NASDAQ: NXPI

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$265.01+2.22 (+0.8%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

NXP Semiconductors closed at $265.01 on 4 November 2026, +0.8% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($235.22) and 200-day ($247.01) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $183.00 to $339.95. The GekkoIndex reads 47.2, in the Neutral zone, up 0.6 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $224.08, so the price is 18.3% above it.

The next earnings report is due on 1 February 2027, 88 days away (before open). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 6.1% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 4 Congress purchases and 0 sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +7.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

18 firms rate the stock: 10 buy, 7 hold and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $299.93. A typical daily move is about 4.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.4%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (fair value).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

NXP Semiconductors price vs fair value

$265.01$224.08Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $265.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $224.08

NXP Semiconductors quick facts

Market cap
$66.80B
P/E ratio
20.2
Forward P/E
13.8
EPS, TTM
$12.71
Revenue, TTM
$13.80B
Profit margin
23.4%
Dividend yield
1.58%
Beta
1.86
Volume
5.23M avg 4.67M
1-year return
+26.0%
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$235.22
200-day average
$247.01
Next earnings
Feb 1 before open
Shares outstanding
252.1M
52-week range
$183.00$339.95

NXP Semiconductors swing-trade checklist

NXP Semiconductors scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $265.01 sits between the 50-day ($235.22) and 200-day ($247.01) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    47.2, Neutral

    Reading 47.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    18.3% above

    Price is 18.3% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 4 buys / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 88 days

    Next report Feb 1, 2027, 88 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

NXP Semiconductors stock chart and price history

NXP Semiconductors closed at $265.01 on Nov 4, 2026, +26.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $183.00 to $339.95.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
NXP Semiconductors share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$250$300DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct265.01

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+8.4%
3 months
+14.3%
6 months
−12.7%
1 year
+26.0%
The full NXPI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NXPI in Gekko

Follow NXP Semiconductors through every session

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About NXP Semiconductors

NXP Semiconductors builds chips that handle computing, connectivity, and protection tasks inside electronic products. Its catalog covers microcontrollers, application processors like the i.MX family, and processors built for communication tasks, plus wireless technology covering near-field communication, ultra-wideband, low-energy Bluetooth, Zigbee, and chips that combine Wi-Fi with Bluetooth. It also makes analog components, interface parts, radio-frequency amplifiers, security chips, and sensors that detect pressure, movement, magnetism, and rotation.

Customers use these parts in cars, factory equipment, connected devices, mobile gadgets, and networking gear. The company sells through original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributor networks, with a presence stretching across countries such as the Netherlands, the United States, China, Singapore, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Malaysia, among others worldwide.

NXP traces its start to 2006, when it began as KASLION Acquisition B.V. before it took on the NXP Semiconductors N.V. name in 2010. The company runs its headquarters out of Eindhoven, in the Netherlands, and its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker NXPI.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
nxp.com

NXP Semiconductors GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

NXP Semiconductors’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 47.2, in the Neutral zone, up 0.6 points over five sessions.

010047.2Neutral

Up 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying21+1.6%+2.5%+6.4%+30.9%
Accumulation249+0.7%+1.3%+1.7%+5.2%
Neutral (current zone)392−0.3%−0.7%−0.8%−2.7%
Distribution28+4.2%+8.9%+9.9%+2.1%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average NXPI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NXPI price, zone by zone.Track NXPI in Gekko

Is NXP Semiconductors stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

NXP Semiconductors trades 18.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $224.08, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what NXP Semiconductors shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$224.08

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

18.3% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.5% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$224$263Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NXPI in Gekko

NXP Semiconductors insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NXP Semiconductors, and members of Congress disclosed 4 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NXPI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NXPI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NXPI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

4trades disclosed: 4 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Gilbert Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 12
traded Sep 17
Gilbert Cisneros
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Oct 12
traded Sep 9
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

NXP Semiconductors has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026
$103.0M
As a share of market cap
0.15%
Trailing four quarters
$649.1M

From company filings.

