NASDAQ: ENPH

Enphase Energy (ENPH) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$30.91−1.49 (−4.6%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Enphase Energy moves this week on a mix of product expansion and analyst caution. The company has begun domestic production of power modules for solid-state transformer racks as it pushes into AI data center power hardware, alongside winning approval for its IQ Meter Collar from 80 utilities across the U.S. and Canada, covering more than 38 million customers and potentially easing home battery installations. Against this, Jefferies cut its price target to $42.00 from $54.00 while maintaining a Hold rating, and solar names broadly declined this week as high borrowing costs weighed on project financing, with Enphase among those falling.

Shares close at $30.91, down 4.6%, sitting below both the 50-day average of $37.49 and the 200-day average of $41.22, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Enphase trades in the Buying zone on the GekkoIndex, and the current price sits 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.2. Returns over the past month, three months, six months and year are all negative, and the stock's 52-week range spans $25.78 to $73.74.

Over the next 20 trading days, Enphase reports earnings after close on 27 October, inside that window; the prior quarter's EPS of $0.14 missed the $0.16 estimate and drew a -7.7% reaction. The last 30 days show 4 unusual options signals, with put premium of $2,208,707 exceeding call premium of $1,326,057. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. Analyst consensus across 21 firms includes 7 buy, 12 hold and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $51.71.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Enphase Energy price vs fair value

$36.20$30.91Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $30.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $36.20

Enphase Energy quick facts

Market cap
$4.08B
P/E ratio
32.1
Forward P/E
14.3
EPS, TTM
$1.01
Revenue, TTM
$1.33B
Profit margin
10.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.64
Volume
5.26M avg 4.55M
1-year return
−16.6%
Typical daily move
±5.9%
Typical 20-day move
±12.3%
50-day average
$37.49
200-day average
$41.22
Next earnings
Oct 27 after close
Shares outstanding
132.1M
52-week range
$25.78$73.74

Enphase Energy swing-trade checklist

Enphase Energy scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $30.91 is below the 50-day ($37.49) and 200-day ($41.22) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.3, Buying

    Reading 73.3 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.6% below

    Price is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 4 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −0.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Enphase Energy stock chart and price history

Enphase Energy closed at $30.91 on Sep 28, 2026, −16.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $25.78 to $73.74.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Enphase Energy share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60$70NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep30.91

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−21.2%
3 months
−36.1%
6 months
−18.3%
1 year
−16.6%
The full ENPH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ENPH in Gekko

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About Enphase Energy

Enphase Energy builds home energy equipment for the solar power market, with its main product being a microinverter that converts electricity right at each individual solar panel rather than through a single central unit. This device works alongside the company's own networking and software tools, giving homeowners a way to monitor and manage their energy production and use.

Beyond the microinverter, Enphase offers AC battery storage, a communications gateway called Envoy, and a cloud-based monitoring platform known as Enlighten, along with supporting accessories. Its products move through several channels, including solar distributors, direct sales to large installation companies, original equipment manufacturers, partner businesses, and homeowners themselves, supplemented by an upgrade program for older systems and a direct online store.

The company was founded in 2006 and operates out of Fremont, California. Enphase Energy trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker ENPH.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
enphase.com

Enphase Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Enphase Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.3, in the Buying zone, up 6.8 points over five sessions.

010073.3Buying

Up 6.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)54+2.7%+4.3%+4.8%+6.3%
Accumulation288+0.4%−0.6%+0.3%−2.4%
Neutral304−2.1%−2.4%−4.3%−9.2%
Distribution24+3.4%+6.4%−3.9%−23.9%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average ENPH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ENPH price, zone by zone.Track ENPH in Gekko

Is Enphase Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Enphase Energy trades 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.20, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Enphase Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$36.20

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

14.6% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ENPH in Gekko

Enphase Energy insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Enphase Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ENPH in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ENPH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ENPH in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ENPH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ENPH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ENPH in Gekko

Buybacks

Enphase Energy has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$18.69M
As a share of market cap
0.46%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

4signals, 38% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 26, $307K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

5of the funds Gekko tracks hold ENPH.

