NASDAQ: WMT

Walmart (WMT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Walmart Inc. Retail trade sector, specialty stores industry. Market cap $849.4B.

$106.73−0.06 (−0.1%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:14 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Walmart closes at $106.73, down 0.1%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $109.91 and 200-day average of $118.70, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock is off 6.6% over one month, 8.9% over three months, and 11.9% over six months, though still up 2.4% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 60.8, placing WMT in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $119.39.

This week's coverage centers on Walmart's ongoing competition with Amazon, with commentary pointing to its network of more than 4,000 physical stores as a distribution advantage, alongside contactless Tap to Pay rolling out across all nine Hawaii locations. Separately, product safety notices have surfaced, including a nationwide recall of Gias Foods pasta sold at Walmart over potential Listeria contamination and a list of seven recalled items tied to New Jersey stores. Commentary also touched on valuation relative to Amazon and Target, and on Walmart's advertising revenue growth decelerating as a factor in margin discussions.

Walmart's next earnings report is set for 19 November 2026, 60 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window; the prior report on 20 August showed EPS of $0.81 against a $0.73 estimate, yet shares reacted -9.3%. Over the last 90 days Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sales, while the last 30 days show 2 unusual options signals, with call premium of $26.8 million against put premium of $28.7 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +0.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $106.73200-day averageGekko Fair Value $119.39

Key stats

Market cap
$849.4B
P/E ratio
39
Forward P/E
36.9
EPS, TTM
$2.74
Revenue, TTM
$735.8B
Profit margin
3%
Dividend yield
0.90%
Beta
0.60
Volume
42.94M avg 24.34M
1-year return
+2.4%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
50-day average
$109.91
200-day average
$118.70
Next earnings
Nov 19 before open
Shares outstanding
7.96B
52-week range
$98.88$135.16

Walmart swing-trade checklist

Walmart scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $106.73 is below the 50-day ($109.91) and 200-day ($118.70) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.8, Accumulation

    Reading 60.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.6% below

    Price is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 60 days

    Next report Nov 19, 2026, 60 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +0.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Walmart stock chart and price history

Walmart closed at $106.73 on Sep 18, 2026, +2.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $98.88 to $135.16.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.6%
3 months
−8.9%
6 months
−11.9%
1 year
+2.4%
The full WMT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open WMT in Gekko

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About Walmart

Walmart runs large-scale retail operations that sell everyday goods to shoppers both in stores and online. Its shelves cover groceries, household essentials, health and beauty items, apparel, electronics, home and garden goods, and automotive services, making it a place customers turn to for routine shopping rather than a single specialty. It also runs pharmacy, optical, and hearing services, and sells several of its own product lines, including Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly.

The business is split into three main arms: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club, the last of which operates as a membership warehouse format. Stores take several shapes, from supercenters and neighborhood markets to cash-and-carry outlets, and are complemented by online storefronts such as walmart.com.mx, walmart.ca, and Flipkart, along with mobile apps. Alongside merchandise, Walmart offers financial services like money transfers, bill payment, check cashing, prepaid cards, and lending, extending its reach beyond traditional retail.

Walmart shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker WMT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
stock.walmart.com

Walmart GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Walmart’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 1 point over five sessions.

010060.8Accumulation

Up 1 point over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying23+1.4%+2.6%+1.7%+4.6%
Accumulation (current zone)121+0.6%+1.4%+3.4%+6.5%
Neutral426+0.5%+1.0%+2.3%+6.0%
Distribution91+0.7%+1.0%+1.0%+4.1%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average WMT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the WMT price, zone by zone.Track WMT in Gekko

Is Walmart stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Walmart trades 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $119.39, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Walmart shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$119.39

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

10.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open WMT in Gekko

Walmart insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Walmart, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for WMT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every WMT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open WMT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 11
traded Aug 26
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Aug 12
traded Jul 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Walmart has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 31, 2026
$3.02B
As a share of market cap
0.36%
Trailing four quarters
$6.99B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

2signals, 48% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Aug 21, $22.63M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold WMT.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Walmart earnings: next date and track record

