NASDAQ: NVDA

NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Analysis & Forecast

NVIDIA Corporation. Electronic technology sector, semiconductors industry. Market cap $5.38T.

$222.27+2.93 (+1.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

NVDA closes at $222.27, up 1.3%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $214.27 and its 200-day average of $198.38. The GekkoIndex reads 56.7, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price remains 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $266.01. Shares have gained 24.5% over six months and 30.5% over the past year, with a 52-week range of $164.27 to $236.54.

This week's attention centers on continued AI infrastructure enthusiasm and portfolio activity around the stock. NVDA appeared among the most-discussed names on retail platforms alongside Intel, Apple, Nebius Group and Oracle, tied to AI infrastructure development themes. Separately, CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow AI development, saying the industry should advance as fast as possible while ensuring product safety. Institutional filings showed mixed positioning, with a16z Perennial Management cutting its stake by 91.4% while Petra Financial Advisors increased holdings by 36.2% and Udine Wealth Management trimmed its position by 11.0%.

Looking ahead, NVDA's next earnings report is scheduled for 18 November 2026, after the close, 59 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 6 buys and 0 sells, and the last 30 days show 4 unusual options signals, with call premium of $301.9 million against put premium of $176.4 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.7% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst coverage from 30 firms is uniformly rated buy, with a consensus target of $328.49.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $222.27200-day averageGekko Fair Value $266.01

Key stats

Market cap
$5.38T
P/E ratio
27
Forward P/E
23.6
EPS, TTM
$8.12
Revenue, TTM
$303.0B
Profit margin
63.7%
Dividend yield
0.13%
Beta
2.22
Volume
181.6M avg 130.1M
1-year return
+30.5%
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±8.6%
50-day average
$214.27
200-day average
$198.38
Next earnings
Nov 18 after close
Shares outstanding
24.15B
52-week range
$164.27$236.54

NVIDIA swing-trade checklist

NVIDIA scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $222.27 is above the 50-day ($214.27) and 200-day ($198.38) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.7, Neutral

    Reading 56.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.4% below

    Price is 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 6 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 4 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 59 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 59 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NVIDIA stock chart and price history

NVIDIA closed at $222.27 on Sep 18, 2026, +30.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $164.27 to $236.54.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.2%
3 months
+5.5%
6 months
+24.5%
1 year
+30.5%
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About NVIDIA

NVIDIA makes chips and software for graphics, computing and networking, selling into gaming, professional visualization, data centers and automotive markets around the world, including the United States, Taiwan and China. It is widely recognized for its GeForce graphics processors, which power PC gaming and personal computing, alongside the GeForce NOW cloud gaming service and related infrastructure built to support play across different platforms.

The business is organized into two main areas. One covers graphics, including Quadro and RTX workstation processors, virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual computing, automotive infotainment platforms, and the Omniverse suite for 3D design and virtual worlds. The other covers compute and networking, built around Mellanox interconnect technology, AI cockpit and autonomous driving tools for vehicles, processors used in cryptocurrency mining, Jetson hardware for robotics, and enterprise AI software such as NVIDIA AI Enterprise. Its customers span device makers, system integrators, board manufacturers, retailers, software and cloud providers, and automotive companies, including a partnership with Kroger Co.

NVIDIA Corporation was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NVDA.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
nvidia.com

NVIDIA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NVIDIA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.7, in the Neutral zone, down 1.7 points over five sessions.

010056.7Neutral

Down 1.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying4Too few readings yet
Accumulation157+2.1%+4.0%+5.4%+14.7%
Neutral (current zone)431+0.5%+1.0%+3.0%+7.7%
Distribution65+3.0%+6.7%+10.6%+11.5%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average NVDA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NVDA price, zone by zone.Track NVDA in Gekko

Is NVIDIA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NVIDIA trades 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $266.01, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NVIDIA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$266.01

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

16.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NVDA in Gekko

NVIDIA insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NVIDIA, and members of Congress disclosed 6 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NVDA in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NVDA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVDA in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

6trades disclosed: 6 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
John McGuire
House, VA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 3
traded Aug 18
John J. McGuire
House, VA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 3
traded Aug 17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 16
Cleo Fields
House, LA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Jul 17
traded Jun 26
Michael Rulli
House, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 10
traded Jun 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

NVIDIA has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 26, 2026
$19.73B
As a share of market cap
0.37%
Trailing four quarters
$57.44B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

4signals, 63% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 17, $59.65M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

13of the funds Gekko tracks hold NVDA.

