NASDAQ: WMT

Walmart (WMT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$129.17+4.31 (+3.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Walmart shares rallied this week as a Democratic sweep of Congress lifted retail stocks broadly, with Walmart, Target, and Dollar Tree named as leaders on expectations of affordability support and reduced tariff pressure. The company also expanded its Sparky AI shopping agent ahead of the holiday season, added new product promotions, and continues opening stores as part of its plan to open or convert 150 locations by 2027. Separately, a federal court granted class certification in an antitrust suit over Amazon's Marketplace pricing practices, in which Walmart and eBay shoppers are named plaintiffs, and brokerage commentary noted a consensus "Buy" rating with an average target price cited at $132.41.

Walmart trades at $129.17, up 3.5% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $111.56 and 200-day average of $118.63, with a 52-week high of $135.16. The GekkoIndex reads 45.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 3.6 over the last five readings. Price sits 1.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $127.05.

Walmart next reports earnings on 19 November 2026, before the open, 14 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day hold; its last report showed an EPS beat with a 9.3% price reaction. Congress trades over the past 90 days show 3 buys and 0 sells. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 3.5% return over 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. Consensus among 31 firms stands at 30 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell, with a consensus target of $127.47.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Walmart price vs fair value

$129.17$127.05Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $129.17200-day averageGekko Fair Value $127.05

Walmart quick facts

Market cap
$1.03T
P/E ratio
44.8
Forward P/E
37.6
EPS, TTM
$2.85
Revenue, TTM
$735.8B
Profit margin
3%
Dividend yield
0.78%
Beta
0.53
Volume
29.14M avg 20.46M
1-year return
+27.1%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
50-day average
$111.56
200-day average
$118.63
Next earnings
Nov 19 before open
Shares outstanding
7.96B
52-week range
$98.88$135.16

Walmart swing-trade checklist

Walmart scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $129.17 sits between the 50-day ($111.56) and 200-day ($118.63) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45.6, Neutral

    Reading 45.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.7% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.7% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 14 days

    Reports on Nov 19, 2026, 14 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Walmart stock chart and price history

Walmart closed at $129.17 on Nov 4, 2026, +27.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $98.88 to $135.16.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Walmart share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$110$120DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct129.17

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+20.5%
3 months
+15.3%
6 months
−0.7%
1 year
+27.1%
The full WMT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WMT in Gekko

Follow Walmart through every session

Put WMT on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Walmart

Walmart runs large-scale retail operations that sell everyday goods to shoppers both in stores and online. Its shelves cover groceries, household essentials, health and beauty items, apparel, electronics, home and garden goods, and automotive services, making it a place customers turn to for routine shopping rather than a single specialty. It also runs pharmacy, optical, and hearing services, and sells several of its own product lines, including Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly.

The business is split into three main arms: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club, the last of which operates as a membership warehouse format. Stores take several shapes, from supercenters and neighborhood markets to cash-and-carry outlets, and are complemented by online storefronts such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, and Flipkart, along with mobile apps. Alongside merchandise, Walmart offers financial services like money transfers, bill payment, check cashing, prepaid cards, and lending, extending its reach beyond traditional retail.

Walmart shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker WMT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
stock.walmart.com

Walmart GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Walmart’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.6, in the Neutral zone, down 3.6 points over five sessions.

010045.6Neutral

Down 3.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.4%+2.7%+2.4%+5.0%
Accumulation130+0.8%+1.9%+3.6%+5.1%
Neutral (current zone)445+0.5%+1.0%+2.3%+5.8%
Distribution98+0.7%+1.1%+1.0%+4.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average WMT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WMT price, zone by zone.Track WMT in Gekko

Is Walmart stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Walmart trades 1.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $127.05, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Walmart shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$127.05

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

1.7% above fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 17.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$127$125Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WMT in Gekko

Walmart insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Walmart, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WMT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WMT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WMT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4
Gilbert Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 11
traded Aug 26

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Walmart has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
$3.02B
As a share of market cap
0.29%
Trailing four quarters
$6.99B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold WMT.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Walmart earnings: next date and track record

