NASDAQ: MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$278.56−7.01 (−2.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage of MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) centers on analyst sentiment rather than new operational news. One feature included MTSI among a list of high-efficiency stocks alongside CareDx, Ciena, Celestica and Materion, while a separate piece examined whether the stock could reach the mean Wall Street price target, noting a 41.4% upside implied by analyst estimates and pointing to strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates.

MTSI closed at $278.56, down 2.5% on the day, but remains above both its 50-day average of $273.99 and its 200-day average of $270.95, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 56.4, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 6.5% below the Gekko Fair Value of $297.87. Over the past six months the stock has returned 23.6%, though the three-month return is -25.2%, reflecting a swing between the 52-week low of $121.97 and high of $418.90.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 6 August showed EPS of $1.08 against an estimate of $1.04, with an 18% reaction. Ten analysts cover the stock, with 9 rated buy and 1 hold, and a consensus target of $395.33. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 3.5% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

MACOM Technology Solutions price vs fair value

$297.87$278.56Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $278.56200-day averageGekko Fair Value $297.87

MACOM Technology Solutions quick facts

Market cap
$21.25B
P/E ratio
87.7
Forward P/E
32.3
EPS, TTM
$3.25
Revenue, TTM
$1.16B
Profit margin
20.7%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.71
Volume
1.07M avg 1.31M
1-year return
+124.9%
Typical daily move
±5.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%
50-day average
$273.99
200-day average
$270.95
Next earnings
Nov 5 before open
Shares outstanding
76.37M
52-week range
$121.97$418.90

MACOM Technology Solutions swing-trade checklist

MACOM Technology Solutions scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $278.56 is above the 50-day ($273.99) and 200-day ($270.95) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.4, Neutral

    Reading 56.4 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.5% below

    Price is 6.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

MACOM Technology Solutions stock chart and price history

MACOM Technology Solutions closed at $278.56 on Sep 28, 2026, +124.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $121.97 to $418.90.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
MACOM Technology Solutions share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$300$400NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep278.56

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.5%
3 months
−25.2%
6 months
+23.6%
1 year
+124.9%
The full MTSI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MTSI in Gekko

Follow MACOM Technology Solutions through every session

Put MTSI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About MACOM Technology Solutions

MACOM Technology Solutions designs and manufactures analog semiconductor components used in wireless and wired connectivity equipment, covering signal ranges from radio frequency through microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave bands. Its output includes integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches, limiters, discrete passive and active parts, and full subsystems. These parts are built into equipment such as wireless base stations, optical networking gear, radar units, medical devices, and test and measurement instruments.

The company sells into telecommunications, where its parts support carrier networks, 5G rollouts, and fiber and PON systems; into industrial and defense markets covering radar, jamming and countermeasure technology, secure communications, automation, and scientific instruments; and into data centers. It reaches buyers through its own sales staff and applications engineers as well as independent representatives, resellers, and distributors, and it operates with a presence in the United States, China, and other parts of the Asia Pacific region alongside additional international markets.

MACOM was established in 1950 and is headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MTSI.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
macom.com

MACOM Technology Solutions GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

MACOM Technology Solutions’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.4, in the Neutral zone, unchanged over five sessions.

010056.4Neutral

Unchanged over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying11+7.3%+10.5%+11.2%+23.1%
Accumulation178+0.9%+1.2%+3.9%+18.5%
Neutral (current zone)421+1.2%+2.5%+4.6%+11.5%
Distribution56−0.4%−0.5%+3.3%−1.6%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average MTSI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MTSI price, zone by zone.Track MTSI in Gekko

Is MACOM Technology Solutions stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

MACOM Technology Solutions trades 6.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $297.87, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what MACOM Technology Solutions shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$297.87

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

6.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MTSI in Gekko

MACOM Technology Solutions insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MACOM Technology Solutions, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MTSI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MTSI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTSI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MTSI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MTSI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTSI in Gekko

Buybacks

MACOM Technology Solutions has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jul 3, 2026
$3.56M
As a share of market cap
0.02%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MTSI.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

