NASDAQ: GOOG

Alphabet (GOOG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$287.30+9.03 (+3.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Alphabet shares rose this week after U.S. election results removed uncertainty around data center construction, a contentious issue among voters during the campaign. Separately, Google expanded its AI commerce push, partnering with Canadian retailers including Lululemon and Shoppers Drug Mart to enable in-app purchases through its Gemini AI app and search tool. Google also entered credit support agreements backing roughly $19 billion in Anthropic lease commitments tied to TeraWulf's Justified Data Campus in Kentucky, underscoring continued AI infrastructure buildout. A legal notice regarding a securities class action deadline for Alphabet investors also circulated.

GOOG closed at $287.30, up 3.2%, though the stock remains below both its 50-day average of $332.01 and 200-day average of $337.99, with the shorter average also under the longer one, reflecting a broader downtrend; the one-month return stands at -16.6% and the three-month at -19.4%. The GekkoIndex reads 76, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Gekko Fair Value sits at $294.30, putting the current price about 2.4% below that mark.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is not due until 3 February 2027, keeping that catalyst outside this window. Smart money activity shows 1 unusual options signal in the last 30 days, with put premium of $272.9 million against call premium of $105.2 million. Seasonality over the same stretch in prior years averaged a 5.6% gain across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the current Buying zone reading.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Alphabet price vs fair value

$294.30$287.30Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $287.30200-day averageGekko Fair Value $294.30

Alphabet quick facts

Market cap
$3.52T
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
17.8
EPS, TTM
$19.15
Revenue, TTM
$471.1B
Profit margin
50%
Dividend yield
0.31%
Beta
1.23
Volume
31.45M avg 22.66M
1-year return
+1.1%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
50-day average
$332.01
200-day average
$337.99
Next earnings
Feb 3 after close
Shares outstanding
5.58B
52-week range
$271.41$404.47

Alphabet swing-trade checklist

Alphabet scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $287.30 is below the 50-day ($332.01) and 200-day ($337.99) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    76, Buying

    Reading 76 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 91 days

    Next report Feb 3, 2027, 91 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Alphabet stock chart and price history

Alphabet closed at $287.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +1.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $271.41 to $404.47.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Alphabet share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$250$350$400DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct287.30

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−16.6%
3 months
−19.4%
6 months
−27.3%
1 year
+1.1%
The full GOOG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GOOG in Gekko

Follow Alphabet through every session

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About Alphabet

Alphabet provides a broad range of digital products and platforms to consumers and businesses across North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. It is best known for consumer services such as Search, YouTube, Gmail, Maps, Photos, Drive, Chrome, and the Android operating system, along with advertising tools and hardware devices built around these products.

The company runs through three main divisions. Google Services covers the consumer-facing tools listed above, earning revenue from advertising, app and content sales through Google Play and YouTube, device sales, and subscriptions. Google Cloud sells infrastructure, cybersecurity, database, analytics, and artificial intelligence services to enterprise customers, including the Workspace suite of collaboration tools such as Gmail, Docs, Drive, Calendar, and Meet for corporate use. Other Bets houses early-stage projects, with a focus on healthcare and internet-related services.

Alphabet was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker GOOG.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Internet software/Services
Website
abc.xyz

Alphabet GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Alphabet’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 76, in the Buying zone, up 4.6 points over five sessions.

010076Buying

Up 4.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)22+2.3%+4.5%+3.5%+6.1%
Accumulation188−0.3%−0.3%+0.5%+8.1%
Neutral412+0.9%+1.8%+4.0%+7.5%
Distribution67+1.0%+1.6%+2.0%+9.5%
Selling8Too few readings yet

Average GOOG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GOOG price, zone by zone.Track GOOG in Gekko

Is Alphabet stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Alphabet trades 2.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $294.30, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Alphabet shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$294.30

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

2.4% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.1% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$294$278Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GOOG in Gekko

Alphabet insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Alphabet, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GOOG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GOOG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GOOG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GOOG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GOOG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GOOG in Gekko

Buybacks

Alphabet has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$5.50B
As a share of market cap
0.16%
Trailing four quarters
$45.71B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 28% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 30, $378.0M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

10of the funds Gekko tracks hold GOOG.

