Insider buying last 90 days
$1.56Min 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 | Kenta Kon President | Purchase | $1.56M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeToyota's week centers on an expanding autonomous-driving partnership with Waymo, under which Toyota will manufacture Waymo's self-driving bZ4X electric SUVs at its Takaoka plant, with testing set to begin in Japan in 2027 before expanding to Britain and other markets. Alongside this, Toyota continued its buyback program, repurchasing 45.2 million shares for JPY 135 billion in October under a plan authorized through August 2027. Separately, a second-quarter profit increase of 18% is anticipated, which would mark the first rise in six quarters, and the Celica nameplate is returning for 2027 rally racing, fueling speculation about a showroom revival.
Shares closed at $199.46, up 3.3%, sitting between the 50-day average of $192.19 and the 200-day average of $198.27, with the one-month return at 7.5% and the one-year return at -3%. The GekkoIndex reads 51.8, placing TM in the Neutral zone, down 1.9 over five days. Price sits 15.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $173.22.
Earnings arrive 5 November, with the prior quarter showing EPS of $7.57 against an estimate of $4.68 and a reaction of -0.2%; 6 beats have occurred over the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 1.6%. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase totaling $1,564,850 has been recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +0.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. The consensus target stands at $234.08, implying 17.4% upside.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Toyota Motor price vs fair value
Close $199.46200-day averageGekko Fair Value $173.22
Toyota Motor quick facts
- Market cap
- $236.2B
- P/E ratio
- 8.6
- Forward P/E
- 11.3
- EPS, TTM
- $22.76
- Revenue, TTM
- $51.96T
- Profit margin
- 8.6%
- Dividend yield
- 3.20%
- Beta
- 0.38
- Volume
- 428,302 avg 305,306
- 1-year return
- −3.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- 50-day average
- $192.19
- 200-day average
- $198.27
- Next earnings
- Nov 5 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 1.18B
Toyota Motor swing-trade checklist
Toyota Motor scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $199.46 sits between the 50-day ($192.19) and 200-day ($198.27) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
51.8, Neutral
Reading 51.8 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
15.1% above
Price is 15.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports tomorrow
Reports on Nov 5, 2026, tomorrow — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+0.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Toyota Motor stock chart and price history
Toyota Motor closed at $199.46 on Nov 4, 2026, −3.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $166.10 to $248.90.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +7.5%
- 3 months
- +6.4%
- 6 months
- +2.3%
- 1 year
- −3.0%
The full TM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TM in Gekko
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About Toyota Motor
Toyota Motor makes and sells a wide lineup of vehicles, from mini-cars and passenger models to commercial trucks, buses, and minivans. Its range spans everyday models like the Corolla and Raize, hybrid vehicles under the Prius name, and the MIRAI fuel cell car, alongside sports and performance models such as the Supra, GR Yaris, Corolla Sport, and Corolla Cross, plus larger vehicles like the Highlander and the Tacoma pickup. The company is widely recognized for this broad vehicle catalogue sold under the Toyota brand.
The business is split into an automotive segment, a financial services arm, and other smaller activities. The financial unit covers retail and wholesale vehicle financing, leasing, insurance, and credit cards, while other operations include designing, building, and selling prefabricated housing, and running GAZOO.com, an online portal aimed at car enthusiasts. Its automotive and related products reach buyers across Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, and the Middle East.
Toyota Motor was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in the city of Toyota, Japan. Its shares trade under the short name Toyota Motor, listed under the ticker TM.
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Website
- global.toyota
Toyota Motor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Toyota Motor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.8, in the Neutral zone, down 1.9 points over five sessions.
51.8Neutral
Down 1.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 63 | +0.4% | +0.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 229 | −0.3% | −0.1% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 340 | +0.1% | −1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 17 | −2.3% | +1.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TM price, zone by zone.Track TM in Gekko
Is Toyota Motor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Toyota Motor trades 15.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $173.22, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Toyota Motor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$173.22
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
15.1% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 10.4% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TM in Gekko
Toyota Motor insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Toyota Motor worth $1.56M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TM in Gekko
Toyota Motor earnings: next date and track record
Toyota Motor reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (tomorrow), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
Expected before the open, tomorrow
- EPS estimate
- $3.37
- Revenue estimate
- $84.74B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $7.57 est $4.68 | $85.83B est $80.67B | −0.2% |
| May 8, 2026 | $4.00 est $2.69 | $80.43B est $79.57B | −2.8% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | $6.15 est $3.18 | $85.79B est $82.99B | +2.2% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $4.85 est $3.36 | $82.49B est $80.89B | −0.5% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $4.47 est $4.67 | $84.61B est $82.44B | +2.5% |
| May 8, 2025 | $3.39 est $2.92 | $85.25B est $81.41B | −0.7% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $9.98 est $4.36 | $78.81B est $79.26B | +1.6% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $2.90 est $4.39 | $80.15B est $78.48B | +2.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Toyota Motor stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Toyota Motor is $234.08, +17.4% from the last close.
$234.08consensus 12-month target, +17.4% from the last close
−1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Toyota Motor seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Toyota Motor averaged +0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.0% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, TM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.
Toyota Motor market cap and key statistics
Toyota Motor’s market cap is $236.2B, with a P/E ratio of 8.6 and revenue of $51.96T over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $236.2B
- P/E ratio
- 8.6
- Forward P/E
- 11.3
- EPS, TTM
- $22.76
- Gekko Fair Value
- $173.22
Trading
- Volume
- 428,302
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 305,306
- 52-week high
- $248.90
- 52-week low
- $166.10
- Shares outstanding
- 1.18B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $51.96T
- Profit margin
- 8.6%
- Return on equity
- 12.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +86.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.38
- Typical daily move
- ±1.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- Dividend yield
- 3.20%
Toyota Motor stock news this week
Coverage of Toyota Motor this week reads positive: 13 positive, 4 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Toyota (TM) spends ¥135B on October buybacks under its 500M-share plan.Stock Titan, Nov 4
- Toyota second-quarter profit seen climbing 18%, first increase in six quartersReuters, Nov 3
- Toyota resurrects Celica name for 2027 rally racing amid rumors of return to showroomsAutomotive News, Nov 3
- Toyota To Manufacture Waymo's Self-Driving Cars In Landmark Supply DealACKO Drive, Nov 3
- Toyota & Waymo to Begin Scaling Autonomous Japanese FleetFuture Transport-News, Nov 2
- All-New Toyota Century Coupe Luxury Grand Tourer Gets Rendered in All-Black Production Guise Attireautoevolution, Nov 2
Toyota Motor stock FAQ
What is Toyota Motor’s market cap?
Toyota Motor’s market cap is $236.2B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $199.46, with 1.18B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.6.
What is the Toyota Motor stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Toyota Motor is $234.08, +17.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Toyota Motor stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Toyota Motor is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $199.46 is 15.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $173.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Toyota Motor report earnings next?
Toyota Motor is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (tomorrow). Analysts expect earnings of $3.37 per share on revenue of $84.74B. Toyota Motor beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.6% on average across the report.
What is Toyota Motor’s 52-week high and low?
Toyota Motor’s 52-week high is $248.90 and its 52-week low is $166.10; it closed at $199.46 on Nov 4, 2026, −3.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $255.23 on Mar 22, 2024.
Is Toyota Motor stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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