Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for NFLX in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every NFLX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NFLX in Gekko
NASDAQ: NFLX
Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$71.79−3.52 (−4.7%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNetflix trades at $71.79, down 4.7% and below both its 50-day ($75.72) and 200-day ($85.48) moving averages, with the shorter average beneath the longer one. Shares have fallen 10.5% over one month, 21.7% over six months and 41.6% over a year, sitting closer to the 52-week low of $65.08 than the high of $124.86. The GekkoIndex reads 68.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price stands 26.9% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $98.19.
The week's news centers on a Wells Fargo downgrade to "underweight" with a lowered price target, citing an 8% drop in viewership time per subscriber in the first half of the year and a lack of major original hits. Evercore's Mark Mahaney also addressed the stock's underperformance publicly. Separately, Netflix canceled "Sweet Magnolias" after five seasons while ordering a new series, "Ladies of the House," from the same showrunner. Buyback activity was also noted, with $27.1 billion in authorization remaining after a $4.7 billion repurchase in the second quarter.
Netflix next reports earnings on 20 October 2026 after the close, 30 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window; the prior report on 16 July showed EPS of $0.80 against a $0.79 estimate, followed by a 6.4% reaction, with 7 beats in the last 8 quarters. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days shows 1 Congressional buy and no sales, while unusual options signals over the last 30 days number 3, with put premium of $26.2 million exceeding call premium of $14.1 million. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +0.1% across 5 years.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $71.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $98.19
Key stats
- Market cap
- $298.9B
- P/E ratio
- 24.1
- Forward P/E
- 20
- EPS, TTM
- $3.13
- Revenue, TTM
- $48.37B
- Profit margin
- 28.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.53
- Volume
- 113.6M avg 30.25M
- 1-year return
- −41.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
- 50-day average
- $75.72
- 200-day average
- $85.48
- Next earnings
- Oct 20 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 4.16B
Netflix swing-trade checklist
Netflix scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $71.79 is below the 50-day ($75.72) and 200-day ($85.48) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
68.3, Accumulation
Reading 68.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
26.9% below
Price is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneymixed
Mixed
Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 30 days
Next report Oct 20, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+0.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Netflix stock chart and price history
Netflix closed at $71.79 on Sep 18, 2026, −41.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $65.08 to $124.86.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −10.5%
- 3 months
- −7.2%
- 6 months
- −21.7%
- 1 year
- −41.6%
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About Netflix
Netflix operates as a global streaming service, giving audiences access to shows, films, documentaries and mobile games in a range of genres and languages. People can watch on many types of connected gadgets, from smart televisions to media streamers, set-top boxes and smartphones. The company also still runs a mail-order DVD rental option for customers within the United States.
Revenue comes primarily from subscription fees paid by members who watch its catalog on demand. Its subscriber base spans roughly 222 million paying accounts spread across 190 countries worldwide, making membership fees the core of how the business generates income.
The company traces its founding to 1997 and keeps its main offices in Los Gatos, California. Its stock is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NFLX.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Technology services
- Industry
- Internet software/Services
- Website
- netflix.com
Netflix GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Netflix’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 9.1 points over five sessions.
68.3Accumulation
Up 9.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 59 | −1.2% | +0.5% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 179 | +1.2% | +2.1% | ||
| Neutral | 359 | +0.4% | +1.5% | ||
| Distribution | 56 | +0.6% | +2.0% | ||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NFLX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NFLX price, zone by zone.Track NFLX in Gekko
Is Netflix stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Netflix trades 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $98.19, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Netflix shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$98.19
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
26.9% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NFLX in Gekko
Netflix insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Netflix, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds House, FL, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 16 traded Aug 12 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Netflix has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $25.00B, Apr 23, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $4.71B
- As a share of market cap
- 1.58%
- Trailing four quarters
- $9.92B
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
3signals, 35% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 19, $15.56M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
6of the funds Gekko tracks hold NFLX.
1added3opened2trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Netflix earnings: next date and track record
Netflix reports on Oct 20, 2026, after the close (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 20, 2026
Expected after the close, 30 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.82
- Revenue estimate
- $12.87B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Netflix's Q2 2026 earnings interview focused on steady revenue growth, product and content strategy, monetization, and capital allocation. Management guided Q3 revenue growth of ~12% reported (11% FX-neutral) and reiterated full-year top-line guidance of 13-14% (~12% FX-neutral). Executives highlighted healthy membership acquisition and retention, success of live events (notably the World Baseball Classic in Japan), growth in ads monetization and cloud-based video games, and early positive results from new initiatives (video podcasts, clips, TF1 integration in France). Content spend will grow modestly (~10% this year), with discipline in investing and emphasis on quality, variety and measured expansion into new formats. GenAI tools are being adopted to improve production efficiency. Management emphasized a builder-over-buyer M&A stance, strong liquidity and large Q2 share repurchases ($4.7B) with ~ $27B remaining authorization.