Walmart reports on Nov 19, 2026, before the open (14 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.7%Nov ’24−8.9%Feb ’25+1.5%May ’25−5.6%Aug ’25+4.7%Nov ’25−2.9%Feb ’26−8.1%May ’26−9.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Walmart reported Q2 FY27 with core retail sales up 5% in constant currency, Walmart U.S. comps of 2.6% (impacted -125bps by drug pricing regulation), and Sam's Club U.S. comps of 4.4%. Global e-commerce grew 23%, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of 20%+ growth for Walmart U.S. Membership fee revenue hit an all-time high, up 17%. Adjusted operating income grew 17.4% in constant currency, partly benefiting from tariff refunds reinvested into price reductions.
Guidance
Management raised full-year guidance on the strength of top and bottom line performance. The company expressed confidence in durable long-term growth driven by the compounding effect of retail, marketplace, advertising, and membership businesses scaling together.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 20, 2026$0.81
est $0.73
+11.0%$187.9B
est $186.6B
+0.7%−9.3%
May 21, 2026$0.66
est $0.66
+0.2%$177.8B
est $174.8B
+1.7%−8.1%
Feb 19, 2026$0.74
est $0.73
+1.8%$190.7B
est $190.5B
+0.1%−2.9%
Nov 20, 2025$0.62
est $0.60
+3.2%$179.5B
est $177.4B
+1.2%+4.7%
Aug 21, 2025$0.68
est $0.73
−7.2%$177.4B
est $175.9B
+0.8%−5.6%
May 15, 2025$0.61
est $0.57
+6.1%$165.6B
est $165.6B
0.0%+1.5%
Feb 20, 2025$0.66
est $0.65
+2.2%$180.6B
est $180.1B
+0.3%−8.9%
Nov 19, 2024$0.58
est $0.53
+9.4%$169.6B
est $167.7B
+1.1%+3.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Walmart stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Walmart is $127.47, −1.3% from the last close, from 31 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$127.47consensus 12-month target, −1.3% from the last close
Low $110High $155
Buy30
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 31 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 1Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$125−3.2%
Oct 29Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$138+6.8%
Oct 26Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$125−3.2%
Oct 26BernsteinBuy, maintained$142+9.9%
Oct 20Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$130+0.6%
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Walmart seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Walmart averaged +3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−9.1%2021+7.6%2022−5.5%2023+13.4%2024+11.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.7%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.5%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.2%3 of 5

For scale, WMT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.1%.

Walmart market cap and key statistics

Walmart’s market cap is $1.03T, with a P/E ratio of 44.8 and revenue of $735.8B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.03T
P/E ratio
44.8
Forward P/E
37.6
EPS, TTM
$2.85
Gekko Fair Value
$127.05

Trading

Volume
29.14M
Avg volume, 20 days
20.46M
52-week high
$135.16
52-week low
$98.88
Shares outstanding
7.96B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$735.8B
Profit margin
3%
Return on equity
22.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−9.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.53
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.1%
Dividend yield
0.78%

Walmart peers

Walmart’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
COSTCostco Wholesale+0.9%Neutral24.7% above
CVNACarvana+5.9%Distribution8.0% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.4%Neutral0.9% below
TGTTarget+3.2%Neutral8.6% above
AZOAutoZone+1.5%Neutral13.6% below
WSMWilliams-Sonoma+3.2%Neutral35.5% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Walmart stock FAQ

What is Walmart’s market cap?

Walmart’s market cap is $1.03T at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $129.17, with 7.96B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 44.8.

What is the Walmart stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Walmart is $127.47, −1.3% from the last close. Of the 31 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 30 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Walmart stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Walmart is about fair value: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $129.17 is 1.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $127.05. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Walmart report earnings next?

Walmart is expected to report on Nov 19, 2026, before the market opens (14 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.64 per share on revenue of $187.2B. Walmart beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.

What is Walmart’s 52-week high and low?

Walmart’s 52-week high is $135.16 and its 52-week low is $98.88; it closed at $129.17 on Nov 4, 2026, +27.1% over the past year.

Is Walmart stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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