Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for ASO in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every ASO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASO in Gekko
NASDAQ: ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$53.79+0.30 (+0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's attention centers on sell-side sentiment following ASO's recent earnings beat. Analysts have given the stock a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating, with an average 12-month price target cited at $58.29 in one report and a consensus target of $58.84 elsewhere. The commentary points back to the company's EPS of $2.31 against a $2.07 consensus and revenue growth of 3% year-over-year to $1.65 billion, reported at the last earnings release.
ASO closed at $53.79, up 0.6%, with price sitting between its 50-day average of $48.32 and 200-day average of $52.42. The GekkoIndex reads 45.6, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-point change of -6.9. Price remains 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.13, with the stock's one-year return at 2.3% and three-month return at 15.9%.
The next earnings date falls on 8 December, 57 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 1.6% return across 5 years, rising in 2 of those years. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Analyst coverage currently stands at 3 buy and 7 hold ratings among 10 firms, with a consensus upside of 9.4% to target.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Academy Sports and Outdoors price vs fair value
Close $53.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $60.13
Academy Sports and Outdoors quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.34B
- P/E ratio
- 8.8
- Forward P/E
- 7.3
- EPS, TTM
- $5.97
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.19B
- Profit margin
- 6.4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.10%
- Beta
- 0.98
- Volume
- 2.06M avg 1.64M
- 1-year return
- +2.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
- 50-day average
- $48.32
- 200-day average
- $52.42
- Next earnings
- Dec 8
- Shares outstanding
- 61.58M
Academy Sports and Outdoors swing-trade checklist
Academy Sports and Outdoors scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $53.79 sits between the 50-day ($48.32) and 200-day ($52.42) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
45.6, Neutral
Reading 45.6 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
10.5% below
Price is 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 57 days
Next report Dec 8, 2026, 57 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+1.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Academy Sports and Outdoors stock chart and price history
Academy Sports and Outdoors closed at $53.79 on Oct 12, 2026, +2.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $41.29 to $62.45.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −2.8%
- 3 months
- +15.9%
- 6 months
- −5.9%
- 1 year
- +2.3%
The full ASO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ASO in Gekko
Follow Academy Sports and Outdoors through every session
Put ASO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Academy Sports and Outdoors
Academy Sports and Outdoors sells gear for outdoor life and sport across the United States, with shelves covering camping, fishing, and marine supplies alongside hunting and shooting equipment such as firearms, ammunition, archery items, and optics. Shoppers can also find team sports gear for baseball, football, basketball, soccer, and golf, fitness machines and supplements, home and patio goods, outdoor cooking equipment, trampolines, watersports items, electronics, apparel, and footwear ranging from work boots to athletic shoes.
Much of what the company sells carries its own private labels, including Academy Sports + Outdoors, Magellan Outdoors, BCG, O'rageous, Outdoor Gourmet, and Freely. Sales run through a network of physical stores spread across several contiguous states, backed by an online storefront at academy.com that extends its reach beyond those locations.
The company traces back to 1938 and is headquartered in Katy, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ASO.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Retail trade
- Industry
- Specialty stores
- Website
- academy.com
Academy Sports and Outdoors GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Academy Sports and Outdoors’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.6, in the Neutral zone, down 6.9 points over five sessions.
45.6Neutral
Down 6.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 31 | +4.8% | +7.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 289 | +0.4% | +0.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 344 | −0.6% | −1.8% | ||
| Distribution | 17 | −3.1% | −4.1% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average ASO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ASO price, zone by zone.Track ASO in Gekko
Is Academy Sports and Outdoors stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Academy Sports and Outdoors trades 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.13, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Academy Sports and Outdoors shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$60.13
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
10.5% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 33.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ASO in Gekko
Academy Sports and Outdoors insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Academy Sports and Outdoors, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in ASO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for ASO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ASO in Gekko
Buybacks
Academy Sports and Outdoors has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
- $82.09M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.46%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold ASO.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Academy Sports and Outdoors earnings: next date and track record
Academy Sports and Outdoors reports on Dec 8, 2026 (57 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Dec 8, 2026
57 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.31
- Revenue estimate
- $1.44B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Sep 9, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- ASO reported Q2 fiscal 2026 sales of $1.6 billion, up 3% total but down 0.4% on a comp basis. E-commerce grew 12.8% YoY. Sports & Recreation led divisions at +6%, driven by World Cup soccer and fitness equipment. Outdoor was second-best at +4%. Lower-income consumers (under $50K) showed high-single-digit traffic declines, while higher-income households (over $100K) saw high-single-digit traffic gains. July was the strongest month, with post-quarter comps running low single digits positive through Labor Day.
