NASDAQ: IPGP

IPG Photonics (IPGP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$76.05−2.22 (−2.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

IPG Photonics shares have declined over the week, with reports noting a 3.89% drop to $77.74 and a 3.35% decline to $80.89 on separate sessions, both described as underperforming the broader market. Argus raised its price target for IPGP to $80.00. Separately, insider selling was reported, including a major shareholder's sale of approximately $1.3 million in stock and a director's sale of 3,048 shares totaling $259,994 under a pre-arranged trading plan.

The stock closed at $76.05, down 2.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $79.85 and its 200-day average of $101.42, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 62.9, placing IPGP in the Accumulation zone, up 11.6 over the past five sessions. Price stands 6.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.06. Over the trailing periods, the stock has returned -4.9% over one month, -28.6% over three months, and -12.3% over the past year.

IPG Photonics is scheduled to report earnings on 3 November 2026, 22 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior release on 4 August produced a 5.2% reaction, within an average absolute move of 11.4% across recent quarters, with 6 beats in the last 8 quarters. Over the last 90 days, 2 open-market insider purchases totaling $199,400 were recorded. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5.4% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus from 4 firms, all rated buy, carries a target of $124.14, implying 63.2% upside.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

IPG Photonics price vs fair value

$81.06$76.05Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $76.05200-day averageGekko Fair Value $81.06

IPG Photonics quick facts

Market cap
$3.23B
P/E ratio
119.6
Forward P/E
32.4
EPS, TTM
$0.65
Revenue, TTM
$1.07B
Profit margin
2.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.97
Volume
269,420 avg 394,260
1-year return
−12.3%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
50-day average
$79.85
200-day average
$101.42
Next earnings
Nov 3
Shares outstanding
42.44M
52-week range
$69.41$155.82

IPG Photonics swing-trade checklist

IPG Photonics scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $76.05 is below the 50-day ($79.85) and 200-day ($101.42) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.9, Accumulation

    Reading 62.9 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.2% below

    Price is 6.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

IPG Photonics stock chart and price history

IPG Photonics closed at $76.05 on Oct 12, 2026, −12.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $69.41 to $155.82.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
IPG Photonics share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct76.05

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.9%
3 months
−28.6%
6 months
−40.3%
1 year
−12.3%
The full IPGP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open IPGP in Gekko

Follow IPG Photonics through every session

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About IPG Photonics

IPG Photonics builds laser equipment that manufacturers around the world rely on for cutting, welding and shaping materials. Its catalog spans fiber, diode and hybrid fiber-solid state lasers, pulsed high-energy models, tunable and multi-wavelength units, and single-frequency designs, rounded out by hardware like delivery cables, beam switches, chillers and scanners. The company has built a name for itself through complete laser systems aimed at jobs such as cutting flat sheets, handling multi-axis work and performing precision welds.

Its product range also includes fiber amplifiers in erbium-doped, Raman, ytterbium and thulium forms along with broadband light sources that support communication networks, and it supplies transceiver and transponder modules used to connect devices like switches, routers and optical transport gear within telecom, cable and data center operations. Lasers and amplifiers from the company additionally reach medical technology and other specialized uses. It sells to equipment makers, integrators and end-users directly, while also working through independent representatives and distributors spread across global markets.

Founded in 1990, IPG Photonics keeps its headquarters in Oxford, Massachusetts. The company trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker IPGP.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
ipgphotonics.com

IPG Photonics GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

IPG Photonics’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 11.6 points over five sessions.

