NASDAQ: CEG

Constellation Energy (CEG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$245.72−17.68 (−6.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

This week's attention on Constellation Energy centers on the approaching third-quarter report and ongoing commentary around AI-driven electricity demand. Coverage includes a comparison of Constellation against NextEra Energy on long-term positioning, a bullish earnings preview citing the company's nuclear fleet and long-term agreements, and notes questioning whether the setup favors an earnings beat. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.4265 per share, payable 4 December 2026 to shareholders of record as of 16 November 2026.

CEG closed at $245.72, down 6.7% on the day and sitting below both its 50-day average of $271.47 and 200-day average of $279.15, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares are down 18.2% over one month and 34.9% over the past year, trading well off the 52-week high of $380.78 and closer to the 52-week low of $228.63. The GekkoIndex reads 63.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.43.

Earnings are scheduled for 9 November 2026, before the open, just 4 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior release produced a 1.8% reaction with an average absolute move of 4.8% across past reports. Over the last 90 days, one open-market insider purchase was recorded, valued at $417,931. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.5% return over 4 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus among 16 firms shows 14 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $339.25.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Constellation Energy price vs fair value

$248.43$245.72Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $245.72200-day averageGekko Fair Value $248.43

Constellation Energy quick facts

Market cap
$87.06B
P/E ratio
25.2
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
$10.23
Revenue, TTM
$31.27B
Profit margin
11.1%
Dividend yield
0.62%
Beta
1.13
Volume
6.73M avg 3.48M
1-year return
−34.9%
Typical daily move
±4.7%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$271.47
200-day average
$279.15
Next earnings
Nov 9 before open
Shares outstanding
354.3M
52-week range
$228.63$380.78

Constellation Energy swing-trade checklist

Constellation Energy scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $245.72 is below the 50-day ($271.47) and 200-day ($279.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.8, Accumulation

    Reading 63.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.1% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.1% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 4 days

    Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 4 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.5% over 4 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Constellation Energy stock chart and price history

Constellation Energy closed at $245.72 on Nov 4, 2026, −34.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $228.63 to $380.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Constellation Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$300$350DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct245.72

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−18.2%
3 months
−5.9%
6 months
−23.9%
1 year
−34.9%
The full CEG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CEG in Gekko

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About Constellation Energy

Constellation Energy generates and supplies electricity across the United States, alongside natural gas, renewable energy offerings, and other related energy products and services. The company draws on a generation base of 32,400 megawatts, combining nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric sources to meet demand across its markets.

The business is structured around five geographic segments, covering the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and other regional power markets. Its customer base spans utility distributors, municipalities, cooperatives, and commercial, industrial, public sector, and residential users. Constellation Energy was previously part of Exelon Corporation before becoming an independent company.

The company was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker CEG.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric utilities
Website
constellationenergy.com

Constellation Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Constellation Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.3 points over five sessions.

010063.8Accumulation

Up 3.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying27+3.2%+3.7%+7.8%+29.0%
Accumulation (current zone)194+1.0%+3.8%+7.5%+13.4%
Neutral413+0.7%+0.6%+0.8%+2.1%
Distribution54+0.8%+2.0%+6.6%+11.0%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average CEG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CEG price, zone by zone.Track CEG in Gekko

Is Constellation Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Constellation Energy trades 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.43, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Constellation Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$248.43

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

1.1% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.3% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$248$263Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CEG in Gekko

Constellation Energy insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Constellation Energy worth $418K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$418Kin 1 open-market purchase

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 13Roger W Crandall
Director
Purchase1,500$418K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CEG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CEG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CEG in Gekko

Buybacks

Constellation Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$1.97B
As a share of market cap
2.26%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CEG.

0added0opened1trimmed3sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Constellation Energy earnings: next date and track record

