NASDAQ: COST

Costco Wholesale (COST) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$1,046.47+27.21 (+2.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Costco rose this week on strong October sales results, with net sales climbing 12.6% to $24.50 billion for the four weeks ended November 1, and digitally-enabled sales up 22.5% year-over-year. For the first nine weeks of the fiscal period, net sales rose 12.8% to $54.52 billion. Separately, the company continues to expand its physical footprint, with a new warehouse opening in South Meridian, Idaho, and a $10 million incentive package approved in Cape Coral for another location with a gas station.

Costco closed at $1046.47, up 2.7%, with the price sitting above both its 50-day average of $947.85 and its 200-day average of $972.02. The GekkoIndex reading of 48.5 places the stock in the Neutral zone, down 3.8 over the past five days. Price sits 24.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $839.48.

Costco's next earnings report is scheduled for 10 December 2026, 35 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window. In the last quarter, actual EPS of $6.75 beat the $6.54 estimate, producing a 2% reaction, with 6 beats in the last 8 quarters and an average absolute reaction of 2.9%. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.8% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 28 firms shows 21 buy, 6 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $1067.59.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Costco Wholesale price vs fair value

$1,046$839.48Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $1,046.47200-day averageGekko Fair Value $839.48

Costco Wholesale quick facts

Market cap
$463.7B
P/E ratio
48.8
Forward P/E
44.4
EPS, TTM
$21.34
Revenue, TTM
$303.2B
Profit margin
3%
Dividend yield
0.55%
Beta
0.85
Volume
2.56M avg 2.17M
1-year return
+12.8%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$947.85
200-day average
$972.02
Next earnings
Dec 10 after close
Shares outstanding
443.1M
52-week range
$844.06$1,096.50

Costco Wholesale swing-trade checklist

Costco Wholesale scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $1046.47 sits between the 50-day ($947.85) and 200-day ($972.02) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    48.5, Neutral

    Reading 48.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    24.7% above

    Price is 24.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Dec 10, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Costco Wholesale stock chart and price history

Costco Wholesale closed at $1,046.47 on Nov 4, 2026, +12.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $844.06 to $1,096.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Costco Wholesale share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$850$900$950$1000$1100DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct1046.47

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+11.8%
3 months
+10.3%
6 months
+5.1%
1 year
+12.8%
The full COST chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open COST in Gekko

Follow Costco Wholesale through every session

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About Costco Wholesale

Costco Wholesale runs membership-only warehouse stores that sell a wide mix of goods, from packaged food and drinks to electronics, appliances, tires, furniture, apparel and jewelry. Shoppers also find fresh meat, produce, bakery and deli sections, along with services such as pharmacies, optical centers, food courts, hearing aid clinics and tire fitting bays. The company is widely recognized for this warehouse-club format built around paid membership access.

Its warehouses operate across many countries, including the United States, Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, Spain, Iceland, France, China and Puerto Rico, with the largest concentration in the United States. Costco also runs gas stations at many locations and supports online sales in several markets, covering business deliveries, travel bookings and same-day grocery orders. Customers are largely members who pay for access to these warehouses and their attached services.

The company traces its founding to 1976, when it was first called Costco Companies, Inc., before taking on its current name in 1999. It is headquartered in Issaquah, Washington, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker COST.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
costco.com

Costco Wholesale GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Costco Wholesale’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 48.5, in the Neutral zone, down 3.8 points over five sessions.

010048.5Neutral

Down 3.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying24+0.4%+2.7%+4.5%+5.6%
Accumulation207+0.5%+1.0%+2.6%+3.4%
Neutral (current zone)401+0.3%+0.4%+0.4%+1.9%
Distribution60−0.3%+0.2%−0.4%−0.2%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average COST share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COST price, zone by zone.Track COST in Gekko

Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Costco Wholesale trades 24.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $839.48, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Costco Wholesale shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$839.48

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

24.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 27.0% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$839$1,019Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COST in Gekko

Costco Wholesale insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Costco Wholesale, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for COST in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every COST insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COST in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 11

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Costco Wholesale has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 30, 2026
$245.0M
As a share of market cap
0.05%
Trailing four quarters
$848.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds COST.

