NYSE: CIEN

Ciena (CIEN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Ciena Corporation. Electronic technology sector, telecommunications equipment industry. Market cap $49.37B.

$348.80+4.55 (+1.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Ciena closes at $348.80, up 1.3%, with the stock sitting between its 50-day average of $383.96 and 200-day average of $383.79. The GekkoIndex reads 63.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while shares trade 12% below Gekko Fair Value of $396.37. Over the past month the stock is down 12.7%, and its 52-week range spans $133.67 to $637.51.

The week's activity centers on Ciena's investor forum, where the company outlined a target of approximately $14 billion in revenue by fiscal 2029, supported by a 30% annual growth rate, citing optical demand that continues to exceed supply. This followed record Q3 FY26 results reported on 3 September, with revenue of $1.7 billion, up 37% year-over-year, adjusted operating margin of 22.5%, and adjusted EPS of $2.11 against an estimate of $1.46, though the stock's reaction to that report was -9.4%. In response to the forum, Northland Securities raised its target to $550 from $500 with an Outperform rating, Needham & Company reiterated a Buy rating with a $520.00 target, and TD Cowen reiterated Buy with a $400 target. Nykredit A/S disclosed a new stake of 58,141 shares valued at approximately $28.5 million.

Ciena's next earnings date falls on 10 December, 81 days out and beyond a typical 20-day hold. Over the last 30 days, options activity shows 5 unusual signals, with put premium of $15,372,856 against call premium of $3,854,201. Analyst coverage stands at 10 buy and 4 hold ratings among 14 firms, with a consensus target of $497.20. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.4% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $348.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $396.37

Key stats

Market cap
$49.37B
P/E ratio
71.4
Forward P/E
37
EPS, TTM
$4.68
Revenue, TTM
$6.02B
Profit margin
10.9%
Dividend yield
Beta
1.31
Volume
4.82M avg 2.63M
1-year return
+155.8%
Typical daily move
±7%
Typical 20-day move
±9.7%
50-day average
$383.96
200-day average
$383.79
Next earnings
Dec 10 before open
Shares outstanding
141.8M
52-week range
$133.67$637.51

Ciena swing-trade checklist

Ciena scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $348.80 sits between the 50-day ($383.96) and 200-day ($383.79) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.6, Accumulation

    Reading 63.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    12.0% below

    Price is 12% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 5 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 81 days

    Next report Dec 10, 2026, 81 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.4% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ciena stock chart and price history

Ciena closed at $348.80 on Sep 18, 2026, +155.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $133.67 to $637.51.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.7%
3 months
−18.5%
6 months
−15.5%
1 year
+155.8%
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About Ciena

Ciena designs equipment, software and services that let network operators move video, data and voice traffic across their systems. It is recognized for building the optical and packet switching gear that keeps large communication networks running smoothly.

Its work is split across a few areas. One line of business centers on hardware that blends optical transport with packet switching, including product families like the 6500, 5400, Z-Series, Waveserver and the 3000 and 5000 switches, along with the embedded software that runs them. A separate arm, Blue Planet, focuses on automation software that coordinates services across network domains, tracks equipment inventories, manages virtualized functions and supplies analytics. Another group offers management software such as OneControl for planning and running networks, while its services division handles consulting, network design, installation, maintenance and training. Ciena reaches operators both through its own sales staff and through outside partners.

The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Hanover, Maryland. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker CIEN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Telecommunications equipment
Website
ciena.com

Ciena GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ciena’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.6, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.2 points over five sessions.

010063.6Accumulation

Down 1.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying22+3.5%+6.0%−0.3%+7.5%
Accumulation (current zone)140−0.7%0.0%+2.5%+10.9%
Neutral401+3.0%+4.9%+9.5%+25.9%
Distribution92−0.2%+2.5%+8.2%+25.2%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average CIEN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CIEN price, zone by zone.Track CIEN in Gekko

Is Ciena stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ciena trades 12.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $396.37, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ciena shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$396.37

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 17, 2026

12.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CIEN in Gekko

Ciena insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ciena, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CIEN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CIEN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CIEN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CIEN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CIEN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CIEN in Gekko

Buybacks

Ciena has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$271.9M
As a share of market cap
0.55%
Trailing four quarters
$554.6M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

5signals, 20% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $1.27M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold CIEN.