Walmart reports on Nov 19, 2026, before the open (60 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.7%Nov ’24−8.9%Feb ’25+1.5%May ’25−5.6%Aug ’25+4.7%Nov ’25−2.9%Feb ’26−8.1%May ’26−9.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Walmart reported Q2 FY27 with core retail sales up 5% in constant currency, Walmart U.S. comps of 2.6% (impacted -125bps by drug pricing regulation), and Sam's Club U.S. comps of 4.4%. Global e-commerce grew 23%, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of 20%+ growth for Walmart U.S. Membership fee revenue hit an all-time high, up 17%. Adjusted operating income grew 17.4% in constant currency, partly benefiting from tariff refunds reinvested into price reductions.
Guidance
Management raised full-year guidance on the strength of top and bottom line performance. The company expressed confidence in durable long-term growth driven by the compounding effect of retail, marketplace, advertising, and membership businesses scaling together.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 20, 2026$0.81
est $0.73
+11.0%$187.9B
est $186.6B
+0.7%−9.3%
May 21, 2026$0.66
est $0.66
+0.2%$177.8B
est $174.8B
+1.7%−8.1%
Feb 19, 2026$0.74
est $0.73
+1.8%$190.7B
est $190.5B
+0.1%−2.9%
Nov 20, 2025$0.62
est $0.60
+3.2%$179.5B
est $177.4B
+1.2%+4.7%
Aug 21, 2025$0.68
est $0.73
−7.2%$177.4B
est $175.9B
+0.8%−5.6%
May 15, 2025$0.61
est $0.57
+6.1%$165.6B
est $165.6B
0.0%+1.5%
Feb 20, 2025$0.66
est $0.65
+2.2%$180.6B
est $180.1B
+0.3%−8.9%
Nov 19, 2024$0.58
est $0.53
+9.4%$169.6B
est $167.7B
+1.1%+3.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Walmart stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Walmart is $127.42, +19.4% from the last close, from 32 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$127.42consensus 12-month target, +19.4% from the last close
Low $110High $155
Buy29
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 32 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$125+17.1%
Sep 14TD CowenBuy, maintained$125+17.1%
Sep 14Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$132+23.7%
Sep 11JefferiesBuy, maintained$120+12.4%
Sep 10BarclaysBuy, maintained$132+23.7%
+3.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Walmart seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Walmart averaged +0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.7%2021−2.2%2022−1.2%2023+3.7%2024+5.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.5%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.6%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.6%4 of 5

For scale, WMT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4%.

Walmart market cap and key statistics

Walmart’s market cap is $849.4B, with a P/E ratio of 39 and revenue of $735.8B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$849.4B
P/E ratio
39
Forward P/E
36.9
EPS, TTM
$2.74
Gekko Fair Value
$119.39

Trading

Volume
42.94M
Avg volume, 20 days
24.34M
52-week high
$135.16
52-week low
$98.88
Shares outstanding
7.96B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$735.8B
Profit margin
3%
Return on equity
22.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−9.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.60
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±4%
Dividend yield
0.90%

Walmart peers

Walmart’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
COSTCostco Wholesale+0.3%Buying9.8% above
TGTTarget−1.0%Neutral8.8% above
CVNACarvana−1.3%Accumulation12.8% below
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.1%Accumulation10.5% below
AZOAutoZone+1.1%Accumulation24.7% below
CPRTCopart−1.2%Accumulation5.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Walmart stock FAQ

What is Walmart’s market cap?

Walmart’s market cap is $849.4B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $106.73, with 7.96B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 39.

What is the Walmart stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Walmart is $127.42, +19.4% from the last close. Of the 32 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 29 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Walmart stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Walmart is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $106.73 is 10.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $119.39. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Walmart report earnings next?

Walmart is expected to report on Nov 19, 2026, before the market opens (60 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.63 per share on revenue of $187.3B. Walmart beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.

What is Walmart’s 52-week high and low?

Walmart’s 52-week high is $135.16 and its 52-week low is $98.88; it closed at $106.73 on Sep 18, 2026, +2.4% over the past year.

Is Walmart stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (smart money and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Walmart?

Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Walmart over the last 30 days, with $26.81M of flagged premium in calls and $28.72M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Aug 21, 2026 with $22.63M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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