NASDAQ: TXN

Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Texas Instruments Incorporated. Electronic technology sector, semiconductors industry. Market cap $243.5B.

$266.64+8.50 (+3.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Texas Instruments closes at $266.64, up 3.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $273.89 and 200-day average of $243.92. The GekkoIndex reads 60.3, in the Accumulation zone, with price running 3.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $258.16. Over the past six months the stock has returned 41.6%, and 47.9% over the past year, though the three-month return sits at -17.4%.

This week's news centers on a dividend increase, with Texas Instruments raising its quarterly cash dividend 7% from $1.42 to $1.52 per share, or $6.08 annualized, marking the 23rd consecutive year of increases. Coverage frames this as a signal of confidence in cash generation, alongside continued attention to the company's Q2 results, where data center sales doubled year-over-year and industrial grew 30%. Separate commentary debates valuation, with one view citing the stock as 40% undervalued on long-term capacity expansion, while another rating assigns a $332 price target implying 26% upside; comparisons to Advanced Micro Devices' data center partnerships also appear.

The next earnings report is set for 27 October 2026, 37 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold, following a July quarter in which EPS of $2.14 beat the $1.91 estimate but the shares still reacted -2.2%. Smart-money activity over the past 90 days shows 1 congressional buy and no sales. Seasonality is a noted headwind, with the next 20 trading days averaging -3% over 5 years and rising in just 1 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $266.64200-day averageGekko Fair Value $258.16

Key stats

Market cap
$243.5B
P/E ratio
39.7
Forward P/E
26.3
EPS, TTM
$6.51
Revenue, TTM
$19.45B
Profit margin
31.1%
Dividend yield
2.16%
Beta
1.31
Volume
18.66M avg 5.77M
1-year return
+47.9%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
50-day average
$273.89
200-day average
$243.92
Next earnings
Oct 27 after close
Shares outstanding
913.2M
52-week range
$152.73$334.03

Texas Instruments swing-trade checklist

Texas Instruments scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $266.64 sits between the 50-day ($273.89) and 200-day ($243.92) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.3, Accumulation

    Reading 60.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    3.3% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (3.3% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Texas Instruments stock chart and price history

Texas Instruments closed at $266.64 on Sep 18, 2026, +47.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $152.73 to $334.03.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.3%
3 months
−17.4%
6 months
+41.6%
1 year
+47.9%
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About Texas Instruments

Texas Instruments designs and manufactures semiconductors that are sold to engineers and manufacturers across the electronics industry. It is widely recognized for its analog and embedded processing chips, which support functions such as power management, signal detection, and control in electronic systems. The company also makes DLP components used in projectors, calculators, and custom integrated circuits built for specific applications.

The business is built around two main areas: analog products, which include items like voltage regulators, power switches, amplifiers, and sensors, and embedded processing products, such as microcontrollers and digital signal processors. These parts are used in industries ranging from automotive and industrial equipment to personal electronics, communications, and enterprise systems. Texas Instruments reaches its customers through a combination of direct sales, authorized distributors, and its own online channel.

The company was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker TXN.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
ti.com

Texas Instruments GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Texas Instruments’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.9 points over five sessions.

010060.3Accumulation

Up 0.9 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying25+0.5%+1.9%+7.5%+10.6%
Accumulation (current zone)220+0.6%+1.6%+3.0%+10.0%
Neutral368+0.2%+0.3%+1.5%+3.6%
Distribution43+2.6%+2.5%−0.6%−0.8%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average TXN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TXN price, zone by zone.Track TXN in Gekko

Is Texas Instruments stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Texas Instruments trades 3.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $258.16, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Texas Instruments shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$258.16

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

3.3% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TXN in Gekko

Texas Instruments insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Texas Instruments, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TXN in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TXN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TXN in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Texas Instruments has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$27.00M
As a share of market cap
0.01%
Trailing four quarters
$707.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

5of the funds Gekko tracks hold TXN.