0added0opened1trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Costco Wholesale earnings: next date and track record

Costco Wholesale reports on Dec 10, 2026, after the close (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.5%Dec ’24−8.0%Mar ’25+2.7%May ’25−3.1%Sep ’25+1.2%Dec ’25−0.9%Mar ’26−4.7%May ’26+2.0%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 24, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Costco reported 10%+ top-line sales growth in fiscal 2026, expanding to 939 warehouses globally with 25 net new locations. Digitally enabled sales exceeded $33 billion, up 20%+. Pharmacy sales grew nearly 20%, gas business hit record performance saving members $3.2 billion, and travel saw double-digit growth. The company deepened member loyalty across warehouses, ancillary businesses, and digital platforms.
Guidance
Costco plans to open 33 warehouses in fiscal 2027, including 5 relocations, targeting 30 net new warehouses annually long-term. International expansion includes 4 European, 5 Canadian, and 1 Mexican location, with a strong Asia-Australia pipeline for fiscal 2028.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 24, 2026$6.75
est $6.54
+3.2%$93.87B
est $94.97B
−1.2%+2.0%
May 28, 2026$4.93
est $4.98
−1.0%$70.53B
est $69.83B
+1.0%−4.7%
Mar 5, 2026$4.58
est $4.55
+0.7%$69.60B
est $69.29B
+0.4%−0.9%
Dec 11, 2025$4.34
est $4.27
+1.6%$67.31B
est $67.14B
+0.2%+1.2%
Sep 25, 2025$5.87
est $5.80
+1.2%$86.16B
est $86.01B
+0.2%−3.1%
May 29, 2025$4.28
est $4.24
+0.9%$63.21B
est $63.13B
+0.1%+2.7%
Mar 6, 2025$4.02
est $4.09
−1.7%$63.72B
est $63.11B
+1.0%−8.0%
Dec 12, 2024$3.82
est $3.79
+0.8%$62.15B
est $62.05B
+0.2%−0.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Costco Wholesale stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Costco Wholesale is $1,067.59, +2.0% from the last close, from 28 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$1,067.59consensus 12-month target, +2.0% from the last close
Low $781High $1,315
Buy21
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 28 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 26Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$1,130+8.0%
Oct 21CICCBuy, initiated——
Oct 15Tigress FinancialBuy, reiterated$1,250+19.4%
Oct 13BernsteinBuy, maintained$1,143+9.2%
Oct 9RBC CapitalHold, reiterated$1,000−4.4%
+0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Costco Wholesale seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Costco Wholesale averaged +3.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.6%2021+0.5%2022+6.2%2023+10.8%2024−2.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.9%3 of 5

For scale, COST’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

Costco Wholesale market cap and key statistics

Costco Wholesale’s market cap is $463.7B, with a P/E ratio of 48.8 and revenue of $303.2B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$463.7B
P/E ratio
48.8
Forward P/E
44.4
EPS, TTM
$21.34
Gekko Fair Value
$839.48

Trading

Volume
2.56M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.17M
52-week high
$1,096.50
52-week low
$844.06
Shares outstanding
443.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$303.2B
Profit margin
3%
Return on equity
28.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+15.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.85
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
0.55%

Costco Wholesale stock news this week

Coverage of Costco Wholesale this week reads positive: 9 positive, 2 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Costco Wholesale peers

Costco Wholesale’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+1.7%Neutral1.7% above
CVNACarvana+5.9%Distribution8.0% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.4%Neutral0.9% below
TGTTarget+3.2%Neutral8.6% above
AZOAutoZone+1.5%Neutral13.6% below
WSMWilliams-Sonoma+3.2%Neutral35.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Costco Wholesale stock FAQ

What is Costco Wholesale’s market cap?

Costco Wholesale’s market cap is $463.7B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,046.47, with 443.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 48.8.

What is the Costco Wholesale stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Costco Wholesale is $1,067.59, +2.0% from the last close. Of the 28 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 21 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Costco Wholesale is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,046.47 is 24.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $839.48. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Costco Wholesale report earnings next?

Costco Wholesale is expected to report on Dec 10, 2026, after the market closes (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.92 per share on revenue of $74.26B. Costco Wholesale beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.9% on average across the report.

What is Costco Wholesale’s 52-week high and low?

Costco Wholesale’s 52-week high is $1,096.50 and its 52-week low is $844.06; it closed at $1,046.47 on Nov 4, 2026, +12.8% over the past year.

Is Costco Wholesale stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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