Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NVDA in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NVDA insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVDA in Gekko
NASDAQ: NVDA
NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$226.32−2.96 (−1.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeNVIDIA shares slipped this week amid broader AI-sector softness, with new hardware and software announcements for future AI data centers failing to re-energize investors, according to one report. Coverage also weighed comparisons with Broadcom and AMD, questions about Microsoft's Maia 300 chip reducing reliance on Nvidia, and Michael Burry's expanded bearish options bets against the Nvidia-heavy VanEck Semiconductor ETF and the Nasdaq-100. Separately, Navitas announced a collaboration with NVIDIA on an 800 V-to-12 V power delivery board for next-generation AI infrastructure.
The stock closed at $226.32, down 1.3% on the day, trading above both its 50-day average of $222.59 and its 200-day average of $202.34, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 59.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $265.59. One-month return stands at 3.7%, three-month at 6.9%, and six-month at 19.5%, against a 52-week range of $164.27 to $243.37.
Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 18 November 2026, after the close, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 4 buys and 0 sells, and the last 30 days show 5 unusual options signals, with call premium of $271.6 million against put premium of $44.8 million. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 16.8% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst consensus from 33 firms holds a $328.72 target.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
NVIDIA price vs fair value
Close $226.32200-day averageGekko Fair Value $265.59
NVIDIA quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.46T
- P/E ratio
- 29.1
- Forward P/E
- 24.9
- EPS, TTM
- $7.91
- Revenue, TTM
- $303.0B
- Profit margin
- 63.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.12%
- Beta
- 2.22
- Volume
- 69.66M avg 103.5M
- 1-year return
- +17.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.4%
- 50-day average
- $222.59
- 200-day average
- $202.34
- Next earnings
- Nov 18 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 24.15B
NVIDIA swing-trade checklist
NVIDIA scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $226.32 is above the 50-day ($222.59) and 200-day ($202.34) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
59.2, Neutral
Reading 59.2 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
14.8% below
Price is 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 4 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 5 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 18, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+16.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +16.8% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
NVIDIA stock chart and price history
NVIDIA closed at $226.32 on Oct 12, 2026, +17.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $164.27 to $243.37.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +3.7%
- 3 months
- +6.9%
- 6 months
- +19.5%
- 1 year
- +17.5%
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About NVIDIA
NVIDIA makes chips and software for graphics, computing and networking, selling into gaming, professional visualization, data centers and automotive markets around the world, including the United States, Taiwan and China. It is widely recognized for its GeForce graphics processors, which power PC gaming and personal computing, alongside the GeForce NOW cloud gaming service and related infrastructure built to support play across different platforms.
The business is organized into two main areas. One covers graphics, including Quadro and RTX workstation processors, virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual computing, automotive infotainment platforms, and the Omniverse suite for 3D design and virtual worlds. The other covers compute and networking, built around Mellanox interconnect technology, AI cockpit and autonomous driving tools for vehicles, processors used in cryptocurrency mining, Jetson hardware for robotics, and enterprise AI software such as NVIDIA AI Enterprise. Its customers span device makers, system integrators, board manufacturers, retailers, software and cloud providers, and automotive companies, including a partnership with Kroger Co.
NVIDIA Corporation was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NVDA.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Website
- nvidia.com
NVIDIA GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
NVIDIA’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.2, in the Neutral zone, up 9.6 points over five sessions.
59.2Neutral
Up 9.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
| Accumulation | 160 | +2.2% | +5.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 448 | +0.5% | +2.9% | ||
| Distribution | 65 | +3.0% | +10.6% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NVDA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NVDA price, zone by zone.Track NVDA in Gekko
Is NVIDIA stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
NVIDIA trades 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $265.59, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what NVIDIA shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$265.59
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
14.8% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 17.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NVDA in Gekko
NVIDIA insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NVIDIA, and members of Congress disclosed 4 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
4trades disclosed: 4 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| John McGuire House, VA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 3 traded Aug 18 |
| John J. McGuire House, VA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 3 traded Aug 17 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Jul 17 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Jul 16 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
NVIDIA has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jul 26, 2026
- $19.73B
- As a share of market cap
- 0.36%
- Trailing four quarters
- $57.44B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
5signals, 86% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 30, $64.47M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
13of the funds Gekko tracks hold NVDA.
4added2opened7trimmed6sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
NVIDIA earnings: next date and track record
NVIDIA reports on Nov 18, 2026, after the close (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 18, 2026
Expected after the close, 36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.47
- Revenue estimate
- $108.8B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 26, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- NVIDIA reported record Q2 FY2027 revenue of $96 billion, more than doubling year-over-year for the fourth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth. Data center revenue reached $89 billion, up 18% sequentially, with hyperscale at $49 billion and ACIE at $40 billion. AWS partnership expansion includes 2 million additional GPU deployments. Top 5 hyperscaler CapEx expected to reach $800 billion in 2026 and $1.3 trillion in 2027.
