NASDAQ: NFLX

Netflix (NFLX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$66.39+2.97 (+4.7%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Netflix closed at $66.39 on 4 November 2026, +4.7% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($71.68) and 200-day ($81.24) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $61.39 to $116.73. The GekkoIndex reads 61.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 9.9 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $91.81, so the price is 27.7% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 19 January 2027, 75 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 6.6% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 3 Congress purchases and 0 sales. Over the last 30 days there were 2 unusual options signals. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +5.9% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

34 firms rate the stock: 23 buy, 9 hold and 2 sell, with a consensus target of $84.76. A typical daily move is about 3.2%, and a typical 20-day move about 7.7%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Netflix price vs fair value

$91.81$66.39Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $66.39200-day averageGekko Fair Value $91.81

Netflix quick facts

Market cap
$276.4B
P/E ratio
18
Forward P/E
16.4
EPS, TTM
$3.46
Revenue, TTM
$49.73B
Profit margin
29.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.61
Volume
49.48M avg 44.67M
1-year return
−39.7%
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$71.68
200-day average
$81.24
Next earnings
Jan 19 after close
Shares outstanding
4.16B
52-week range
$61.39$116.73

Netflix swing-trade checklist

Netflix scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $66.39 is below the 50-day ($71.68) and 200-day ($81.24) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.8, Accumulation

    Reading 61.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    27.7% below

    Price is 27.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 75 days

    Next report Jan 19, 2027, 75 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Netflix stock chart and price history

Netflix closed at $66.39 on Nov 4, 2026, −39.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $61.39 to $116.73.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Netflix share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80$100$120DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct66.39

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.3%
3 months
−9.9%
6 months
−24.8%
1 year
−39.7%
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About Netflix

Netflix operates as a global streaming service, giving audiences access to shows, films, documentaries and mobile games in a range of genres and languages. People can watch on many types of connected gadgets, from smart televisions to media streamers, set-top boxes and smartphones. The company also still runs a mail-order DVD rental option for customers within the United States.

Revenue comes primarily from subscription fees paid by members who watch its catalog on demand. Its subscriber base spans roughly 222 million paying accounts spread across 190 countries worldwide, making membership fees the core of how the business generates income.

The company traces its founding to 1997 and keeps its main offices in Los Gatos, California. Its stock is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker NFLX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Technology services
Industry
Internet software/Services
Website
netflix.com

Netflix GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Netflix’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.8, in the Accumulation zone, down 9.9 points over five sessions.

010061.8Accumulation

Down 9.9 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying60−1.3%−0.9%+0.5%+7.6%
Accumulation (current zone)204+0.8%+1.4%+1.4%+0.8%
Neutral368+0.2%+0.3%+0.8%+2.9%
Distribution56+0.6%+1.0%+2.0%+3.7%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average NFLX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NFLX price, zone by zone.Track NFLX in Gekko

Is Netflix stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Netflix trades 27.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $91.81, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Netflix shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$91.81

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

27.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$92$63Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NFLX in Gekko

Netflix insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Netflix, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NFLX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NFLX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NFLX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Cleo Fields
House, LA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 2
traded Sep 14
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4
Byron Donalds
House, FL, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 16
traded Aug 12

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Netflix has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$25.00B, Apr 23, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$4.80B
As a share of market cap
1.74%
Trailing four quarters
$12.86B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 15% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 22, $10.53M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold NFLX.

