Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for COST in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every COST insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open COST in Gekko
NASDAQ: COST
Costco Wholesale (COST) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$895.31+1.38 (+0.2%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryCostco shares close at $895.31, up 0.2% on the day, but sit below both the 50-day average of $936.54 and the 200-day average of $960.42, with the shorter average also under the longer one. Trailing returns are negative across recent windows, down 6.4% over one month, 5.9% over three months, 8.2% over six months and 7% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 71.2, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while price sits 9.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $815.52.
Coverage this week centers on Costco's product and operational moves alongside legal and pricing scrutiny. The company brought back its twisted churro to food courts, expanded nationwide delivery through partnerships with Uber Eats and DoorDash, and is converting its Midtown Kansas City location into a Costco Business Center, closing October 1 and reopening next spring without a food court or pharmacy. Separately, Costco is among companies opposing centralization of at least 25 tariff-refund lawsuits, and commentary has raised the topic of potential price cuts following an 18% decline since May.
Costco reports fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on 24 September 2026, four days away and after the close, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding period. The prior quarter produced EPS of $4.93 against a $4.98 estimate, with a -4.7% reaction; the company has beaten estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, and average absolute reactions run 3%. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells. Seasonality from this point has averaged -1.3% over 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. Analyst consensus across 20 firms carries 15 buy ratings and a target of $1,069.20.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $895.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $815.52
Key stats
- Market cap
- $397.1B
- P/E ratio
- 45
- Forward P/E
- 39.8
- EPS, TTM
- $19.85
- Revenue, TTM
- $293.6B
- Profit margin
- 3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.60%
- Beta
- 0.86
- Volume
- 4.10M avg 2.03M
- 1-year return
- −7.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
- 50-day average
- $936.54
- 200-day average
- $960.42
- Next earnings
- Sep 24 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 443.5M
Costco Wholesale swing-trade checklist
Costco Wholesale scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $895.31 is below the 50-day ($936.54) and 200-day ($960.42) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
71.2, Buying
Reading 71.2 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
9.8% above
Price is 9.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 4 days
Reports on Sep 24, 2026, 4 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−1.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Costco Wholesale stock chart and price history
Costco Wholesale closed at $895.31 on Sep 18, 2026, −7.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $844.06 to $1,096.50.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.4%
- 3 months
- −5.9%
- 6 months
- −8.2%
- 1 year
- −7.0%
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About Costco Wholesale
Costco Wholesale runs membership-only warehouse stores that sell a wide mix of goods, from packaged food and drinks to electronics, appliances, tires, furniture, apparel and jewelry. Shoppers also find fresh meat, produce, bakery and deli sections, along with services such as pharmacies, optical centers, food courts, hearing aid clinics and tire fitting bays. The company is widely recognized for this warehouse-club format built around paid membership access.
Its warehouses operate across many countries, including the United States, Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, Spain, Iceland, France, China and Puerto Rico, with the largest concentration in the United States. Costco also runs gas stations at many locations and supports online sales in several markets, covering business deliveries, travel bookings and same-day grocery orders. Customers are largely members who pay for access to these warehouses and their attached services.
The company traces its founding to 1976, when it was first called Costco Companies, Inc., before taking on its current name in 1999. It is headquartered in Issaquah, Washington, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker COST.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Specialty stores
- Website
- costco.com
Costco Wholesale GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Costco Wholesale’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 71.2, in the Buying zone, up 2.1 points over five sessions.
71.2Buying
Up 2.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 21 | +0.4% | +4.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 196 | +0.5% | +2.5% | ||
| Neutral | 386 | +0.2% | +0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 54 | −0.5% | −0.4% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average COST share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the COST price, zone by zone.Track COST in Gekko
Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Costco Wholesale trades 9.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $815.52, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Costco Wholesale shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$815.52
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
9.8% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open COST in Gekko
Costco Wholesale insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Costco Wholesale, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Milton Newhouse House, WA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 20 traded Jul 10 |
| Daniel Milton Newhouse House, WA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 20 traded Jul 9 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Costco Wholesale has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended May 10, 2026
- $184.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.05%
- Trailing four quarters
- $883.0M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold COST.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Costco Wholesale earnings: next date and track record
Costco Wholesale reports on Sep 24, 2026, after the close (4 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Sep 24, 2026
Expected after the close, 4 days away
- EPS estimate
- $6.53
- Revenue estimate
- $94.86B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, May 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Costco Q3 FY26 earnings call: Management highlighted record gas volumes due to Middle East events driving higher gas prices and bringing new members to gas stations, expecting long-term loyalty benefits. Q3 net income $2.19B, EPS $4.93 (+15% YoY); net sales $69.2B (+11.6% YoY); comparable sales +9.8% (6.6% ex gas & FX); digitally enabled comps +21.5%. Membership income $1.37B (+10.7% YoY), paid executive memberships 41.2M (+9.6%). Management emphasized strategic pricing—lowering prices when possible—investments in retail media, AI/search, delivery partnerships, and technology to improve checkout throughput. Capital allocation priorities: invest in warehouses, remodels, depots, manufacturing, digital; continue regular dividend and share repurchases to offset dilution; special dividend considered if cash grows. International expansion pipeline: Canada, China, Korea, Japan, UK, Spain, France. Risks mentioned: macro uncertainty, tariffs, higher oil/resin costs, healthcare cost increases, legal settlements/reserves, LIFO cycling. Prepared remarks ended early; Q&A covered membership growth, traffic, margins, SG&A, retail media, AI benefits, fuel business, club pipeline, and executive membership adoption in China.
