NYSE: RBRK

Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$113.09+3.54 (+3.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news for Rubrik centers on CEO Bipul Sinha's share arrangement: a Form 144 filing disclosed his intention to sell 500,000 Class A shares valued at $56,900,000 through a pre-paid forward sale contract with Goldman Sachs, with a related report noting his share vehicle is set to receive a $42.1 million payment tied to the same contract. Separate coverage compared Rubrik with Pony AI across business fundamentals. No product, deal, or earnings-related headlines accompanied these items this week.

Rubrik closed at $113.09, up 3.2%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $92.92 and 200-day average of $71.23, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 48.5, placing it in the Neutral zone, with a five-day change of 1.4. The stock trades 9.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.4, and sits near its 52-week high of $116.12, well above its 52-week low of $42.25.

Rubrik's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 December 2026, after the close, 65 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The last report on 27 August 2026 beat estimates, with actual EPS of -0.27 against a -0.34 estimate, though the stock reacted -3.2%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst coverage shows 24 firms rating the stock buy, with a consensus target of $120.15, implying 6.2% upside from current levels.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Rubrik price vs fair value

$113.09$103.40Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $113.09200-day averageGekko Fair Value $103.40

Rubrik quick facts

Market cap
$23.28B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
625
EPS, TTM
−$1.25
Revenue, TTM
$1.54B
Profit margin
-16.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.24
Volume
2.66M avg 3.34M
1-year return
+37.9%
Typical daily move
±5.4%
Typical 20-day move
±10.4%
50-day average
$92.92
200-day average
$71.23
Next earnings
Dec 3 after close
Shares outstanding
161.0M
52-week range
$42.25$116.12

Rubrik swing-trade checklist

Rubrik scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $113.09 is above the 50-day ($92.92) and 200-day ($71.23) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.5, Neutral

    Reading 48.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    9.4% above

    Price is 9.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 65 days

    Next report Dec 3, 2026, 65 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Rubrik stock chart and price history

Rubrik closed at $113.09 on Sep 28, 2026, +37.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $42.25 to $116.12.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Rubrik share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$60$80$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep113.09

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.7%
3 months
+47.8%
6 months
+147.3%
1 year
+37.9%
The full RBRK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RBRK in Gekko

Follow Rubrik through every session

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About Rubrik

Rubrik builds software that helps organizations keep their data safe, working with both individual users and larger businesses. Its product lineup handles protection for enterprise data, unstructured files, cloud-based systems, and SaaS applications, while also offering ways to detect data threats, gauge how secure a company's setup really is, and support recovery efforts once a cyber incident has occurred.

The company works with clients across many different lines of work, from banking and retail to transportation, energy, manufacturing, healthcare, life sciences, schools, tech firms, media outlets, communications providers, and public sector agencies, giving it a customer footprint that stretches well beyond one field.

Rubrik got its start in 2013 under the name Scaledata, Inc., before switching to its present name in October of the following year. Its main offices are located in Palo Alto, California, and its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker RBRK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Information technology services
Website
rubrik.com

Rubrik GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Rubrik’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.5, in the Neutral zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions.

010048.5Neutral

Up 1.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying19+3.3%+3.2%−2.7%+5.3%
Accumulation204+2.5%+4.5%+5.1%+10.9%
Neutral (current zone)320+1.0%+2.2%+6.4%+16.7%
Distribution59−0.9%0.0%+0.3%+10.3%
Selling0Not available

Average RBRK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RBRK price, zone by zone.Track RBRK in Gekko

Is Rubrik stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Rubrik trades 9.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.40, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Rubrik shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$103.40

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

9.4% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RBRK in Gekko

Rubrik insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Rubrik, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RBRK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RBRK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RBRK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RBRK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RBRK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RBRK in Gekko

Buybacks

Rubrik has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2025
$13.49M
As a share of market cap
0.06%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RBRK.