1added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Netflix earnings: next date and track record

Netflix reports on Jan 19, 2027, after the close (75 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+11.2%Jan ’25+2.7%Apr ’25−3.3%Jul ’25−9.9%Oct ’25−3.0%Jan ’26−9.7%Apr ’26−6.4%Jul ’26−6.9%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Netflix Q3 2026 showed healthy global engagement with churn improving year-over-year both globally and in the U.S., beating forecasts. APAC, LATAM, and EMEA delivered strong results; India saw 24% absolute view hour growth and nearly 20% YoY revenue growth. Strategy remains focused on original content, live events, and third-party licensing deals with Sony, Disney, and Universal. Live sports including NFL and MLB games are driving new memberships and ad revenue growth.
Guidance
Management confirmed full-year guidance remains on track. Recent U.S. price increases performed in line with historical patterns and expectations. Q4 pipeline includes high-profile films, series, and NFL Christmas Day games expected to drive engagement.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 20, 2026$0.87
est $0.82
+6.1%$12.87B
est $12.87B
0.0%−6.9%
Jul 16, 2026$0.80
est $0.79
+1.3%$12.56B
est $12.58B
−0.2%−6.4%
Apr 16, 2026$1.23
est $0.76
+61.2%$12.25B
est $12.18B
+0.6%−9.7%
Jan 20, 2026$0.56
est $0.55
+1.4%$12.05B
est $11.97B
+0.7%−3.0%
Oct 21, 2025$0.59
est $0.70
−15.2%$11.51B
est $11.51B
0.0%−9.9%
Jul 17, 2025$0.72
est $0.71
+1.4%$11.08B
est $11.06B
+0.2%−3.3%
Apr 17, 2025$0.66
est $0.57
+15.8%$10.54B
est $10.51B
+0.3%+2.7%
Jan 21, 2025$0.43
est $0.42
+2.4%$10.25B
est $10.11B
+1.4%+11.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Netflix stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Netflix is $84.76, +27.7% from the last close, from 34 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$84.76consensus 12-month target, +27.7% from the last close
Low $57High $125
Buy23
Hold9
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 34 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 22Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$77+16.0%
Oct 22CitiBuy, reiterated$85+28.0%
Oct 22Phillip SecuritiesBuy, maintained$100+50.6%
Oct 22Wolfe ResearchHold, downgraded——
Oct 22DZ BANK AGBuy, maintained——
+1.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Netflix seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Netflix averaged +5.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.9%2021+19.9%2022+4.7%2023+19.4%2024−4.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+7.3%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.8%3 of 5

For scale, NFLX’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

Netflix market cap and key statistics

Netflix’s market cap is $276.4B, with a P/E ratio of 18 and revenue of $49.73B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$276.4B
P/E ratio
18
Forward P/E
16.4
EPS, TTM
$3.46
Gekko Fair Value
$91.81

Trading

Volume
49.48M
Avg volume, 20 days
44.67M
52-week high
$116.73
52-week low
$61.39
Shares outstanding
4.16B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$49.73B
Profit margin
29.7%
Return on equity
53.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+47.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.61
Typical daily move
±3.2%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%

Netflix peers

Netflix’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GOOGAlphabet+2.1%Buying2.4% below
GOOGLAlphabet+1.9%Buying1.7% below
METAMeta Platforms−1.7%Accumulation4.1% above
SPOTSpotify Technology+2.9%Distribution30.1% above
MSTRStrategy+4.4%Neutral20.3% below
TRIThomson Reuters+5.0%Neutral14.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Netflix stock FAQ

What is Netflix’s market cap?

Netflix’s market cap is $276.4B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $66.39, with 4.16B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.

What is the Netflix stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Netflix is $84.76, +27.7% from the last close. Of the 34 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 23 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Netflix stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Netflix is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $66.39 is 27.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $91.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Netflix report earnings next?

Netflix is expected to report on Jan 19, 2027, after the market closes (75 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.68 per share on revenue of $13.44B. Netflix beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.

What is Netflix’s 52-week high and low?

Netflix’s 52-week high is $116.73 and its 52-week low is $61.39; it closed at $66.39 on Nov 4, 2026, −39.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $134.12 on Jun 30, 2025.

Is Netflix stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (smart money) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Netflix?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Netflix over the last 30 days, with $11.73M of flagged premium in calls and $67.22M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 22, 2026 with $10.53M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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