NASDAQ: AAPL

Apple (AAPL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$340.97+4.33 (+1.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Apple shares rose 1.3% this week after JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its price target from $340.00 to $360.00 while maintaining an Overweight rating, with BofA also reiterating a Buy rating; both cite the new iPhone 18 launch cadence. The move follows quarterly results that exceeded expectations, with earnings of $2.02 per share on revenue of $109.42 billion, a 16.4% year-over-year increase. Apple's global smartphone market share reached 22% in Q3 2026 despite a 20% slump in global shipments, and reports indicate iPhone Duo orders were increased by 30% to roughly 10 million units. Countering this, Morgan Stanley's channel checks point to soft demand for the upcoming iPhone 18 models.

Apple closed at $340.97, up 1.3%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $323.03 and 200-day average of $291.09, near its 52-week high of $345.34. The GekkoIndex reading of 52.5 places the stock in the Neutral zone, down 3 points over five days. Price sits 29.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $263.67.

Apple next reports earnings on 2 November 2026 after close, 20 days away and within a typical holding window; its last reaction to earnings was -8.7% despite beating estimates, with an average absolute reaction of 3.1% across 8 of 8 beat quarters. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 5 buys and 0 sells, while the last 30 days show 2 unusual options signals, with call premium of $121,439,309 against put premium of $16,258,298. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Apple price vs fair value

$340.97$263.67Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $340.97200-day averageGekko Fair Value $263.67

Apple quick facts

Market cap
$5.01T
P/E ratio
39
Forward P/E
35.2
EPS, TTM
$8.72
Revenue, TTM
$466.8B
Profit margin
27.6%
Dividend yield
0.31%
Beta
1.07
Volume
25.75M avg 36.23M
1-year return
+34.2%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$323.03
200-day average
$291.09
Next earnings
Nov 2 after close
Shares outstanding
14.59B
52-week range
$243.42$345.34

Apple swing-trade checklist

Apple scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $340.97 is above the 50-day ($323.03) and 200-day ($291.09) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.5, Neutral

    Reading 52.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    29.3% above

    Price is 29.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 5 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 20 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 20 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Apple stock chart and price history

Apple closed at $340.97 on Oct 12, 2026, +34.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $243.42 to $345.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Apple share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$225$250$275$300$325NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct340.97

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.6%
3 months
+8.3%
6 months
+31.5%
1 year
+34.2%
The full AAPL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AAPL in Gekko

Follow Apple through every session

Put AAPL on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Apple

Apple designs, builds, and sells electronic devices worldwide, with a hardware lineup centered on the iPhone, Mac computers, and iPad tablets. It also makes wearables and accessories such as AirPods, Apple Watch, HomePod, and Beats products, alongside Apple TV. The company is widely recognized for this device ecosystem and for the App Store, where customers find apps, books, music, video, games, and podcasts.

Beyond hardware, Apple earns revenue through services including AppleCare support, cloud storage, and advertising placed on its own platforms or through licensing deals with others. It runs a set of subscriptions covering gaming, fitness content, music, news and magazines, and original video programming, plus financial offerings like the Apple Card and the Apple Pay payment system, and it licenses its intellectual property. Customers range from everyday consumers to small and mid-sized businesses and larger institutional buyers in education, corporate, and government settings, reached through Apple's own stores and website, a direct sales force, and outside partners such as carriers, wholesalers, and retailers.

Apple was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker AAPL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Telecommunications equipment
Website
apple.com

Apple GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Apple’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.5, in the Neutral zone, down 3 points over five sessions.

010052.5Neutral

Down 3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+2.7%+4.5%+3.3%−0.2%
Accumulation183+0.9%+1.0%+2.7%+7.4%
Neutral (current zone)413+0.2%+0.8%+1.8%+4.7%
Distribution59+0.6%+1.0%+0.6%+5.0%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average AAPL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AAPL price, zone by zone.Track AAPL in Gekko

Is Apple stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Apple trades 29.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $263.67, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Apple shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$263.67

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

29.3% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$264$337Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AAPL in Gekko

Apple insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Apple, and members of Congress disclosed 5 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AAPL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AAPL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AAPL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

5trades disclosed: 5 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Cleo Fields
House, LA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 2
traded Sep 8
Ed Case
House, HI, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 19
traded Aug 13
Cleo Fields
House, LA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 3
traded Aug 13
Ed Case
House, HI, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 19
traded Aug 12
Cleo Fields
House, LA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 3
traded Aug 12

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Apple has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$25.11B
As a share of market cap
0.50%
Trailing four quarters
$82.23B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 88% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 30, $40.84M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

5of the funds Gekko tracks hold AAPL.

