Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for CMG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every CMG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CMG in Gekko
NYSE: CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$35.20+1.94 (+5.8%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeChipotle rallies this week on a five-day winning streak that has taken the stock up 18.9% in that span, adding roughly $6.7 billion in market value even as the S&P 500 fell 2.0% over the same period. New restaurant openings in Tipp City, Miamisburg and Menomonie, along with an expansion of the Athlete Card program to more than 2,300 college athletes at Florida State, round out the week's news flow, alongside commentary noting 9.6% third-quarter revenue growth and continued comp and transaction gains even as peers contend with value-seeking consumers.
CMG closes at $35.20, up 5.8%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $32.85 and its 200-day average of $33.97. The GekkoIndex reads 46.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -21.5. Price sits 6.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $32.92.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 2 February 2027, 89 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the last report on 29 July 2026 produced a 15% reaction with adjusted EPS of $0.33 versus a $0.32 estimate. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells, and the last 30 days show 1 unusual options signal with call premium of $795,429 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.8% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Chipotle Mexican Grill price vs fair value
Close $35.20200-day averageGekko Fair Value $32.92
Chipotle Mexican Grill quick facts
- Market cap
- $44.51B
- P/E ratio
- 30.8
- Forward P/E
- 22.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.07
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.71B
- Profit margin
- 10.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.99
- Volume
- 21.88M avg 25.01M
- 1-year return
- +11.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.5%
- 50-day average
- $32.85
- 200-day average
- $33.97
- Next earnings
- Feb 2 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 1.26B
Chipotle Mexican Grill swing-trade checklist
Chipotle Mexican Grill scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $35.20 sits between the 50-day ($32.85) and 200-day ($33.97) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
46.4, Neutral
Reading 46.4 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
6.9% above
Price is 6.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 89 days
Next report Feb 2, 2027, 89 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Chipotle Mexican Grill stock chart and price history
Chipotle Mexican Grill closed at $35.20 on Nov 4, 2026, +11.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $27.31 to $41.42.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +13.9%
- 3 months
- +4.4%
- 6 months
- +7.5%
- 1 year
- +11.7%
The full CMG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CMG in Gekko
Follow Chipotle Mexican Grill through every session
Put CMG on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Track CMG in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.
About Chipotle Mexican Grill
Chipotle Mexican Grill runs and manages its own network of restaurants rather than relying on outside owners to operate them. The chain serves diners looking for Mexican-style food and has built its name around this company-run restaurant model.
Its business centers on the direct operation of restaurant locations, with the company itself handling daily running of the eateries under its brand. As of February 15, 2022, its footprint spanned roughly 3,000 locations, extending beyond the United States into Canada and several European countries including the United Kingdom, France, and Germany.
Chipotle Mexican Grill was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CMG.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer services
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Website
- chipotle.com
Chipotle Mexican Grill GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Chipotle Mexican Grill’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.4, in the Neutral zone, down 21.5 points over five sessions.
46.4Neutral
Down 21.5 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 64 | +1.2% | +3.4% | ||
| Accumulation | 227 | −0.5% | −0.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 368 | −0.3% | −2.1% | ||
| Distribution | 34 | +0.8% | +2.9% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average CMG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CMG price, zone by zone.Track CMG in Gekko
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Chipotle Mexican Grill trades 6.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $32.92, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Chipotle Mexican Grill shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$32.92
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
6.9% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.1% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CMG in Gekko
Chipotle Mexican Grill insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Chipotle Mexican Grill, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 25 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 11 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Chipotle Mexican Grill has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $1.30B, Jul 29, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $110.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.25%
- Trailing four quarters
- $2.21B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 9, $795K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CMG.
0added0opened0trimmed3sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Chipotle Mexican Grill earnings: next date and track record
Chipotle Mexican Grill reports on Feb 2, 2027, after the close (89 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 2, 2027
Expected after the close, 89 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.26
- Revenue estimate
- $3.27B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Chipotle reported solid second quarter fiscal 2026 results driven by transaction growth and early traction from its 'Recipe for Growth' initiatives. Revenue grew 9.3% to $3.3 billion, comparable restaurant sales increased 2.2% (transaction comp +1%), and digital sales reached $1.3 billion (38.3% of total). Restaurant-level margin decreased 220 basis points to 25.2%; adjusted diluted EPS was $0.33, flat year-over-year. Management highlighted the successful return of Chipotle Honey Chicken, strength from Cilantro Lime Sauce, a revamped Rewards program, targeted marketing, the high-efficiency equipment package (HEEP) rollout, and international partner expansion. They opened 101 new restaurants in the quarter (80 Chipotlanes) and plan continued rollout of HEEP to 2,000 restaurants by year-end and full system completion in 2027. Management raised full-year comparable sales guidance to low single-digit growth, but noted softer trends in late July tied partly to a ~200 bps industry cyclospora-related impact and tougher year-over-year comparisons in Q3. Management emphasized continued investments in menu innovation, digital, remodel pilots, and talent, while testing remodel refreshes in select restaurants and expanding partner-operated international development.