- Guidance
- NVIDIA expects approximately 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028, described as supply-constrained. Customer forecasts suggest demand could support doubling of growth, but supply limitations cap the outlook. NeoCloud partners expected to reach 8 gigawatts installed capacity by year-end.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | $2.22 est $2.09 | $96.22B est $92.27B | +7.0% |
| May 20, 2026 | $1.87 est $1.76 | $81.62B est $78.42B | −0.5% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.62 est $1.54 | $68.13B est $66.13B | −4.1% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | $1.30 est $1.26 | $57.01B est $54.96B | −0.4% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | $1.05 est $1.01 | $46.74B est $46.05B | −0.9% |
| May 28, 2025 | $0.81 est $0.74 | $44.06B est $43.33B | +2.7% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.89 est $0.85 | $39.33B est $38.10B | −5.1% |
| Nov 20, 2024 | $0.81 est $0.75 | $35.10B est $33.17B | −0.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
NVIDIA stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NVIDIA is $328.72, +45.2% from the last close, from 33 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$328.72consensus 12-month target, +45.2% from the last close
Now $226.32Avg $328.72
Low $275High $465
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 33 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | UBS | $300 | +32.6% |
| Oct 6 | Yorkville Ives & Co | $300 | +32.6% |
| Oct 6 | Citi | $315 | +39.2% |
| Oct 5 | Exane BNP Paribas | $345 | +52.4% |
| Oct 2 | Morgan Stanley | $300 | +32.6% |
+2.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+16.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
NVIDIA seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, NVIDIA averaged +16.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +9.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +16.8% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +20.5% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, NVDA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.4%.
NVIDIA market cap and key statistics
NVIDIA’s market cap is $5.46T, with a P/E ratio of 29.1 and revenue of $303.0B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.46T
- P/E ratio
- 29.1
- Forward P/E
- 24.9
- EPS, TTM
- $7.91
- Gekko Fair Value
- $265.59
Trading
- Volume
- 69.66M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 103.5M
- 52-week high
- $243.37
- 52-week low
- $164.27
- Shares outstanding
- 24.15B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $303.0B
- Profit margin
- 63.7%
- Return on equity
- 117.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +127.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.22
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.4%
- Dividend yield
- 0.12%
NVIDIA stock news this week
Coverage of NVIDIA this week reads positive: 5 positive, 0 neutral and 4 negative headlines.
- Nvidia (NVDA) vs. Broadcom (AVGO): Which AI Stock Is a Better Buy After the OpenAI Scare?Yahoo Finance, Oct 12
- Microsoft's Maia 300 chip: Can it cut its reliance on Nvidia?Yahoo Finance, Oct 12
- Nvidia (NVDA) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to KnowZacks Investment Research, Oct 12
- $10,000 Invested Equally in Alphabet and Nvidia Could Be Worth This Much by 2030The Motley Fool, Oct 12
- Nvidia and AMD shares fall as new AI announcements fail to re-energize investorsMarket Watch, Oct 12
- Navitas Collaborates with NVIDIA on 800 V-to-12 V Power Delivery Board for Next-Generation AI InfrastructureGlobeNewsWire, Oct 12
NVIDIA peers
NVIDIA’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| AVGOBroadcom | Neutral | 1.3% below |
| MUMicron Technology | Accumulation | 27.3% below |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices | Neutral | 13.2% above |
| INTCIntel | Accumulation | 1.5% above |
| TXNTexas Instruments | Neutral | 8.2% above |
| KLACKLA | Neutral | 8.9% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
NVIDIA stock FAQ
What is NVIDIA’s market cap?
NVIDIA’s market cap is $5.46T at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $226.32, with 24.15B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 29.1.
What is the NVIDIA stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NVIDIA is $328.72, +45.2% from the last close. Of the 33 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 33 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is NVIDIA stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate NVIDIA is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $226.32 is 14.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $265.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does NVIDIA report earnings next?
NVIDIA is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026, after the market closes (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.47 per share on revenue of $108.8B. NVIDIA beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.
What is NVIDIA’s 52-week high and low?
NVIDIA’s 52-week high is $243.37 and its 52-week low is $164.27; it closed at $226.32 on Oct 12, 2026, +17.5% over the past year.
Is NVIDIA stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in NVIDIA?
Gekko flagged 5 unusual options signals in NVIDIA over the last 30 days, with $271.6M of flagged premium in calls and $44.79M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 30, 2026 with $64.47M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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