Insider buying last 90 days
$1.56Min 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6 | Kenta Kon President | Purchase | $1.56M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Toyota Motor (TM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$191.53−2.38 (−1.2%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryToyota Motor closes at $191.53, down 1.2% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $188.73 and its 200-day average of $202.04. The GekkoIndex reads 60.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up 7.1 over the last five readings. Price stands 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.83.
This week's news centers on two themes: automation spending and Chinese joint-venture restructuring. Toyota has put a figure on its factory automation ambitions, estimating costs of roughly ¥1 trillion, or $6.4 billion, annually from 2028 to modernize plants through robotics and automation. Separately, GAC Group has announced intent to acquire a stake in an FAW-Toyota joint venture, a move tied to consolidation of Toyota's Chinese operations amid intensifying competition. Also noted this week is a leadership change, with CFO Kenta Kon appointed CEO, campaigning for a lower breakeven point and cost discipline, alongside a data-sharing agreement between WarrCloud and Toyota Motor North America for warranty processing.
Toyota's next earnings date falls on 4 November, 45 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 4 August showed actual EPS of $7.57 against an estimate of $3.94, with a -0.2% reaction. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase of $1,564,850 has been recorded. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -3% across 5 years, positive in just 1 of them. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching given the current premium.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $191.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $171.83
Key stats
- Market cap
- $226.8B
- P/E ratio
- 8.5
- Forward P/E
- 11
- EPS, TTM
- $22.96
- Revenue, TTM
- $51.96T
- Profit margin
- 8.6%
- Dividend yield
- 3.26%
- Beta
- 0.34
- Volume
- 303,797 avg 336,795
- 1-year return
- −4.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- 50-day average
- $188.73
- 200-day average
- $202.04
- Next earnings
- Nov 4 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 1.18B
Toyota Motor swing-trade checklist
Toyota Motor scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $191.53 sits between the 50-day ($188.73) and 200-day ($202.04) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
60.1, Accumulation
Reading 60.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
11.5% above
Price is 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 45 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−3.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Toyota Motor stock chart and price history
Toyota Motor closed at $191.53 on Sep 18, 2026, −4.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $166.10 to $248.90.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +1.5%
- 3 months
- +10.1%
- 6 months
- −8.3%
- 1 year
- −4.9%
The full TM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TM in Gekko
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About Toyota Motor
Toyota Motor makes and sells a wide lineup of vehicles, from mini-cars and passenger models to commercial trucks, buses, and minivans. Its range spans everyday models like the Corolla and Raize, hybrid vehicles under the Prius name, and the MIRAI fuel cell car, alongside sports and performance models such as the Supra, GR Yaris, Corolla Sport, and Corolla Cross, plus larger vehicles like the Highlander and the Tacoma pickup. The company is widely recognized for this broad vehicle catalogue sold under the Toyota brand.
The business is split into an automotive segment, a financial services arm, and other smaller activities. The financial unit covers retail and wholesale vehicle financing, leasing, insurance, and credit cards, while other operations include designing, building, and selling prefabricated housing, and running GAZOO.com, an online portal aimed at car enthusiasts. Its automotive and related products reach buyers across Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, and the Middle East.
Toyota Motor was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in the city of Toyota, Japan. Its shares trade under the short name Toyota Motor, listed under the ticker TM.
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Website
- global.toyota
Toyota Motor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Toyota Motor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 7.1 points over five sessions.
60.1Accumulation
Up 7.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 63 | +0.4% | +0.2% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 214 | −0.4% | −0.3% | ||
| Neutral | 320 | +0.1% | −0.9% | ||
| Distribution | 17 | −2.3% | +1.3% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TM price, zone by zone.Track TM in Gekko
Is Toyota Motor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Toyota Motor trades 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.83, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Toyota Motor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$171.83
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
11.5% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TM in Gekko
Toyota Motor insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Toyota Motor worth $1.56M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TM in Gekko
Toyota Motor earnings: next date and track record
Toyota Motor reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
Expected before the open, 45 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.37
- Revenue estimate
- $84.74B
5 of 7reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.3%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $7.57 est $3.94 | $85.83B est $80.67B | −0.2% |
| May 8, 2026 | $4.00 est $2.69 | $80.43B est $79.57B | −2.8% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | $6.15 est $3.18 | $85.79B est $82.99B | +2.2% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $4.85 est $3.36 | $82.49B est $80.89B | −0.5% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $4.47 est $4.67 | $84.61B est $82.44B | +2.5% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $4.38 est $5.48 | $84.61B est $82.44B | 0.0% |
| Jun 18, 2025 | $0.35 | $85.01B | −0.9% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $9.98 est $4.36 | $78.81B est $79.26B | +1.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Toyota Motor stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Toyota Motor is $231.58, +20.9% from the last close.
$231.58consensus 12-month target, +20.9% from the last close
−0.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Toyota Motor seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Toyota Motor averaged −3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.6% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −3.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.7% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, TM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.
Toyota Motor market cap and key statistics
Toyota Motor’s market cap is $226.8B, with a P/E ratio of 8.5 and revenue of $51.96T over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $226.8B
- P/E ratio
- 8.5
- Forward P/E
- 11
- EPS, TTM
- $22.96
- Gekko Fair Value
- $171.83
Trading
- Volume
- 303,797
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 336,795
- 52-week high
- $248.90
- 52-week low
- $166.10
- Shares outstanding
- 1.18B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $51.96T
- Profit margin
- 8.6%
- Return on equity
- 12.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +86.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.34
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- Dividend yield
- 3.26%
Toyota Motor stock news this week
Coverage of Toyota Motor this week reads positive: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to NoteZacks Investment Research, Sep 18
- Toyota Drops as 400,000 Robots Meet a ¥1 Trillion BudgetGuruFocus, Sep 18
- Toyota estimates factory automation could cost $6.4 billion per year from 2028Reuters, Sep 18
- Toyota Signs TEAM JAPAN Partnership Agreement with JOC and JPC as a Gold Partner, Directly Supporting Athletes Competing on the World Stageトヨタ自動車株式会社 公式企業サイト, Sep 18
- GAC to acquire stake in an FAW (Toyota) joint ventureJust Auto, Sep 17
- New Toyota Motor CEO Campaigns For Lower Breakeven Point To Improve ProfitabilitySeeking Alpha, Sep 16
Toyota Motor stock FAQ
What is Toyota Motor’s market cap?
Toyota Motor’s market cap is $226.8B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $191.53, with 1.18B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.5.
What is the Toyota Motor stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Toyota Motor is $231.58, +20.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Toyota Motor stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Toyota Motor is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $191.53 is 11.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $171.83. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Toyota Motor report earnings next?
Toyota Motor is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.37 per share on revenue of $84.74B. Toyota Motor beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 7 reports, moving 1.3% on average across the report.
What is Toyota Motor’s 52-week high and low?
Toyota Motor’s 52-week high is $248.90 and its 52-week low is $166.10; it closed at $191.53 on Sep 18, 2026, −4.9% over the past year.
Is Toyota Motor stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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