010062.9Accumulation

Up 11.6 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying43+2.7%+3.3%+2.7%+7.9%
Accumulation (current zone)245+0.4%+0.6%+0.6%+3.2%
Neutral367−0.9%−1.4%−1.0%−1.6%
Distribution24+9.6%+15.5%+13.0%+11.4%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average IPGP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the IPGP price, zone by zone.Track IPGP in Gekko

Is IPG Photonics stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

IPG Photonics trades 6.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.06, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what IPG Photonics shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$81.06

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

6.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 11.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$81$78Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open IPGP in Gekko

IPG Photonics insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in IPG Photonics worth $199K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$199Kin 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 27PEELER JOHN R
director
Purchase1,552$113K
Aug 27PEELER JOHN R
director
Purchase1,158$86K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in IPGP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for IPGP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open IPGP in Gekko

Buybacks

IPG Photonics has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$957K
As a share of market cap
0.03%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds IPGP.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

IPG Photonics earnings: next date and track record

IPG Photonics reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.4%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.1%Oct ’24−6.6%Feb ’25−8.3%May ’25−6.9%Aug ’25+3.6%Nov ’25+38.8%Feb ’26−16.7%May ’26+5.2%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.58
est $0.40
+45.0%$278.6M
est $280.0M
−0.5%+5.2%
May 5, 2026$0.29
est $0.24
+19.2%$265.5M
est $257.0M
+3.3%−16.7%
Feb 12, 2026$0.46
est $0.25
+84.0%$274.5M
est $249.5M
+10.0%+38.8%
Nov 4, 2025$0.35
est $0.16
+118.7%$250.8M
est $249.3M
+0.6%+3.6%
Aug 5, 2025$0.30
est $0.10
+200.0%$250.7M
est $239.1M
+4.8%−6.9%
May 6, 2025$0.31
est $0.21
+47.6%$227.8M
est $239.9M
−5.0%−8.3%
Feb 11, 2025$0.18
est $0.20
−10.0%$234.3M
est $233.2M
+0.5%−6.6%
Oct 29, 2024−$5.33
est $0.18
−3,061.1%$233.1M
est $229.5M
+1.6%+5.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

IPG Photonics stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for IPG Photonics is $124.14, +63.2% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$124.14consensus 12-month target, +63.2% from the last close
Low $120High $152
Buy4
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 11CitiBuy, maintained$137+80.1%
Aug 5Stifel NicolausBuy, maintained$125+64.4%
Aug 5Roth MKMBuy, reiterated$152+99.9%
Aug 5NeedhamBuy, reiterated$120+57.8%
Jul 17NeedhamBuy, reiterated$120+57.8%
+0.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

IPG Photonics seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, IPG Photonics averaged +5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.9%2021+0.5%2022−4.6%2023+15.7%2024+9.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.6%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.7%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.7%2 of 5

For scale, IPGP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.

IPG Photonics market cap and key statistics

IPG Photonics’s market cap is $3.23B, with a P/E ratio of 119.6 and revenue of $1.07B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.23B
P/E ratio
119.6
Forward P/E
32.4
EPS, TTM
$0.65
Gekko Fair Value
$81.06

Trading

Volume
269,420
Avg volume, 20 days
394,260
52-week high
$155.82
52-week low
$69.41
Shares outstanding
42.44M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.07B
Profit margin
2.6%
Return on equity
1.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−22.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.97
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%

IPG Photonics stock news this week

Coverage of IPG Photonics this week reads negative: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 6 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

IPG Photonics peers

IPG Photonics’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.0%Neutral14.8% below
AVGOBroadcom−1.3%Neutral1.3% below
MUMicron Technology−1.3%Accumulation27.3% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−0.9%Neutral13.2% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Accumulation1.5% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.4%Neutral8.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

IPG Photonics stock FAQ

What is IPG Photonics’s market cap?

IPG Photonics’s market cap is $3.23B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $76.05, with 42.44M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 119.6.

What is the IPG Photonics stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for IPG Photonics is $124.14, +63.2% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is IPG Photonics stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate IPG Photonics is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $76.05 is 6.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $81.06. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does IPG Photonics report earnings next?

IPG Photonics is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.46 per share on revenue of $283.3M. IPG Photonics beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.4% on average across the report.

What is IPG Photonics’s 52-week high and low?

IPG Photonics’s 52-week high is $155.82 and its 52-week low is $69.41; it closed at $76.05 on Oct 12, 2026, −12.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $180.54 on Nov 2, 2021.

Is IPG Photonics stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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