NASDAQ: PLTR

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Palantir Technologies Inc. Technology services sector, packaged software industry. Market cap $407.9B.

$177.64+1.40 (+0.8%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Palantir trades at $177.64, up 0.8%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $158.26 and 200-day average of $151.75, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 53, placing the stock in the Neutral zone after a five-point change of -6.2. Price sits 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $159.64, a gap worth watching.

Coverage this week centers on Palantir's Q2 2026 results, which showed revenue growth of 93% year-over-year, with commercial revenue surging past $945 million and narrowing the gap with government revenue to $45 million. Analyst attention has followed, with UBS naming Palantir among its top tech picks, while other pieces have weighed long-term valuation questions against the growth figures. Ownership activity also drew notice, including a new stake taken by Nykredit A/S worth approximately $83,661,000, alongside a reported reduction in Palantir shares within Cathie Wood's Ark Innovation ETF.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is set for 2 November 2026, 43 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Congressional activity over the past 90 days shows 3 buys and 0 sells, and unusual options signals over the past 30 days number 2, with call premium of $72,136,664 well above put premium of $14,110,438. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.6% gain over 5 years, positive in 3 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current fair value gap.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $177.64200-day averageGekko Fair Value $159.64

Key stats

Market cap
$407.9B
P/E ratio
149.4
Forward P/E
78.1
EPS, TTM
$1.18
Revenue, TTM
$6.16B
Profit margin
49%
Dividend yield
Beta
1.62
Volume
38.57M avg 28.36M
1-year return
+5.5%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.7%
50-day average
$158.26
200-day average
$151.75
Next earnings
Nov 2 after close
Shares outstanding
2.30B
52-week range
$106.37$207.52

Palantir Technologies swing-trade checklist

Palantir Technologies scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $177.64 is above the 50-day ($158.26) and 200-day ($151.75) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53, Neutral

    Reading 53 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    11.3% above

    Price is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 43 days

    Next report Nov 2, 2026, 43 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Palantir Technologies stock chart and price history

Palantir Technologies closed at $177.64 on Sep 18, 2026, +5.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $106.37 to $207.52.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.4%
3 months
+38.3%
6 months
+14.1%
1 year
+5.5%
The full PLTR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PLTR in Gekko

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About Palantir Technologies

Palantir Technologies builds software platforms used mainly by intelligence and defense organizations, including agencies working on counterterrorism efforts in the United States, the United Kingdom, and other countries. It is best known for Gotham, a system that helps analysts sift through varied information sources, such as signals intelligence and informant reports, to find patterns and then pass findings to operational teams who act on them.

Beyond its defense-focused tools, the company also serves broader organizational needs. Foundry acts as a central hub where a client's own data can be brought together and worked with in one place. Apollo handles the rollout of software and updates across an enterprise, letting clients run their systems in a wide range of environments. Its AIP platform connects organizations to open-source, self-hosted, and commercial language models, turning raw data and workflows into resources that both people and AI-driven agents can use.

Palantir Technologies was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PLTR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Packaged software
Website
palantir.com

Palantir Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Palantir Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53, in the Neutral zone, down 6.2 points over five sessions.

010053Neutral

Down 6.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying13+2.6%+2.4%+15.2%+22.4%
Accumulation141+3.9%+6.1%+9.1%+14.7%
Neutral (current zone)440+2.0%+4.9%+9.3%+21.9%
Distribution610.0%−0.8%+1.6%+25.9%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average PLTR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PLTR price, zone by zone.Track PLTR in Gekko

Is Palantir Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Palantir Technologies trades 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $159.64, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Palantir Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$159.64

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

11.3% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PLTR in Gekko

Palantir Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Palantir Technologies, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PLTR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PLTR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PLTR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Jul 16
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Palantir Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$19.20M
As a share of market cap
0.00%
Trailing four quarters
$74.99M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 84% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $32.56M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold PLTR.

