NYSE: COHR

Coherent (COHR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Coherent Corp. Electronic technology sector, semiconductors industry. Market cap $62.09B.

$317.36+21.38 (+7.2%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Coherent (COHR) closes at $317.36, up 7.2%, with the price above both its 50-day average of $296.77 and its 200-day average of $282.97. The GekkoIndex reads 56.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $344.21, leaving price 7.8% below that level.

This week's coverage centers on Coherent's data center and AI-networking momentum. Fiscal Q4 revenue reached $2.05 billion, with datacenter and communications demand driving nearly 79% of sales and offsetting industrial weakness. Coherent also expanded its Pluggable Optical Line System portfolio with full C-band amplification for AI datacenter networks. Separate commentary noted a 24% pullback over the past month alongside continued AI-driven demand, capacity expansion, and analyst rating upgrades, with one piece citing 34% year-over-year Q4 revenue growth and guidance for roughly 46% year-over-year Q1 growth. Optics peers Lumentum and Applied Optoelectronics moved higher the same week amid a broader sector bounce.

Coherent's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, after the close, 45 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and over the last 30 days there was 1 unusual options signal, with call premium of $3,007,835 against put premium of $213,190. Seasonality data show the next 20 trading days averaging a 3.3% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus among 17 firms shows 12 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $415.36.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $317.36200-day averageGekko Fair Value $344.21

Key stats

Market cap
$62.09B
P/E ratio
72
Forward P/E
28.5
EPS, TTM
$4.11
Revenue, TTM
$7.12B
Profit margin
11.3%
Dividend yield
Beta
2.10
Volume
10.12M avg 5.99M
1-year return
+206.9%
Typical daily move
±6.1%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%
50-day average
$296.77
200-day average
$282.97
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
195.8M
52-week range
$102.14$440.00

Coherent swing-trade checklist

Coherent scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $317.36 is above the 50-day ($296.77) and 200-day ($282.97) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.5, Neutral

    Reading 56.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.8% below

    Price is 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Coherent stock chart and price history

Coherent closed at $317.36 on Sep 18, 2026, +206.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $102.14 to $440.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+10.4%
3 months
−18.5%
6 months
+15.2%
1 year
+206.9%
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About Coherent

Coherent builds laser systems and related optical technology used in commercial, industrial, and scientific settings. Its offerings include lasers, laser-based tools, complete systems, precision optical parts, accessories, and instruments for measuring and controlling laser output. These products find use in areas such as microelectronics manufacturing, materials processing, scientific research, government programs, and equipment built by other manufacturers.

The company runs its business through two main segments: one focused on laser sources sold to original equipment manufacturers, and another covering industrial lasers and integrated systems. Coherent manages every stage of its offerings itself, from design and production through marketing and after-sale service. Within the United States it sells directly through its own staff, while outside the country it relies on a mix of direct sales employees and independent representatives.

Coherent traces its founding to 1966 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker COHR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
coherent.com

Coherent GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Coherent’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.5, in the Neutral zone, down 0.7 points over five sessions.

010056.5Neutral

Down 0.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+8.7%+15.4%+10.2%+39.2%
Accumulation135+1.3%+2.2%+6.1%+19.0%
Neutral (current zone)438+2.6%+3.8%+7.6%+18.0%
Distribution64−3.5%+1.4%+3.5%+13.6%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average COHR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COHR price, zone by zone.Track COHR in Gekko

Is Coherent stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Coherent trades 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $344.21, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Coherent shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$344.21

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

7.8% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COHR in Gekko

Coherent insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Coherent, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for COHR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every COHR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COHR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Sheldon Whitehouse
Senate, RI, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Jul 8
traded Jun 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Coherent has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$44.62M
As a share of market cap
0.07%
Trailing four quarters
$133.8M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 93% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Aug 25, $3.22M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold COHR.