1added1opened1trimmed3sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Ciena earnings: next date and track record

Ciena reports on Dec 10, 2026, before the open (81 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+22.6%Dec ’24+1.3%Mar ’25−13.3%Jun ’25+23.1%Sep ’25−1.5%Dec ’25−14.4%Mar ’26−21.3%Jun ’26−9.4%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ciena reported record Q3 FY26 results with revenue of $1.7 billion, up 37% year-over-year. Adjusted operating margin hit 22.5%, more than doubling year-over-year and marking a company record. Adjusted EPS surged 215% YoY to $2.11. Book-to-bill ratio was significantly above 1, with backlog growing substantially. AI-driven network infrastructure demand is accelerating across WAN, AI WAN, and data center markets.
Guidance
Ciena projects exiting FY26 with over $10 billion in backlog. Q4 backlog growth is expected to exceed Q3's rate, with one month of Q4 orders already approaching Q3's total volume, signaling continued strong momentum.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 3, 2026$0.41
est $1.46
−71.9%$1.67B
est $1.64B
+2.1%−9.4%
Jun 4, 2026$1.64
est $1.46
+12.3%$1.57B
est $1.50B
+4.4%−21.3%
Mar 5, 2026$1.03
est $1.16
−11.2%$1.43B
est $1.40B
+2.0%−14.4%
Dec 11, 2025$0.91
est $0.78
+16.7%$1.35B
est $1.29B
+4.7%−1.5%
Sep 4, 2025$0.67
est $0.53
+26.4%$1.22B
est $1.17B
+3.8%+23.1%
Jun 5, 2025$0.42
est $0.52
−18.9%$1.13B
est $1.09B
+3.0%−13.3%
Mar 11, 2025$0.64
est $0.41
+54.7%$1.07B
est $1.05B
+1.9%+1.3%
Dec 12, 2024$0.54
est $0.66
−18.2%$1.12B
est $1.10B
+1.9%+22.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ciena stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ciena is $497.20, +42.5% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$497.20consensus 12-month target, +42.5% from the last close
Low $347High $658
Buy10
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$450+29.0%
Sep 17J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$605+73.5%
Sep 17NeedhamBuy, maintained$520+49.1%
Sep 17Rosenblatt SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$525+50.5%
Sep 17Northland SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$550+57.7%
+2.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+6.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ciena seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ciena averaged +6.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.1%2021−2.0%2022−8.5%2023+14.7%2024+23.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.4%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+12.6%4 of 5

For scale, CIEN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.7%.

Ciena market cap and key statistics

Ciena’s market cap is $49.37B, with a P/E ratio of 71.4 and revenue of $6.02B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$49.37B
P/E ratio
71.4
Forward P/E
37
EPS, TTM
$4.68
Gekko Fair Value
$396.37

Trading

Volume
4.82M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.63M
52-week high
$637.51
52-week low
$133.67
Shares outstanding
141.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.02B
Profit margin
10.9%
Return on equity
22.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+422.9%

Risk and income

Beta
1.31
Typical daily move
±7%
Typical 20-day move
±9.7%

Ciena peers

Ciena’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AAPLApple−0.5%Neutral28.0% above
CSCOCisco Systems−0.8%Accumulation8.9% above
MSIMotorola Solutions−0.1%Accumulation0.1% above
GRMNGarmin+0.3%Accumulation14.7% above
UIUbiquiti−1.9%Neutral11.0% above
VSATViaSat+2.3%Neutral11.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ciena stock FAQ

What is Ciena’s market cap?

Ciena’s market cap is $49.37B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $348.80, with 141.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 71.4.

What is the Ciena stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ciena is $497.20, +42.5% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ciena stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ciena is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $348.80 is 12.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $396.37. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ciena report earnings next?

Ciena is expected to report on Dec 10, 2026, before the market opens (81 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.05 per share on revenue of $1.76B. Ciena beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.4% on average across the report.

What is Ciena’s 52-week high and low?

Ciena’s 52-week high is $637.51 and its 52-week low is $133.67; it closed at $348.80 on Sep 18, 2026, +155.8% over the past year.

Is Ciena stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Ciena?

Gekko flagged 5 unusual options signals in Ciena over the last 30 days, with $3.85M of flagged premium in calls and $15.37M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $1.27M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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