NYSE: MSI

Motorola Solutions (MSI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$496.99+5.99 (+1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Motorola Solutions reported record third-quarter 2026 results on 4 November, with revenue of $3.38 billion, up 12.2% year-over-year, and a non-GAAP profit 5.8% above estimates. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.69, ahead of analyst expectations of $4.43, while GAAP diluted EPS fell 8.1% to $3.06 as net income decreased 8.9% to $514 million. The company disclosed a record backlog of $16.6 billion and raised guidance, though Q4 2026 revenue guidance of $3.82 billion came in slightly below consensus.

Shares closed at $496.99, up 1.2% on the day, sitting above both the 50-day average of $466.80 and the 200-day average of $441.03, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 40.5, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 4.8 over five sessions. Price stands 7% above Gekko Fair Value of $464.67.

No confirmed earnings date is on the calendar following this report. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sales, and one billionaire holder and one trailblazer holder are noted among current positions. Nine analyst firms carry buy ratings, with none at hold or sell, and a consensus target of $526.91 implies 6% upside. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.2% gain over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting against the current Distribution reading.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Motorola Solutions price vs fair value

$496.99$464.67Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $496.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $464.67

Motorola Solutions quick facts

Market cap
$82.12B
P/E ratio
38.4
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$12.70
Revenue, TTM
$12.24B
Profit margin
17.4%
Dividend yield
0.96%
Beta
0.87
Volume
1.73M avg 956,267
1-year return
+26.9%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.3%
50-day average
$466.80
200-day average
$441.03
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
165.5M
52-week range
$359.36$499.00

Motorola Solutions swing-trade checklist

Motorola Solutions scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $496.99 is above the 50-day ($466.80) and 200-day ($441.03) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexheadwind

    40.5, Distribution

    Reading 40.5 is in the Distribution zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    7.0% above

    Price is 7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Motorola Solutions stock chart and price history

Motorola Solutions closed at $496.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +26.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $359.36 to $499.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Motorola Solutions share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$375$400$425$450$475DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct496.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.9%
3 months
+4.8%
6 months
+14.6%
1 year
+26.9%
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About Motorola Solutions

Motorola Solutions builds the radios, cameras and networked systems that police departments, emergency responders and other organizations lean on when operations cannot afford to fail. Customers reach it in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada and several other countries, and it has become closely tied to two-way radio gear and video security equipment used in public safety work.

The business runs through two segments. One, Products and Systems Integration, covers hardware such as portable and vehicle radios, fixed and mobile cameras, access control devices, base stations and consoles, plus the work of installing and connecting these pieces for government agencies, safety organizations and private companies that run their own communication or surveillance networks. The other, Software and Services, wraps around that hardware with repairs, technical help, maintenance, monitoring and cybersecurity, and it also builds software for emergency command centers, team communication and video management, available either installed on site or delivered as a cloud subscription.

Founded in 1928 under the name Motorola, Inc., the company took on its current name in January 2011 and keeps its headquarters in Chicago, Illinois. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker MSI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Telecommunications equipment
Website
motorolasolutions.com

Motorola Solutions GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Motorola Solutions’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 40.5, in the Distribution zone, down 4.8 points over five sessions.

010040.5Distribution

Down 4.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying28+0.2%−0.8%−0.7%+4.8%
Accumulation202+0.4%+0.5%+0.5%+3.1%
Neutral406+0.3%+0.8%+1.7%+3.4%
Distribution (current zone)55+0.2%+0.7%+1.8%+1.4%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average MSI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MSI price, zone by zone.Track MSI in Gekko

Is Motorola Solutions stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Motorola Solutions trades 7.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $464.67, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Motorola Solutions shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$464.67

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

7.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$465$491Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MSI in Gekko

Motorola Solutions insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Motorola Solutions, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MSI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MSI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MSI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Motorola Solutions has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$2.00B, Sep 9, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jul 4, 2026
$334.0M
As a share of market cap
0.41%
Trailing four quarters
$1.03B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MSI.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Motorola Solutions earnings: next date and track record

