NASDAQ: SPCX

Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$135.92−5.39 (−3.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

SpaceX shares are reacting to a mix of political and commercial crosscurrents this week. Democrats swept the midterm elections, and reports note Elon Musk's heavy spending on Republican candidates largely failed, with commentary flagging potential stepped-up oversight on data centers that could touch SpaceX's growth plans. Separately, Qualcomm and SpaceX announced an agreement for network technology tied to Starlink, and coverage continues to digest the Q3 2026 results, where revenue of $14.6 billion (up 161% YoY), net income of $4.4 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of $8.8 billion (up 306%) accompanied Starship's first orbital flight and a new Louisiana spaceport announcement.

SPCX trades at $135.92, down 3.8%, and sits below its 50-day moving average of $149.64, with a 1-month return of -20.9% against a 3-month return of 18.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 60.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $164.51.

The next earnings date is 25 February 2027, 112 days out, placing it beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the past 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sales, while the last 30 days show 4 unusual options signals, with call premium of $127,545,210 against put premium of $71,821,754. The prior report on 20 October 2026 produced a 7.7% reaction, above the stock's average absolute reaction of 6.6%, a reminder of the stock's typical 20-day move of 12.9%.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Space Exploration Technologies price vs fair value

$164.51$135.92Jun ’26Aug ’26Nov ’26
Close $135.92Gekko Fair Value $164.51

Space Exploration Technologies quick facts

Market cap
$1.78T
P/E ratio
592.9
Forward P/E
66.2
EPS, TTM
$0.23
Revenue, TTM
$32.04B
Profit margin
-8.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
—
Volume
134.3M avg 100.1M
1-year return
—
Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±12.9%
50-day average
$149.64
200-day average
—
Next earnings
Feb 25
Shares outstanding
8.25B
52-week range
$104.83$225.64

Space Exploration Technologies swing-trade checklist

Space Exploration Technologies scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendno data

    No data

    Not enough price history for both moving averages.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.8, Accumulation

    Reading 60.8 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.4% below

    Price is 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 4 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 113 days

    Next report Feb 25, 2027, 113 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Space Exploration Technologies stock chart and price history

Space Exploration Technologies closed at $135.92 on Nov 4, 2026, inside a 52-week range of $104.83 to $225.64.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Space Exploration Technologies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$160$180$200JulAugSepOctNov135.92

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−20.9%
3 months
+18.3%
The full SPCX chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SPCX in Gekko

Follow Space Exploration Technologies through every session

Put SPCX on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track SPCX in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Space Exploration Technologies

Space Exploration Technologies builds rockets and spacecraft and puts them to work carrying satellites, supplies, and astronauts toward low Earth orbit, the space station, and destinations further out such as the Moon and Mars. Its fleet includes the Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launch vehicles plus the Starship system, and it also produces the Dragon capsule for crewed and cargo flights. Beyond launches, it runs the Starlink service, beaming internet access down to homes and businesses from a network of satellites in orbit.

Its work is bought by a mix of government bodies, national security organizations, satellite firms, research institutions, and private clients wanting access to space. Offerings range from shared small-satellite launches to test flights of new vehicles, plus opportunities for customers to conduct research on orbit. A separate line, Starshield, is built for government use and covers sensing, communications, and satellite platform needs. The company also takes part in scientific missions and handles payload work tied to aerospace and telecommunications clients.

It was started in 2002 and operates out of Starbase, Texas. Its stock is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker SPCX.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Website
spacex.com

Space Exploration Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Space Exploration Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.1 points over five sessions.