1added3opened1trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Enphase Energy earnings: next date and track record

Enphase Energy reports on Oct 27, 2026, after the close (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±14%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−13.2%Oct ’24+2.1%Feb ’25−12.7%Apr ’25−8.0%Jul ’25−15.4%Oct ’25+41.7%Feb ’26−11.5%Apr ’26−7.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Enphase reported Q2 2026 revenue of $291.9 million, shipping 1.59 million microinverters and 113.8 MWh of batteries, generating $25.9 million free cash flow. Non-GAAP gross margin was 46.8% with operating income of 19.4%. US revenue declined 3% sequentially; safe harbor revenue was $84.3 million. US sell-through fell 34% year-over-year amid high interest rates and post-25B tax credit transition. Europe offset US weakness.
Guidance
No explicit forward guidance was provided in this excerpt. Management noted US market stabilization signals including June permits up 4% month-over-month, with growth expected driven by storage economics, commercial demand, financing availability, and utility rates.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.14
est $0.16
−12.5%$291.9M
est $289.8M
+0.7%−7.7%
Apr 28, 2026$0.47
est $0.47
−0.2%$282.9M
est $282.3M
+0.2%−11.5%
Feb 3, 2026$0.71
est $0.54
+31.5%$343.3M
est $338.4M
+1.4%+41.7%
Oct 28, 2025$0.90
est $0.62
+45.2%$410.4M
est $338.6M
+21.2%−15.4%
Jul 22, 2025$0.69
est $0.62
+11.3%$363.2M
est $368.4M
−1.4%−8.0%
Apr 22, 2025$0.68
est $0.71
−4.2%$356.1M
est $360.6M
−1.3%−12.7%
Feb 4, 2025$0.94
est $0.72
+30.6%$382.7M
est $377.5M
+1.4%+2.1%
Oct 22, 2024$0.65
est $0.78
−16.7%$380.9M
est $379.2M
+0.5%−13.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Enphase Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Enphase Energy is $51.71, +67.3% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$51.71consensus 12-month target, +67.3% from the last close
Low $24.47High $85
Buy7
Hold12
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 21JefferiesBuy, maintained$42+35.9%
Sep 21Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$47+52.1%
Sep 20Goldman SachsBuy, reiterated$47+52.1%
Sep 14Northland SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$62+100.6%
Sep 9Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$55+77.9%
+4.8%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Enphase Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Enphase Energy averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+45.7%2021+10.2%2022−31.7%2023−25.1%2024+2.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.9%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−3.7%2 of 5

For scale, ENPH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.3%.

Enphase Energy market cap and key statistics

Enphase Energy’s market cap is $4.08B, with a P/E ratio of 32.1 and revenue of $1.33B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.08B
P/E ratio
32.1
Forward P/E
14.3
EPS, TTM
$1.01
Gekko Fair Value
$36.20

Trading

Volume
5.26M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.55M
52-week high
$73.74
52-week low
$25.78
Shares outstanding
132.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.33B
Profit margin
10.1%
Return on equity
13%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−3.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.64
Typical daily move
±5.9%
Typical 20-day move
±12.3%

Enphase Energy peers

Enphase Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−0.4%Neutral13.2% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.9%Accumulation2.3% below
MUMicron Technology−2.0%Neutral4.7% above
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−2.7%Neutral19.9% above
INTCIntel−3.8%Neutral19.1% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.3%Neutral7.4% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Enphase Energy stock FAQ

What is Enphase Energy’s market cap?

Enphase Energy’s market cap is $4.08B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.91, with 132.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.1.

What is the Enphase Energy stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Enphase Energy is $51.71, +67.3% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 12 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Enphase Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Enphase Energy is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $30.91 is 14.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $36.20. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Enphase Energy report earnings next?

Enphase Energy is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026, after the market closes (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.51 per share on revenue of $305.1M. Enphase Energy beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 14% on average across the report.

What is Enphase Energy’s 52-week high and low?

Enphase Energy’s 52-week high is $73.74 and its 52-week low is $25.78; it closed at $30.91 on Sep 28, 2026, −16.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $339.92 on Dec 5, 2022.

Is Enphase Energy stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 3 as headwinds (trend, smart money and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Enphase Energy?

Gekko flagged 4 unusual options signals in Enphase Energy over the last 30 days, with $1.33M of flagged premium in calls and $2.21M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 26, 2026 with $307K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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