Motorola Solutions beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.6%Nov ’24−6.2%Feb ’25−7.7%May ’25+2.6%Aug ’25−5.9%Oct ’25+8.0%Feb ’26−11.5%May ’26+7.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Motorola Solutions reported an exceptionally strong Q2 2026 with record sales, earnings and backlog. Revenue grew 13% year-over-year with double-digit growth across both segments and all three technologies, driven by robust LMR demand, strong Silvus performance, and continued growth in Software & Services. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded materially (32.9% in Q2), with GAAP and non-GAAP EPS up year-over-year. Cash flow and free cash flow were strong, and capital allocation included meaningful share repurchases and dividends. Management raised full-year guidance for revenue and EPS and highlighted momentum from APX NEXT devices, D-Series infrastructure, and Silvus. They announced a definitive agreement to acquire D-Fend Solutions (counter-drone) pending regulatory approvals. Management acknowledged headwinds from higher memory costs and noted a $60 million benefit from IEEPA tariff refunds in the quarter. Overall, demand, orders, and backlog are described as broad-based and strengthening, with several multi-year catalysts (device refresh, infrastructure upgrades, Silvus scale, and D-Fend potential) supporting ongoing growth.
Guidance
Company raised full-year guidance for sales and EPS; increased full-year revenue guide by $175 million (roughly $100M attributed to Silvus and $75M to LMR). Silvus is being guided to ~ $850 million for the year. D-Fend acquisition expected to close in H2 and management cited historical D-Fend revenue of about $185 million and strong historical CAGR (cited ~50% over prior 3 years). Management expects APX NEXT subscribers to reach ~300,000 by year-end 2026 (up from ~200,000 end-2025) and the APX NEXT related apps/subscriptions to drive ~ $100M ARR by year-end. Memory cost headwind for the year is now expected at ~$150M (up from $50M prior year). Management expects LMR (public safety LMR) growth to be stronger in the second half and referenced ~10% growth for LMR in the second half. They also expect operating earnings (OE) contributions to grow ~170 basis points for the company for the year.
Risks flagged
Higher memory/component cost exposure (memory expected to be ~$150M for the year), reliance on one-time IEEPA tariff refunds (Q2 benefitted ~$60M), regulatory approvals needed to close the D-Fend acquisition, supply-chain / inventory positioning (they are carrying higher inventory which increases costs but improves conversion), increased interest expense, and execution risk in scaling recent acquisitions (Silvus, pending D-Fend) and converting backlog into timely shipments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$3.93
est $3.43
+14.6%$3.13B
est $3.00B
+4.4%+7.0%
May 7, 2026$3.37
est $3.25
+3.7%$2.71B
est $2.70B
+0.6%−11.5%
Feb 11, 2026$4.59
est $4.35
+5.5%$3.38B
est $3.34B
+1.1%+8.0%
Oct 30, 2025$3.33
est $3.30
+0.9%$3.01B
est $2.99B
+0.7%−5.9%
Aug 7, 2025$3.57
est $3.35
+6.6%$2.77B
est $2.73B
+1.2%+2.6%
May 1, 2025$3.18
est $3.01
+5.6%$2.53B
est $2.52B
+0.5%−7.7%
Feb 13, 2025$4.04
est $3.89
+3.9%$3.01B
est $2.99B
+0.6%−6.2%
Nov 7, 2024$3.74
est $3.38
+10.7%$2.79B
est $2.76B
+1.2%+7.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Motorola Solutions stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Motorola Solutions is $526.91, +6.0% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$526.91consensus 12-month target, +6.0% from the last close
Low $476High $550
Buy9
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 20Piper SandlerBuy, maintained$531+6.8%
Oct 14Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$550+10.7%
Sep 22Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$531+6.8%
Sep 16Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Aug 28Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$550+10.7%
+1.8%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Motorola Solutions seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Motorola Solutions averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.4%2021+5.2%2022+6.6%2023+8.6%2024−4.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.7%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.8%3 of 5

For scale, MSI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.

Motorola Solutions market cap and key statistics

Motorola Solutions’s market cap is $82.12B, with a P/E ratio of 38.4 and revenue of $12.24B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$82.12B
P/E ratio
38.4
Forward P/E
25.5
EPS, TTM
$12.70
Gekko Fair Value
$464.67

Trading

Volume
1.73M
Avg volume, 20 days
956,267
52-week high
$499.00
52-week low
$359.36
Shares outstanding
165.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$12.24B
Profit margin
17.4%
Return on equity
91.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+9.5%

Risk and income

Beta
0.87
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4.3%
Dividend yield
0.96%

Motorola Solutions stock news this week

Coverage of Motorola Solutions this week reads positive: 12 positive, 8 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Motorola Solutions peers

Motorola Solutions’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AAPLApple+2.3%Neutral31.3% above
CSCOCisco Systems−0.4%Accumulation4.3% above
GRMNGarmin+3.9%Neutral17.7% above
CIENCiena−6.6%Accumulation29.5% below
UIUbiquiti+2.0%Accumulation4.9% above
VSATViaSat−12.7%Neutral20.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Telecommunications equipment

Motorola Solutions stock FAQ

What is Motorola Solutions’s market cap?

Motorola Solutions’s market cap is $82.12B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $496.99, with 165.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 38.4.

What is the Motorola Solutions stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Motorola Solutions is $526.91, +6.0% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Motorola Solutions stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Motorola Solutions is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $496.99 is 7.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $464.67. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Motorola Solutions’s 52-week high and low?

Motorola Solutions’s 52-week high is $499.00 and its 52-week low is $359.36; it closed at $496.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +26.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $507.82 on Nov 11, 2024.

Is Motorola Solutions stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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