NASDAQ: GFS

GlobalFoundries (GFS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$40.34−2.55 (−5.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 2 close

GlobalFoundries moves through a week dominated by an AI-enabled Advanced Facilities Control Centre launch at its Singapore campus, developed with Siemens, alongside a report that Korea Zinc is pursuing US chip-acid supply deals with Micron, Intel and GlobalFoundries. Options data also point to an expected 9.1% move tied to the November 4 earnings report, with the stock historically exceeding that implied move in three of its last eight announcements. A series of Form 4 filings tied to CLO Samak L. Azar appeared through the week but add little beyond the above.

Shares closed at $41.82, down 0.2%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $46.35 and the 200-day average of $55.18, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 65.5, placing GFS in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 13.3% below the $48.25 Gekko Fair Value estimate.

The next earnings report lands on 4 November 2026, before the open, just 1 day away and inside a typical 20-day holding window; the prior report on 5 August beat estimates ($0.33 against $0.32) but still saw a -3.2% reaction, and the average absolute reaction across the last eight quarters runs 10.9%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality for this point in the calendar shows a 12.7% average 20-day return over 5 years, rising in 5 of them, a pattern worth noting against the earnings-driven volatility ahead.

Written by AI from the Nov 2, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

GlobalFoundries price vs fair value

$48.30$40.34Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $40.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $48.30

GlobalFoundries quick facts

Market cap
$22.14B
P/E ratio
32.7
Forward P/E
16.4
EPS, TTM
$1.28
Revenue, TTM
$6.94B
Profit margin
10.3%
Dividend yield
0.29%
Beta
1.85
Volume
9.86M avg 6.35M
1-year return
+13.1%
Typical daily move
±6.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
50-day average
$46.18
200-day average
$55.17
Next earnings
—
Shares outstanding
557.4M
52-week range
$32.02$92.55

GlobalFoundries swing-trade checklist

GlobalFoundries scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $40.34 is below the 50-day ($46.18) and 200-day ($55.17) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    68.6, Accumulation

    Reading 68.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    16.5% below

    Price is 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskno data

    No data

    No confirmed report date on the calendar.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

GlobalFoundries stock chart and price history

GlobalFoundries closed at $40.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +13.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.02 to $92.55.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
GlobalFoundries share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct40.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−17.0%
3 months
−19.9%
6 months
−44.2%
1 year
+13.1%
The full GFS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GFS in Gekko

Follow GlobalFoundries through every session

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About GlobalFoundries

GlobalFoundries makes physical chips for other companies, turning circuit designs into working silicon. Its output includes processors used in phones and computers, radio components for wireless devices, chips that manage power in electronics, small mechanical sensors built at microscopic scale, and control chips found in countless everyday machines. The devices built from its chips reach into much of the technology people use daily.

Rather than designing and selling its own branded electronics, GlobalFoundries runs fabrication plants that produce chips on behalf of clients, essentially renting out manufacturing capability and technical know-how. Customers bring chip designs to the company, which handles the wafer processing and related engineering needed to turn those designs into finished silicon.

The company traces its start to 2009 and runs its main offices out of Malta, New York. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker GFS.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
gf.com

GlobalFoundries GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

GlobalFoundries’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 68.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 9.9 points over five sessions.

010068.6Accumulation

Up 9.9 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+2.9%+2.7%+0.7%−1.2%
Accumulation (current zone)275−0.7%−0.6%+0.2%+3.0%
Neutral341+0.3%+0.2%−0.2%+1.4%
Distribution30+0.6%+2.2%+10.0%−3.4%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average GFS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GFS price, zone by zone.Track GFS in Gekko

Is GlobalFoundries stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

GlobalFoundries trades 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.30, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what GlobalFoundries shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$48.30

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

16.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 7.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$48$43Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GFS in Gekko

GlobalFoundries insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GlobalFoundries, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GFS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GFS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GFS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GFS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GFS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GFS in Gekko

Buybacks

GlobalFoundries has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$400.0M
As a share of market cap
1.81%
Trailing four quarters
$805.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GFS.