NXP Semiconductors earnings: next date and track record

NXP Semiconductors reports on Feb 1, 2027, before the open (88 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.9%Feb ’25−5.6%Apr ’25+0.9%Jul ’25−2.8%Oct ’25−2.4%Feb ’26+22.1%Apr ’26−10.0%Jul ’26+2.4%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
NXP Q3 2026 revenue reached $3.79B, up 19% YoY, exceeding outlook across all end markets with every region growing double digits. Non-GAAP operating margin was 37% and EPS was $4.20, up 35% YoY. Automotive revenue crossed $2B for the first time, up 17% ex-sensors, with SDV revenue annualizing above $1.5B. Industrial and IoT grew 39% YoY. Board authorized an incremental $5B share repurchase program.
Guidance
Data center revenue now expected to exceed $500M in 2026, up from prior outlook, with $1B+ target within a couple of years. SDV revenue remains on track for $2B by 2027, with S32K5 shipments in China expected as early as Q1 2027.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 27, 2026$4.20
est $4.12
+1.9%$3.79B
est $3.76B
+0.6%+2.4%
Jul 28, 2026$3.24
est $3.20
+1.3%$3.50B
est $3.47B
+0.9%−10.0%
Apr 28, 2026$3.05
est $2.97
+2.7%$3.18B
est $3.14B
+1.2%+22.1%
Feb 2, 2026$3.35
est $3.31
+1.2%$3.34B
est $3.31B
+0.8%−2.4%
Oct 27, 2025$3.11
est $3.12
−0.3%$3.17B
est $3.16B
+0.4%−2.8%
Jul 21, 2025$2.72
est $2.68
+1.5%$2.93B
est $2.90B
+0.8%+0.9%
Apr 28, 2025$2.64
est $2.61
+1.1%$2.84B
est $2.83B
+0.1%−5.6%
Feb 3, 2025$3.18
est $3.14
+1.3%$3.11B
est $3.10B
+0.3%−2.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

NXP Semiconductors stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NXP Semiconductors is $299.93, +13.2% from the last close, from 18 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$299.93consensus 12-month target, +13.2% from the last close
Low $175High $400
Buy10
Hold7
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 18 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 28JefferiesBuy, maintained$350+32.1%
Oct 28Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$280+5.7%
Oct 28KeyBancBuy, maintained$330+24.5%
Oct 28CitiHold, maintained$250−5.7%
Oct 28Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$313+18.1%
−0.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+7.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

NXP Semiconductors seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, NXP Semiconductors averaged +7.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+3.6%2021+11.5%2022+12.6%2023−3.6%2024+11.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.1%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.8%3 of 5

For scale, NXPI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

NXP Semiconductors market cap and key statistics

NXP Semiconductors’s market cap is $66.80B, with a P/E ratio of 20.2 and revenue of $13.80B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$66.80B
P/E ratio
20.2
Forward P/E
13.8
EPS, TTM
$12.71
Gekko Fair Value
$224.08

Trading

Volume
5.23M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.67M
52-week high
$339.95
52-week low
$183.00
Shares outstanding
252.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$13.80B
Profit margin
23.4%
Return on equity
28.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+40.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.86
Typical daily move
±4.5%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
1.58%

NXP Semiconductors peers

NXP Semiconductors’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.7%Accumulation25.3% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.4%Accumulation7.7% below
MUMicron Technology−3.4%Accumulation40.7% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+0.7%Accumulation9.1% below
INTCIntel−0.7%Buying33.9% below
TXNTexas Instruments−0.6%Neutral15.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Semiconductors

NXP Semiconductors stock FAQ

What is NXP Semiconductors’s market cap?

NXP Semiconductors’s market cap is $66.80B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $265.01, with 252.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 20.2.

What is the NXP Semiconductors stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NXP Semiconductors is $299.93, +13.2% from the last close. Of the 18 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is NXP Semiconductors stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate NXP Semiconductors is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $265.01 is 18.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $224.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does NXP Semiconductors report earnings next?

NXP Semiconductors is expected to report on Feb 1, 2027, before the market opens (88 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $4.41 per share on revenue of $3.86B. NXP Semiconductors beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.1% on average across the report.

What is NXP Semiconductors’s 52-week high and low?

NXP Semiconductors’s 52-week high is $339.95 and its 52-week low is $183.00; it closed at $265.01 on Nov 4, 2026, +26.0% over the past year.

Is NXP Semiconductors stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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