NASDAQ: MRVL

Marvell Technology (MRVL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$159.80−12.17 (−7.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Marvell agreed to acquire Lumentum in an all-stock deal valued at $115 billion, a move described as combining complementary technologies that could aid revenue growth and gross margins. The stock fell sharply on the announcement, part of a decline that leaves shares down 36% over the past month even as some commentary notes a 162% year-to-date gain. The news arrives months after Nvidia's Jensen Huang called Marvell the next trillion-dollar company, a contrast several pieces highlight given the stock's recent drop. At least one Wall Street desk has reaffirmed a price target implying substantial upside from current levels.

Marvell last closed at $159.80, down 7.1% on the day, with price sitting below both its 50-day average of $238.54 and 200-day average of $184.51. The GekkoIndex reads 74.7, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $248.41, putting price 35.7% below that level.

Earnings are scheduled for 1 December, 26 days out, falling within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's reaction was -11.6% on an EPS miss. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, while the last 30 days show 3 unusual options signals, with put premium of $42,248,207 slightly exceeding call premium of $36,958,343. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +11.3% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them. Analyst consensus across 29 firms includes 24 buy ratings and a consensus target of $333.09.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Marvell Technology price vs fair value

$248.41$159.80Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $159.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $248.41

Marvell Technology quick facts

Market cap
$139.9B
P/E ratio
64.7
Forward P/E
26.4
EPS, TTM
$2.65
Revenue, TTM
$9.45B
Profit margin
27.9%
Dividend yield
0.12%
Beta
2.33
Volume
45.41M avg 25.23M
1-year return
+76.8%
Typical daily move
±11.4%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%
50-day average
$238.54
200-day average
$184.51
Next earnings
Dec 1 after close
Shares outstanding
876.9M
52-week range
$70.69$329.88

Marvell Technology swing-trade checklist

Marvell Technology scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $159.80 sits between the 50-day ($238.54) and 200-day ($184.51) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    74.7, Buying

    Reading 74.7 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    35.7% below

    Price is 35.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneymixed

    Mixed

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 3 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 27 days

    Reports on Dec 1, 2026, 27 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.3% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Marvell Technology stock chart and price history

Marvell Technology closed at $159.80 on Nov 4, 2026, +76.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $70.69 to $329.88.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Marvell Technology share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$200$250$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct159.80

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−44.3%
3 months
−24.1%
6 months
−7.2%
1 year
+76.8%
The full MRVL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MRVL in Gekko

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About Marvell Technology

Marvell Technology builds semiconductor chips that help move, process, and store digital information, covering everything from equipment inside data centers to gear at the outer reaches of networks. Its engineering work revolves around combined chip designs that blend analog circuitry, mixed-signal components, and digital processing on a single piece of silicon, and the company has become recognized for its networking chips, particularly those built around ethernet technology.

Its catalog spans networking parts like adapters, transceivers, and switching hardware, along with processors and chips tailored to individual customer needs. Marvell also makes components for linking systems together, including optical and electrical signal processors, laser and amplifier parts, and chips for connecting servers to storage. On the storage side, it supplies controllers for hard drives and solid-state drives, plus interface technology that lets servers communicate with storage systems. Customers come from the data center and communications space, and Marvell reaches them both through its own sales channels and via outside distributors.

The company traces back to its incorporation in 1995 and runs its main offices out of Wilmington, Delaware. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker MRVL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
marvell.com

Marvell Technology GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Marvell Technology’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 74.7, in the Buying zone, up 18.4 points over five sessions.

010074.7Buying

Up 18.4 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)20+6.1%+9.3%+9.8%+30.3%
Accumulation174+0.3%+0.8%+3.7%+17.9%
Neutral443+1.3%+2.8%+5.7%+12.9%
Distribution56+2.2%+3.6%+9.3%+30.3%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average MRVL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MRVL price, zone by zone.Track MRVL in Gekko

Is Marvell Technology stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Marvell Technology trades 35.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.41, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Marvell Technology shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$248.41

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

35.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 18.8% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$248$172Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MRVL in Gekko

Marvell Technology insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Marvell Technology, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MRVL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MRVL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MRVL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 7

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Marvell Technology has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026
$200.0M
As a share of market cap
0.14%
Trailing four quarters
$1.90B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

3signals, 47% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Oct 30, $59.20M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold MRVL.

