NASDAQ: MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Electronic technology sector, semiconductors industry. Market cap $59.83B.

$1,217.80+48.22 (+4.1%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Monolithic Power Systems closed at $1217.80, up 4.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $1303.07 and 200-day average of $1263.60. The GekkoIndex reads 64.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, and price sits 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $1332.62. Over the past year the stock has returned 38.8%, though the three-month return stands at -22.1% and the one-month return at -6.3%, with the 52-week range spanning $833.18 to $1714.09.

The past week's activity centered on sector-wide semiconductor selling, with MPWR falling alongside peers such as Marvell, Intel, Applied Materials, Lam Research and MACOM after CEOs of Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX called for a slowdown in AI model development over safety concerns. The stock dropped 7.39% on 14 September to $1143.24 before later trading near $1160.00, with a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 70.01 and market capitalization of $56.44 billion. Company-specific news included a long-term manufacturing agreement with GlobalFoundries for its 300mm Singapore fab and a declared third-quarter dividend of $2.00 per share, payable 15 October 2026.

Looking ahead, the next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October 2026, 39 days away, following a July quarter that produced $5.41 EPS against an $4.84 estimate and a 14.2% reaction, with 8 beats in the last 8 quarters. Options activity shows 1 unusual signal in the past 30 days, entirely call premium of $1,377,085 with no put premium. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -1%, positive in 4 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 9 buy, 1 hold, 0 sell ratings among 10 firms, with a consensus target of $1839.80.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $1,217.80200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,332.62

Key stats

Market cap
$59.83B
P/E ratio
70
Forward P/E
32.3
EPS, TTM
$16.72
Revenue, TTM
$3.27B
Profit margin
24.5%
Dividend yield
0.62%
Beta
1.66
Volume
1.39M avg 632,814
1-year return
+38.8%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
50-day average
$1,303.07
200-day average
$1,263.60
Next earnings
Oct 29 after close
Shares outstanding
49.14M
52-week range
$833.18$1,714.09

Monolithic Power Systems swing-trade checklist

Monolithic Power Systems scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $1217.80 sits between the 50-day ($1303.07) and 200-day ($1263.60) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.4, Accumulation

    Reading 64.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.6% below

    Price is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Monolithic Power Systems stock chart and price history

Monolithic Power Systems closed at $1,217.80 on Sep 18, 2026, +38.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $833.18 to $1,714.09.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.3%
3 months
−22.1%
6 months
+11.4%
1 year
+38.8%
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About Monolithic Power Systems

Monolithic Power Systems designs and markets semiconductor chips used to manage electrical power in electronic devices. Its components serve industries such as computing, data storage, automotive, industrial equipment, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. The company is particularly known for its DC to DC integrated circuits, which regulate and convert voltage in products ranging from laptops and displays to wireless networking equipment, car entertainment systems, and medical devices. It also makes lighting control chips used in LCD screens found in monitors, televisions, vehicle navigation systems, and laptops, as well as products for general lighting purposes.

The company sells to equipment makers, design firms, and electronics assembly businesses, reaching them both through its own sales force and through distributors and resellers. Its customer base spans a wide set of regions, including China, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Southeast Asia, Europe, and the United States.

Monolithic Power Systems was established in 1997 and is headquartered in Kirkland, Washington. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker MPWR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
monolithicpower.com

Monolithic Power Systems GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Monolithic Power Systems’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 0.7 points over five sessions.

010064.4Accumulation

Down 0.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying20−4.0%−6.7%+0.6%+7.6%
Accumulation (current zone)186+1.4%+3.1%+7.8%+17.2%
Neutral407+0.6%+1.1%+1.1%+4.1%
Distribution48+1.0%+2.8%+4.0%+3.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average MPWR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MPWR price, zone by zone.Track MPWR in Gekko

Is Monolithic Power Systems stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Monolithic Power Systems trades 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,332.62, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Monolithic Power Systems shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$1,332.62

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

8.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MPWR in Gekko

Monolithic Power Systems insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Monolithic Power Systems, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MPWR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MPWR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MPWR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MPWR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MPWR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MPWR in Gekko

Buybacks

Monolithic Power Systems has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$4.05M
As a share of market cap
0.01%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 17, $1.38M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MPWR.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Monolithic Power Systems earnings: next date and track record

