Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TGT in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TGT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TGT in Gekko
NYSE: TGT
Target (TGT) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$158.19−1.64 (−1.0%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryTarget trades at $158.19, down 1% on the day but still above both its 50-day average of $151.71 and its 200-day average of $125.65, with the shorter average sitting above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 58.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $145.43, a gap that exceeds the 5% threshold typically flagged as a headwind.
Coverage this week centers on Target's positioning in a value-driven retail environment, with reports noting the company drawing shoppers from rivals alongside Ross Stores and comparisons to Costco on valuation grounds. Other pieces reference a "demand reset" tied to discretionary exposure and merchandising execution, following last quarter's results where traffic grew 3.6% year-over-year and the company completed store transitions including an overhaul of nearly half its center-store grocery layout.
Target's next earnings report is set for 18 November, 59 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Over the last 30 days, unusual options activity registered 2 signals, with put premium of $2.77 million exceeding call premium of $1.33 million. Analyst coverage spans 28 firms, with 12 at buy, 14 at hold, and 2 at sell, and a consensus target of $162.76 implying 2.9% upside from current levels. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a -0.9% return over five years, positive in 3 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current premium to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $158.19200-day averageGekko Fair Value $145.43
Key stats
- Market cap
- $71.85B
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Forward P/E
- 15.2
- EPS, TTM
- $9.64
- Revenue, TTM
- $107.7B
- Profit margin
- 4.1%
- Dividend yield
- 2.95%
- Beta
- 0.99
- Volume
- 6.69M avg 4.05M
- 1-year return
- +77.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- 50-day average
- $151.71
- 200-day average
- $125.65
- Next earnings
- Nov 18 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 454.3M
Target swing-trade checklist
Target scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $158.19 is above the 50-day ($151.71) and 200-day ($125.65) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.5, Neutral
Reading 58.5 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
8.8% above
Price is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 59 days
Next report Nov 18, 2026, 59 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−0.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Target stock chart and price history
Target closed at $158.19 on Sep 18, 2026, +77.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $83.44 to $170.75.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −0.5%
- 3 months
- +21.0%
- 6 months
- +38.2%
- 1 year
- +77.9%
The full TGT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TGT in Gekko
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About Target
Target runs a chain of general merchandise stores that stock everyday essentials alongside food, clothing, home goods, electronics and toys. Shoppers most often encounter the retailer through its long list of in-house labels, spanning apparel lines such as A New Day and Wild Fable, home brands like Threshold and Opalhouse, and grocery names including Good & Gather and Favorite Day, among many others carrying its own naming.
Much of what fills its shelves is sold under these proprietary brands rather than outside labels, covering categories from clothing and household basics to beauty, pantry staples and seasonal items. This mix lets the company offer goods across nearly every part of daily life to shoppers visiting its stores for general household and personal needs.
Target traces its start to George Draper Dayton, who founded the company in 1902, and it now operates out of Minneapolis, Minnesota. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker TGT.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Specialty stores
- Website
- corporate.target.com
Target GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Target’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.5, in the Neutral zone, down 1.1 points over five sessions.
58.5Neutral
Down 1.1 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 46 | +0.6% | −0.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 201 | 0.0% | −1.4% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 387 | +0.3% | +1.9% | ||
| Distribution | 27 | −0.5% | +3.8% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TGT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TGT price, zone by zone.Track TGT in Gekko
Is Target stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Target trades 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $145.43, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Target shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$145.43
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
8.8% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TGT in Gekko
Target insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Target, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TGT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TGT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TGT in Gekko
Buybacks
Target has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
- $3.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.00%
- Trailing four quarters
- $492.0M
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
2signals, 32% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 12, $2.13M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds TGT.
0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Target earnings: next date and track record
Target reports on Nov 18, 2026, before the open (59 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 18, 2026
Expected before the open, 59 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.05
- Revenue estimate
- $26.37B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Target reported Q2 2026 results with traffic growth of 3.6% year-over-year, slightly accelerating on a 2-year basis versus Q1. The company completed its largest volume of in-store transitions in over a decade, overhauling nearly half of center store grocery layout and replacing 75% of decorative accessories assortment. Target has lowered prices on over 10,000 items in the past year while pursuing four strategic priorities: merchandising authority, guest experience, technology acceleration, and team development.