010060.8Accumulation

Up 1.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying8Too few readings yet
Accumulation (current zone)21−0.6%0.0%+7.0%+20.5%
Neutral50+0.5%+1.0%+3.9%+3.8%
Distribution0Not available
Selling0Not available

Average SPCX share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SPCX price, zone by zone.Track SPCX in Gekko

Is Space Exploration Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Space Exploration Technologies trades 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $164.51, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Space Exploration Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$164.51

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

17.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.9% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$165$141Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SPCX in Gekko

Space Exploration Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Space Exploration Technologies, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SPCX in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SPCX insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SPCX in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Maria Elvira Salazar
House, FL, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 10
traded Aug 12

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Space Exploration Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$80.00M
As a share of market cap
0.00%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

4signals, 64% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 24, $42.23M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

8of the funds Gekko tracks hold SPCX.

1added7opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Space Exploration Technologies earnings: next date and track record

Space Exploration Technologies reports on Feb 25, 2027 (113 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 2 reports.

2 of 2reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
1 of 2reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.5%Aug ’26+7.7%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 AI summary

What they said
SpaceX reported Q3 2026 revenues of $14.6B (up 161% YoY), net income of $4.4B (improvement of $5.5B from prior year loss), and adjusted EBITDA of $8.8B (up 306%). Starship achieved orbit for the first time on Flight 14, deploying V3 Starlink satellites. The company announced a new Louisiana spaceport with 20+ planned launch towers and is advancing full rocket reusability.
Guidance
Starship expected to fly weekly in H1 2027, accelerating to twice-weekly or more by year-end 2027. Management projects Starlink bandwidth to grow ~100x within 3 years via ~100,000 satellites, with revenue expected to scale proportionately to bandwidth delivered.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 20, 2026$0.35
est $0.13
+161.4%$14.58B
est $12.87B
+13.3%+7.7%
Aug 4, 2026−$0.09
est −$0.26
+65.4%$7.81B
est $6.83B
+14.5%−5.5%
May 20, 2026−$1.19—$4.69B——

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Space Exploration Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Space Exploration Technologies is $257.11, +89.2% from the last close, from 27 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$257.11consensus 12-month target, +89.2% from the last close
Low $140High $500
Buy22
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 27 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 27Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained——
Oct 27NeedhamBuy, reiterated$250+83.9%
Oct 26BernsteinBuy, reiterated$268+97.2%
Oct 26Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$300+120.7%
Oct 23Phillip SecuritiesBuy, upgraded$250+83.9%
+7.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±5.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Space Exploration Technologies market cap and key statistics

Space Exploration Technologies’s market cap is $1.78T, with a P/E ratio of 592.9 and revenue of $32.04B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.78T
P/E ratio
592.9
Forward P/E
66.2
EPS, TTM
$0.23
Gekko Fair Value
$164.51

Trading

Volume
134.3M
Avg volume, 20 days
100.1M
52-week high
$225.64
52-week low
$104.83
Shares outstanding
8.25B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$32.04B
Profit margin
-8.6%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±5.7%
Typical 20-day move
±12.9%

Space Exploration Technologies stock news this week

Coverage of Space Exploration Technologies this week reads negative: 2 positive, 1 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

More stocks

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Electronic technology

Space Exploration Technologies stock FAQ

What is Space Exploration Technologies’s market cap?

Space Exploration Technologies’s market cap is $1.78T at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $135.92, with 8.25B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 592.9.

What is the Space Exploration Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Space Exploration Technologies is $257.11, +89.2% from the last close. Of the 27 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 22 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Space Exploration Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Space Exploration Technologies is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $135.92 is 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $164.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Space Exploration Technologies report earnings next?

Space Exploration Technologies is expected to report on Feb 25, 2027 (113 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.40 per share on revenue of $22.69B.

What is Space Exploration Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

Space Exploration Technologies’s 52-week high is $225.64 and its 52-week low is $104.83; it closed at $135.92 on Nov 4, 2026.

Is Space Exploration Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Space Exploration Technologies?

Gekko flagged 4 unusual options signals in Space Exploration Technologies over the last 30 days, with $127.5M of flagged premium in calls and $71.82M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 24, 2026 with $42.23M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Space Exploration Technologies the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,460 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.