- Guidance
- Full-year comparable restaurant sales: low single-digit growth (raised). Q3 comparable restaurant sales: approximately +1% (assumes ~200 bps headwind from industry cyclospora issue persisting). Pricing: Q2 impact ~1.6%; Q3 pricing expected mid-2% range; full year expected near high end of prior 1%-2% range. HEEP rollout: 2,000 restaurants by year-end; full portfolio targeted in 2027. New openings: management cites ~350 company-operated openings/year as target cadence.
- Risks flagged
- Industry cyclospora outbreak impacting consumer traffic (~200 bps headwind noted), tougher year-over-year comparisons in Q3 due to prior year promotional activity, margin pressure from inflation (restaurant-level margin down 220 bps), uncertainty around the duration/impact of the cyclospora concern, execution risk and unproven ROI for remodel/refresh pilots, potential diminishing returns from repeated LTOs, friction in in-restaurant loyalty enrollment impacting adoption, and general consumer caution/softening in recent weeks.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $0.33 est $0.32 | $3.35B est $3.33B | +15.0% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.24 est $0.24 | $3.09B est $3.07B | +3.4% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.25 est $0.24 | $2.98B est $2.96B | +3.7% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.29 est $0.29 | $3.00B est $3.02B | −19.2% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.33 est $0.33 | $3.06B est $3.11B | −12.7% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $0.29 est $0.28 | $2.88B est $2.94B | +5.2% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.25 est $0.25 | $2.85B est $2.85B | −1.5% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $0.27 est $0.25 | $2.79B est $2.82B | −8.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Chipotle Mexican Grill stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill is $40.57, +15.3% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$40.57consensus 12-month target, +15.3% from the last close
Now $35.20Avg $40.57
Low $32High $51
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Bernstein | $43 | +22.2% |
| Nov 2 | UBS | — | — |
| Oct 29 | KeyBanc | $40 | +13.6% |
| Oct 29 | KeyBanc | $40 | +13.6% |
| Oct 29 | Guggenheim | $32 | −9.1% |
−2.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Chipotle Mexican Grill seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Chipotle Mexican Grill averaged +4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.5% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, CMG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.
Chipotle Mexican Grill market cap and key statistics
Chipotle Mexican Grill’s market cap is $44.51B, with a P/E ratio of 30.8 and revenue of $12.71B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $44.51B
- P/E ratio
- 30.8
- Forward P/E
- 22.8
- EPS, TTM
- $1.07
- Gekko Fair Value
- $32.92
Trading
- Volume
- 21.88M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 25.01M
- 52-week high
- $41.42
- 52-week low
- $27.31
- Shares outstanding
- 1.26B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $12.71B
- Profit margin
- 10.8%
- Return on equity
- 48.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −6.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.99
- Typical daily move
- ±3.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.5%
Chipotle Mexican Grill stock news this week
Coverage of Chipotle Mexican Grill this week reads positive: 13 positive, 6 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Chipotle adds 60 jobs with new restaurants in two local citiesThe Business Journals, Nov 4
- McDonald's Rises 5% as Earnings Beat Outweighs U.S. Sales Dip; Chipotle Climbs 4%, Starbucks Gains 3%24/7 Wall St., Nov 4
- CHIPOTLE EXPANDS ATHLETE CARD PROGRAM TO MORE THAN 2,300 COLLEGE ATHLETESChipotle, Nov 4
- Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Rides A 5-Day Winning Streak To A 19% GainTrefis, Nov 4
- Chipotle Stock: The Dip Is A Long-Term OpportunitySeeking Alpha, Nov 4
- Chip, Tock… Chipotle Set to Open in Menomonie715Newsroom.com, Nov 3
Chipotle Mexican Grill peers
Chipotle Mexican Grill’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MCDMcDonald's | Distribution | 2.6% above |
| SBUXStarbucks | Neutral | 27.4% above |
| YUMYum! Brands | Distribution | 13.8% below |
| QSRRestaurant Brands International | Neutral | 31.7% below |
| DRIDarden Restaurants | Neutral | 3.9% below |
| YUMCYum China | Distribution | 40.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Chipotle Mexican Grill stock FAQ
What is Chipotle Mexican Grill’s market cap?
Chipotle Mexican Grill’s market cap is $44.51B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $35.20, with 1.26B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.8.
What is the Chipotle Mexican Grill stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill is $40.57, +15.3% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Chipotle Mexican Grill is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $35.20 is 6.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $32.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Chipotle Mexican Grill report earnings next?
Chipotle Mexican Grill is expected to report on Feb 2, 2027, after the market closes (89 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.26 per share on revenue of $3.27B. Chipotle Mexican Grill beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.6% on average across the report.
What is Chipotle Mexican Grill’s 52-week high and low?
Chipotle Mexican Grill’s 52-week high is $41.42 and its 52-week low is $27.31; it closed at $35.20 on Nov 4, 2026, +11.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $69.26 on Jun 18, 2024.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Chipotle Mexican Grill?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Chipotle Mexican Grill over the last 30 days, with $795K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 9, 2026 with $795K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
See Chipotle Mexican Grill the way Gekko members do
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,461 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.