- Guidance
- Q3 revenue guidance: ~12% reported growth, ~11% FX-neutral. Full-year 2026 top-line growth guidance: 13-14% (roughly 12% FX-neutral). Content expense forecast up about 10% this year. No near-term plans to launch a free tier. Ads plan price noted: $8.99 in the U.S. for ad tier. Capital allocation: $4.7B share repurchase in Q2; ~$27B remaining repurchase capacity.
- Risks flagged
- Quarter-to-quarter variability and seasonality (back-half weighting of last year); potential higher churn from sign-ups driven by live events; cannibalization risk if a free tier is introduced; competitive pressures and market consolidation; ad monetization still has an ARM gap relative to non-ad tier; execution risk in scaling new formats (games, live, TF1 integration); uncertainties around the impact and governance of GenAI in production.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | $0.80 est $0.79 | $12.56B est $12.58B | −6.4% |
| Apr 16, 2026 | $1.23 est $0.76 | $12.25B est $12.18B | −9.7% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | $0.56 est $0.55 | $12.05B est $11.97B | −3.0% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $0.59 est $0.70 | $11.51B est $11.51B | −9.9% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $0.72 est $0.71 | $11.08B est $11.06B | −3.3% |
| Apr 17, 2025 | $0.66 est $0.57 | $10.54B est $10.51B | +2.7% |
| Jan 21, 2025 | $0.43 est $0.42 | $10.25B est $10.11B | +11.2% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | $0.54 est $0.51 | $9.82B est $10.12B | +8.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Netflix stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Netflix is $93.88, +30.8% from the last close, from 32 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$93.88consensus 12-month target, +30.8% from the last close
Now $71.79Avg $93.88
Low $57High $135
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 32 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Wells Fargo | $57 | −20.6% |
| Sep 15 | Bernstein | $95 | +32.3% |
| Sep 14 | Evercore ISI | $110 | +53.2% |
| Sep 13 | Evercore ISI | $110 | +53.2% |
| Sep 4 | Citi | $100 | +39.3% |
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Netflix seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Netflix averaged +0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +0.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +8.5% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, NFLX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.
Netflix market cap and key statistics
Netflix’s market cap is $298.9B, with a P/E ratio of 24.1 and revenue of $48.37B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $298.9B
- P/E ratio
- 24.1
- Forward P/E
- 20
- EPS, TTM
- $3.13
- Gekko Fair Value
- $98.19
Trading
- Volume
- 113.6M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 30.25M
- 52-week high
- $124.86
- 52-week low
- $65.08
- Shares outstanding
- 4.16B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $48.37B
- Profit margin
- 28.2%
- Return on equity
- 49.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +11.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.53
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
Netflix stock news this week
Coverage of Netflix this week reads negative: 1 positive, 3 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
- Netflix Stock Gets Downgraded by Wells Fargo on ‘Worrying’ Engagement TrendsInvestopedia, Sep 19
- ‘Sweet Magnolias’ Canceled at Netflix After Five SeasonsThe Hollywood Reporter, Sep 18
- ‘Sweet Magnolias’ Ends After Season 5 in Shocking Cancellation, Netflix Orders New ShowUs Weekly, Sep 18
- Why Netflix Stock Dropped TodayThe Motley Fool, Sep 18
- Netflix Stock Falls After Wells Fargo Downgrade: “Engagement Trends Look Worrying to Us”The Hollywood Reporter, Sep 18
- Netflix Has $27 Billion Left to Buy Back Its Own Stock -- About 8% of the Whole CompanyThe Motley Fool, Sep 18
Netflix peers
Netflix’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GOOGLAlphabet | Neutral | 9.1% above |
| GOOGAlphabet | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| METAMeta Platforms | Neutral | 19.5% above |
| SPOTSpotify Technology | Accumulation | 11.5% above |
| MSTRStrategy | Neutral | 2.5% below |
| TRIThomson Reuters | Accumulation | 28.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Netflix stock FAQ
What is Netflix’s market cap?
Netflix’s market cap is $298.9B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $71.79, with 4.16B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.1.
What is the Netflix stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Netflix is $93.88, +30.8% from the last close. Of the 32 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 25 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Netflix stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Netflix is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $71.79 is 26.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $98.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Netflix report earnings next?
Netflix is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026, after the market closes (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.82 per share on revenue of $12.87B. Netflix beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.
What is Netflix’s 52-week high and low?
Netflix’s 52-week high is $124.86 and its 52-week low is $65.08; it closed at $71.79 on Sep 18, 2026, −41.6% over the past year.
Is Netflix stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (smart money) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Netflix?
Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Netflix over the last 30 days, with $14.08M of flagged premium in calls and $26.21M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $15.56M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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