Monolithic Power Systems reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.7%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−18.6%Oct ’24+10.2%Feb ’25+7.4%May ’25+7.5%Jul ’25−8.1%Oct ’25+8.2%Feb ’26+3.7%Apr ’26+14.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Monolithic Power Systems reported a record Q2 revenue of $981 million, up 22% sequentially and 48% year-over-year, driven by broad-based strength across enterprise data, communications, automotive, and modules/solutions. Management highlighted continued innovation (DDR5 controller sampling, 800V AC-to-DC sampling), expansion of capacity goals beyond $6 billion, increased investment in modules/solutions (including GaN and SiC efforts), and an additional $500 million share repurchase authorization (raising total to $1 billion). Book-to-bill remained >1 with strong ordering patterns and broadened customer adoption; channel inventory was described as low and sell-through healthy. Management emphasized a diversified market strategy, supply-chain/geographic balancing, and long-term transition from chip-only to solution-based offerings. They noted pockets of caution in consumer and certain storage/notebook areas and described ongoing qualification/assembly complexity for module ramp.
Guidance
No explicit numeric revenue or EPS guidance was provided for the full year. Management did: (1) expand capacity targets beyond $6B, (2) raise the 'floor' for the enterprise data end market (stated as moving from 85% to 130% for the year for that market), (3) authorized an additional $500M for share repurchases (total $1B), and (4) modestly expanded gross margin guidance for Q3 (per management comment). Automotive was expected to ramp in H2 with mid-teens year-over-year growth for the market. No formal 2027 forecast was provided; management described >1 quarter visibility and a book-to-bill >1.
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks and headwinds include: geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty; pockets of weakness in consumer and certain storage/notebook end markets; inventory-management risk (both customer-side build and company inventory); qualification/time-to-scale challenges for module assembly and back-end processes; technology transition uncertainties (GaN vs. SiC); and potential supply-chain complexity when diversifying geographic partners.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$5.41
est $4.84
+11.8%$980.6M
est $903.3M
+8.6%+14.2%
Apr 30, 2026$5.10
est $4.60
+10.9%$804.2M
est $781.9M
+2.8%+3.7%
Feb 5, 2026$4.79
est $4.74
+1.1%$751.2M
est $742.4M
+1.2%+8.2%
Oct 30, 2025$4.73
est $4.64
+1.9%$737.2M
est $722.4M
+2.0%−8.1%
Jul 31, 2025$4.21
est $4.12
+2.2%$664.6M
est $652.0M
+1.9%+7.5%
May 1, 2025$4.04
est $4.01
+0.7%$637.6M
est $634.2M
+0.5%+7.4%
Feb 6, 2025$4.09
est $3.98
+2.8%$621.7M
est $608.1M
+2.2%+10.2%
Oct 30, 2024$4.06
est $3.97
+2.3%$620.1M
est $600.6M
+3.3%−18.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Monolithic Power Systems stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Monolithic Power Systems is $1,839.80, +51.1% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$1,839.80consensus 12-month target, +51.1% from the last close
Low $1,575High $2,100
Buy9
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Jul 31Truist FinancialBuy, reiterated$1,889+55.1%
Jul 31Stifel NicolausBuy, reiterated$1,800+47.8%
Jul 31NeedhamBuy, reiterated$2,000+64.2%
Jul 31CitiBuy, reiterated$1,820+49.4%
Jul 31Wells FargoBuy, reiterated$1,800+47.8%
+7.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Monolithic Power Systems seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Monolithic Power Systems averaged −1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.3%2021−24.3%2022+4.1%2023+0.8%2024+9.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.5%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.9%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.5%3 of 5

For scale, MPWR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.8%.

Monolithic Power Systems market cap and key statistics

Monolithic Power Systems’s market cap is $59.83B, with a P/E ratio of 70 and revenue of $3.27B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$59.83B
P/E ratio
70
Forward P/E
32.3
EPS, TTM
$16.72
Gekko Fair Value
$1,332.62

Trading

Volume
1.39M
Avg volume, 20 days
632,814
52-week high
$1,714.09
52-week low
$833.18
Shares outstanding
49.14M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.27B
Profit margin
24.5%
Return on equity
22%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+85.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.66
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±8.8%
Dividend yield
0.62%

Monolithic Power Systems peers

Monolithic Power Systems’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA+1.3%Neutral16.4% below
AVGOBroadcom+1.6%Accumulation0.8% below
MUMicron Technology+3.2%Neutral2.5% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+2.3%Neutral11.9% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Neutral12.9% above
TXNTexas Instruments+2.2%Accumulation3.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Monolithic Power Systems stock FAQ

What is Monolithic Power Systems’s market cap?

Monolithic Power Systems’s market cap is $59.83B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,217.80, with 49.14M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 70.

What is the Monolithic Power Systems stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Monolithic Power Systems is $1,839.80, +51.1% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 9 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Monolithic Power Systems stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Monolithic Power Systems is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,217.80 is 8.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,332.62. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Monolithic Power Systems report earnings next?

Monolithic Power Systems is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $7.69 per share on revenue of $1.15B. Monolithic Power Systems beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.7% on average across the report.

What is Monolithic Power Systems’s 52-week high and low?

Monolithic Power Systems’s 52-week high is $1,714.09 and its 52-week low is $833.18; it closed at $1,217.80 on Sep 18, 2026, +38.8% over the past year.

Is Monolithic Power Systems stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Monolithic Power Systems?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Monolithic Power Systems over the last 30 days, with $1.38M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 17, 2026 with $1.38M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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