NASDAQ: ON

ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Analysis & Forecast

ON Semiconductor Corporation. Electronic technology sector, semiconductors industry. Market cap $27.24B.

$69.98+1.68 (+2.5%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

ON Semiconductor closed at $69.98, up 2.5%, with the close sitting between the 50-day average of $79.55 and the 200-day average of $79.39. The GekkoIndex reads 65.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $74.90. Longer-term returns show a 1-month decline of 8.6%, a 3-month decline of 42.5%, a 6-month gain of 18%, and a 1-year gain of 40.5%.

This week's news centers on onsemi's Investor Day, where management laid out long-term targets including $2.5 billion in AI data-center revenue and margin and free-cash-flow goals through 2030, alongside the launch of the Embedded Power Platform and a strategic technology engagement with Subaru to evaluate that platform for future EVs. Analyst reaction has been mixed: Wells Fargo lowered its price target to $85 from $95 while keeping an Overweight rating, and other firms have trimmed targets while generally retaining prior ratings, even as one Wall Street analyst maintained a more aggressive target. Coverage also noted a 9.0% share drop to $66.60 on one session, with GuruFocus flagging the stock as overvalued against its own $61.79 estimate despite a GF Score of 86.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 2 November 2026, before the open, 43 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report on 3 August showed EPS of $0.74 against a $0.72 estimate with a 1% reaction. Options activity over the last 30 days shows 6 unusual signals, with call premium of $5,983,312 against put premium of $3,336,552. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -4.8%, positive in only 1 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $69.98200-day averageGekko Fair Value $74.90

Key stats

Market cap
$27.24B
P/E ratio
43.5
Forward P/E
15
EPS, TTM
$1.57
Revenue, TTM
$6.20B
Profit margin
10.2%
Dividend yield
Beta
2.00
Volume
20.46M avg 9.75M
1-year return
+40.5%
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.2%
50-day average
$79.55
200-day average
$79.39
Next earnings
Nov 2 before open
Shares outstanding
389.3M
52-week range
$44.56$134.92

ON Semiconductor swing-trade checklist

ON Semiconductor scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $69.98 sits between the 50-day ($79.55) and 200-day ($79.39) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.1, Accumulation

    Reading 65.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.6% below

    Price is 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 6 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 2, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −4.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.8% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

ON Semiconductor stock chart and price history

ON Semiconductor closed at $69.98 on Sep 18, 2026, +40.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $44.56 to $134.92.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.6%
3 months
−42.5%
6 months
+18.0%
1 year
+40.5%
The full ON chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ON in Gekko

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About ON Semiconductor

ON Semiconductor designs chips and components that manage power and detect light, serving industries that range from automotive to renewable energy. Its parts help make electric cars lighter and able to travel farther, support fast vehicle charging, and appear in solar setups, industrial power gear, and energy storage systems. The company is also recognized for its imaging work, producing CMOS sensors, image signal processors, and detectors capable of sensing single photons, along with drivers that enable camera autofocus and stabilization.

The company runs through three divisions: Power Solutions, Advanced Solutions, and Intelligent Sensing. It builds analog and discrete semiconductors, circuit modules, and integrated circuits used for switching power, converting energy, shaping signals, protecting circuits, amplifying signals, and regulating voltage. Beyond these, it creates custom mixed-signal and application-specific chips, radio-frequency parts, and power management systems for varied customers, and separately offers foundry and design work to government buyers.

Founded in 1992, ON Semiconductor is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker ON.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
onsemi.com

ON Semiconductor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

ON Semiconductor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 4.8 points over five sessions.

010065.1Accumulation

Up 4.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+5.2%+3.6%+4.1%+4.7%
Accumulation (current zone)247−0.3%−0.5%−1.1%+6.8%
Neutral350−0.1%+0.3%+1.1%+2.8%
Distribution30+2.5%+5.2%+11.0%−0.3%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average ON share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ON price, zone by zone.Track ON in Gekko

Is ON Semiconductor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

ON Semiconductor trades 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $74.90, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what ON Semiconductor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$74.90

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

6.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ON in Gekko

ON Semiconductor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ON Semiconductor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ON in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ON insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ON in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ON were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ON, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ON in Gekko

Buybacks

ON Semiconductor has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 3, 2026
$344.8M
As a share of market cap
1.27%
Trailing four quarters
$1.47B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

6signals, 64% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $1.20M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

6of the funds Gekko tracks hold ON.