0added0opened0trimmed4sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Palantir Technologies earnings: next date and track record

Palantir Technologies reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (43 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±15.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+22.0%Nov ’24+25.9%Feb ’25−12.4%May ’25+12.3%Aug ’25−4.9%Nov ’25+7.7%Feb ’26−5.7%May ’26+32.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Palantir reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 93% year-over-year, driven by U.S. business comprising 81% of total revenue growing 115% YoY. U.S. commercial revenue surged 149% YoY and U.S. government revenue grew 90% YoY. The company achieved a Rule of 40 score of 155% and $1.22 billion in adjusted free cash flow. Record 220 deals worth $1M+ were closed, including a $370M three-year deal with a multinational technology company.
Guidance
No explicit forward-looking guidance or specific revenue targets were provided in this excerpt. Management implied continued momentum based on accelerating deal volume and expanding customer relationships across commercial and government segments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 3, 2026$0.41
est $0.28
+46.4%$1.94B
est $1.81B
+6.8%+32.2%
May 4, 2026$0.33
est $0.28
+19.0%$1.63B
est $1.54B
+5.9%−5.7%
Feb 2, 2026$0.25
est $0.23
+8.6%$1.41B
est $1.34B
+4.9%+7.7%
Nov 3, 2025$0.21
est $0.17
+25.1%$1.18B
est $1.09B
+8.2%−4.9%
Aug 4, 2025$0.16
est $0.14
+15.8%$1.00B
est $937.7M
+7.0%+12.3%
May 5, 2025$0.13
est $0.13
+1.1%$883.9M
est $862.2M
+2.5%−12.4%
Feb 3, 2025$0.14
est $0.11
+27.3%$827.5M
est $869.3M
−4.8%+25.9%
Nov 4, 2024$0.10
est $0.09
+10.4%$725.5M
est $705.1M
+2.9%+22.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Palantir Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Palantir Technologies is $196.84, +10.8% from the last close, from 23 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$196.84consensus 12-month target, +10.8% from the last close
Low $80High $255
Buy17
Hold4
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 23 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Truist FinancialBuy, maintained
Sep 15UBSBuy, reiterated$250+40.7%
Sep 14OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$200+12.6%
Sep 11D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$250+40.7%
Sep 11Rosenblatt SecuritiesBuy, maintained$225+26.7%
+9.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Palantir Technologies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Palantir Technologies averaged +4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.6%2021+1.0%2022+17.8%2023+14.0%2024−2.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.9%4 of 5

For scale, PLTR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.7%.

Palantir Technologies market cap and key statistics

Palantir Technologies’s market cap is $407.9B, with a P/E ratio of 149.4 and revenue of $6.16B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$407.9B
P/E ratio
149.4
Forward P/E
78.1
EPS, TTM
$1.18
Gekko Fair Value
$159.64

Trading

Volume
38.57M
Avg volume, 20 days
28.36M
52-week high
$207.52
52-week low
$106.37
Shares outstanding
2.30B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.16B
Profit margin
49%
Return on equity
38.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+215.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.62
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±11.7%

Palantir Technologies peers

Palantir Technologies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
MSFTMicrosoft−0.8%Neutral13.4% above
ORCLOracle−1.9%Neutral17.7% below
PANWPalo Alto Networks−3.1%Neutral8.9% above
CRWDCrowdStrike−3.8%Neutral19.0% above
CRMSalesforce−2.6%Neutral1.3% below
NOWServiceNow−3.0%Neutral9.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Palantir Technologies stock FAQ

What is Palantir Technologies’s market cap?

Palantir Technologies’s market cap is $407.9B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $177.64, with 2.30B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 149.4.

What is the Palantir Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Palantir Technologies is $196.84, +10.8% from the last close. Of the 23 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Palantir Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Palantir Technologies is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $177.64 is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $159.64. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Palantir Technologies report earnings next?

Palantir Technologies is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (43 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.41 per share on revenue of $2.17B. Palantir Technologies beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 15.4% on average across the report.

What is Palantir Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

Palantir Technologies’s 52-week high is $207.52 and its 52-week low is $106.37; it closed at $177.64 on Sep 18, 2026, +5.5% over the past year.

Is Palantir Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Palantir Technologies?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Palantir Technologies over the last 30 days, with $72.14M of flagged premium in calls and $14.11M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $32.56M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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