0added0opened5trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Texas Instruments earnings: next date and track record

Texas Instruments reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.0%Oct ’24−5.9%Jan ’25+10.5%Apr ’25−13.2%Jul ’25−4.9%Oct ’25+10.0%Jan ’26+21.1%Apr ’26−2.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary

What they said
TI reported Q2 2026 revenue of $5.5 billion, up 23% year-over-year and 13% sequentially, beating guidance. Gross margin reached 61% with operating profit of $2.3 billion (42% of revenue), up 48% YoY. Industrial grew 30% YoY, data center doubled YoY, and automotive increased mid-teens YoY. Free cash flow reached $6.5 billion on a trailing 12-month basis. EPS was $2.14, including a $0.05 discrete tax benefit.
Guidance
Q3 2026 revenue guided at $5.65-$6.15 billion with EPS of $2.23-$2.57 and an effective tax rate of approximately 13%. Management expressed confidence in capacity readiness to support continued demand growth across industrial, automotive, and data center markets.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 22, 2026$2.14
est $1.91
+12.0%$5.46B
est $5.26B
+3.9%−2.2%
Apr 22, 2026$1.68
est $1.36
+23.5%$4.83B
est $4.53B
+6.6%+21.1%
Jan 27, 2026$1.27
est $1.29
−1.6%$4.42B
est $4.44B
−0.3%+10.0%
Oct 21, 2025$1.48
est $1.49
−0.7%$4.74B
est $4.65B
+2.1%−4.9%
Jul 22, 2025$1.41
est $1.36
+3.7%$4.45B
est $4.36B
+1.9%−13.2%
Apr 23, 2025$1.28
est $1.07
+19.6%$4.07B
est $3.91B
+4.1%+10.5%
Jan 23, 2025$1.30
est $1.20
+8.3%$4.01B
est $3.88B
+3.2%−5.9%
Oct 22, 2024$1.47
est $1.37
+7.3%$4.15B
est $4.12B
+0.8%+3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Texas Instruments stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Texas Instruments is $324.71, +21.8% from the last close, from 24 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$324.71consensus 12-month target, +21.8% from the last close
Low $225High $405
Buy13
Hold9
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 24 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15TD CowenBuy, maintained$340+27.5%
Aug 17Cantor FitzgeraldHold, reiterated
Aug 3CitiBuy, maintained
Jul 29Arete ResearchBuy, upgraded$405+51.9%
Jul 28Truist FinancialHold, maintained$300+12.5%
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Texas Instruments seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Texas Instruments averaged −3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.2%2021−9.2%2022−5.4%2023−4.5%2024−1.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.0%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.1%1 of 5

For scale, TXN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.6%.

Texas Instruments market cap and key statistics

Texas Instruments’s market cap is $243.5B, with a P/E ratio of 39.7 and revenue of $19.45B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$243.5B
P/E ratio
39.7
Forward P/E
26.3
EPS, TTM
$6.51
Gekko Fair Value
$258.16

Trading

Volume
18.66M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.77M
52-week high
$334.03
52-week low
$152.73
Shares outstanding
913.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$19.45B
Profit margin
31.1%
Return on equity
35.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+51.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.31
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±5.6%
Dividend yield
2.16%

Texas Instruments stock news this week

Coverage of Texas Instruments this week reads positive: 5 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Texas Instruments peers

Texas Instruments’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA+1.3%Neutral16.4% below
AVGOBroadcom+1.6%Accumulation0.8% below
MUMicron Technology+3.2%Neutral2.5% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+2.3%Neutral11.9% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Neutral12.9% above
KLACKLA+3.8%Accumulation2.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Texas Instruments stock FAQ

What is Texas Instruments’s market cap?

Texas Instruments’s market cap is $243.5B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $266.64, with 913.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.7.

What is the Texas Instruments stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Texas Instruments is $324.71, +21.8% from the last close. Of the 24 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Texas Instruments stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Texas Instruments is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $266.64 is 3.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $258.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Texas Instruments report earnings next?

Texas Instruments is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.39 per share on revenue of $5.92B. Texas Instruments beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.9% on average across the report.

What is Texas Instruments’s 52-week high and low?

Texas Instruments’s 52-week high is $334.03 and its 52-week low is $152.73; it closed at $266.64 on Sep 18, 2026, +47.9% over the past year.

Is Texas Instruments stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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