Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ADP in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ADP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADP in Gekko
NASDAQ: ADP
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$303.54+7.53 (+2.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeAutomatic Data Processing advances this week on the back of a strong broad market session, with ADP closing at $303.54, up 2.54%, outperforming peers as the S&P 500 rose 1.58% and the Dow gained 3.03%. The move follows ADP's recent earnings beat and a raised fiscal 2027 adjusted earnings growth outlook of 10-12%, even as an executive disclosed a planned share sale under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. Separately, the ADP National Employment Report showed private-sector employment rising by 86,000 jobs in October, with base pay up 3.2% year over year.
At $303.54, ADP sits above its 50-day average of $278.29 and its 200-day average of $240.99, and closes 1.89% below its 52-week high of $309.40. One-month, three-month, six-month and one-year returns stand at 15.7%, 11%, 46.5% and 18% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 48.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone after a five-point change of -5.2, while the price sits 2.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $296.22.
The next earnings date falls on 27 January 2027, 83 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. One billionaire holder is recorded in current positioning. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.9% gain over five years, rising in 5 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 4.1%.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Automatic Data Processing price vs fair value
Close $303.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $296.22
Automatic Data Processing quick facts
- Market cap
- $120.3B
- P/E ratio
- 26.5
- Forward P/E
- 23.8
- EPS, TTM
- $11.28
- Revenue, TTM
- $22.26B
- Profit margin
- 20.3%
- Dividend yield
- 2.31%
- Beta
- 0.79
- Volume
- 3.53M avg 2.18M
- 1-year return
- +18.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- 50-day average
- $278.29
- 200-day average
- $240.99
- Next earnings
- Jan 27 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 394.8M
Automatic Data Processing swing-trade checklist
Automatic Data Processing scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $303.54 is above the 50-day ($278.29) and 200-day ($240.99) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
48.3, Neutral
Reading 48.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.5% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 83 days
Next report Jan 27, 2027, 83 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Automatic Data Processing stock chart and price history
Automatic Data Processing closed at $303.54 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $188.16 to $309.40.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +15.7%
- 3 months
- +11.0%
- 6 months
- +46.5%
- 1 year
- +18.0%
The full ADP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ADP in Gekko
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About Automatic Data Processing
Automatic Data Processing builds cloud-based tools for managing the workforce, covering tasks like running payroll, administering benefits, hiring staff, tracking time and staying compliant with labor rules. Its offerings are typically bundled into broader human capital management platforms used by employers of varying sizes.
The business runs through two divisions. Employer Services handles the core HR outsourcing and cloud platforms, folding payroll, benefits, recruiting, workforce management, insurance, retirement plans and compliance work into unified packages. The Professional Employer Organization division focuses on smaller and mid-sized businesses, acting as a co-employer to provide benefits, compliance support, staffing help, HR guidance and recruitment outsourcing.
Automatic Data Processing was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Roseland, New Jersey. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker ADP.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Packaged software
- Website
- adp.com
Automatic Data Processing GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Automatic Data Processing’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.3, in the Neutral zone, down 5.2 points over five sessions.
48.3Neutral
Down 5.2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 39 | −0.7% | −0.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 234 | +0.3% | +0.2% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 367 | +0.3% | +1.3% | ||
| Distribution | 51 | −0.5% | −1.8% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ADP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ADP price, zone by zone.Track ADP in Gekko
Is Automatic Data Processing stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Automatic Data Processing trades 2.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $296.22, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Automatic Data Processing shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$296.22
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
2.5% above fair value · About fair value
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.3% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ADP in Gekko
Automatic Data Processing insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Automatic Data Processing, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ADP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ADP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ADP in Gekko
Buybacks
Automatic Data Processing has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $758.8M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.63%
- Trailing four quarters
- $2.48B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds ADP.
0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Automatic Data Processing earnings: next date and track record
Automatic Data Processing reports on Jan 27, 2027, before the open (83 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 27, 2027
Expected before the open, 83 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.90
- Revenue estimate
- $5.68B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ADP reported a strong FY2026 and Q4 performance with 7% revenue growth, 140 bps adjusted EBIT margin expansion in Q4, and 17% adjusted EPS growth. Employer Services delivered $2.2 billion in new business bookings (6% growth) and strong retention. Management highlighted momentum in the Lyric platform, international deals, Workforce Suite integrations, and AI-infused tools (The Zone) driving productivity, client satisfaction, and service efficiency. Pricing contributed ahead of expectations (~130 bps) and float balances remained durable, supporting investment and margins. Fiscal 2027 guidance is positioned prudently with a range for bookings and revenue growth similar to FY2026, while management expects continued margin expansion driven by productivity and AI, offset modestly by FX headwinds and the anniversary of Workforce Software. Management emphasized strong culture and execution, and remains open to selective M&A.