0added1opened3trimmed4sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Marvell Technology earnings: next date and track record

Marvell Technology reports on Dec 1, 2026, after the close (27 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+22.0%Dec ’24−18.2%Mar ’25−6.8%May ’25−15.9%Aug ’25+10.0%Dec ’25+14.7%Mar ’26−1.6%May ’26−11.6%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Marvell reported record Q2 FY2027 revenue of $2.739B, up 13% sequentially and 37% YoY, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.94 exceeding guidance midpoints. Data Center revenue is expected to grow ~60% in FY2027. The company raised its FY2027 revenue outlook to ~$12B (from $11.5B) and FY2028 outlook to ~$18B (from $16.5B), driven by broad-based data center strength in interconnect and custom silicon.
Guidance
Q3 FY2027 revenue guided at $3.15B midpoint, up 15% sequentially and 50%+ YoY. FY2027 total revenue expected ~$12B (~45% growth); FY2028 revenue projected ~$18B (~50% growth), with Data Center growing 60%+ and custom silicon more than doubling.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 27, 2026$0.62
est $0.65
−4.6%$2.74B
est $2.72B
+0.7%−11.6%
May 27, 2026$0.80
est $0.80
+0.3%$2.42B
est $2.41B
+0.5%−1.6%
Mar 5, 2026$0.80
est $0.79
+1.0%$2.22B
est $2.21B
+0.5%+14.7%
Dec 2, 2025$0.76
est $0.74
+2.3%$2.07B
est $2.07B
+0.3%+10.0%
Aug 28, 2025$0.67
est $0.67
−0.4%$2.01B
est $2.01B
−0.2%−15.9%
May 29, 2025$0.62
est $0.61
+1.3%$1.90B
est $1.88B
+1.0%−6.8%
Mar 5, 2025$0.60
est $0.59
+1.7%$1.82B
est $1.80B
+1.0%−18.2%
Dec 3, 2024$0.43
est $0.41
+4.9%$1.52B
est $1.46B
+4.1%+22.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Marvell Technology stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Marvell Technology is $333.09, +108.4% from the last close, from 29 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$333.09consensus 12-month target, +108.4% from the last close
Low $180High $450
Buy24
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 29 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3TD CowenHold, downgraded$180+12.6%
Nov 3Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$285+78.3%
Nov 3Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$300+87.7%
Nov 3B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$275+72.1%
Nov 3OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$425+166.0%
+9.8%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+11.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±11.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Marvell Technology seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Marvell Technology averaged +11.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+16.8%2021+10.3%2022−1.1%2023+13.7%2024+14.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+6.3%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.2%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.3%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+11.7%3 of 5

For scale, MRVL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.8%.

Marvell Technology market cap and key statistics

Marvell Technology’s market cap is $139.9B, with a P/E ratio of 64.7 and revenue of $9.45B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$139.9B
P/E ratio
64.7
Forward P/E
26.4
EPS, TTM
$2.65
Gekko Fair Value
$248.41

Trading

Volume
45.41M
Avg volume, 20 days
25.23M
52-week high
$329.88
52-week low
$70.69
Shares outstanding
876.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.45B
Profit margin
27.9%
Return on equity
16.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+50.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.33
Typical daily move
±11.4%
Typical 20-day move
±9.8%
Dividend yield
0.12%

Marvell Technology peers

Marvell Technology’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.7%Accumulation25.3% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.4%Accumulation7.7% below
MUMicron Technology−3.4%Accumulation40.7% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+0.7%Accumulation9.1% below
INTCIntel−0.7%Buying33.9% below
TXNTexas Instruments−0.6%Neutral15.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Semiconductors

Marvell Technology stock FAQ

What is Marvell Technology’s market cap?

Marvell Technology’s market cap is $139.9B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $159.80, with 876.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 64.7.

What is the Marvell Technology stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Marvell Technology is $333.09, +108.4% from the last close. Of the 29 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 24 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Marvell Technology stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Marvell Technology is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $159.80 is 35.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $248.41. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Marvell Technology report earnings next?

Marvell Technology is expected to report on Dec 1, 2026, after the market closes (27 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $3.15B. Marvell Technology beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.6% on average across the report.

What is Marvell Technology’s 52-week high and low?

Marvell Technology’s 52-week high is $329.88 and its 52-week low is $70.69; it closed at $159.80 on Nov 4, 2026, +76.8% over the past year.

Is Marvell Technology stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and smart money) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Marvell Technology?

Gekko flagged 3 unusual options signals in Marvell Technology over the last 30 days, with $36.96M of flagged premium in calls and $42.25M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $59.20M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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