NYSE: SO

Southern (SO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Southern Company (The). Utilities sector, electric utilities industry. Market cap $98.38B.

$85.52−1.24 (−1.4%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Southern (SO) closes at $85.52, down 1.4% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $91.71 and 200-day average of $92.29, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock is off 7.2% over one month, 8.1% over three months, and 11.1% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 71.6, placing SO in the Buying zone, while price remains 8.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $79.08.

This week's news centers on financing and analyst positioning. The Department of Energy issued a $26.5 billion loan package to Southern Company, split between Georgia Power and Alabama Power, aimed at supporting more than 16 gigawatts of firm power including gas turbines, nuclear uprates, batteries and transmission. Separately, Morgan Stanley adjusted its price target on SO to $85 from $89 while maintaining an Underweight rating. A former Southern Company CEO, Thomas Fanning, was also named to lead Georgia's public college system.

Southern's next earnings date is 29 October 2026, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. Its last report on 30 July showed adjusted EPS of $1.13 versus a $1.01 estimate, with six beats in the last eight quarters and a -1.6% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -3.1% across five years, positive in two of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Analyst coverage spans 12 firms, with 3 buy, 7 hold, and 2 sell ratings, and a consensus target of $99.97.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $85.52200-day averageGekko Fair Value $79.08

Key stats

Market cap
$98.38B
P/E ratio
20.6
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$4.15
Revenue, TTM
$30.18B
Profit margin
15.4%
Dividend yield
3.43%
Beta
0.32
Volume
14.99M avg 6.25M
1-year return
−6.7%
Typical daily move
±1.4%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
50-day average
$91.71
200-day average
$92.29
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
1.15B
52-week range
$83.80$100.84

Southern swing-trade checklist

Southern scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $85.52 is below the 50-day ($91.71) and 200-day ($92.29) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    71.6, Buying

    Reading 71.6 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    8.1% above

    Price is 8.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Southern stock chart and price history

Southern closed at $85.52 on Sep 18, 2026, −6.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $83.80 to $100.84.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.2%
3 months
−8.1%
6 months
−11.1%
1 year
−6.7%
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About Southern

Southern works as a utility business, producing and moving electricity and also handling natural gas distribution in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee. It runs a wide mix of power sources, from hydro, coal and gas-fired plants, and nuclear reactors to combined-cycle units, solar and wind farms, a fuel cell site, and battery storage, and it sells electricity into wholesale markets as well as to retail customers. Beyond power and gas, it operates some digital wireless and fiber optic communications services.

The company splits its gas-related activity into distribution, pipeline investments, wholesale supply, and marketing, while its electric side covers building, owning, and running generation assets, including renewable projects. Its gas network reaches homes, businesses, and industrial users through a large system of pipelines and several storage sites. Taken together, its electric and gas operations reach close to 8.7 million customers.

Southern traces back to 1945 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker SO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
southerncompany.com

Southern GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Southern’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.6, in the Buying zone, up 2.4 points over five sessions.

010071.6Buying

Up 2.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)31+0.6%+0.1%0.0%+5.6%
Accumulation191+0.1%−0.1%+0.4%+3.0%
Neutral429+0.3%+0.7%+1.3%+2.5%
Distribution10−0.3%−0.7%−1.1%−0.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average SO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SO price, zone by zone.Track SO in Gekko

Is Southern stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Southern trades 8.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $79.08, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Southern shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$79.08

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

8.1% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SO in Gekko

Southern insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Southern, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SO in Gekko

Buybacks

Southern has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2018
$33.00M
As a share of market cap
0.03%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SO.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Southern earnings: next date and track record

