Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PAG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every PAG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PAG in Gekko
NYSE: PAG
Penske Automotive (PAG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$207.22−2.40 (−1.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's news centers on Penske Automotive's second-quarter results, with adjusted EPS of $3.62 beating the $3.42 consensus and revenue reaching $8.51 billion, up 11.1% year-over-year. Alongside this, brokerages have assigned an average "Moderate Buy" rating, with five recommending a buy and five a hold, and a 12-month price target of $211.14. Separate reporting also noted the stock trading near $218.31 with a market capitalization of $13.96 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.85.
PAG closed at $207.22, down 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $215.50 and 200-day average of $177.90. The GekkoIndex reads 67.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value, which is set at $186.20.
The next earnings date falls on 28 October, 29 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. In the last reported quarter, EPS of $3.62 beat the $3.38 estimate, with the last reaction at 0.3%; PAG has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 3.2%. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -3.4%, rising in 1 of those years. Current consensus targets sit at $212.14, implying 2.4% upside. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Penske Automotive price vs fair value
Close $207.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $186.20
Penske Automotive quick facts
- Market cap
- $13.61B
- P/E ratio
- 15.3
- Forward P/E
- 14.7
- EPS, TTM
- $13.64
- Revenue, TTM
- $32.20B
- Profit margin
- 2.8%
- Dividend yield
- 2.69%
- Beta
- 0.83
- Volume
- 459,515 avg 345,613
- 1-year return
- +21.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.2%
- 50-day average
- $215.50
- 200-day average
- $177.90
- Next earnings
- Oct 28
- Shares outstanding
- 65.66M
Penske Automotive swing-trade checklist
Penske Automotive scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $207.22 sits between the 50-day ($215.50) and 200-day ($177.90) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
67.3, Accumulation
Reading 67.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
11.3% above
Price is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 29 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−3.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.4% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Penske Automotive stock chart and price history
Penske Automotive closed at $207.22 on Sep 28, 2026, +21.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $140.12 to $227.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.9%
- 3 months
- +15.1%
- 6 months
- +39.6%
- 1 year
- +21.3%
The full PAG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PAG in Gekko
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About Penske Automotive
Penske Automotive runs dealerships that sell and service cars, trucks, and related products across several countries. The company is known for its retail automotive franchises, which handle new and used vehicle sales along with repair work, financing and leasing support, insurance products, aftermarket parts, and wholesale parts distribution. It also operates CarShop used vehicle outlets and a network of commercial truck dealerships offering heavy and medium-duty trucks, including Freightliner and Western Star models, plus maintenance services for that equipment.
The business is divided into four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. Beyond running dealerships, Penske Automotive imports and distributes Western Star trucks, MAN trucks and buses, and Dennis Eagle refuse vehicles and their parts in Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific region, and it distributes diesel and gas engines along with power systems. Its retail automotive footprint spans 320 franchises worldwide, with 146 in the United States and 174 in other countries, alongside 23 CarShop locations and 37 commercial truck dealerships across several U.S. states and Canada.
Penske Automotive was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker PAG.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Specialty stores
- Website
- penskeautomotive.com
Penske Automotive GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Penske Automotive’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.7 points over five sessions.
67.3Accumulation
Up 3.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 31 | +1.8% | +5.0% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 198 | +0.4% | +3.0% | ||
| Neutral | 413 | +0.2% | +0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 25 | −0.6% | +0.2% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average PAG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PAG price, zone by zone.Track PAG in Gekko
Is Penske Automotive stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Penske Automotive trades 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $186.20, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Penske Automotive shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$186.20
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
11.3% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PAG in Gekko
Penske Automotive insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Penske Automotive, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in PAG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for PAG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PAG in Gekko
Buybacks
Penske Automotive has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $16.10M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.12%
- Trailing four quarters
- $90.30M
From company filings.
Penske Automotive earnings: next date and track record
Penske Automotive reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
29 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.56
- Revenue estimate
- $8.16B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- The transcript contains three earnings conference calls (Safe Bulkers, Capital Power, Penske Automotive Group). Safe Bulkers reported improved charter market conditions, higher revenues and earnings, a second consecutive quarterly dividend increase to $0.075 per share, and emphasized a strong balance sheet and fleet renewal program. Capital Power delivered an upbeat presentation highlighting strengthening market fundamentals (notably in Alberta and PJM), growing customer interest (including a 10+ year ESA with Meta), an increase in its embedded EBITDA opportunity from ~$1.0 billion to $1.25 billion, a continued focus on disciplined capital allocation (targeting 13–15% annual TSR), and prudently staged hedging (significant hedges in place for 2027). Management discussed development and M&A discipline, recontracting opportunities, and operational flexibility (Genesee, Rolling Hills, Hummel, La Paloma). Penske Automotive reported strong Q2 results: revenue growth (+6% to $8.5B), improved earnings (EPS $3.96), continued portfolio optimization, reduced debt, raised quarterly dividend to $1.44, and positive trends across retail, truck, international, and PTS segments. Management discussed commercial truck order/backlog dynamics, used-vehicle strength, international headwinds (U.K. ZEV mandate and Chinese brand competition), and growth opportunities in Australia’s energy solutions business. Penske also disclosed an unsolicited acquisition proposal ($210 per share) and formation of a special committee to evaluate it. Across calls management emphasized balance-sheet strength, disciplined capital allocation, and opportunities from favorable market dynamics; they also noted regulatory, supply chain, social/community, and macro risks.