1added2opened2trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Apple earnings: next date and track record

Apple reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (20 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.1%Oct ’24−1.4%Jan ’25−3.4%May ’25−3.2%Jul ’25+0.2%Oct ’25+1.2%Jan ’26+3.7%Apr ’26−8.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Apple reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $109.4 billion, up 16% YoY and a June quarter record, despite supply constraints and FX headwinds. iPhone revenue grew 22% to $54.3 billion, Mac grew 29% to $10.4 billion, and Services reached $30.7 billion, all June quarter records. June quarter revenue records were achieved across every geographic segment. Apple unveiled a reimagined Siri AI at WWDC, receiving strong early user response.
Guidance
Management expressed strong enthusiasm for fall product launches featuring new OS updates and Siri AI capabilities. No specific revenue or EPS targets were provided in this excerpt. Incoming CEO John Ternus joined the call, signaling a leadership transition ahead.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$2.02
est $1.88
+7.4%$109.4B
est $109.0B
+0.3%−8.7%
Apr 30, 2026$2.01
est $1.95
+3.1%$111.2B
est $109.5B
+1.6%+3.7%
Jan 29, 2026$2.85
est $2.67
+6.7%$143.8B
est $138.4B
+3.9%+1.2%
Oct 30, 2025$1.85
est $1.73
+6.9%$102.5B
est $102.2B
+0.2%+0.2%
Jul 31, 2025$1.57
est $1.44
+9.0%$94.04B
est $89.56B
+5.0%−3.2%
May 1, 2025$1.65
est $1.63
+1.2%$95.36B
est $94.54B
+0.9%−3.4%
Jan 30, 2025$2.40
est $2.36
+1.7%$124.3B
est $124.3B
0.0%−1.4%
Oct 31, 2024$0.97
est $0.95
+2.1%$94.93B
est $94.51B
+0.4%−3.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Apple stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Apple is $328.09, −3.8% from the last close, from 31 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$328.09consensus 12-month target, −3.8% from the last close
Low $245High $400
Buy16
Hold11
Sell4

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 31 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$370+8.5%
Oct 12J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$360+5.6%
Oct 9Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$355+4.1%
Oct 9Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$380+11.4%
Oct 8CitiBuy, maintained$365+7.0%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+2.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Apple seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Apple averaged +2.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.3%2021−1.1%2022+1.9%2023−0.7%2024+9.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.1%4 of 5

For scale, AAPL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

Apple market cap and key statistics

Apple’s market cap is $5.01T, with a P/E ratio of 39 and revenue of $466.8B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.01T
P/E ratio
39
Forward P/E
35.2
EPS, TTM
$8.72
Gekko Fair Value
$263.67

Trading

Volume
25.75M
Avg volume, 20 days
36.23M
52-week high
$345.34
52-week low
$243.42
Shares outstanding
14.59B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$466.8B
Profit margin
27.6%
Return on equity
148.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+28.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.07
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
0.31%

Apple peers

Apple’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CSCOCisco Systems−2.4%Neutral14.8% above
MSIMotorola Solutions+0.4%Accumulation1.2% below
CIENCiena−8.7%Neutral1.2% above
GRMNGarmin−0.2%Accumulation8.9% above
UIUbiquiti−5.1%Neutral14.9% above
VSATViaSat−5.3%Accumulation21.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Apple stock FAQ

What is Apple’s market cap?

Apple’s market cap is $5.01T at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $340.97, with 14.59B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.

What is the Apple stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Apple is $328.09, −3.8% from the last close. Of the 31 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 4 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Apple stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Apple is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $340.97 is 29.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $263.67. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Apple report earnings next?

Apple is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (20 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.99 per share on revenue of $113.4B. Apple beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.

What is Apple’s 52-week high and low?

Apple’s 52-week high is $345.34 and its 52-week low is $243.42; it closed at $340.97 on Oct 12, 2026, +34.2% over the past year.

Is Apple stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Apple?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Apple over the last 30 days, with $121.4M of flagged premium in calls and $16.26M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 30, 2026 with $40.84M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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