5added2opened3trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Alphabet earnings: next date and track record

Alphabet reports on Feb 3, 2027, after the close (91 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.6%Feb ’25+3.9%Apr ’25+0.6%Jul ’25+5.0%Oct ’25−2.8%Feb ’26+9.9%Apr ’26−8.0%Jul ’26−10.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Alphabet reported 25% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2026, reaching a $500B annual run rate. Google Cloud revenues surged 103%, driven by AI infrastructure demand. First-party model APIs process 32 billion tokens per minute, up 4x year-over-year. Gemini app reached 1 billion users, and YouTube Music/Premium surpassed 150 million subscribers. New frontier model Gemini 4 Carbon launched, ranking #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index.
Guidance
Management expects continued AI model acceleration over the next 12 months driven by RSI. Cloud capacity expansion is underway to meet sustained long-term demand. TPU system demand expected to grow as scale increases.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2026$2.12
est $3.01
−29.6%$127.6B
est $128.0B
−0.3%−10.9%
Jul 22, 2026$9.11
est $2.88
+216.3%$119.8B
est $116.5B
+2.8%−8.0%
Apr 29, 2026$0.00
est $2.53
−100.0%$109.9B
est $107.0B
+2.7%+9.9%
Feb 4, 2026$2.82
est $2.63
+7.2%$113.8B
est $111.3B
+2.3%−2.8%
Oct 29, 2025$2.87
est $2.30
+24.8%$102.3B
est $99.93B
+2.4%+5.0%
Jul 23, 2025$2.31
est $2.18
+6.0%$96.43B
est $94.04B
+2.5%+0.6%
Apr 24, 2025$2.81
est $2.02
+39.1%$90.23B
est $89.20B
+1.2%+3.9%
Feb 4, 2025$2.15
est $2.13
+0.9%$96.47B
est $96.70B
−0.2%−4.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Alphabet stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Alphabet is $407.00, +41.7% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$407.00consensus 12-month target, +41.7% from the last close
Low $375High $475
Buy10
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29TD CowenBuy, maintained$460+60.1%
Oct 29ScotiabankBuy, maintained$375+30.5%
Oct 29Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$380+32.3%
Oct 29DZ BANK AGBuy, maintained——
Oct 29CMB International SecuritiesBuy, maintained$421+46.5%
+3.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+5.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Alphabet seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Alphabet averaged +5.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.1%2021+15.2%2022+0.7%2023+1.4%2024+15.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+5.1%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.4%4 of 5

For scale, GOOG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.

Alphabet market cap and key statistics

Alphabet’s market cap is $3.52T, with a P/E ratio of 14.5 and revenue of $471.1B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.52T
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
17.8
EPS, TTM
$19.15
Gekko Fair Value
$294.30

Trading

Volume
31.45M
Avg volume, 20 days
22.66M
52-week high
$404.47
52-week low
$271.41
Shares outstanding
5.58B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$471.1B
Profit margin
50%
Return on equity
44.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−25.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.23
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±5.8%
Dividend yield
0.31%

Alphabet peers

Alphabet’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GOOGLAlphabet+1.9%Buying1.7% below
METAMeta Platforms−1.7%Accumulation4.1% above
NFLXNetflix+2.9%Accumulation27.7% below
SPOTSpotify Technology+2.9%Distribution30.1% above
MSTRStrategy+4.4%Neutral20.3% below
TRIThomson Reuters+5.0%Neutral14.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Internet software/Services

Alphabet stock FAQ

What is Alphabet’s market cap?

Alphabet’s market cap is $3.52T at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $287.30, with 5.58B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.5.

What is the Alphabet stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Alphabet is $407.00, +41.7% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Alphabet stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Alphabet is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $287.30 is 2.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $294.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Alphabet report earnings next?

Alphabet is expected to report on Feb 3, 2027, after the market closes (91 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.19 per share on revenue of $142.5B. Alphabet beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.7% on average across the report.

What is Alphabet’s 52-week high and low?

Alphabet’s 52-week high is $404.47 and its 52-week low is $271.41; it closed at $287.30 on Nov 4, 2026, +1.1% over the past year.

Is Alphabet stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Alphabet?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Alphabet over the last 30 days, with $105.2M of flagged premium in calls and $272.9M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $378.0M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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