3added1opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Coherent earnings: next date and track record

Coherent reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+17.0%Nov ’24+14.5%Feb ’25+1.1%May ’25−21.4%Aug ’25+23.8%Nov ’25−8.7%Feb ’26−4.9%May ’26−0.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 12, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Coherent reported record fiscal 2026 revenue of $7 billion (pro forma), up 28% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS growing ~59%. Q4 accelerated sharply with revenue up 42% YoY and 14% sequentially, driven by AI data center optical connectivity demand. The data center segment grew 66% YoY in Q4, representing 79% of total revenue. Record bookings were achieved with customer orders extending into calendar 2028 and LTAs through decade-end.
Guidance
Management expects fiscal 2027 growth to accelerate significantly, targeting a first quarter exceeding $3 billion in revenue by fiscal year-end. Continued gross margin expansion and operating leverage are expected to drive EPS growth materially faster than revenue, with new revenue streams including OCS and co-packaged optics ramping.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 12, 2026$1.47
est $1.43
+2.8%$2.05B
est $1.98B
+3.1%−0.4%
May 6, 2026$1.41
est $1.40
+0.7%$1.81B
est $1.78B
+1.3%−4.9%
Feb 4, 2026$1.29
est $1.21
+6.6%$1.69B
est $1.64B
+2.7%−8.7%
Nov 5, 2025$1.16
est $1.04
+11.5%$1.58B
est $1.55B
+1.7%+23.8%
Aug 13, 2025$1.00
est $0.92
+8.7%$1.53B
est $1.55B
−1.2%−21.4%
May 7, 2025$0.91
est $0.86
+6.3%$1.50B
est $1.50B
−0.2%+1.1%
Feb 5, 2025$0.95
est $0.69
+37.7%$1.43B
est $1.37B
+4.8%+14.5%
Nov 6, 2024$0.74
est $0.61
+20.7%$1.35B
est $1.31B
+2.6%+17.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Coherent stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Coherent is $415.36, +30.9% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$415.36consensus 12-month target, +30.9% from the last close
Low $280High $500
Buy12
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 31Deutsche Bank Buy, initiated$400+26.0%
Aug 19Rosenblatt SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$500+57.5%
Aug 17J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$465+46.5%
Aug 17William BlairHold, maintained
Aug 13Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$375+18.2%
+7.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Coherent seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Coherent averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.5%2021−23.0%2022+10.5%2023+18.6%2024+6.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.1%3 of 5

For scale, COHR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.3%.

Coherent market cap and key statistics

Coherent’s market cap is $62.09B, with a P/E ratio of 72 and revenue of $7.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$62.09B
P/E ratio
72
Forward P/E
28.5
EPS, TTM
$4.11
Gekko Fair Value
$344.21

Trading

Volume
10.12M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.99M
52-week high
$440.00
52-week low
$102.14
Shares outstanding
195.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.12B
Profit margin
11.3%
Return on equity
8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+73.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.10
Typical daily move
±6.1%
Typical 20-day move
±11.3%

Coherent peers

Coherent’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA+1.3%Neutral16.4% below
AVGOBroadcom+1.6%Accumulation0.8% below
MUMicron Technology+3.2%Neutral2.5% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+2.3%Neutral11.9% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Neutral12.9% above
TXNTexas Instruments+2.2%Accumulation3.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Coherent stock FAQ

What is Coherent’s market cap?

Coherent’s market cap is $62.09B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $317.36, with 195.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 72.

What is the Coherent stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Coherent is $415.36, +30.9% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Coherent stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Coherent is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $317.36 is 7.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $344.21. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Coherent report earnings next?

Coherent is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.97 per share on revenue of $2.30B. Coherent beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.5% on average across the report.

What is Coherent’s 52-week high and low?

Coherent’s 52-week high is $440.00 and its 52-week low is $102.14; it closed at $317.36 on Sep 18, 2026, +206.9% over the past year.

Is Coherent stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Coherent?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Coherent over the last 30 days, with $3.01M of flagged premium in calls and $213K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Aug 25, 2026 with $3.22M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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