- Guidance
- Q3 started positively with sales through Labor Day up low single-digit comps, aided by tax-free weekend shifts from four states. Management expects continued World Cup-related momentum through year-end and into next year, with Women's World Cup expected to offset comparisons.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | $2.31 est $2.07 | $1.65B est $1.65B | +21.3% |
| Jun 9, 2026 | $0.93 est $0.91 | $1.44B est $1.44B | −3.5% |
| Mar 17, 2026 | $1.97 est $2.04 | $1.72B est $1.76B | −10.2% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | $1.14 est $1.27 | $1.38B est $1.40B | +12.6% |
| Sep 2, 2025 | $1.94 est $2.13 | $1.60B est $1.40B | −7.1% |
| Jun 10, 2025 | $0.76 est $0.89 | $1.35B est $1.37B | +1.9% |
| Mar 20, 2025 | $1.96 est $1.82 | $1.68B est $1.41B | −0.7% |
| Dec 10, 2024 | $0.98 est $1.27 | $1.34B est $1.39B | +8.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Academy Sports and Outdoors stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Academy Sports and Outdoors is $58.84, +9.4% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$58.84consensus 12-month target, +9.4% from the last close
Now $53.79Avg $58.84
Low $47High $67
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | Bank of America Securities | $58 | +7.8% |
| Oct 6 | Barclays | $53 | −1.5% |
| Sep 29 | Jefferies | $67 | +24.6% |
| Sep 23 | Morgan Stanley | $55 | +2.2% |
| Sep 15 | Goldman Sachs | $63 | +17.1% |
−1.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Academy Sports and Outdoors seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Academy Sports and Outdoors averaged +1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.9% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.6% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, ASO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.1%.
Academy Sports and Outdoors market cap and key statistics
Academy Sports and Outdoors’s market cap is $3.34B, with a P/E ratio of 8.8 and revenue of $6.19B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.34B
- P/E ratio
- 8.8
- Forward P/E
- 7.3
- EPS, TTM
- $5.97
- Gekko Fair Value
- $60.13
Trading
- Volume
- 2.06M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.64M
- 52-week high
- $62.45
- 52-week low
- $41.29
- Shares outstanding
- 61.58M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $6.19B
- Profit margin
- 6.4%
- Return on equity
- 18.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +17.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.98
- Typical daily move
- ±3.3%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8.1%
- Dividend yield
- 1.10%
Academy Sports and Outdoors stock news this week
2 headlines about Academy Sports and Outdoors from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
Academy Sports and Outdoors peers
Academy Sports and Outdoors’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WMTWalmart | Neutral | 2.5% below |
| COSTCostco Wholesale | Neutral | 16.4% above |
| ORLYO'Reilly Automotive | Neutral | 4.7% below |
| TGTTarget | Accumulation | 5.7% above |
| CVNACarvana | Accumulation | 19.7% below |
| AZOAutoZone | Neutral | 28.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Academy Sports and Outdoors stock FAQ
What is Academy Sports and Outdoors’s market cap?
Academy Sports and Outdoors’s market cap is $3.34B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $53.79, with 61.58M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.8.
What is the Academy Sports and Outdoors stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Academy Sports and Outdoors is $58.84, +9.4% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Academy Sports and Outdoors stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Academy Sports and Outdoors is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $53.79 is 10.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Academy Sports and Outdoors report earnings next?
Academy Sports and Outdoors is expected to report on Dec 8, 2026 (57 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $1.44B. Academy Sports and Outdoors beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.
What is Academy Sports and Outdoors’s 52-week high and low?
Academy Sports and Outdoors’s 52-week high is $62.45 and its 52-week low is $41.29; it closed at $53.79 on Oct 12, 2026, +2.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $75.73 on Mar 5, 2024.
Is Academy Sports and Outdoors stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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