1added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Rubrik earnings: next date and track record

Rubrik reports on Dec 3, 2026, after the close (65 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+22.8%Dec ’24+23.7%Mar ’25−0.6%Jun ’25−15.6%Sep ’25+20.8%Dec ’25−7.1%Mar ’26−7.6%Jun ’26−3.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Rubrik reported Q2 FY2027 results with subscription ARR of $1.66B (up 33% YoY), subscription revenue of $407M (up 37% YoY), and net new subscription ARR of ~$96M. NRR remained strong at 119%+, with 3,084 customers exceeding $100K ARR (up 23% YoY). The company generated $66M in free cash flow and improved subscription ARR contribution margin by 460 basis points YoY, marking 10 consecutive quarters of outperformance.
Guidance
Management raised full fiscal year 2027 outlook following Q2 outperformance across all guided metrics. Accelerating net new subscription ARR growth signals continued demand durability. Specific Q3 and full-year targets were referenced but not yet detailed in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 27, 2026−$0.27
est −$0.34
+20.6%$427.3M
est $396.3M
+7.8%−3.2%
Jun 4, 2026$0.16
est −$0.03
+633.3%$387.1M
est $366.3M
+5.7%−7.6%
Mar 12, 2026$0.04
est −$0.11
+136.4%$377.7M
est $342.3M
+10.3%−7.1%
Dec 4, 2025$0.10
est −$0.17
+158.9%$350.2M
est $320.5M
+9.3%+20.8%
Sep 9, 2025−$0.03
est −$0.34
+91.1%$309.9M
est $282.2M
+9.8%−15.6%
Jun 5, 2025−$0.15
est −$0.32
+53.3%$278.5M
est $260.4M
+7.0%−0.6%
Mar 13, 2025−$0.18
est −$0.39
+53.7%$258.1M
est $233.1M
+10.7%+23.7%
Dec 5, 2024−$0.21
est −$0.40
+47.5%$236.2M
est $217.5M
+8.6%+22.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Rubrik stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Rubrik is $120.15, +6.2% from the last close, from 24 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$120.15consensus 12-month target, +6.2% from the last close
Low $100High $139
Buy24
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 24 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 27Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$139+22.9%
Sep 22Robert W. BairdBuy, maintained$139+22.9%
Sep 10WedbushBuy, initiated$120+6.1%
Aug 31CitiBuy, maintained$130+15.0%
Aug 31CIBCBuy, maintained$120+6.1%
+6.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±5.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Rubrik market cap and key statistics

Rubrik’s market cap is $23.28B and revenue of $1.54B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$23.28B
Forward P/E
625
EPS, TTM
−$1.25
Gekko Fair Value
$103.40

Trading

Volume
2.66M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.34M
52-week high
$116.12
52-week low
$42.25
Shares outstanding
161.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.54B
Profit margin
-16.5%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.24
Typical daily move
±5.4%
Typical 20-day move
±10.4%

Rubrik peers

Rubrik’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
IBMInternational Business Machines−0.8%Accumulation16.1% below
FTNTFortinet+3.3%Neutral32.5% above
NETCloudflare+4.3%Neutral22.9% above
ACNAccenture+0.6%Neutral9.7% below
WDAYWorkday+2.3%Neutral13.2% above
CRDOCredo Technology−6.5%Neutral19.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Rubrik stock FAQ

What is Rubrik’s market cap?

Rubrik’s market cap is $23.28B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $113.09, with 161.0M shares outstanding.

What is the Rubrik stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Rubrik is $120.15, +6.2% from the last close. Of the 24 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 24 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Rubrik stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Rubrik is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $113.09 is 9.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $103.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Rubrik report earnings next?

Rubrik is expected to report on Dec 3, 2026, after the market closes (65 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.09 per share on revenue of $429.6M. Rubrik beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.7% on average across the report.

What is Rubrik’s 52-week high and low?

Rubrik’s 52-week high is $116.12 and its 52-week low is $42.25; it closed at $113.09 on Sep 28, 2026, +37.9% over the past year.

Is Rubrik stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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