- Guidance
- Management expressed increasing confidence that ongoing investments will support continued top and bottom line growth. Full-year outlook and specific financial targets were not yet disclosed in this excerpt, with CFO Jim Lee expected to provide detailed guidance later in the call.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | $2.46 est $2.30 | $26.54B est $26.13B | +3.8% |
| May 20, 2026 | $1.71 est $1.46 | $25.44B est $24.66B | −0.9% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | $2.44 est $2.16 | $30.45B est $30.46B | +6.1% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | $1.78 est $1.71 | $25.27B est $25.32B | −5.5% |
| Aug 20, 2025 | $2.05 est $2.04 | $25.21B est $24.94B | −7.9% |
| May 21, 2025 | $1.30 est $1.56 | $23.85B est $24.14B | −3.1% |
| Mar 4, 2025 | $2.41 est $2.27 | $30.92B est $30.76B | −3.5% |
| Nov 20, 2024 | $1.85 est $2.30 | $25.67B est $25.87B | −22.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Target stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Target is $162.76, +2.9% from the last close, from 28 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$162.76consensus 12-month target, +2.9% from the last close
Now $158.19Avg $162.76
Low $140High $200
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 28 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Telsey Advisory | $182 | +15.1% |
| Sep 4 | Bernstein | $154 | −2.6% |
| Aug 21 | Telsey Advisory | $182 | +15.1% |
| Aug 21 | BTIG | — | — |
| Aug 20 | Roth MKM | $142 | −10.2% |
+1.9%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Target seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Target averaged −0.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −3.9% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −5.3% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −4.8% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.1% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, TGT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.
Target market cap and key statistics
Target’s market cap is $71.85B, with a P/E ratio of 16.6 and revenue of $107.7B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $71.85B
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Forward P/E
- 15.2
- EPS, TTM
- $9.64
- Gekko Fair Value
- $145.43
Trading
- Volume
- 6.69M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 4.05M
- 52-week high
- $170.75
- 52-week low
- $83.44
- Shares outstanding
- 454.3M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $107.7B
- Profit margin
- 4.1%
- Return on equity
- 26.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +100.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.99
- Typical daily move
- ±2.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.1%
- Dividend yield
- 2.95%
Target stock news this week
Coverage of Target this week reads positive: 4 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Why Is Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) Facing A Demand Reset?Kalkine Media, Sep 19
- John Ternus's First iPhone Launch Prompted a Bank of America Price Target Cut. Is Apple Stock a Buy?The Motley Fool, Sep 19
- Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Spotlights Dual-Target RNAi Data, Plozasiran Launch ProgressMarketBeat, Sep 18
- Ross Stores and Target Are Winning Shoppers From RivalsBarrons, Sep 18
- TGT vs. COST: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 18
- Target (TGT) Up 1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 18
Target peers
Target’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMTWalmart | Accumulation | 10.6% below |
| COSTCostco Wholesale | Buying | 9.8% above |
| CVNACarvana | Accumulation | 12.8% below |
| ORLYO'Reilly Automotive | Accumulation | 10.5% below |
| AZOAutoZone | Accumulation | 24.7% below |
| CPRTCopart | Accumulation | 5.8% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Target stock FAQ
What is Target’s market cap?
Target’s market cap is $71.85B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $158.19, with 454.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.6.
What is the Target stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Target is $162.76, +2.9% from the last close. Of the 28 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 14 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Target stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Target is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $158.19 is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $145.43. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Target report earnings next?
Target is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026, before the market opens (59 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.05 per share on revenue of $26.37B. Target beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.
What is Target’s 52-week high and low?
Target’s 52-week high is $170.75 and its 52-week low is $83.44; it closed at $158.19 on Sep 18, 2026, +77.9% over the past year.
Is Target stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Target?
Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Target over the last 30 days, with $1.33M of flagged premium in calls and $2.77M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 12, 2026 with $2.13M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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