NASDAQ: AIP

Arteris (AIP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$21.46−0.98 (−4.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Arteris reported record Q2 2026 results this week, with annual contract value plus royalties reaching $99.5 million, a 44% year-over-year increase, and revenue hitting $24.1 million, up 46%. Separately, the company announced an expansion of its third-party IP security assurance program with BAE Systems and SiFive, backed by $3.3 million in government funding through the Trusted and Assured Microelectronics program. A Form 4 filing also showed General Counsel Paul L. Alpern selling 6,003 shares on 5 October at a weighted average price of $24.2379.

The stock closed at $21.46, down 4.4% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $24.29 and its 200-day average of $24.81, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. Over three months the shares are down 35.8%, though they remain up 63.7% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 65.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the current price sits 28.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $30.19.

Arteris next reports earnings on 3 November 2026, after the close, which falls within the next 20 trading days; its last report showed a loss of $0.24 per share against a $0.16 estimate and a 3.7% reaction, with 6 beats in the last 8 quarters. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.3% gain over 4 years, rising in 3 of them. All 7 covering analysts currently rate the stock buy, with a consensus target of $39.43.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Arteris price vs fair value

$30.19$21.46Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $21.46200-day averageGekko Fair Value $30.19

Arteris quick facts

Market cap
$990.6M
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
172.4
EPS, TTM
−$0.87
Revenue, TTM
$84.62M
Profit margin
-46.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.90
Volume
518,520 avg 661,720
1-year return
+63.7%
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±13.3%
50-day average
$24.29
200-day average
$24.81
Next earnings
Nov 3 after close
Shares outstanding
49.15M
52-week range
$12.06$50.26

Arteris swing-trade checklist

Arteris scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $21.46 is below the 50-day ($24.29) and 200-day ($24.81) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    65.2, Accumulation

    Reading 65.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    28.9% below

    Price is 28.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.3% over 4 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Arteris stock chart and price history

Arteris closed at $21.46 on Oct 12, 2026, +63.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $12.06 to $50.26.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Arteris share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$30$40$50NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct21.46

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.4%
3 months
−35.8%
6 months
+8.3%
1 year
+63.7%
The full AIP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AIP in Gekko

Follow Arteris through every session

Put AIP on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Arteris GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Arteris’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 8.7 points over five sessions.

010065.2Accumulation

Up 8.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+3.1%+4.5%+8.3%+25.9%
Accumulation (current zone)197+1.5%+3.0%+2.3%+22.2%
Neutral380+1.6%+2.4%+6.4%+15.0%
Distribution73+1.6%+5.7%+11.5%+11.8%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average AIP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AIP price, zone by zone.Track AIP in Gekko

Is Arteris stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Arteris trades 28.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.19, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Arteris shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$30.19

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

28.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 42.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$30$22Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AIP in Gekko

Arteris insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Arteris, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AIP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AIP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AIP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AIP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AIP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AIP in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold AIP.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Arteris earnings: next date and track record

Arteris reports on Nov 3, 2026, after the close (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+25.6%Nov ’24+2.4%Feb ’25−4.6%May ’25+4.7%Aug ’25+18.6%Nov ’25−3.2%Feb ’26+7.3%May ’26−3.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Arteris reported record Q2 2026 results with annual contract value plus royalties reaching $99.5 million, a 44% year-over-year increase. Revenue, royalties, and RPO backlog all hit record levels. Growth was driven by enterprise computing and automotive verticals, with AI/HPC use cases dominating customer design starts. No single customer exceeded 10% of revenue, and trailing 12-month design starts grew 21% year-over-year.
Guidance
Full year and Q3 2026 guidance details were referenced but not yet provided in this transcript excerpt. Management highlighted continued momentum in AI infrastructure and data center markets as key growth drivers for the remainder of 2026.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026−$0.24
est −$0.16
−50.0%$24.13M
est $23.48M
+2.8%−3.7%
May 12, 2026−$0.03
est −$0.08
+62.5%$22.94M
est $21.03M
+9.1%+7.3%
Feb 12, 2026−$0.05
est −$0.08
+37.5%$20.14M
est $18.55M
+8.6%−3.2%
Nov 4, 2025−$0.09
est −$0.11
+18.2%$17.41M
est $18.55M
−6.2%+18.6%
Aug 5, 2025−$0.11
est −$0.11
0.0%$16.50M
est $16.35M
+0.9%+4.7%
May 13, 2025−$0.09
est −$0.11
+18.2%$16.53M
est $15.93M
+3.8%−4.6%
Feb 18, 2025−$0.10
est −$0.11
+9.1%$15.49M
est $15.34M
+1.0%+2.4%
Nov 5, 2024−$0.08
est −$0.12
+33.3%$14.71M
est $15.18M
−3.1%+25.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Arteris stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Arteris is $39.43, +83.7% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$39.43consensus 12-month target, +83.7% from the last close
Low $30High $50
Buy7
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21Craig-HallumBuy, initiated$30+39.8%
Sep 21Craig-HallumBuy, initiated$30+39.8%
Sep 3Northland SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$38+77.1%
Aug 7TD CowenBuy, reiterated$40+86.4%
Aug 7JefferiesBuy, upgraded$50+133.0%
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Arteris seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Arteris averaged +7.3% across the last 4 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−15.3%2022+9.4%2023+16.9%2024+16.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%2 of 4
Next 10 trading days−2.4%1 of 4
Next 15 trading days−2.1%1 of 4
Next 20 trading days+7.3%3 of 4
Next 30 trading days−2.8%2 of 4

For scale, AIP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13.3%.

Arteris market cap and key statistics

Arteris’s market cap is $990.6M and revenue of $84.62M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$990.6M
Forward P/E
172.4
EPS, TTM
−$0.87
Gekko Fair Value
$30.19

Trading

Volume
518,520
Avg volume, 20 days
661,720
52-week high
$50.26
52-week low
$12.06
Shares outstanding
49.15M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$84.62M
Profit margin
-46.7%
Return on equity
-131.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.90
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±13.3%

Arteris stock news this week

Coverage of Arteris this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 8 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Arteris peers

Arteris’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.0%Neutral14.8% below
AVGOBroadcom−1.3%Neutral1.3% below
MUMicron Technology−1.3%Accumulation27.3% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−0.9%Neutral13.2% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Accumulation1.5% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.4%Neutral8.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Arteris stock FAQ

What is Arteris’s market cap?

Arteris’s market cap is $990.6M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.46, with 49.15M shares outstanding.

What is the Arteris stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Arteris is $39.43, +83.7% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Arteris stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Arteris is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $21.46 is 28.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Arteris report earnings next?

Arteris is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, after the market closes (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.04 per share on revenue of $24.50M. Arteris beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.8% on average across the report.

What is Arteris’s 52-week high and low?

Arteris’s 52-week high is $50.26 and its 52-week low is $12.06; it closed at $21.46 on Oct 12, 2026, +63.7% over the past year.

Is Arteris stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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