- Guidance
- Fiscal 2027 guidance (high-level): Management guided to a range for new bookings (similar wide range as FY2026, ~3 percentage points wide) and expects revenue growth broadly in line with FY2026 assumptions (ES ex-float roughly 4%–5% implied in discussion). Pricing contribution is expected to be similar to FY2026 (~130 bps). Management expects continued adjusted EBIT margin expansion driven by productivity and AI, with a slight FX headwind and no meaningful inorganic contribution (Workforce Software anniversaried).
- Risks flagged
- Risks mentioned or implied: FX exposure (slight headwinds expected); quarter-to-quarter bookings volatility because a small number of large deals can materially affect outcomes; early-stage nature of AI monetization (uncertain timing and magnitude); integration and execution risk for acquisitions; macro/employment trends that could impact pays-per-control and demand; regulatory/compliance complexity in international markets.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $2.64 est $2.59 | $5.47B est $5.44B | −0.1% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $3.37 est $3.30 | $5.94B est $5.85B | +6.4% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $2.62 est $2.57 | $5.36B est $5.34B | −3.4% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $2.49 est $2.44 | $5.18B est $5.14B | −6.5% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $2.26 est $2.23 | $5.13B est $5.04B | +0.3% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $3.06 est $2.97 | $5.55B est $5.49B | +1.0% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $2.35 est $2.30 | $5.05B est $4.97B | +1.7% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $2.33 est $2.21 | $4.83B est $4.77B | +0.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Automatic Data Processing stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Automatic Data Processing is $297.93, −1.8% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$297.93consensus 12-month target, −1.8% from the last close
Now $303.54Avg $297.93
Low $250High $340
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $336 | +10.7% |
| Oct 29 | Robert W. Baird | $308 | +1.5% |
| Oct 29 | Citi | $295 | −2.8% |
| Oct 29 | Stifel Nicolaus | $305 | +0.5% |
| Oct 29 | Stifel Nicolaus | $305 | +0.5% |
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Automatic Data Processing seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Automatic Data Processing averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.9% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.3% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, ADP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.
Automatic Data Processing market cap and key statistics
Automatic Data Processing’s market cap is $120.3B, with a P/E ratio of 26.5 and revenue of $22.26B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $120.3B
- P/E ratio
- 26.5
- Forward P/E
- 23.8
- EPS, TTM
- $11.28
- Gekko Fair Value
- $296.22
Trading
- Volume
- 3.53M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.18M
- 52-week high
- $309.40
- 52-week low
- $188.16
- Shares outstanding
- 394.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $22.26B
- Profit margin
- 20.3%
- Return on equity
- 78.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +13.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.79
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.1%
- Dividend yield
- 2.31%
Automatic Data Processing stock news this week
Coverage of Automatic Data Processing this week reads neutral: 9 positive, 10 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Automatic Data Processing Inc. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading dayMarketWatch, Nov 4
- Automatic Data Processing stock gets fresh insider-selling focusad-hoc-news.de, Nov 4
- ADP National Employment Report: Private-Sector Employment Increased by 86,000 Jobs in OctoberADP Media Center, Nov 4
- US Private Sector Adds 86,000 Jobs in October, ADP Says; White-Collar Roles Shrink for Third Straight MonthBigGo Finance, Nov 4
- ADP Employment Report is expected to show a moderate slowdown in job creation in OctoberFXStreet, Nov 4
- Gold prices holding $4,000 as ADP says US economy created 86k jobs in OctoberKitco, Nov 4
Automatic Data Processing peers
Automatic Data Processing’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| MSFTMicrosoft | Neutral | 17.8% above |
| PLTRPalantir Technologies | Accumulation | 4.7% below |
| ORCLOracle | Accumulation | 29.7% below |
| PANWPalo Alto Networks | Accumulation | 7.4% above |
| CRWDCrowdStrike | Neutral | 8.1% above |
| CRMSalesforce | Accumulation | 9.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Automatic Data Processing stock FAQ
What is Automatic Data Processing’s market cap?
Automatic Data Processing’s market cap is $120.3B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $303.54, with 394.8M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 26.5.
What is the Automatic Data Processing stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Automatic Data Processing is $297.93, −1.8% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Automatic Data Processing stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Automatic Data Processing is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $303.54 is 2.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $296.22. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Automatic Data Processing report earnings next?
Automatic Data Processing is expected to report on Jan 27, 2027, before the market opens (83 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.90 per share on revenue of $5.68B. Automatic Data Processing beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.5% on average across the report.
What is Automatic Data Processing’s 52-week high and low?
Automatic Data Processing’s 52-week high is $309.40 and its 52-week low is $188.16; it closed at $303.54 on Nov 4, 2026, +18.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $329.93 on Jun 6, 2025.
Is Automatic Data Processing stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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