NYSE: CRCL

Circle Internet (CRCL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$85.80−3.20 (−3.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Circle Internet's stock slides this week after the company announced that CFO Jeremy Fox-Geen will step down following more than five years in the role, a transition unveiled alongside ongoing revenue challenges. Also in the mix is product and partnership news, with Circle and Volante Technologies advancing stablecoin payment and settlement capabilities for financial institutions, and CEO Jeremy Allaire describing the newly launched Arc blockchain network as the company's biggest platform launch, with the network nearing $1 billion. Broader commentary points to Circle's institutional positioning, with H1 2026 revenue of $1.25 billion tied largely to interest income on Treasuries backing USDC.

Shares close at $85.80, down 3.6% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $80.10 and the 200-day average of $86.08, with a 52-week range of $49.90 to $159.47. The stock's one-month return is -9%, though it holds a 13% gain over three months. The GekkoIndex reads 62.8, placing it in the Accumulation zone, up 5.2 over five days. Price sits 4.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.93.

The next earnings date falls on 11 November, 43 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. Over the last 30 days, 7 unusual options signals have registered, with put premium of $18,238,863 against call premium of $15,681,510. Analyst coverage spans 22 firms, with 13 buy, 6 hold and 3 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $104.68. A Form 4 filing from 24 September is also on record.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Circle Internet price vs fair value

$89.93$85.80Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $85.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $89.93

Circle Internet quick facts

Market cap
$22.93B
P/E ratio
17.8
Forward P/E
74.6
EPS, TTM
$4.99
Revenue, TTM
$2.91B
Profit margin
15.5%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
9.68M avg 15.04M
1-year return
−31.2%
Typical daily move
±7.4%
Typical 20-day move
±19.4%
50-day average
$80.10
200-day average
$86.08
Next earnings
Nov 11 before open
Shares outstanding
234.7M
52-week range
$49.90$159.47

Circle Internet swing-trade checklist

Circle Internet scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $85.80 sits between the 50-day ($80.10) and 200-day ($86.08) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.8, Accumulation

    Reading 62.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.6% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.6% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 7 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 11, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Circle Internet stock chart and price history

Circle Internet closed at $85.80 on Sep 28, 2026, −31.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $49.90 to $159.47.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Circle Internet share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$100$120$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep85.80

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.0%
3 months
+13.0%
6 months
−8.4%
1 year
−31.2%
The full CRCL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CRCL in Gekko

Follow Circle Internet through every session

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About Circle Internet

Circle Internet builds and runs the underlying infrastructure that supports stablecoins and blockchain-based applications. It provides a wide range of stablecoin products and services that let businesses tap into digital currencies and internet-based finance, and it is known in particular for issuing a stablecoin tied to the value of the U.S. dollar.

Its network brings together several pieces of this system, including its own branded stablecoins, tokenized investment funds, liquidity services, tools for processing payments, and support for developers and companies integrating its technology. This positions Circle Internet as a platform that other organizations build on top of, rather than a single standalone product.

The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker CRCL.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
circle.com

Circle Internet GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Circle Internet’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.2 points over five sessions.

010062.8Accumulation

Up 5.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26−2.1%+2.0%+23.3%+23.6%
Accumulation (current zone)129+0.2%−0.4%+4.8%+2.8%
Neutral138−1.6%−2.4%−10.6%−26.3%
Distribution28+17.2%+14.8%+8.4%−0.9%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average CRCL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CRCL price, zone by zone.Track CRCL in Gekko

Is Circle Internet stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Circle Internet trades 4.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.93, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Circle Internet shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$89.93

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

4.6% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CRCL in Gekko

Circle Internet insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Circle Internet, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CRCL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CRCL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRCL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CRCL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CRCL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CRCL in Gekko

Buybacks

Circle Internet has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2023
$8.75M
As a share of market cap
0.04%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

7signals, 46% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 29, $923K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CRCL.

0added1opened0trimmed3sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Circle Internet earnings: next date and track record

Circle Internet reports on Nov 11, 2026, before the open (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 5 reports.

