NYSE: ARMK

Aramark (ARMK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$54.26−0.66 (−1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Aramark's week is shaped largely by its Nexus initiative, the data-center hospitality unit that the company says addresses a $40 billion–$50 billion market and targets $2 billion–$3 billion in revenue over the next few years with higher margins. Alongside this, coverage touched on Aramark Healthcare+'s top ranking on Modern Healthcare's Best Places to Work list, new collegiate dining recognitions, a Facilities Management Forum highlighting AI, robotics and digital twins, and a new arena menu for the Flyers and Sixers season. Separately, two discrimination-related lawsuits involving former and current Aramark employees produced mixed court rulings.

Shares closed at $54.26, down 1.2%, sitting between the 50-day average of $57.64 and the 200-day average of $48.05, with a 1-month return of -7.8% against a 6-month gain of 36.2%. The GekkoIndex reads 67.6, placing ARMK in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $55.79, putting the current price 2.7% below that level.

The next earnings report is due 16 November 2026, before the open, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.1% return over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 11 buy ratings and 1 hold, with a consensus target of $68.50.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Aramark price vs fair value

$55.79$54.26Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $54.26200-day averageGekko Fair Value $55.79

Aramark quick facts

Market cap
$14.27B
P/E ratio
38.4
Forward P/E
21.5
EPS, TTM
$1.43
Revenue, TTM
$19.85B
Profit margin
1.9%
Dividend yield
0.88%
Beta
1.19
Volume
1.87M avg 2.29M
1-year return
+44.1%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
50-day average
$57.64
200-day average
$48.05
Next earnings
Nov 16 before open
Shares outstanding
263.6M
52-week range
$35.07$62.65

Aramark swing-trade checklist

Aramark scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $54.26 sits between the 50-day ($57.64) and 200-day ($48.05) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.6, Accumulation

    Reading 67.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.7% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.7% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 48 days

    Next report Nov 16, 2026, 48 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Aramark stock chart and price history

Aramark closed at $54.26 on Sep 28, 2026, +44.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $35.07 to $62.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Aramark share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$35$40$45$50$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep54.26

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.8%
3 months
−3.5%
6 months
+36.2%
1 year
+44.1%
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About Aramark

Aramark provides food service, facility support, and uniform programs to a wide range of institutions and businesses. It is known for running on-site dining operations, from cafeterias and executive dining rooms to convenience stores and vending, alongside concessions and hospitality services for sports, entertainment, and leisure venues. Its client base spans schools and universities, hospitals, corporate and industrial sites, sporting and entertainment facilities, leisure operators, and correctional institutions, both domestically and abroad.

The company works through three main segments: U.S. Food and Support Services, International Food and Support Services, and Uniform and Career Apparel. Beyond meal service, it handles non-clinical hospital support such as patient nutrition and procurement, along with facility upkeep like maintenance, custodial work, energy management, and grounds care. In correctional settings it also manages commissaries and laundry operations. Its uniform business covers the full cycle of workwear, from design and manufacturing to rental, cleaning, and delivery of garments and related items such as mats and shop towels.

Aramark's shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ARMK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Restaurants
Website
aramark.com

Aramark GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Aramark’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 3 points over five sessions.

010067.6Accumulation

Up 3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying18+2.7%+2.6%+5.7%+9.6%
Accumulation (current zone)169+0.4%+0.4%+1.2%+5.5%
Neutral429+0.6%+1.4%+2.4%+5.7%
Distribution53+0.2%+1.0%+2.9%+6.5%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average ARMK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARMK price, zone by zone.Track ARMK in Gekko

Is Aramark stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Aramark trades 2.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.79, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Aramark shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$55.79

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

2.7% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARMK in Gekko

Aramark insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Aramark, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARMK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ARMK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARMK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ARMK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ARMK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARMK in Gekko

Buybacks

Aramark has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 3, 2026
$913K
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ARMK.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Aramark earnings: next date and track record

