NASDAQ: SPCX

Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$163.42+0.85 (+0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's coverage centers on SpaceX's Starlink Mobile and Spectrum push into wireless, with commentary on how the expansion could pressure carriers including AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile, and whether Apple's iPhone subsidy arrangements could be affected. Morgan Stanley is cited discussing an 85% upside case tied to the Starship programme and Starlink Mobile, while separate coverage raises insurance capacity concerns around a $650 million cargo question for Starship and notes Cathie Wood's framing of the IPO-era price as a potential deep-value entry point tied to a 10,000-flight annual cadence for Starship.

SPCX trades at $163.42, up 0.5% on the day, with one-month gains of 8.1% and three-month gains of 20.1%. The 50-day moving average sits at $145.34, with the 52-week range spanning $104.83 to $225.64. The GekkoIndex reads 53.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, up 7.5 over the last five readings. Price sits 5% above Gekko Fair Value, set at $155.57.

No confirmed earnings date appears on the calendar; the last report, on 4 August 2026, showed an EPS beat against estimate with a -5.5% reaction. Over the past 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, while the last 30 days show 3 unusual options signals, with put premium of $91,638,863 against call premium of $68,597,411. Analyst coverage from 12 firms shows 10 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $224.56.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Space Exploration Technologies price vs fair value

$163.42$155.57Jun ’26Aug ’26Oct ’26
Close $163.42Gekko Fair Value $155.57

Space Exploration Technologies quick facts

Market cap
$2.15T
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
200
EPS, TTM
−$1.10
Revenue, TTM
$23.04B
Profit margin
-35.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
66.86M avg 94.32M
1-year return
—
Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±14.3%
50-day average
$145.34
200-day average
—
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
7.70B
52-week range
$104.83$225.64

Space Exploration Technologies swing-trade checklist

Space Exploration Technologies scores 0 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 3 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

0 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendno data

    No data

    Not enough price history for both moving averages.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.9, Neutral

    Reading 53.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    5.0% above

    Price is 5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Space Exploration Technologies stock chart and price history

Space Exploration Technologies closed at $163.42 on Oct 12, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $104.83 to $225.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Space Exploration Technologies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$140$180$200JulAugSepOct163.42

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.1%
3 months
+20.1%
The full SPCX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SPCX in Gekko

Follow Space Exploration Technologies through every session

Put SPCX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track SPCX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Space Exploration Technologies

Space Exploration Technologies builds rockets and spacecraft and puts them to work carrying satellites, supplies, and astronauts toward low Earth orbit, the space station, and destinations further out such as the Moon and Mars. Its fleet includes the Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launch vehicles plus the Starship system, and it also produces the Dragon capsule for crewed and cargo flights. Beyond launches, it runs the Starlink service, beaming internet access down to homes and businesses from a network of satellites in orbit.

Its work is bought by a mix of government bodies, national security organizations, satellite firms, research institutions, and private clients wanting access to space. Offerings range from shared small-satellite launches to test flights of new vehicles, plus opportunities for customers to conduct research on orbit. A separate line, Starshield, is built for government use and covers sensing, communications, and satellite platform needs. The company also takes part in scientific missions and handles payload work tied to aerospace and telecommunications clients.

It was started in 2002 and operates out of Starbase, Texas. Its stock is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker SPCX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Website
spacex.com

Space Exploration Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Space Exploration Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.9, in the Neutral zone, up 7.5 points over five sessions.

010053.9Neutral

Up 7.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying8Too few readings yet
Accumulation15−0.1%+0.7%+7.0%+16.8%
Neutral (current zone)41+2.1%+3.0%+6.6%−10.5%
Distribution0Not available
Selling0Not available

Average SPCX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SPCX price, zone by zone.Track SPCX in Gekko

Is Space Exploration Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Space Exploration Technologies trades 5.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $155.57, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Space Exploration Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$155.57

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

5.0% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.9% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$156$163Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SPCX in Gekko

Space Exploration Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Space Exploration Technologies, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SPCX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SPCX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SPCX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Maria Elvira Salazar
House, FL, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 10
traded Aug 12

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Space Exploration Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$80.00M
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 43% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Oct 7, $44.48M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

16of the funds Gekko tracks hold SPCX.

0added16opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Space Exploration Technologies earnings: next date and track record

Space Exploration Technologies beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 1 report, moving 5.5% on average across the report.

1 of 1reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.5%average move across the report
0 of 1reports followed by a gain

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
SpaceX reported Q2 2026 revenue of $7.8 billion, up 92% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 billion, up 191%. Net loss improved by $467 million to $541 million. Key highlights include two successful Starship V3 flights, Starlink expanding to 170 markets, and AI compute scaling with Grok 4.5 release. Starship reusability milestones and V3 Starlink satellite deployments are central to growth strategy.
Guidance
Management projects Starlink V3 satellites could deliver a 100x increase in bandwidth capacity, potentially driving 10x revenue growth even if per-bit monetization declines. Starship aspirations target over 1 million tons to orbit annually, with full reusability catch attempts planned within the year.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.26
+65.4%$7.81B
est $6.83B
+14.5%−5.5%
May 20, 2026−$1.19—$4.69B——

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Space Exploration Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Space Exploration Technologies is $224.56, +37.4% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$224.56consensus 12-month target, +37.4% from the last close
Low $173High $300
Buy10
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Pivotal ResearchBuy, maintained$230+40.7%
Oct 12Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$190+16.3%
Oct 12Pivotal ResearchBuy, reiterated$230+40.7%
Oct 11Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$300+83.6%
Oct 9BernsteinBuy, maintained$248+51.8%
+6.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
±4.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Space Exploration Technologies market cap and key statistics

Space Exploration Technologies’s market cap is $2.15T and revenue of $23.04B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.15T
Forward P/E
200
EPS, TTM
−$1.10
Gekko Fair Value
$155.57

Trading

Volume
66.86M
Avg volume, 20 days
94.32M
52-week high
$225.64
52-week low
$104.83
Shares outstanding
7.70B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$23.04B
Profit margin
-35.7%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±4.1%
Typical 20-day move
±14.3%

Space Exploration Technologies stock news this week

Coverage of Space Exploration Technologies this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Space Exploration Technologies stock FAQ

What is Space Exploration Technologies’s market cap?

Space Exploration Technologies’s market cap is $2.15T at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $163.42, with 7.70B shares outstanding.

What is the Space Exploration Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Space Exploration Technologies is $224.56, +37.4% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Space Exploration Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Space Exploration Technologies is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $163.42 is 5.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $155.57. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is Space Exploration Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

Space Exploration Technologies’s 52-week high is $225.64 and its 52-week low is $104.83; it closed at $163.42 on Oct 12, 2026.

Is Space Exploration Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 0 of the 3 items with data read as supportive, 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and smart money) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Space Exploration Technologies?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Space Exploration Technologies over the last 30 days, with $68.60M of flagged premium in calls and $91.64M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Oct 7, 2026 with $44.48M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Space Exploration Technologies the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.