0added1opened0trimmed3sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

GlobalFoundries earnings: next date and track record

GlobalFoundries beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 10.9% on average across the report.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±10.9%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+29.9%Nov ’24+15.4%Feb ’25−1.6%May ’25−7.8%Aug ’25−6.0%Nov ’25+16.2%Feb ’26+6.7%May ’26−3.2%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GlobalFoundries reported strong Q2 FY2026 results with revenue of $1.786 billion (up 9% sequentially, 6% YoY) and record non-IFRS gross margins that exceeded the high end of guidance. Management highlighted nearly 500 basis points of YoY gross margin expansion driven by a richer revenue mix (manufacturing and technology services), structural cost reductions, and manufacturing productivity. Key strategic focuses discussed were: 1) the launch and commercialization push for Quantum Technology Solutions to enable scale manufacturing of QPUs; 2) accelerating momentum in optical networking and AI data center opportunities (silicon photonics, SiGe, NPO/CPO) with comms infrastructure and data center end market growing over 60% YoY in Q2; and 3) growth from IP, software and custom silicon including the MIPS and Synopsys ARC IP acquisitions, which are expected to add material technology services revenue in 2026. Management emphasized strong design-win momentum, flexible capacity within existing fabs to ramp photonics/SiGe, and CHIPS Act / U.S. government partnerships supporting silicon photonics expansion. They reiterated long-term targets (30%+ gross margin trajectory and a 40% exit run rate by 2028) and detailed segment-level expectations (mobile weakness, IoT and automotive recovery, comms/data center strong acceleration).
Guidance
Technology services revenue contribution for full-year 2026 expected at approximately $100M to $120M (up from prior $60M-$100M). Management expects to reach approximately 30% gross margin before the end of 2026 and indicated further margin expansion (midpoint of inferred guide implies ~450 bps of additional margin expansion). CapEx for 2026 implied around 15%–20% of revenue, with expectation to be toward the higher end of that range. Segment outlook: mobile down low-teens for the year, automotive low-double-digit growth (recovery in H2), IoT up ~10%–15% YoY, comms infrastructure/data center up ~50%–60% YoY near term. Product/market ramps: NPO beginning ramp in 2027, CPO ramp beginning in 2028.
Risks flagged
Capacity constraints in high-growth corridors (silicon photonics, SiGe) and the timing of capacity additions; exposure to cyclical end markets (mobile weakness driven by memory shortage); customer shipment timing variability (noted in automotive); competitive pressure in silicon photonics and potential customer concentration (though management argues diversity of customers); time lag between incurring CapEx and revenue generation (tool install/qualification lead times); geopolitical risks and forward-looking uncertainty noted in standard disclaimers.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.33
est $0.32
+3.1%$1.79B
est $1.77B
+1.2%−3.2%
May 5, 2026$0.40
est $0.35
+15.7%$1.63B
est $1.63B
+0.3%+6.7%
Feb 11, 2026$0.55
est $0.47
+15.9%$1.83B
est $1.80B
+1.5%+16.2%
Nov 12, 2025$0.41
est $0.38
+7.9%$1.69B
est $1.68B
+0.7%−6.0%
Aug 5, 2025$0.42
est $0.36
+16.3%$1.69B
est $1.68B
+0.6%−7.8%
May 6, 2025$0.34
est $0.29
+17.5%$1.59B
est $1.58B
+0.4%−1.6%
Feb 11, 2025$0.46
est $0.45
+2.2%$1.83B
est $1.83B
+0.1%+15.4%
Nov 5, 2024$0.41
est $0.33
+24.2%$1.74B
est $1.73B
+0.8%+29.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

GlobalFoundries stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for GlobalFoundries is $73.91, +83.2% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$73.91consensus 12-month target, +83.2% from the last close
Low $50High $140
Buy7
Hold8
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 4JefferiesHold, maintained$50+23.9%
Nov 2Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$56+38.8%
Oct 26WedbushHold, maintained$72+78.5%
Oct 15UBSHold, maintained$55+36.3%
Oct 15Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$60+48.7%
+0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+11.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

GlobalFoundries seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, GlobalFoundries averaged +11.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.1%2021+14.7%2022−0.1%2023+23.9%2024+10.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+9.4%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+11.1%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.7%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.2%4 of 5

For scale, GFS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.8%.

GlobalFoundries market cap and key statistics

GlobalFoundries’s market cap is $22.14B, with a P/E ratio of 32.7 and revenue of $6.94B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$22.14B
P/E ratio
32.7
Forward P/E
16.4
EPS, TTM
$1.28
Gekko Fair Value
$48.30

Trading

Volume
9.86M
Avg volume, 20 days
6.35M
52-week high
$92.55
52-week low
$32.02
Shares outstanding
557.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$6.94B
Profit margin
10.3%
Return on equity
6.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−26.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.85
Typical daily move
±6.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7.8%
Dividend yield
0.29%

GlobalFoundries stock news this week

Coverage of GlobalFoundries this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 9 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

GlobalFoundries peers

GlobalFoundries’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.7%Accumulation25.3% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.4%Accumulation7.7% below
MUMicron Technology−3.4%Accumulation40.7% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+0.7%Accumulation9.1% below
INTCIntel−0.7%Buying33.9% below
TXNTexas Instruments−0.6%Neutral15.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Semiconductors

GlobalFoundries stock FAQ

What is GlobalFoundries’s market cap?

GlobalFoundries’s market cap is $22.14B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $40.34, with 557.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.7.

What is the GlobalFoundries stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for GlobalFoundries is $73.91, +83.2% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is GlobalFoundries stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate GlobalFoundries is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $40.34 is 16.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $48.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

What is GlobalFoundries’s 52-week high and low?

GlobalFoundries’s 52-week high is $92.55 and its 52-week low is $32.02; it closed at $40.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +13.1% over the past year.

Is GlobalFoundries stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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