MACOM Technology Solutions earnings: next date and track record

MACOM Technology Solutions reports on Nov 5, 2026, before the open (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+13.1%Nov ’24−6.3%Feb ’25+4.2%May ’25−13.0%Aug ’25+13.6%Nov ’25+9.7%Feb ’26+16.2%May ’26+18.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
MACOM reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $342.2 million with adjusted EPS of $1.40 per diluted share. All three end markets grew sequentially: Data Center at $137.6M (+40% sequential record), Industrial & Defense at $133.4M (+11% record), and Telecom at $71.3M (+2%). Record book-to-bill ratio of 1.6:1 signals strong demand. Customer base expanded from 8 to 20+ accounts exceeding $10M revenue, with revenue growing 30%+ annually.
Guidance
Management will provide Q4 FY2026 revenue and earnings guidance during the call. SAM is estimated at $15 billion by 2027 across three markets. Continued R&D investment and engineering/manufacturing team expansion are planned to capture growth opportunities.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$1.08
est $1.04
+3.8%$342.2M
est $336.1M
+1.8%+18.0%
May 7, 2026$1.09
est $1.07
+1.9%$289.0M
est $285.2M
+1.3%+16.2%
Feb 5, 2026$1.02
est $1.00
+2.3%$271.6M
est $269.0M
+1.0%+9.7%
Nov 6, 2025$0.94
est $0.93
+1.1%$261.2M
est $260.2M
+0.4%+13.6%
Aug 7, 2025$0.90
est $0.90
0.0%$252.1M
est $260.1M
−3.1%−13.0%
May 8, 2025$0.85
est $0.84
+1.2%$235.9M
est $230.1M
+2.5%+4.2%
Feb 6, 2025$0.79
est $0.78
+1.3%$218.1M
est $214.9M
+1.5%−6.3%
Nov 7, 2024$0.73
est $0.73
0.0%$200.7M
est $200.5M
+0.1%+13.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

MACOM Technology Solutions stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for MACOM Technology Solutions is $395.33, +41.9% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$395.33consensus 12-month target, +41.9% from the last close
Low $300High $475
Buy9
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18BMO CapitalBuy, upgraded$335+20.3%
Aug 21BMO CapitalHold, initiated$335+20.3%
Aug 20BMO CapitalHold, initiated$335+20.3%
Aug 7TD CowenBuy, reiterated$380+36.4%
Aug 7Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$475+70.5%
+4.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

MACOM Technology Solutions seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, MACOM Technology Solutions averaged +3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.1%2021+4.0%2022−4.3%2023+3.3%2024+8.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.9%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+14.5%4 of 5

For scale, MTSI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.7%.

MACOM Technology Solutions market cap and key statistics

MACOM Technology Solutions’s market cap is $21.25B, with a P/E ratio of 87.7 and revenue of $1.16B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$21.25B
P/E ratio
87.7
Forward P/E
32.3
EPS, TTM
$3.25
Gekko Fair Value
$297.87

Trading

Volume
1.07M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.31M
52-week high
$418.90
52-week low
$121.97
Shares outstanding
76.37M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.16B
Profit margin
20.7%
Return on equity
17.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+166.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.71
Typical daily move
±5.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.7%

MACOM Technology Solutions stock news this week

2 headlines about MACOM Technology Solutions from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

MACOM Technology Solutions peers

MACOM Technology Solutions’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−0.4%Neutral13.2% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.9%Accumulation2.3% below
MUMicron Technology−2.0%Neutral4.7% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−2.7%Neutral19.9% above
INTCIntel−3.8%Neutral19.1% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.3%Neutral7.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

MACOM Technology Solutions stock FAQ

What is MACOM Technology Solutions’s market cap?

MACOM Technology Solutions’s market cap is $21.25B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $278.56, with 76.37M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 87.7.

What is the MACOM Technology Solutions stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for MACOM Technology Solutions is $395.33, +41.9% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is MACOM Technology Solutions stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate MACOM Technology Solutions is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $278.56 is 6.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $297.87. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does MACOM Technology Solutions report earnings next?

MACOM Technology Solutions is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, before the market opens (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.00 per share on revenue of $420.2M. MACOM Technology Solutions beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.8% on average across the report.

What is MACOM Technology Solutions’s 52-week high and low?

MACOM Technology Solutions’s 52-week high is $418.90 and its 52-week low is $121.97; it closed at $278.56 on Sep 28, 2026, +124.9% over the past year.

Is MACOM Technology Solutions stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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