Constellation Energy reports on Nov 9, 2026, before the open (4 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.8%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.4%Nov ’24+1.4%Feb ’25+8.0%May ’25−0.8%Aug ’25+2.7%Nov ’25+10.9%Feb ’26−3.3%May ’26+1.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Constellation Energy Corporation reported a strong second quarter driven by higher adjusted operating earnings and solid operational performance from its nuclear fleet and commercial business, aided by accretion from Calpine and higher capacity prices in PJM. Management highlighted a successful quarter with a 93% nuclear capacity factor, completed refueling outages including a turbine upgrade, and recognition of employees. The company raised its guidance for the year and cited positive regulatory developments (PJM and FERC processes) and progress on strategic transactions. Management discussed opportunities from contracting with large customers (data centers, hyperscalers), potential to utilize stranded/underutilized generation capacity, and developments in ERCOT and Texas regarding Batch Zero and data center scrutiny. Capital allocation was addressed, including $2.2 billion of share repurchases and a clarified free cash flow floor for growth. Management emphasized regulatory clarity as a key driver for deal flow and noted ongoing work related to new nuclear siting (New York) and potential state procurement processes (Illinois).
Guidance
Raised full-year outlook (management noted an improved full year outlook and established a $0.20 floor in EPS contribution from buybacks toward their previously disclosed $0.50+ upside; specific numeric guidance beyond the commentary was not detailed in the transcript).
Risks flagged
Risks mentioned include regulatory uncertainty (PJM and FERC outcomes), timing variability in Illinois ZEC revenue recognition, potential delays in data center interconnection processes (e.g., ERCOT Batch Zero, PJM Connect and Manage), weather-dependence in ERCOT prices, and political/regulatory scrutiny (Texas governor's inquiries) that could delay projects.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$2.55
est $2.36
+8.1%$7.50B
est $7.73B
−2.9%+1.8%
May 11, 2026$2.74
est $2.60
+5.4%$11.12B
est $8.46B
+31.5%−3.3%
Feb 24, 2026$2.30
est $2.28
+0.9%$6.07B
est $5.60B
+8.4%+10.9%
Nov 7, 2025$3.04
est $3.11
−2.3%$6.57B
est $6.20B
+5.9%+2.7%
Aug 7, 2025$1.91
est $1.84
+3.8%$6.10B
est $4.91B
+24.4%−0.8%
May 6, 2025$2.14
est $2.18
−1.8%$6.79B
est $5.56B
+22.1%+8.0%
Feb 18, 2025$2.44
est $2.16
+13.0%$5.38B
est $6.56B
−18.0%+1.4%
Nov 4, 2024$2.74
est $2.66
+3.0%$6.55B
est $5.71B
+14.6%−9.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Constellation Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Constellation Energy is $339.25, +38.1% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$339.25consensus 12-month target, +38.1% from the last close
Low $290High $391
Buy14
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$346+40.8%
Oct 30Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$391+59.1%
Oct 28Wells FargoBuy, maintained$352+43.3%
Oct 28CIBCBuy, maintained$343+39.6%
Oct 28Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$380+54.6%
+7.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 4 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Constellation Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Constellation Energy averaged +1.5% across the last 4 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.5%2022−5.1%2023+9.5%2024−0.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%2 of 4
Next 10 trading days−0.4%2 of 4
Next 15 trading days+3.6%3 of 4
Next 20 trading days+1.5%2 of 4
Next 30 trading days−1.8%2 of 4

For scale, CEG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

Constellation Energy market cap and key statistics

Constellation Energy’s market cap is $87.06B, with a P/E ratio of 25.2 and revenue of $31.27B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$87.06B
P/E ratio
25.2
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
$10.23
Gekko Fair Value
$248.43

Trading

Volume
6.73M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.48M
52-week high
$380.78
52-week low
$228.63
Shares outstanding
354.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$31.27B
Profit margin
11.1%
Return on equity
15.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−46.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.13
Typical daily move
±4.7%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
Dividend yield
0.62%

Constellation Energy peers

Constellation Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NEENextEra Energy+1.1%Distribution15.3% below
SOSouthern+0.9%Neutral21.9% above
DUKDuke Energy+1.7%Neutral24.2% above
AEPAmerican Electric Power+0.9%Neutral9.3% above
DDominion Energy+0.7%Distribution5.3% above
ETREntergy+3.4%Distribution10.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Electric utilities

Constellation Energy stock FAQ

What is Constellation Energy’s market cap?

Constellation Energy’s market cap is $87.06B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $245.72, with 354.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.2.

What is the Constellation Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Constellation Energy is $339.25, +38.1% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Constellation Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Constellation Energy is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $245.72 is 1.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.43. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Constellation Energy report earnings next?

Constellation Energy is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, before the market opens (4 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.88 per share on revenue of $9.23B. Constellation Energy beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.8% on average across the report.

What is Constellation Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Constellation Energy’s 52-week high is $380.78 and its 52-week low is $228.63; it closed at $245.72 on Nov 4, 2026, −34.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $412.70 on Oct 15, 2025.

Is Constellation Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and smart money), 2 as mixed (fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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