NYSE: SO

Southern (SO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$93.12−0.63 (−0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Southern enters this week's trading dominated by its upcoming third-quarter earnings report, due 5 November, with attention centered on data-center electricity demand and large-load growth, alongside rising financing costs tied to its capital-intensive operations. Analysts have modeled $1.71 EPS and $8.38 billion in revenue for the quarter, following a prior quarter in which Southern beat EPS estimates but missed on revenue. Separately, the stock reacted to a shift in Georgia's regulatory landscape after Democrats secured a majority on the Georgia Public Service Commission, a change that follows a campaign centered on rate hikes and data-center power demand. The company also announced a leadership change, naming Kim Greene president of Southern Company Operations amid ongoing infrastructure investment.

Southern closed at $93.12, down 0.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $88.03 and 200-day average of $92.51. The GekkoIndex reading of 49.6 places the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 21.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $76.36.

The next 20 trading days begin with earnings landing the same day as this reading, 5 November 2026, a point historically tied to an average absolute reaction of 1.7%. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells in Southern. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a -0.3% return over 5 years, with gains occurring in 3 of those years. Analyst consensus places a target of $95.9 on the stock, reflecting a mix of 3 buy, 6 hold and 2 sell ratings across 11 firms.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Southern price vs fair value

$93.12$76.36Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $93.12200-day averageGekko Fair Value $76.36

Southern quick facts

Market cap
$107.1B
P/E ratio
22.6
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
$4.15
Revenue, TTM
$30.18B
Profit margin
15.4%
Dividend yield
3.15%
Beta
0.29
Volume
18.68M avg 6.27M
1-year return
0.0%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$88.03
200-day average
$92.51
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
1.15B
52-week range
$81.69$99.58

Southern swing-trade checklist

Southern scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $93.12 sits between the 50-day ($88.03) and 200-day ($92.51) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    49.6, Neutral

    Reading 49.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    21.9% above

    Price is 21.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports tomorrow

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, tomorrow — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Southern stock chart and price history

Southern closed at $93.12 on Nov 4, 2026, 0.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $81.69 to $99.58.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Southern share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$85$90$95$100DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct93.12

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+9.0%
3 months
+0.2%
6 months
−0.4%
1 year
0.0%
The full SO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SO in Gekko

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About Southern

Southern works as a utility business, producing and moving electricity and also handling natural gas distribution in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee. It runs a wide mix of power sources, from hydro, coal and gas-fired plants, and nuclear reactors to combined-cycle units, solar and wind farms, a fuel cell site, and battery storage, and it sells electricity into wholesale markets as well as to retail customers. Beyond power and gas, it operates some digital wireless and fiber optic communications services.

The company splits its gas-related activity into distribution, pipeline investments, wholesale supply, and marketing, while its electric side covers building, owning, and running generation assets, including renewable projects. Its gas network reaches homes, businesses, and industrial users through a large system of pipelines and several storage sites. Taken together, its electric and gas operations reach close to 8.7 million customers.

Southern traces back to 1945 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker SO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
southerncompany.com

Southern GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Southern’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 49.6, in the Neutral zone, down 2.5 points over five sessions.

010049.6Neutral

Down 2.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying41+0.3%+0.2%+1.6%+5.6%
Accumulation204+0.1%0.0%+0.1%+2.5%
Neutral (current zone)441+0.3%+0.8%+1.3%+1.9%
Distribution10−0.3%−0.7%−1.1%−0.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average SO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SO price, zone by zone.Track SO in Gekko

Is Southern stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Southern trades 21.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $76.36, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Southern shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$76.36

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

21.9% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.2% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$76$94Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SO in Gekko

Southern insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Southern, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Southern has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2018
$33.00M
As a share of market cap
0.03%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SO.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Southern earnings: next date and track record

