NYSE: COHR

Coherent (COHR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$195.09−12.40 (−6.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Coherent reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 results on 4 November, posting non-GAAP EPS of $2.09 against an estimate of $1.99, with revenue of $2.37 billion, up 50% year over year. GAAP gross margin came in at 39.1%, up 254 bps year over year, and the company issued guidance that outlets described as strong, prompting talk of a rally in the stock following the print. Separate commentary pointed to the Marvell-Lumentum merger as a competitive dynamic that could give Coherent a window with hyperscaler and CPO/NPO business, tied to AI-driven demand for optical networking.

Despite the post-earnings commentary, the stock closed at $195.09, down 6%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $274.56 and 200-day average of $296.63, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. Three-month and six-month returns stand at -41.6% and -43.4% respectively, while the one-year return remains positive at 47.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 69.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 38.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $318.23.

No confirmed next earnings date appears on the calendar. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $1,925,000 against put premium of $881,725. Analyst coverage from 18 firms shows 14 buy and 4 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $387.80. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +16% over 5 years, rising in 4 of those years.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Coherent price vs fair value

$318.23$195.09Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $195.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $318.23

Coherent quick facts

Market cap
$38.42B
P/E ratio
48.5
Forward P/E
21.6
EPS, TTM
$4.12
Revenue, TTM
$7.12B
Profit margin
11.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.23
Volume
11.09M avg 7.79M
1-year return
+47.8%
Typical daily move
±9.3%
Typical 20-day move
±11.7%
50-day average
$274.56
200-day average
$296.63
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
196.9M
52-week range
$123.75$440.00

Coherent swing-trade checklist

Coherent scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $195.09 is below the 50-day ($274.56) and 200-day ($296.63) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.1, Accumulation

    Reading 69.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    38.7% below

    Price is 38.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +16.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +16% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Coherent stock chart and price history

Coherent closed at $195.09 on Nov 4, 2026, +47.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $123.75 to $440.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Coherent share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$300$400DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct195.09

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−42.3%
3 months
−41.6%
6 months
−43.4%
1 year
+47.8%
The full COHR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open COHR in Gekko

Follow Coherent through every session

Put COHR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Coherent

Coherent builds laser systems and related optical technology used in commercial, industrial, and scientific settings. Its offerings include lasers, laser-based tools, complete systems, precision optical parts, accessories, and instruments for measuring and controlling laser output. These products find use in areas such as microelectronics manufacturing, materials processing, scientific research, government programs, and equipment built by other manufacturers.

The company runs its business through two main segments: one focused on laser sources sold to original equipment manufacturers, and another covering industrial lasers and integrated systems. Coherent manages every stage of its offerings itself, from design and production through marketing and after-sale service. Within the United States it sells directly through its own staff, while outside the country it relies on a mix of direct sales employees and independent representatives.

Coherent traces its founding to 1966 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker COHR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
coherent.com

Coherent GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Coherent’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.9 points over five sessions.

010069.1Accumulation

Up 5.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+8.7%+15.4%+10.2%+39.0%
Accumulation (current zone)152+1.3%+1.9%+5.5%+16.3%
Neutral456+2.2%+3.3%+6.8%+16.6%
Distribution64−3.5%+1.4%+3.5%+13.6%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average COHR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COHR price, zone by zone.Track COHR in Gekko

Is Coherent stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Coherent trades 38.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $318.23, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Coherent shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$318.23

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

38.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 27.2% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$318$207Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COHR in Gekko

Coherent insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Coherent, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for COHR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every COHR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COHR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Coherent has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$44.62M
As a share of market cap
0.12%
Trailing four quarters
$133.8M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 69% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 24, $2.81M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold COHR.

3added1opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Coherent earnings: next date and track record

Coherent beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.7% on average across the report.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.7%average move across the report
3 of 7reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+14.5%Feb ’25+1.1%May ’25−21.4%Aug ’25+23.8%Nov ’25−8.7%Feb ’26−4.9%May ’26−0.4%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Nov 4, 2026$2.09
est $1.99
+5.0%$2.37B
est $2.31B
+2.7%—
Aug 12, 2026$1.47
est $1.43
+2.8%$2.05B
est $1.98B
+3.1%−0.4%
May 6, 2026$1.41
est $1.40
+0.7%$1.81B
est $1.78B
+1.3%−4.9%
Feb 4, 2026$1.29
est $1.21
+6.6%$1.69B
est $1.64B
+2.7%−8.7%
Nov 5, 2025$1.16
est $1.04
+11.5%$1.58B
est $1.55B
+1.7%+23.8%
Aug 13, 2025$1.00
est $0.92
+8.7%$1.53B
est $1.55B
−1.2%−21.4%
May 7, 2025$0.91
est $0.86
+6.3%$1.50B
est $1.50B
−0.2%+1.1%
Feb 5, 2025$0.95
est $0.69
+37.7%$1.43B
est $1.37B
+4.8%+14.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Coherent stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Coherent is $387.80, +98.8% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$387.80consensus 12-month target, +98.8% from the last close
Low $262High $500
Buy14
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Northland SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$280+43.5%
Nov 2J.P. MorganBuy, reiterated$385+97.3%
Oct 30B. Riley SecuritiesHold, maintained$262+34.3%
Oct 30Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$325+66.6%
Oct 21SusquehannaBuy, reiterated$350+79.4%
+5.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+16.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±9.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Coherent seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Coherent averaged +16.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.6%2021+15.3%2022+18.0%2023+17.2%2024+32.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+12.9%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+7.5%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+9.2%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+16.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+17.9%5 of 5

For scale, COHR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.7%.

Coherent market cap and key statistics

Coherent’s market cap is $38.42B, with a P/E ratio of 48.5 and revenue of $7.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$38.42B
P/E ratio
48.5
Forward P/E
21.6
EPS, TTM
$4.12
Gekko Fair Value
$318.23

Trading

Volume
11.09M
Avg volume, 20 days
7.79M
52-week high
$440.00
52-week low
$123.75
Shares outstanding
196.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.12B
Profit margin
11.3%
Return on equity
8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+73.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.23
Typical daily move
±9.3%
Typical 20-day move
±11.7%

Coherent stock news this week

Coverage of Coherent this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Coherent peers

Coherent’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.7%Accumulation25.3% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.4%Accumulation7.7% below
MUMicron Technology−3.4%Accumulation40.7% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+0.7%Accumulation9.1% below
INTCIntel−0.7%Buying33.9% below
TXNTexas Instruments−0.6%Neutral15.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Semiconductors

Coherent stock FAQ

What is Coherent’s market cap?

Coherent’s market cap is $38.42B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $195.09, with 196.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 48.5.

What is the Coherent stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Coherent is $387.80, +98.8% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Coherent stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Coherent is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $195.09 is 38.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $318.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Coherent’s 52-week high and low?

Coherent’s 52-week high is $440.00 and its 52-week low is $123.75; it closed at $195.09 on Nov 4, 2026, +47.8% over the past year.

Is Coherent stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Coherent?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Coherent over the last 30 days, with $1.93M of flagged premium in calls and $882K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 24, 2026 with $2.81M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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