4added2opened7trimmed6sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

NVIDIA earnings: next date and track record

NVIDIA reports on Nov 18, 2026, after the close (59 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.2%Nov ’24−5.1%Feb ’25+2.7%May ’25−0.9%Aug ’25−0.4%Nov ’25−4.1%Feb ’26−0.5%May ’26+7.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 26, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NVIDIA reported record Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96 billion, more than doubling year-over-year for the fourth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth. Data center revenue reached $89 billion, up 18% sequentially, with hyperscale at $49 billion and ACIE at $40 billion. AWS partnership expansion includes 2 million additional GPU deployments. Top 5 hyperscaler CapEx expected to reach $800 billion in 2026 and $1.3 trillion in 2027.
Guidance
NVIDIA expects approximately 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028, described as supply-constrained. Customer forecasts suggest demand could support doubling of growth, but supply limitations cap the outlook. NeoCloud partners expected to reach 8 gigawatts installed capacity by year-end.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 26, 2026$2.22
est $2.09
+6.2%$96.22B
est $92.27B
+4.3%+7.0%
May 20, 2026$1.87
est $1.76
+6.3%$81.62B
est $78.42B
+4.1%−0.5%
Feb 25, 2026$1.62
est $1.54
+5.2%$68.13B
est $66.13B
+3.0%−4.1%
Nov 19, 2025$1.30
est $1.26
+3.2%$57.01B
est $54.96B
+3.7%−0.4%
Aug 27, 2025$1.05
est $1.01
+4.0%$46.74B
est $46.05B
+1.5%−0.9%
May 28, 2025$0.81
est $0.74
+9.9%$44.06B
est $43.33B
+1.7%+2.7%
Feb 26, 2025$0.89
est $0.85
+5.0%$39.33B
est $38.10B
+3.2%−5.1%
Nov 20, 2024$0.81
est $0.75
+8.0%$35.10B
est $33.17B
+5.8%−0.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NVIDIA stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NVIDIA is $328.49, +47.8% from the last close, from 30 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$328.49consensus 12-month target, +47.8% from the last close
Low $275High $465
Buy30
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 30 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14BernsteinBuy, maintained$400+80.0%
Sep 10Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$300+35.0%
Sep 10Piper SandlerBuy, initiated$300+35.0%
Sep 9Piper SandlerBuy, initiated$300+35.0%
Sep 9Piper SandlerBuy, initiated$300+35.0%
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NVIDIA seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, NVIDIA averaged +3.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.3%2021−11.1%2022+1.0%2023+16.2%2024+3.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days0.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.2%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.9%4 of 5

For scale, NVDA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.6%.

NVIDIA market cap and key statistics

NVIDIA’s market cap is $5.38T, with a P/E ratio of 27 and revenue of $303.0B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.38T
P/E ratio
27
Forward P/E
23.6
EPS, TTM
$8.12
Gekko Fair Value
$266.01

Trading

Volume
181.6M
Avg volume, 20 days
130.1M
52-week high
$236.54
52-week low
$164.27
Shares outstanding
24.15B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$303.0B
Profit margin
63.7%
Return on equity
117.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+127.8%

Risk and income

Beta
2.22
Typical daily move
±2.7%
Typical 20-day move
±8.6%
Dividend yield
0.13%

NVIDIA peers

NVIDIA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AVGOBroadcom+1.6%Accumulation0.8% below
MUMicron Technology+3.2%Neutral2.5% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+2.3%Neutral11.9% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Neutral12.9% above
TXNTexas Instruments+2.2%Accumulation3.3% above
KLACKLA+3.8%Accumulation2.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NVIDIA stock FAQ

What is NVIDIA’s market cap?

NVIDIA’s market cap is $5.38T at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $222.27, with 24.15B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 27.

What is the NVIDIA stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NVIDIA is $328.49, +47.8% from the last close. Of the 30 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 30 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NVIDIA stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NVIDIA is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $222.27 is 16.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $266.01. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NVIDIA report earnings next?

NVIDIA is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026, after the market closes (59 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.47 per share on revenue of $108.7B. NVIDIA beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is NVIDIA’s 52-week high and low?

NVIDIA’s 52-week high is $236.54 and its 52-week low is $164.27; it closed at $222.27 on Sep 18, 2026, +30.5% over the past year.

Is NVIDIA stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in NVIDIA?

Gekko flagged 4 unusual options signals in NVIDIA over the last 30 days, with $301.9M of flagged premium in calls and $176.4M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 17, 2026 with $59.65M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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