NASDAQ: NXPI

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

NXP Semiconductors N.V. Electronic technology sector, semiconductors industry. Market cap $57.49B.

$227.99+0.04 (0.0%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

NXP Semiconductors trades at $227.99, below both its 50-day average of $240.65 and its 200-day average of $245.25, with the shorter average also under the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 60.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits about 1.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $225.40. Over the past year the stock is up 2.7%, with a six-month gain of 18.5% offset by a three-month decline of 27.2%.

Recent activity centers on an insider transaction and valuation commentary. COO Andrew Micallef sold 1,000 shares on September 15 at $226.04 each, totaling $226,040, under a 10b5-1 trading plan, reducing his direct holdings by about 11.2% to 7,942 shares. Separately, the company declared a $1.01 per share dividend with an ex-dividend date of September 16, maintaining a payout ratio of 0.32 and a dividend record dating to 2018, while shares fell 3.2% that same day to $219.11 and were noted as underperforming some competitors on revenue and EPS growth.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date is 27 October, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and the last 30 days show 1 unusual options signal with $1.338 million in call premium and no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.6% decline over five years, rising in only 1 of them, a pattern worth noting given the current gap to fair value.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $227.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $225.40

Key stats

Market cap
$57.49B
P/E ratio
18.7
Forward P/E
12
EPS, TTM
$12.20
Revenue, TTM
$13.19B
Profit margin
22.6%
Dividend yield
1.85%
Beta
1.82
Volume
5.21M avg 3.18M
1-year return
+2.7%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$240.65
200-day average
$245.25
Next earnings
Oct 27 before open
Shares outstanding
252.2M
52-week range
$183.00$339.95

NXP Semiconductors swing-trade checklist

NXP Semiconductors scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $227.99 is below the 50-day ($240.65) and 200-day ($245.25) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    60.6, Accumulation

    Reading 60.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.1% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.1% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Oct 27, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −4.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.6% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NXP Semiconductors stock chart and price history

NXP Semiconductors closed at $227.99 on Sep 18, 2026, +2.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $183.00 to $339.95.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.9%
3 months
−27.2%
6 months
+18.5%
1 year
+2.7%
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About NXP Semiconductors

NXP Semiconductors builds chips that handle computing, connectivity, and protection tasks inside electronic products. Its catalog covers microcontrollers, application processors like the i.MX family, and processors built for communication tasks, plus wireless technology covering near-field communication, ultra-wideband, low-energy Bluetooth, Zigbee, and chips that combine Wi-Fi with Bluetooth. It also makes analog components, interface parts, radio-frequency amplifiers, security chips, and sensors that detect pressure, movement, magnetism, and rotation.

Customers use these parts in cars, factory equipment, connected devices, mobile gadgets, and networking gear. The company sells through original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributor networks, with a presence stretching across countries such as the Netherlands, the United States, China, Singapore, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Malaysia, among others worldwide.

NXP traces its start to 2006, when it began as KASLION Acquisition B.V. before it took on the NXP Semiconductors N.V. name in 2010. The company runs its headquarters out of Eindhoven, in the Netherlands, and its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker NXPI.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
nxp.com

NXP Semiconductors GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NXP Semiconductors’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.8 points over five sessions.

010060.6Accumulation

Up 1.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+1.6%+2.5%+6.4%+44.5%
Accumulation (current zone)236+0.6%+1.0%+1.6%+6.6%
Neutral370−0.4%−0.7%−0.9%−2.6%
Distribution28+4.2%+8.9%+9.9%+2.1%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average NXPI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NXPI price, zone by zone.Track NXPI in Gekko

Is NXP Semiconductors stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NXP Semiconductors trades 1.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $225.40, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NXP Semiconductors shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$225.40

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

1.1% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NXPI in Gekko

NXP Semiconductors insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NXP Semiconductors, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NXPI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NXPI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NXPI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

NXP Semiconductors has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 28, 2026
$104.0M
As a share of market cap
0.18%
Trailing four quarters
$600.1M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 15, $1.34M in unusual premium.

Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko

NXP Semiconductors earnings: next date and track record

NXP Semiconductors reports on Oct 27, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−5.8%Nov ’24−2.9%Feb ’25−5.6%Apr ’25+0.9%Jul ’25−2.8%Oct ’25−2.4%Feb ’26+22.1%Apr ’26−10.0%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NXP reported a strong Q2 2026 with record revenue of $3.5 billion (up 19% YoY, 10% sequentially), non-GAAP operating margin of ~35% and non-GAAP EPS of $3.61, all above guidance. Growth was broad-based across all end markets and regions, driven by company-specific growth drivers (SDV, electrification, connectivity, industrial edge AI and IoT) that are contributing an increasing share of revenue (roughly ~1/3 company-wide and ~47% of automotive). Automotive revenue was $1.94 billion (up 12% YoY, 17% YoY ex-MEMS sale) with SDV and zonal/processor design wins accelerating; industrial & IoT revenue was $755 million (up 38% YoY). Management highlighted structural margin expansion driven by product mix, factory utilization and operational leverage; non-GAAP gross margin of 58% and operating margin expansion were emphasized. Visibility and backlog improved materially (book-to-bill >1, distribution backlogs rising, backlog signals out to ~18 months) and the physical/edge AI pipeline expanded to ~$1.5 billion with broad-based customer interest across use cases. Management reiterated confidence in longer-term targets for 2027 (previously stated ~$16B midpoint and ~60% gross margin targets) and emphasized disciplined capital allocation and continued margin expansion.
Guidance
Management reaffirmed prior longer-term 2027 targets (midpoint previously discussed near $16B revenue and ~60% gross margin) and provided that Q3 guidance incorporates estimates for pricing impact; they reiterated they guide one quarter at a time and declined to provide Q4 detail. They signaled continued momentum into Q3 and Q4 and indicated improved visibility into Q4 and Q1. No specific numeric Q3 revenue/earnings figure was provided in the transcript beyond references to mid-single-digit sequential commentary by analysts and management's comment that Q3 guide incorporates pricing estimates.
Risks flagged
Risks and headwinds mentioned include inflationary input costs (piece parts, substrates, precious metals), potential future wafer/foundry access fees and higher front-end costs, memory and other component constraints impacting some end markets (e.g., mobile), geopolitical uncertainty (e.g., regional conflicts) with indirect macro impacts, and the need to convert pipeline/funnel opportunities into design wins. Management also noted sensitivity around passing through price increases and that pricing remains selective and dynamic.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$3.24
est $3.20
+1.3%$3.50B
est $3.47B
+0.9%−10.0%
Apr 28, 2026$3.05
est $2.97
+2.7%$3.18B
est $3.14B
+1.2%+22.1%
Feb 2, 2026$3.35
est $3.31
+1.2%$3.34B
est $3.31B
+0.8%−2.4%
Oct 27, 2025$3.11
est $3.12
−0.3%$3.17B
est $3.16B
+0.4%−2.8%
Jul 21, 2025$2.72
est $2.68
+1.5%$2.93B
est $2.90B
+0.8%+0.9%
Apr 28, 2025$2.64
est $2.61
+1.1%$2.84B
est $2.83B
+0.1%−5.6%
Feb 3, 2025$3.18
est $3.14
+1.3%$3.11B
est $3.10B
+0.3%−2.9%
Nov 4, 2024$3.45
est $3.43
+0.6%$3.25B
est $3.25B
−0.1%−5.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NXP Semiconductors stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NXP Semiconductors is $311.10, +36.5% from the last close, from 19 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$311.10consensus 12-month target, +36.5% from the last close
Low $190High $400
Buy11
Hold7
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 19 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 3BernsteinHold, maintained$290+27.2%
Aug 3UBSHold, downgraded$270+18.4%
Jul 30J.P. MorganHold, maintained$300+31.6%
Jul 29SusquehannaHold, reiterated$250+9.7%
Jul 29Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$338+48.3%
+1.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NXP Semiconductors seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, NXP Semiconductors averaged −4.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−5.2%2021−13.4%2022−0.7%2023−2.7%2024−4.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days0.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.4%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−4.6%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.7%2 of 5

For scale, NXPI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

NXP Semiconductors market cap and key statistics

NXP Semiconductors’s market cap is $57.49B, with a P/E ratio of 18.7 and revenue of $13.19B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$57.49B
P/E ratio
18.7
Forward P/E
12
EPS, TTM
$12.20
Gekko Fair Value
$225.40

Trading

Volume
5.21M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.18M
52-week high
$339.95
52-week low
$183.00
Shares outstanding
252.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.19B
Profit margin
22.6%
Return on equity
27.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+72.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.82
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
Dividend yield
1.85%

NXP Semiconductors stock news this week

Coverage of NXP Semiconductors this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

NXP Semiconductors peers

NXP Semiconductors’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA+1.3%Neutral16.4% below
AVGOBroadcom+1.6%Accumulation0.8% below
MUMicron Technology+3.2%Neutral2.5% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+2.3%Neutral11.9% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Neutral12.9% above
TXNTexas Instruments+2.2%Accumulation3.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

NXP Semiconductors stock FAQ

What is NXP Semiconductors’s market cap?

NXP Semiconductors’s market cap is $57.49B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $227.99, with 252.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.7.

What is the NXP Semiconductors stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NXP Semiconductors is $311.10, +36.5% from the last close. Of the 19 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NXP Semiconductors stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NXP Semiconductors is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $227.99 is 1.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $225.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NXP Semiconductors report earnings next?

NXP Semiconductors is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.13 per share on revenue of $3.76B. NXP Semiconductors beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.6% on average across the report.

What is NXP Semiconductors’s 52-week high and low?

NXP Semiconductors’s 52-week high is $339.95 and its 52-week low is $183.00; it closed at $227.99 on Sep 18, 2026, +2.7% over the past year.

Is NXP Semiconductors stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in NXP Semiconductors?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in NXP Semiconductors over the last 30 days, with $1.34M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 15, 2026 with $1.34M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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