Southern reports on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.7%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.9%Oct ’24+2.2%Feb ’25−0.9%May ’25+0.1%Jul ’25+0.6%Oct ’25+3.6%Feb ’26+3.4%Apr ’26−1.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Southern Company reported a strong second quarter 2026 driven by higher usage, customer growth and large-load data center contracts. Adjusted EPS was $1.13 for the quarter, $0.21 above prior year and $0.13 above the company's prior estimate. Management highlighted substantial recent contract wins: three projects in Alabama adding ~3 GW and a 3.2 GW, 25-year contract with OpenAI in Georgia (including ~1 GW of flexible demand response). Combined with earlier deals, Southern now has over 17 GW of large-load contracts by the mid-2030s. Utilities (Georgia Power, Alabama Power and Mississippi Power) are capturing the growth while maintaining rate stability (retail base rates held stable in Georgia and Alabama through 2029). Key drivers of the quarter included increased retail sales (weather-normal sales up 2.3% YTD), higher AFUDC from construction, gains from equity-method investments, and Southern Company Gas and other complementary businesses (e.g., PowerSecure). Offsets included higher interest expense from greater debt and dilution from equity issuance. Management described opportunities across FERC-regulated pipeline investments, Southern Power recontracting/upgrades as older tolling agreements roll off, and potential nuclear discussions with government and other partners. RFPs for generation needs are underway in Alabama and Georgia, with selection expected by year-end and certification through much of 2027. Management emphasized strong collateral and contract protections (minimum bills covering incremental costs and default/collateral protections), noted approximately $20–21 billion of collateral across the large-load portfolio on full ramp, and stressed that load ramp timing varies by project. Overall tone was upbeat and confident about execution, with cautious language around not getting ahead of regulators, political/public noise around data centers, and other execution/approval risks.
Guidance
Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS projected to be near or at the top of the $4.50 to $4.60 guidance range. Adjusted EPS estimate for Q3 2026: $1.50 per share. Management reiterated expectation to be in the top half of long-term earnings trajectory and noted target to reach ~17% FFO-to-debt by 2029.
Risks flagged
- Interest expense pressure from higher debt balances and dilution from equity issuance. - Regulatory and approval risk: RFP outcomes, certification processes (majority of clarity expected by late 2027) and not getting ahead of regulators. - Execution and timing risk for load ramp of large customers (actual ramp can vary vs. initial forecasts). - Political/public opposition and reputational risk related to data center builds in some counties/communities. - Potential cost overrun/financial exposure for large projects (nuclear) though management stated discussions are ongoing and Southern is not the immediate next builder. - Market and counterparty credit risk partly mitigated by collateral and minimum-bill structures (management highlighted ~ $20–21B collateral portfolio).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$1.13
est $1.01
+11.9%$6.98B
est $7.23B
−3.5%−1.6%
Apr 30, 2026$1.32
est $1.21
+9.1%$8.40B
est $8.07B
+4.0%+3.4%
Feb 19, 2026$0.55
est $0.56
−1.4%$6.98B
est $6.10B
+14.5%+3.6%
Oct 30, 2025$1.60
est $1.51
+6.0%$7.82B
est $7.62B
+2.7%+0.6%
Jul 31, 2025$0.92
est $0.88
+4.5%$6.97B
est $6.36B
+9.6%+0.1%
May 1, 2025$1.23
est $1.19
+3.4%$7.78B
est $7.15B
+8.7%−0.9%
Feb 20, 2025$0.50
est $0.53
−5.7%$6.34B
est $5.90B
+7.4%+2.2%
Oct 31, 2024$1.43
est $1.34
+6.7%$7.27B
est $7.14B
+1.9%−0.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Southern stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Southern is $99.97, +16.9% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$99.97consensus 12-month target, +16.9% from the last close
Low $79High $106
Buy3
Hold7
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$85−0.6%
Aug 28BMO CapitalBuy, reiterated$104+21.6%
Aug 21Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$89+4.1%
Aug 20Goldman SachsHold, maintained$103+20.4%
Aug 19J.P. MorganHold, maintained$101+18.1%
0.0%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Southern seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Southern averaged −3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.4%2021−17.9%2022−5.4%2023+4.3%2024+6.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−2.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.1%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.2%2 of 5

For scale, SO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.5%.

Southern market cap and key statistics

Southern’s market cap is $98.38B, with a P/E ratio of 20.6 and revenue of $30.18B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$98.38B
P/E ratio
20.6
Forward P/E
17.6
EPS, TTM
$4.15
Gekko Fair Value
$79.08

Trading

Volume
14.99M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.25M
52-week high
$100.84
52-week low
$83.80
Shares outstanding
1.15B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$30.18B
Profit margin
15.4%
Return on equity
11.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+30.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.32
Typical daily move
±1.4%
Typical 20-day move
±3.5%
Dividend yield
3.43%

Southern peers

Southern’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy−0.2%Buying23.4% below
DUKDuke Energy−0.3%Accumulation14.0% above
CEGConstellation Energy−2.1%Accumulation2.8% below
AEPAmerican Electric Power−0.5%Buying3.7% above
DDominion Energy−0.7%Accumulation8.5% below
ETREntergy−1.1%Accumulation2.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Southern stock FAQ

What is Southern’s market cap?

Southern’s market cap is $98.38B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $85.52, with 1.15B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.6.

What is the Southern stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Southern is $99.97, +16.9% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Southern stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Southern is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $85.52 is 8.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $79.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Southern report earnings next?

Southern is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.65 per share on revenue of $8.28B. Southern beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.7% on average across the report.

What is Southern’s 52-week high and low?

Southern’s 52-week high is $100.84 and its 52-week low is $83.80; it closed at $85.52 on Sep 18, 2026, −6.7% over the past year.

Is Southern stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk) and 3 as headwinds (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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