
- 508.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.43B
- Profit margin
- 15.1%
- Return on equity
- 49.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +46.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.08
- Typical daily move
- ±3.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.41%
Super Group (SGHC) stock news this week
2 headlines about Super Group (SGHC) from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Here's Why Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Fell More Than Broader MarketZacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Super Group (SGHC) Limited (SGHC) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to NoteZacks Investment Research, Sep 21
Super Group (SGHC) peers
Super Group (SGHC)’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| LVSLas Vegas Sands | Accumulation | 31.2% below |
| FLUTFlutter Entertainment | Buying | 38.6% below |
| WYNNWynn Resorts | Buying | 48.9% below |
| MGMMGM Resorts International | Buying | 48.6% below |
| CZRCaesars Entertainment | Accumulation | 42.1% below |
| BYDBoyd Gaming | Buying | 44.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Super Group (SGHC) stock FAQ
What is Super Group (SGHC)’s market cap?
Super Group (SGHC)’s market cap is $5.95B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.72, with 508.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.6.
What is the Super Group (SGHC) stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Super Group (SGHC) is $19.50, +66.4% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Super Group (SGHC) stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Super Group (SGHC) is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $11.72 is 16.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Super Group (SGHC) report earnings next?
Super Group (SGHC) is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, before the market opens (34 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.21 per share on revenue of $646.9M. Super Group (SGHC) beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.3% on average across the report.
What is Super Group (SGHC)’s 52-week high and low?
Super Group (SGHC)’s 52-week high is $15.86 and its 52-week low is $8.46; it closed at $11.72 on Sep 28, 2026, −10.0% over the past year.
Is Super Group (SGHC) stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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