5 of 5reports beat the EPS estimate
±14.4%average move across the report
2 of 5reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.0%Aug ’25−16.2%Nov ’25+42.1%Feb ’26+8.8%May ’260.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Circle held its Q2 2026 earnings call emphasizing its leadership in stablecoins, regulatory progress, product expansion, and network growth. Management highlighted USDC's strong market share (nearly 70% of stablecoin transaction volume in June) and 19% year-over-year growth in USDC circulation to $73.3B (average circulation $76.5B). Circle emphasized its regulatory positioning (55+ licenses), renewed Coinbase distribution agreement, growing on-platform holdings ($12.4B, up 106% YoY), and reserve returns of 3.48% (down 66 bps YoY due to SOFR declines). Revenue including reserve income was $701M, up 7% YoY. Management discussed strategic initiatives: CPN payments product (annualized TPV $23B as of July 31), Arc operating system and ARC token presale, agentic products and marketplaces, National Trust Bank approval, and partnerships with Visa, Mastercard, Coinbase and others. Guidance noted other revenue growth with a 2026 target ~ $300M and year-end margin trajectory consistent with prior guide after adjusting for $180M deferred revenue; management emphasized prioritizing reinvestment over dividends and maintaining a strong balance sheet. Q&A focused on CLARITY Act timing, distribution economics vs. consortium stablecoin, Hyperliquid revenue share mechanics, Arc presale and revenue composition, subscription/service revenues lumpiness, agentic roadmap, and USDC's position in x402 payments.
Guidance
Management provided forward-looking guidance: other revenue guided to a range around $300 million in 2026 (noted as a guided range of around $300M); year-end margin/earnings guide consistent with prior guide after adjusting for $180 million of expected-to-be-recognized revenue; continued expectation that Arc and CPN will begin contributing meaningful revenue going forward. No explicit numeric EPS or revenue full-year targets beyond the other revenue figure and commentary on reserve return trajectory were provided.
Risks flagged
Risks mentioned include legislative uncertainty around the CLARITY Act timing, macro/digital asset market volatility (digital asset market cap down ~40% YoY affecting trading, DeFi, collateral demand), reserve return sensitivity to benchmark rates (SOFR decline lowering reserve return rate), competition and distribution dynamics (other consortium coins and open standard distribution models), and lumpiness/uncertainty in subscription and services revenue from blockchain partnerships. Also implied execution risks around scaling Arc, CPN monetization timing, and regulatory rulemaking timelines.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.18
est $0.16
+12.5%$701.3M
est $713.1M
−1.7%0.0%
May 11, 2026$0.21
est $0.18
+16.7%$694.1M
est $714.7M
−2.9%+8.8%
Feb 25, 2026$0.56
est $0.25
+124.0%$770.2M
est $749.2M
+2.8%+42.1%
Nov 12, 2025$0.64
est $0.19
+234.7%$739.8M
est $708.2M
+4.5%−16.2%
Aug 12, 2025$1.02
est −$1.10
+192.7%$658.1M
est $645.7M
+1.9%−5.0%
Jun 5, 2025$0.29—$578.6M——
May 16, 2025$0.29—$578.6M——

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Circle Internet stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Circle Internet is $104.68, +22.0% from the last close, from 22 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$104.68consensus 12-month target, +22.0% from the last close
Low $37High $175
Buy13
Hold6
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 22 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28MonnessBuy, reiterated$175+104.0%
Sep 23Clear StreetBuy, maintained$107+24.7%
Sep 22William BlairBuy, maintained——
Sep 21BernsteinBuy, maintained$140+63.2%
Sep 17TD CowenBuy, reiterated$92+7.2%
+4.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±7.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Circle Internet market cap and key statistics

Circle Internet’s market cap is $22.93B, with a P/E ratio of 17.8 and revenue of $2.91B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$22.93B
P/E ratio
17.8
Forward P/E
74.6
EPS, TTM
$4.99
Gekko Fair Value
$89.93

Trading

Volume
9.68M
Avg volume, 20 days
15.04M
52-week high
$159.47
52-week low
$49.90
Shares outstanding
234.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.91B
Profit margin
15.5%
Return on equity
15.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−80.9%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±7.4%
Typical 20-day move
±19.4%

Circle Internet peers

Circle Internet’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft+0.7%Neutral17.3% above
PLTRPalantir Technologies+0.7%Neutral15.7% above
ORCLOracle−0.1%Accumulation25.9% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks+5.8%Neutral16.1% above
CRWDCrowdStrike+4.2%Neutral27.2% above
CRMSalesforce+1.0%Neutral5.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Circle Internet stock FAQ

What is Circle Internet’s market cap?

Circle Internet’s market cap is $22.93B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $85.80, with 234.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 17.8.

What is the Circle Internet stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Circle Internet is $104.68, +22.0% from the last close. Of the 22 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 13 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Circle Internet stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Circle Internet is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $85.80 is 4.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.93. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Circle Internet report earnings next?

Circle Internet is expected to report on Nov 11, 2026, before the market opens (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.38 per share on revenue of $785.8M. Circle Internet beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 5 reports, moving 14.4% on average across the report.

What is Circle Internet’s 52-week high and low?

Circle Internet’s 52-week high is $159.47 and its 52-week low is $49.90; it closed at $85.80 on Sep 28, 2026, −31.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $298.99 on Jun 23, 2025.

Is Circle Internet stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Circle Internet?

Gekko flagged 7 unusual options signals in Circle Internet over the last 30 days, with $15.68M of flagged premium in calls and $18.24M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 29, 2026 with $923K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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