NASDAQ: ALAB

Astera Labs (ALAB) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$223.27−10.35 (−4.4%)
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Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Astera Labs fell this week after its Q3 report, even as results beat expectations: earnings rose with Scorpio X-Series strength driving 153.7% revenue growth and $584.90 million in revenue against adjusted earnings of $1.32 per share, ahead of the $1.19 estimate. Management guided Q4 revenue to $730-$750 million and pointed to expansion into optical connectivity, memory and rack-scale AI systems. Despite the beat-and-raise, shares slid, and Roth Capital trimmed its price target to $350 from $450 while keeping a Buy rating; another firm upgraded the stock to Hold following the post-IPO selloff, and some analysts cut forecasts even as they acknowledged the growth trajectory.

ALAB closes at $223.27, down 4.4% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $304.94 and its 200-day average of $255.97. The GekkoIndex reads 71.4, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Price sits 33.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $337.84, a gap flagged as more than 5% below fair value.

The next earnings date is 9 February 2027, 96 days out, so no report falls within the next 20 trading days. Over the last 30 days there have been 3 unusual options signals, with call premium of $29,463,739 against put premium of $3,825,815. Analyst coverage includes 9 Buy and 5 Hold ratings among 14 firms, with a consensus target of $387.57. The prior earnings reaction was a decline of 2.8% despite the beat, worth noting given the stock's typical 20-day move of 19.8%.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Astera Labs price vs fair value

$337.84$223.27Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $223.27200-day averageGekko Fair Value $337.84

Astera Labs quick facts

Market cap
$38.73B
P/E ratio
127.6
Forward P/E
39.8
EPS, TTM
$1.80
Revenue, TTM
$1.20B
Profit margin
30.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.86
Volume
8.18M avg 4.29M
1-year return
+16.6%
Typical daily move
±10.2%
Typical 20-day move
±19.8%
50-day average
$304.94
200-day average
$255.97
Next earnings
Feb 9 after close
Shares outstanding
173.5M
52-week range
$97.89$499.48

Astera Labs swing-trade checklist

Astera Labs scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $223.27 sits between the 50-day ($304.94) and 200-day ($255.97) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71.4, Buying

    Reading 71.4 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    33.9% below

    Price is 33.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 96 days

    Next report Feb 9, 2027, 96 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Astera Labs stock chart and price history

Astera Labs closed at $223.27 on Nov 4, 2026, +16.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $97.89 to $499.48.

5Y and weekly in Gekko
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Astera Labs share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$300$400$500DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct223.27

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−42.7%
3 months
−32.6%
6 months
+4.4%
1 year
+16.6%
The full ALAB chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ALAB in Gekko

Follow Astera Labs through every session

Put ALAB on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Astera Labs

Astera Labs designs and supplies semiconductor-based connectivity products used in cloud computing and artificial intelligence systems. Its main line of business centers on what it calls the Intelligent Connectivity Platform, a set of data, network, and memory connectivity offerings tied together under a single software-defined design. This platform is the company's most recognized product line.

The company builds its products to work as a unified system rather than standalone parts, allowing customers running large-scale cloud and AI infrastructure to deploy and manage high-performance connectivity across their operations. Its customers are organizations that operate this kind of demanding, large-scale computing environment.

Astera Labs was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ALAB.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
asteralabs.com

Astera Labs GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Astera Labs’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.4, in the Buying zone, up 9.9 points over five sessions.

010071.4Buying

Up 9.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)20−1.2%−3.8%−7.0%+18.3%
Accumulation246+0.6%+0.3%+2.6%+29.8%
Neutral321+2.9%+6.4%+11.8%+21.8%
Distribution65+2.4%+5.1%+17.5%+43.2%
Selling0Not available

Average ALAB share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ALAB price, zone by zone.Track ALAB in Gekko

Is Astera Labs stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Astera Labs trades 33.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $337.84, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Astera Labs shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$337.84

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

33.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 20.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$338$234Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ALAB in Gekko

Astera Labs insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Astera Labs, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ALAB in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ALAB insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALAB in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ALAB were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ALAB, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ALAB in Gekko

Buybacks

Astera Labs has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
$1.07M
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 89% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 31, $15.41M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

3of the funds Gekko tracks hold ALAB.

