Alibaba shares rose this week on improving sentiment toward Chinese equities and a wave of AI-related news. A partnership integrating Alibaba's Qwen AI models, also referred to as Tongyi Qianwen, into Apple's AI rollout for iPhone users in China starting December 2026 drew attention, alongside chairman Joe Tsai's comments at the World Internet Conference Wuzhen Summit advocating open-source AI. Policy support from the People's Bank of China was also cited as a contributing factor. Separate coverage compared Alibaba's revenue trends to those of Dick's Sporting Goods, Amazon and Target.
BABA closed at $105.29, up 4.9%, though the stock remains below both its 50-day average of $108.67 and its 200-day average of $125.28, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Longer-term returns remain negative across the past one, three, six and twelve months. The GekkoIndex reads 60.3, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, with the current price sitting 27.7% below the Gekko Fair Value of $145.55.
Over the next 20 trading days, the 24 November earnings date, 19 days away, falls inside that window; the prior report on 20 August saw EPS of $1.01 against a $1.78 estimate and a 7.4% reaction. Smart money activity in the last 90 days includes 3 insider purchases, while the last 30 days show 2 unusual options signals, with put premium of $68,403,397 well above call premium of $5,320,988. Seasonality over 5 years shows a 20-day average of -6.7%, positive in 1 of those years.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Alibaba scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $105.29 is below the 50-day ($108.67) and 200-day ($125.28) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart60.3, Accumulation
Reading 60.3 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex27.7% below
Price is 27.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair valueMixed
Last 90 days: 3 open-market insider purchases. Last 30 days: 2 unusual options signals.
See smart moneyReports in 19 days
Reports on Nov 24, 2026, 19 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings−6.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −6.7% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Alibaba closed at $105.29 on Nov 4, 2026, −37.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $91.99 to $181.10.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put BABA on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
Alibaba provides the digital infrastructure and promotional channels that let merchants, brands and retailers connect with buyers, both inside China and in markets overseas. It is widely known for its consumer marketplaces Taobao and Tmall, as well as business-to-business trading sites like 1688.com and Alibaba.com that link suppliers with buyers at scale.
The group's activities are split into several areas, covering domestic and international commerce, local services, logistics through Cainiao, cloud computing, digital media, and a set of newer ventures. Beyond its core marketplaces, it runs global shopping sites such as AliExpress, Lazada, Trendyol and Daraz, plus Freshippo for groceries and Tmall Global for imported products. It earns money from advertising tools under Alimama, computing and storage services through Alibaba Cloud, and everyday services like Ele.me, Koubei and Fliggy. Its broader portfolio also includes Youku, Quark, Alibaba Pictures, the Amap mapping app, DingTalk, the Tmall Genie speaker, and the Qwen chatbot.
Alibaba was established in 1999 and has its main offices in Hangzhou, China. Its shares trade under the ticker BABA.
Alibaba’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 60.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 7.6 points over five sessions.
Down 7.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 46 | +0.6% | +7.4% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 210 | −0.2% | +2.0% | ||
| Neutral | 348 | +0.4% | +1.2% | ||
| Distribution | 42 | +4.2% | +7.1% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average BABA share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
Alibaba trades 27.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $145.55, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Alibaba shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$145.55
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 31, 2026
27.7% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 22.9% below the estimate.
Insiders filed 3 open-market purchases in Alibaba worth $25.69M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
$25.69Min 3 open-market purchases
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | Tsai Joseph C director | Purchase | $10.42M |
| Aug 24 | Wu Yongming director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | $4.98M |
| Aug 24 | Tsai Joseph C director | Purchase | $10.29M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in BABA were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
2signals, 7% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 31, $5.91M in unusual premium.
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold BABA.
Alibaba reports on Nov 24, 2026, before the open (19 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Nov 24, 2026
Expected before the open, 19 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | $1.01 est $1.78 | $39.64B est $39.52B | −7.4% |
| May 13, 2026 | $0.09 est $1.02 | $35.27B est $35.76B | +4.7% |
| Nov 25, 2025 | $0.61 est $0.66 | $34.80B est $41.85B | −1.9% |
| Aug 29, 2025 | $2.06 est $2.13 | $34.54B est $34.26B | +15.9% |
| May 15, 2025 | $1.73 est $1.48 | $32.47B est $36.14B | −7.9% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $20.39 est $15.90 | — | +14.3% |
| Nov 15, 2024 | $15.06 est $14.77 | — | −1.4% |
| Aug 15, 2024 | $16.44 est $14.94 | — | +4.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Alibaba is $186.61, +77.2% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Mizuho Securities | $200 | +90.0% |
| Nov 1 | Citi | $193 | +83.3% |
| Oct 9 | Bank of America Securities | $178 | +69.1% |
| Oct 9 | Barclays | $200 | +90.0% |
| Oct 8 | Citi | $193 | +83.3% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Alibaba averaged −6.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.0% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −3.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −7.4% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −6.7% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −7.3% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, BABA’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.3%.
Alibaba’s market cap is $262.0B, with a P/E ratio of 24.1 and revenue of $1.04T over the last twelve months.
Coverage of Alibaba this week reads positive: 7 positive, 7 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
Alibaba’s market cap is $262.0B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $105.29, with 2.49B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.1.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Alibaba is $186.61, +77.2% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate Alibaba is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $105.29 is 27.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $145.55. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
Alibaba is expected to report on Nov 24, 2026, before the market opens (19 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.61 per share on revenue of $40.25B. Alibaba beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.3% on average across the report.
Alibaba’s 52-week high is $181.10 and its 52-week low is $91.99; it closed at $105.29 on Nov 4, 2026, −37.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $192.67 on Oct 2, 2025.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (smart money) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Gekko flagged 2 unusual options signals in Alibaba over the last 30 days, with $5.32M of flagged premium in calls and $68.40M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 31, 2026 with $5.91M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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