KE (BEKE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$16.95+0.62 (+3.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's news around KE centers on share sales by existing holders rather than operational developments: Ever Orient International Limited proposed selling 5,344,661 American Depositary Shares valued at $89.2 million, originally allotted under a 2018 incentive plan, while Clover Rich Limited planned an $18,374,307.3 sale of 1,108,890 ADS through Goldman Sachs. Separately, KE Holdings confirmed its total issued shares remain at 3.3 billion despite repurchasing 529,269 shares at USD 5.6627 each, with those shares not yet cancelled. Form 4 and Form 144 filings from insiders were also noted during the period.

KE closed at $16.95, up 3.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $16.98 and 200-day average of $16.77. The GekkoIndex reads 59, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, with the index down 2.2 over five days. Price stands 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.23. Over the past year the stock is down 12.4%, though the three-month return is 16.5%.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 10 November 2026, 42 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality data covering five years shows the next 20 trading days from this point averaged a 3.6% return, with gains in 3 of those years. Consensus among 5 analysts stands at buy ratings across the board, with a consensus target of $23.82.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

KE price vs fair value

$19.23$16.95Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $16.95200-day averageGekko Fair Value $19.23

KE quick facts

Market cap
$18.73B
P/E ratio
26.5
Forward P/E
12.1
EPS, TTM
$0.63
Revenue, TTM
$88.67B
Profit margin
5.3%
Dividend yield
1.66%
Beta
-0.26
Volume
5.92M avg 5.01M
1-year return
−12.4%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
50-day average
$16.98
200-day average
$16.77
Next earnings
Nov 10
Shares outstanding
1.06B
52-week range
$13.81$20.65

KE swing-trade checklist

KE scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $16.95 sits between the 50-day ($16.98) and 200-day ($16.77) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59, Neutral

    Reading 59 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.9% below

    Price is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 42 days

    Next report Nov 10, 2026, 42 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

KE stock chart and price history

KE closed at $16.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −12.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $13.81 to $20.65.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
KE share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$14$16$18$20NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep16.95

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.4%
3 months
+16.5%
6 months
+10.6%
1 year
−12.4%
The full BEKE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open BEKE in Gekko

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About KE

KE brings together web-based tools and a physical network of offices to help people buy, sell, and rent homes across China. The company groups its work into five areas: sales of homes already on the market, sales of newly built homes, help with renovating and furnishing living spaces, services tied to rental properties, and a set of newer, still-developing offerings. Among its holdings, KE is widely recognized for Lianjia, a long-running brokerage chain, and for Beike, the platform that links its digital services with its network of physical stores.

The company also runs a system called the Agent Cooperation Network, meant to let different service providers coordinate with one another and share in the benefits of doing so. Its brands include Deyou, which connects independent brokerage outlets, along with several other labels it owns. In addition to arranging property sales, KE manages rental units on behalf of owners and provides related support such as handling payments securely, holding funds in escrow, and assisting with contracts.

KE traces its founding back to 2001 and is based in Beijing, China. Its shares are listed under the ticker BEKE.

Sector
Finance
Website
bj.ke.com

KE GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

KE’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59, in the Neutral zone, down 2.2 points over five sessions.

010059Neutral

Down 2.2 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying17+4.1%+8.1%+8.9%+14.8%
Accumulation278+0.5%+1.6%+3.5%+8.1%
Neutral (current zone)294−0.1%−0.2%+0.1%−3.0%
Distribution31+2.3%+0.5%−3.6%−7.7%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average BEKE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the BEKE price, zone by zone.Track BEKE in Gekko

Is KE stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

KE trades 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.23, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what KE shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$19.23

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

11.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open BEKE in Gekko

KE insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for KE, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for BEKE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every BEKE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BEKE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in BEKE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for BEKE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open BEKE in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds BEKE.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

KE earnings: next date and track record

KE reports on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.1%Nov ’24−10.5%Mar ’25−4.9%May ’25−5.5%Aug ’25+5.2%Nov ’25+1.7%Mar ’26+1.5%May ’26+4.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
BEKE reported Q2 2026 GTV growth of 6.3% YoY to approximately RMB 888 billion, while revenue declined 5.7% YoY. Non-GAAP net income surged 74.9% YoY to RMB 3.185 billion, with non-GAAP net margin reaching 13%, a three-year high. Gross margin expanded 6.7 percentage points YoY to 28.6%, driven by cost discipline and operating efficiency. Existing home GTV rose 8% YoY; new home GTV grew 1.2% YoY; home renovation revenue fell 30.1% YoY due to strategic market exits.
Guidance
Management highlighted ongoing strategic transformation focused on higher-margin platform services and operational efficiency. Home renovation restructuring continues with exits from weak-unit-economics cities. No specific revenue or earnings targets were provided in this excerpt.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 21, 2026$0.42
est $0.31
+35.5%$3.61B
est $3.59B
+0.7%+4.2%
May 19, 2026$0.20
est $0.14
+42.9%$2.74B
est $2.70B
+1.4%+1.5%
Mar 16, 2026$0.07
est $0.10
−33.1%$3.17B
est $3.17B
0.0%+1.7%
Nov 10, 2025$0.16
est $0.16
0.0%$3.24B
est $3.12B
+3.7%+5.2%
Aug 26, 2025$0.22
est $0.22
0.0%$3.63B
est $3.65B
−0.7%−5.5%
May 15, 2025$0.16
est $0.16
0.0%$3.20B
est $3.12B
+2.8%−4.9%
Mar 18, 2025$0.16
est $0.26
−38.5%$4.26B
est $3.78B
+12.7%−10.5%
Nov 21, 2024$0.22
est $0.21
+4.8%$3.22B
est $3.27B
−1.7%−4.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

KE stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for KE is $23.82, +40.5% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$23.82consensus 12-month target, +40.5% from the last close
Low $22.40High $26
Buy5
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 24DBSBuy, reiterated$25.21+48.7%
Aug 24Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$24+41.6%
Aug 24BarclaysBuy, reiterated$26+53.4%
Aug 24CMB International SecuritiesBuy, maintained$22.40+32.2%
Aug 19CLSABuy, initiated$23.80+40.4%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

KE seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, KE averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+35.9%2021−41.0%2022+4.8%2023+3.8%2024−8.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+10.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+7.6%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.4%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−2.5%2 of 5

For scale, BEKE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.

KE market cap and key statistics

KE’s market cap is $18.73B, with a P/E ratio of 26.5 and revenue of $88.67B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$18.73B
P/E ratio
26.5
Forward P/E
12.1
EPS, TTM
$0.63
Gekko Fair Value
$19.23

Trading

Volume
5.92M
Avg volume, 20 days
5.01M
52-week high
$20.65
52-week low
$13.81
Shares outstanding
1.06B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$88.67B
Profit margin
5.3%
Return on equity
7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+111.4%

Risk and income

Beta
-0.26
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8%
Dividend yield
1.66%

KE stock news this week

Coverage of KE this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 7 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

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KE stock FAQ

What is KE’s market cap?

KE’s market cap is $18.73B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $16.95, with 1.06B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 26.5.

What is the KE stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for KE is $23.82, +40.5% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is KE stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate KE is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $16.95 is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $19.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does KE report earnings next?

KE is expected to report on Nov 10, 2026 (42 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.25 per share on revenue of $3.10B. KE beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.

What is KE’s 52-week high and low?

KE’s 52-week high is $20.65 and its 52-week low is $13.81; it closed at $16.95 on Sep 28, 2026, −12.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $26.05 on Oct 4, 2024.

Is KE stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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