0added1opened2trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Astera Labs earnings: next date and track record

Astera Labs reports on Feb 9, 2027, after the close (96 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.4%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.1%Feb ’25−1.5%May ’25+26.4%Aug ’25−5.0%Nov ’25−23.4%Feb ’26+6.3%May ’26−0.8%Aug ’26−2.8%Nov ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Nov 3, 2026$1.32
est $1.19		+10.9%$584.9M
est $550.8M		+6.2%−2.8%
Aug 4, 2026$0.29
est $0.42		−31.0%$392.4M
est $360.9M		+8.7%−0.8%
May 5, 2026$0.61
est $0.54		+13.0%$308.4M
est $292.2M		+5.5%+6.3%
Feb 10, 2026$0.58
est $0.51		+13.7%$270.6M
est $249.5M		+8.4%−23.4%
Nov 4, 2025$0.49
est $0.39		+25.7%$230.6M
est $206.5M		+11.7%−5.0%
Aug 5, 2025$0.44
est $0.32		+35.8%$191.9M
est $172.5M		+11.3%+26.4%
May 6, 2025$0.33
est $0.28		+16.2%$159.4M
est $153.1M		+4.1%−1.5%
Feb 10, 2025$0.37
est $0.26		+42.3%$141.1M
est $151.6M		−6.9%−9.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Astera Labs stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Astera Labs is $387.57, +73.6% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$387.57consensus 12-month target, +73.6% from the last close
Low $225High $500
Buy9
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4Stifel NicolausBuy, reiterated$370+65.7%
Nov 4Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained——
Nov 4BarclaysHold, maintained$325+45.6%
Nov 4TD CowenHold, maintained$225+0.8%
Nov 4RBC CapitalBuy, reiterated$400+79.2%
−7.0%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
±10.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Astera Labs market cap and key statistics

Astera Labs’s market cap is $38.73B, with a P/E ratio of 127.6 and revenue of $1.20B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$38.73B
P/E ratio
127.6
Forward P/E
39.8
EPS, TTM
$1.80
Gekko Fair Value
$337.84

Trading

Volume
8.18M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.29M
52-week high
$499.48
52-week low
$97.89
Shares outstanding
173.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.20B
Profit margin
30.7%
Return on equity
25.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+186.2%

Risk and income

Beta
3.86
Typical daily move
±10.2%
Typical 20-day move
±19.8%

Astera Labs stock news this week

Coverage of Astera Labs this week reads neutral: 5 positive, 8 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Astera Labs peers

Astera Labs’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.7%Accumulation25.3% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.4%Accumulation7.7% below
MUMicron Technology−3.4%Accumulation40.7% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+0.7%Accumulation9.1% below
INTCIntel−0.7%Buying33.9% below
TXNTexas Instruments−0.6%Neutral15.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

GOOGGOOGLINTCCATSNDKMRVL

Reporting earnings this week

TMCOPSONYPHSOABNB

Popular on Gekko

NVDATSLAMSFTAMZNMETAGOOGL

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Astera Labs stock FAQ

What is Astera Labs’s market cap?

Astera Labs’s market cap is $38.73B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $223.27, with 173.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 127.6.

What is the Astera Labs stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Astera Labs is $387.57, +73.6% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Astera Labs stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Astera Labs is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $223.27 is 33.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $337.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Astera Labs report earnings next?

Astera Labs is expected to report on Feb 9, 2027, after the market closes (96 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.42 per share on revenue of $656.3M. Astera Labs beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.4% on average across the report.

What is Astera Labs’s 52-week high and low?

Astera Labs’s 52-week high is $499.48 and its 52-week low is $97.89; it closed at $223.27 on Nov 4, 2026, +16.6% over the past year.

Is Astera Labs stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Astera Labs?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Astera Labs over the last 30 days, with $29.46M of flagged premium in calls and $3.83M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 31, 2026 with $15.41M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

Built and overseen by Jared Mann

Founder of Gekko.app. Jared has traded stocks and ETFs for more than 20 years and has a financial industry background.

About GekkoHow Gekko’s data worksReport an error

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