Aramark reports on Nov 16, 2026, before the open (48 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.8%Nov ’24−1.5%Feb ’25+11.8%May ’25−8.7%Aug ’25−3.5%Nov ’25+8.7%Feb ’26+13.9%May ’26+8.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Aramark reported a strong fiscal third quarter with broad-based organic revenue growth, record client retention (~98%), significant net new business signings, margin expansion and notable progress on a new strategic initiative (Aramark Nexus). Organic revenue grew 9% to $5.0 billion (would have been ~11% excluding a calendar shift). Operating income rose 18% to $216 million; adjusted operating income increased 13% to $261 million with AOI margin expansion (~20 bps reported; nearly 50 bps on a constant currency basis excluding calendar shift). Management highlighted record new business (>$1.6 billion YTD, 51% higher YoY), strong demand across sectors (sports & entertainment, workplace experience, healthcare, education), and international growth. Aramark Nexus (hospitality services for AI data centers/workforce communities) is a material new growth avenue: 8 sites are signed/under development, with 3 sites under active mobilization; initial site revenues began ramping late in Q3 but primarily contribute in Q4. Management emphasized supply chain efficiencies, disciplined cost control, and a capital-light, margin-accretive profile for Nexus. CFO reiterated strong profit performance, conversion targets, and capital allocation priorities (get to <3x leverage, target ~40% AOI-to-free-cash-flow conversion, disciplined M&A, potential for share repurchases).
Guidance
- Organic revenue growth: management expects to sustain strong growth and indicated Q3 underlying growth (ex-calendar shift) of 10%-11% and implied similar exit rate into Q4; management expects to operate above prior medium-term 5%-8% algorithm as they plan fiscal '27. - AOI/EPS: Management reaffirmed AOI and EPS ranges (no specific numeric ranges disclosed on call transcript) and implied 30-40 bps of longer-term margin accretion in the core business this year; Nexus expected to be above-company-margin and additive. - Nexus contribution: Q4 expected to include roughly ~1% revenue contribution from Nexus with $400M–$500M of annualized Nexus revenue expected to ramp across fiscal '27 into '28 from the three most defined sites; first site began modest ramp late in Q3. - Capital allocation: target net leverage below 3x by year-end; target free cash flow conversion ~40% of AOI; continued disciplined M&A; potential to accelerate share repurchases as leverage declines.
Risks flagged
- Ramp timing uncertainty: Nexus ramp depends on customers' hiring schedules; management repeatedly noted they do not control pace of employee onboarding which affects revenue ramp timing. - Regulatory risk: potential state-level scrutiny (e.g., Texas moratorium/audit mentioned) could delay development timelines for data center projects and defer revenue. - Competitive risk: Nexus is expected to be competitive and other large companies may enter the market; Aramark expects competition but believes TAM is large. - Mobilization/start-up costs: new business mobilization can temporarily depress margins as accounts ramp. - Usual execution and macro risks inherent in forward-looking statements (supply chain, inflation, labor).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 11, 2026$0.52
est $0.48
+8.3%$5.03B
est $4.94B
+1.8%+8.3%
May 12, 2026$0.49
est $0.48
+2.1%$4.81B
est $4.75B
+1.1%+13.9%
Feb 10, 2026$0.51
est $0.50
+2.0%$4.83B
est $4.74B
+2.0%+8.7%
Nov 17, 2025$0.64
est $0.64
−0.2%$5.05B
est $5.16B
−2.2%−3.5%
Aug 5, 2025$0.40
est $0.40
0.0%$4.63B
est $5.17B
−10.5%−8.7%
May 6, 2025$0.34
est $0.33
+3.0%$4.28B
est $4.67B
−8.4%+11.8%
Feb 4, 2025$0.51
est $0.48
+6.3%$4.55B
est $4.36B
+4.4%−1.5%
Nov 11, 2024$0.54
est $0.53
+2.9%$4.42B
est $4.46B
−0.9%−2.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Aramark stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Aramark is $68.50, +26.2% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$68.50consensus 12-month target, +26.2% from the last close
Low $55High $74
Buy11
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 23JefferiesBuy, maintained$70+29.0%
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$70+29.0%
Sep 10RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$70+29.0%
Aug 19RBC CapitalBuy, reiterated$70+29.0%
Aug 17J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$70+29.0%
+1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Aramark seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Aramark averaged +6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.8%2021+13.8%2022+6.5%2023−1.3%2024+4.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.5%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.4%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.9%4 of 5

For scale, ARMK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.1%.

Aramark market cap and key statistics

Aramark’s market cap is $14.27B, with a P/E ratio of 38.4 and revenue of $19.85B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$14.27B
P/E ratio
38.4
Forward P/E
21.5
EPS, TTM
$1.43
Gekko Fair Value
$55.79

Trading

Volume
1.87M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.29M
52-week high
$62.65
52-week low
$35.07
Shares outstanding
263.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$19.85B
Profit margin
1.9%
Return on equity
11.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+33.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.19
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.1%
Dividend yield
0.88%

Aramark peers

Aramark’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MCDMcDonald's−0.9%Buying14.3% below
SBUXStarbucks+1.1%Buying11.3% above
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill+2.1%Buying6.2% below
YUMYum! Brands−0.4%Accumulation24.5% below
QSRRestaurant Brands International−0.1%Accumulation36.7% below
DRIDarden Restaurants−1.9%Accumulation26.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Aramark stock FAQ

What is Aramark’s market cap?

Aramark’s market cap is $14.27B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $54.26, with 263.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 38.4.

What is the Aramark stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Aramark is $68.50, +26.2% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Aramark stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Aramark is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $54.26 is 2.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $55.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Aramark report earnings next?

Aramark is expected to report on Nov 16, 2026, before the market opens (48 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.74 per share on revenue of $5.30B. Aramark beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.4% on average across the report.

What is Aramark’s 52-week high and low?

Aramark’s 52-week high is $62.65 and its 52-week low is $35.07; it closed at $54.26 on Sep 28, 2026, +44.1% over the past year.

Is Aramark stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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