- Risks flagged
- Macro uncertainty, tariffs and potential tariff refunds timing, higher oil prices impacting inflationary costs and resin/petrochemical-driven nonfood costs, healthcare cost increases, legal settlements/reserves, inventory/LIFO impacts.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | $4.93 est $4.98 | $70.53B est $69.83B | −4.7% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $4.58 est $4.55 | $69.60B est $69.29B | −0.9% |
| Dec 11, 2025 | $4.34 est $4.27 | $67.31B est $67.14B | +1.2% |
| Sep 25, 2025 | $5.87 est $5.80 | $86.16B est $86.01B | −3.1% |
| May 29, 2025 | $4.28 est $4.24 | $63.21B est $63.13B | +2.7% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | $4.02 est $4.09 | $63.72B est $63.11B | −8.0% |
| Dec 12, 2024 | $3.82 est $3.79 | $62.15B est $62.05B | −0.5% |
| Sep 26, 2024 | $5.15 est $5.08 | $79.70B est $79.91B | −2.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Costco Wholesale stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Costco Wholesale is $1,069.20, +19.4% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$1,069.20consensus 12-month target, +19.4% from the last close
Now $895.31Avg $1,069.20
Low $781High $1,275
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | UBS | $1,275 | +42.4% |
| Sep 16 | Oppenheimer | $1,160 | +29.6% |
| Sep 16 | Bank of America Securities | $1,095 | +22.3% |
| Sep 15 | RBC Capital | $1,000 | +11.7% |
| Sep 8 | Freedom Capital Markets | $1,030 | +15.0% |
+4.2%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Costco Wholesale seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Costco Wholesale averaged −1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.8% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −1.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.1% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, COST’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.
Costco Wholesale market cap and key statistics
Costco Wholesale’s market cap is $397.1B, with a P/E ratio of 45 and revenue of $293.6B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $397.1B
- P/E ratio
- 45
- Forward P/E
- 39.8
- EPS, TTM
- $19.85
- Gekko Fair Value
- $815.52
Trading
- Volume
- 4.10M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.03M
- 52-week high
- $1,096.50
- 52-week low
- $844.06
- Shares outstanding
- 443.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $293.6B
- Profit margin
- 3%
- Return on equity
- 29.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +15.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.86
- Typical daily move
- ±1.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.60%
Costco Wholesale stock news this week
Coverage of Costco Wholesale this week reads positive: 9 positive, 6 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Can Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST) Keep Its Value Edge?Kalkine Media, Sep 19
- Costco brings back a fan-favorite food court treat after years off the menuFox News, Sep 19
- Kansas City's midtown Costco closes Oct. 1. It'll reopen next year — with no food court or pharmacyKCUR, Sep 19
- Here’s When Jim Cramer Thinks Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) Will Cut PricesInsider Monkey, Sep 18
- Amazon, Costco among companies fighting centralized tariff refund suitsCFO Dive, Sep 18
- Costco now offers nationwide delivery on Uber and DoorDashGrocery Dive, Sep 18
Costco Wholesale peers
Costco Wholesale’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMTWalmart | Accumulation | 10.6% below |
| TGTTarget | Neutral | 8.8% above |
| CVNACarvana | Accumulation | 12.8% below |
| ORLYO'Reilly Automotive | Accumulation | 10.5% below |
| AZOAutoZone | Accumulation | 24.7% below |
| CPRTCopart | Accumulation | 5.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Costco Wholesale stock FAQ
What is Costco Wholesale’s market cap?
Costco Wholesale’s market cap is $397.1B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $895.31, with 443.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 45.
What is the Costco Wholesale stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Costco Wholesale is $1,069.20, +19.4% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 15 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Costco Wholesale is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $895.31 is 9.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $815.52. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Costco Wholesale report earnings next?
Costco Wholesale is expected to report on Sep 24, 2026, after the market closes (4 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.53 per share on revenue of $94.86B. Costco Wholesale beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3% on average across the report.
What is Costco Wholesale’s 52-week high and low?
Costco Wholesale’s 52-week high is $1,096.50 and its 52-week low is $844.06; it closed at $895.31 on Sep 18, 2026, −7.0% over the past year.
Is Costco Wholesale stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and smart money) and 4 as headwinds (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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