- Guidance
- Safe Bulkers: Increased quarterly dividend to $0.075 per share (Q2 2026). Capital Power: Updated embedded EBITDA upside from ~$1.0 billion to $1.25 billion; continued target of 13%–15% annual TSR; reiterated growth opportunities including ~3.5 GW additional U.S. owned capacity target unchanged. Capital Power also noted a majority of 2027 Alberta exposure is hedged (significant hedging in place). Penske: Increased quarterly dividend to $1.44 per share; no formal multi-year financial guidance but expects improved truck deliveries and benefits in H2 2026 and remains flexible on capital allocation (acquisitions, buybacks, dividends).
- Risks flagged
- Safe Bulkers: Dry bulk market exposure to geopolitical risks (Straits of Hormuz scenarios), aging fleet (30% > 15 years) increasing repair/inspection costs, limited dual-fuel orderbook and fuel-transition uncertainty. Capital Power: Regulatory uncertainty (PJM auction/RBP changes), social/political risk around data center development (community concerns, provincial sentiment), speed-to-power constraints, market liquidity in long-dated strips, commodity/gas price uncertainty and hedging risk. Penske: Macroeconomic/consumer affordability risks (U.K.), ZEV mandates and Chinese brand competition in international markets, supply-chain constraints (engine supply in Australia), interest rate/financing costs, and the uncertainty around the unsolicited acquisition proposal.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $3.62 est $3.38 | $8.51B est $7.98B | +0.3% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $3.05 est $3.33 | $7.86B est $7.71B | +6.2% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $2.85 est $3.18 | $7.77B est $7.63B | +7.8% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $3.23 est $3.44 | $7.70B est $7.62B | −1.2% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $3.78 est $3.56 | $7.66B | +0.9% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $3.39 est $3.28 | $7.60B est $7.73B | −1.3% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $3.54 est $3.30 | $7.72B est $7.66B | +6.0% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $3.39 est $3.41 | $7.59B est $7.65B | −2.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Penske Automotive stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Penske Automotive is $212.14, +2.4% from the last close, from 9 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$212.14consensus 12-month target, +2.4% from the last close
Now $207.22Avg $212.14
Low $205High $238
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 9 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | Citi | — | — |
| Aug 19 | Barclays | $225 | +8.6% |
| Aug 4 | J.P. Morgan | $215 | +3.8% |
| Aug 3 | Stephens | $210 | +1.3% |
| Jul 31 | UBS | $210 | +1.3% |
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−3.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Penske Automotive seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Penske Automotive averaged −3.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −3.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −4.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.5% | 0 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −3.4% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.7% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, PAG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.2%.
Penske Automotive market cap and key statistics
Penske Automotive’s market cap is $13.61B, with a P/E ratio of 15.3 and revenue of $32.20B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $13.61B
- P/E ratio
- 15.3
- Forward P/E
- 14.7
- EPS, TTM
- $13.64
- Gekko Fair Value
- $186.20
Trading
- Volume
- 459,515
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 345,613
- 52-week high
- $227.00
- 52-week low
- $140.12
- Shares outstanding
- 65.66M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $32.20B
- Profit margin
- 2.8%
- Return on equity
- 15.8%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −1.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.83
- Typical daily move
- ±1.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.2%
- Dividend yield
- 2.69%
Penske Automotive stock news this week
Coverage of Penske Automotive this week reads positive: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Penske Automotive Group stock trades at USD 210 after Q2 beatAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
- Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE:PAG) Given Average Rating of "Moderate Buy" by BrokeragesMarketBeat, Sep 23
- Penske Automotive Group stock holds near USD 218AD HOC NEWS, Sep 22
Penske Automotive peers
Penske Automotive’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMTWalmart | Neutral | 5.0% below |
| COSTCostco Wholesale | Neutral | 12.6% above |
| TGTTarget | Neutral | 10.7% above |
| ORLYO'Reilly Automotive | Neutral | 6.0% below |
| CVNACarvana | Accumulation | 18.8% below |
| AZOAutoZone | Neutral | 28.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Penske Automotive stock FAQ
What is Penske Automotive’s market cap?
Penske Automotive’s market cap is $13.61B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $207.22, with 65.66M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.3.
What is the Penske Automotive stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Penske Automotive is $212.14, +2.4% from the last close. Of the 9 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Penske Automotive stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Penske Automotive is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $207.22 is 11.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $186.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Penske Automotive report earnings next?
Penske Automotive is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.56 per share on revenue of $8.16B. Penske Automotive beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.2% on average across the report.
What is Penske Automotive’s 52-week high and low?
Penske Automotive’s 52-week high is $227.00 and its 52-week low is $140.12; it closed at $207.22 on Sep 28, 2026, +21.3% over the past year.
Is Penske Automotive stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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