Southern reports on Nov 5, 2026 (tomorrow), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.9%Oct ’24+2.2%Feb ’25−0.9%May ’25+0.1%Jul ’25+0.6%Oct ’25+3.6%Feb ’26+3.4%Apr ’26−1.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Southern Company reported a strong second quarter 2026 driven by higher usage, customer growth and large-load data center contracts. Adjusted EPS was $1.13 for the quarter, $0.21 above prior year and $0.13 above the company's prior estimate. Management highlighted substantial recent contract wins: three projects in Alabama adding ~3 GW and a 3.2 GW, 25-year contract with OpenAI in Georgia (including ~1 GW of flexible demand response). Combined with earlier deals, Southern now has over 17 GW of large-load contracts by the mid-2030s. Utilities (Georgia Power, Alabama Power and Mississippi Power) are capturing the growth while maintaining rate stability (retail base rates held stable in Georgia and Alabama through 2029). Key drivers of the quarter included increased retail sales (weather-normal sales up 2.3% YTD), higher AFUDC from construction, gains from equity-method investments, and Southern Company Gas and other complementary businesses (e.g., PowerSecure). Offsets included higher interest expense from greater debt and dilution from equity issuance. Management described opportunities across FERC-regulated pipeline investments, Southern Power recontracting/upgrades as older tolling agreements roll off, and potential nuclear discussions with government and other partners. RFPs for generation needs are underway in Alabama and Georgia, with selection expected by year-end and certification through much of 2027. Management emphasized strong collateral and contract protections (minimum bills covering incremental costs and default/collateral protections), noted approximately $20–21 billion of collateral across the large-load portfolio on full ramp, and stressed that load ramp timing varies by project. Overall tone was upbeat and confident about execution, with cautious language around not getting ahead of regulators, political/public noise around data centers, and other execution/approval risks.
Guidance
Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS projected to be near or at the top of the $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range. Adjusted EPS estimate for Q3 2026: $1.50 per share. Management reiterated expectation to be in the top half of long-term earnings trajectory and noted target to reach ~17% FFO-to-debt by 2029.
Risks flagged
- Interest expense pressure from higher debt balances and dilution from equity issuance. - Regulatory and approval risk: RFP outcomes, certification processes (majority of clarity expected by late 2027) and not getting ahead of regulators. - Execution and timing risk for load ramp of large customers (actual ramp can vary vs. initial forecasts). - Political/public opposition and reputational risk related to data center builds in some counties/communities. - Potential cost overrun/financial exposure for large projects (nuclear) though management stated discussions are ongoing and Southern is not the immediate next builder. - Market and counterparty credit risk partly mitigated by collateral and minimum-bill structures (management highlighted ~ $20–21B collateral portfolio).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.13
est $1.01
+11.9%$6.98B
est $7.23B
−3.5%−1.6%
Apr 30, 2026$1.32
est $1.21
+9.1%$8.40B
est $8.07B
+4.0%+3.4%
Feb 19, 2026$0.55
est $0.56
−1.4%$6.98B
est $6.10B
+14.5%+3.6%
Oct 30, 2025$1.60
est $1.51
+6.0%$7.82B
est $7.62B
+2.7%+0.6%
Jul 31, 2025$0.92
est $0.88
+4.5%$6.97B
est $6.36B
+9.6%+0.1%
May 1, 2025$1.23
est $1.19
+3.4%$7.78B
est $7.15B
+8.7%−0.9%
Feb 20, 2025$0.50
est $0.53
−5.7%$6.34B
est $5.90B
+7.4%+2.2%
Oct 31, 2024$1.43
est $1.34
+6.7%$7.27B
est $7.14B
+1.9%−0.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Southern stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Southern is $95.90, +3.0% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$95.90consensus 12-month target, +3.0% from the last close
Low $74High $104
Buy3
Hold6
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 22HSBCBuy, initiated$99.50+6.9%
Oct 21Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$84−9.8%
Oct 21BMO CapitalBuy, maintained$98+5.2%
Oct 20JefferiesHold, maintained$95+2.0%
Oct 16BarclaysHold, maintained$92−1.2%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Southern seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Southern averaged −0.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.5%2021+4.0%2022+2.5%2023−2.1%2024−5.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.7%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.6%3 of 5

For scale, SO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

Southern market cap and key statistics

Southern’s market cap is $107.1B, with a P/E ratio of 22.6 and revenue of $30.18B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$107.1B
P/E ratio
22.6
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
$4.15
Gekko Fair Value
$76.36

Trading

Volume
18.68M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.27M
52-week high
$99.58
52-week low
$81.69
Shares outstanding
1.15B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$30.18B
Profit margin
15.4%
Return on equity
11.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+30.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.29
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
3.15%

Southern peers

Southern’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy+1.1%Distribution15.3% below
DUKDuke Energy+1.7%Neutral24.2% above
CEGConstellation Energy−1.2%Accumulation1.1% below
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.9%Neutral9.3% above
DDominion Energy+0.7%Distribution5.3% above
ETREntergy+3.4%Distribution10.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Electric utilities

Southern stock FAQ

What is Southern’s market cap?

Southern’s market cap is $107.1B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $93.12, with 1.15B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 22.6.

What is the Southern stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Southern is $95.90, +3.0% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Southern stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Southern is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $93.12 is 21.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $76.36. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Southern report earnings next?

Southern is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (tomorrow). Analysts expect earnings of $1.71 per share on revenue of $8.38B. Southern beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.7% on average across the report.

What is Southern’s 52-week high and low?

Southern’s 52-week high is $99.58 and its 52-week low is $81.69; it closed at $93.12 on Nov 4, 2026, 0.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $100.84 on Oct 16, 2025.

Is Southern stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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