0added3opened3trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

ON Semiconductor earnings: next date and track record

ON Semiconductor reports on Nov 2, 2026, before the open (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.8%Oct ’24−6.5%Feb ’25−8.1%May ’25−16.9%Aug ’25−3.6%Nov ’25+3.3%Feb ’26−0.3%May ’26−1.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
onsemi reported strong Q2 2026 results with revenue of $1.6 billion, non-GAAP gross margin of 39.3%, non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.74, and $425 million of free cash flow. Management emphasized recovery-driven margin expansion and operating leverage, noting revenue and margin results were above the midpoint of guidance. AI data center was highlighted as the fastest-growing market with management saying AI data center revenue is expected to more than double in 2026; design wins include expanded role in the NVIDIA MGX ecosystem, two platform wins with Great Wall, and engagements with U.S. hyperscalers including AWS. Management prioritized shipments to AI data center over automotive and industrial in Q2 due to constrained supply in certain power lanes; lead times extended (from ~27 to ~32 weeks) and orders within lead time and customer escalations increased. Management reported completed non-core revenue exits (~$35M in Q2, ~ $300M annualized for the year) and continued cost/portfolio actions; depreciation is steady and planned CapEx is primarily maintenance and below prior targets for the year. Management is confident in continued gross margin expansion driven by utilization increases (25–30 bps gross margin improvement per 1 point utilization uplift) and expects subsegment Q3 trends of auto up low-single digits, industrial flat, and other (AI data center) up high teens percent sequentially. The company increased long-term TAM estimates materially for AI data center and EV/electrification driven by higher content per rack and silicon carbide and Treo/other product adoption.
Guidance
Q3 subsegment directional guidance: automotive up low single digits sequentially; industrial relatively flat; "other" (which includes AI data center) up high teens sequentially. Management also guided to continued gross margin expansion through the remainder of the year as utilization increases (stating 25–30 bps gross margin improvement per 1 point of utilization). Management expects AI data center revenue to more than double in 2026 (forward-looking thematic guidance).
Risks flagged
Supply tightness in specific power product lanes and extended lead times (from ~27 to ~32 weeks) could limit near-term fulfillment and forced prioritization across end markets. Input material cost increases (substrates, gold, etc.) are persistent and management stated they are not seeing cost declines, requiring pricing actions to offset; this creates margin risk if pricing cannot fully offset increases. Prioritization of AI data center shipments led to short-term reductions in automotive/industrial shipments; if manufacturing catch-up is slower than anticipated, it could pressure those end markets. Some capacity is not fungible and there are short-term allocation challenges despite external partner flexibility.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.74
est $0.72
+2.8%$1.60B
est $1.59B
+0.9%−1.0%
May 4, 2026$0.64
est $0.61
+4.6%$1.51B
est $1.49B
+1.7%−0.3%
Feb 9, 2026$0.64
est $0.62
+2.6%$1.53B
est $1.54B
−0.4%+3.3%
Nov 3, 2025$0.63
est $0.59
+6.8%$1.55B
est $1.52B
+2.2%−3.6%
Aug 4, 2025$0.53
est $0.53
−0.4%$1.47B
est $1.45B
+1.1%−16.9%
May 5, 2025$0.55
est $0.50
+9.6%$1.45B
est $1.40B
+3.1%−8.1%
Feb 10, 2025$0.95
est $0.97
−2.5%$1.72B
est $1.76B
−2.0%−6.5%
Oct 28, 2024$0.99
est $0.97
+2.1%$1.76B
est $1.75B
+0.6%+4.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

ON Semiconductor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ON Semiconductor is $104.48, +49.3% from the last close, from 23 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$104.48consensus 12-month target, +49.3% from the last close
Low $75High $150
Buy10
Hold13
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 23 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17Roth MKMBuy, maintained$125+78.6%
Sep 17TD CowenHold, maintained$95+35.8%
Sep 17BarclaysHold, maintained$100+42.9%
Sep 17Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$120+71.5%
Sep 17UBSHold, maintained
−1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

ON Semiconductor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, ON Semiconductor averaged −4.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−7.4%2021−14.8%2022−2.7%2023−5.6%2024+2.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.9%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−6.3%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−4.8%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−5.7%2 of 5

For scale, ON’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.2%.

ON Semiconductor market cap and key statistics

ON Semiconductor’s market cap is $27.24B, with a P/E ratio of 43.5 and revenue of $6.20B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$27.24B
P/E ratio
43.5
Forward P/E
15
EPS, TTM
$1.57
Gekko Fair Value
$74.90

Trading

Volume
20.46M
Avg volume, 20 days
9.75M
52-week high
$134.92
52-week low
$44.56
Shares outstanding
389.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.20B
Profit margin
10.2%
Return on equity
8.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+36.6%

Risk and income

Beta
2.00
Typical daily move
±5%
Typical 20-day move
±9.2%

ON Semiconductor peers

ON Semiconductor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA+1.3%Neutral16.4% below
AVGOBroadcom+1.6%Accumulation0.8% below
MUMicron Technology+3.2%Neutral2.5% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+2.3%Neutral11.9% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Neutral12.9% above
TXNTexas Instruments+2.2%Accumulation3.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

ON Semiconductor stock FAQ

What is ON Semiconductor’s market cap?

ON Semiconductor’s market cap is $27.24B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $69.98, with 389.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 43.5.

What is the ON Semiconductor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ON Semiconductor is $104.48, +49.3% from the last close. Of the 23 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is ON Semiconductor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate ON Semiconductor is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $69.98 is 6.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $74.90. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does ON Semiconductor report earnings next?

ON Semiconductor is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, before the market opens (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.90 per share on revenue of $1.70B. ON Semiconductor beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.

What is ON Semiconductor’s 52-week high and low?

ON Semiconductor’s 52-week high is $134.92 and its 52-week low is $44.56; it closed at $69.98 on Sep 18, 2026, +40.5% over the past year.

Is ON Semiconductor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in ON Semiconductor?

Gekko flagged 6 unusual options signals in ON Semiconductor over the last 30 days, with $5.98M of flagged premium in calls and $3.34M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $1.20M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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