NYSE: HD

Home Depot (HD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$355.44+21.78 (+6.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Home Depot's week was dominated by macro and promotional headlines rather than company-specific news. Shares swung between a 3.02% decline on 3 November tied to persistent concerns over high mortgage rates and weak housing turnover, and a 3.32% gain the next day on a rotation into rate-sensitive consumer discretionary names and optimism ahead of Q3 earnings. The launch of an Early Black Friday Savings Event and commentary on margin pressure from input costs, fuel expenses and acquisition-related mix added to the mix, alongside a report framing Democratic midterm gains as potentially favorable for housing-linked stocks like HD and Lowe's.

HD closed at $355.44, up 6.5% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $308.79 and 200-day average of $333.78. The GekkoIndex reads 45, placing it in the Neutral zone, down 8.1 over five days. The stock trades 6.5% above its Gekko Fair Value of $333.82.

Earnings are due 17 November, 12 days out and inside a typical 20-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $4.92 versus a $4.71 estimate, with a 1.9% reaction. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 3 buys and 0 sells, and the last 30 days show 1 unusual options signal with call premium of $11,423,219 against no put premium. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.8% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Home Depot price vs fair value

$355.44$333.82Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $355.44200-day averageGekko Fair Value $333.82

Home Depot quick facts

Market cap
$354.6B
P/E ratio
23.9
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$14.29
Revenue, TTM
$169.2B
Profit margin
8.4%
Dividend yield
1.41%
Beta
0.95
Volume
8.08M avg 4.74M
1-year return
−6.1%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$308.79
200-day average
$333.78
Next earnings
Nov 17 before open
Shares outstanding
997.7M
52-week range
$277.15$397.63

Home Depot swing-trade checklist

Home Depot scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $355.44 sits between the 50-day ($308.79) and 200-day ($333.78) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45, Neutral

    Reading 45 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    6.5% above

    Price is 6.5% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 12 days

    Reports on Nov 17, 2026, 12 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.8% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Home Depot stock chart and price history

Home Depot closed at $355.44 on Nov 4, 2026, −6.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $277.15 to $397.63.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Home Depot share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$275$300$325$375$400DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct355.44

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+24.0%
3 months
+1.7%
6 months
+10.0%
1 year
−6.1%
The full HD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HD in Gekko

Follow Home Depot through every session

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About Home Depot

Home Depot operates a large chain of retail outlets focused on supplies for fixing up and building out houses. Shoppers can find building materials, garden and lawn items, decor, and products for upkeep and repair work. The company also arranges hands-on installation help for things like flooring, cabinets, countertops, heating and cooling equipment, and windows, and it lets customers rent tools and machinery rather than buy them outright.

Its buyers range from people working on their own houses to tradespeople and businesses, such as contractors, electricians, plumbers, painters, property managers, and repair crews. Purchases can be made in person or through several web storefronts, one for general merchandise and others dedicated to custom window treatments and to textiles and decorative pieces for the home.

The company traces back to its incorporation in 1978 and runs its main offices out of Atlanta, Georgia. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker HD.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Home improvement chains
Website
homedepot.com

Home Depot GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Home Depot’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45, in the Neutral zone, down 8.1 points over five sessions.

010045Neutral

Down 8.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying48+0.7%+1.3%+3.8%+1.4%
Accumulation254−0.1%+0.2%+0.3%+1.6%
Neutral (current zone)374−0.1%−0.4%−1.1%−2.8%
Distribution20+1.2%+1.3%0.0%+0.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average HD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HD price, zone by zone.Track HD in Gekko

Is Home Depot stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Home Depot trades 6.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $333.82, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Home Depot shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$333.82

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

6.5% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$334$334Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HD in Gekko

Home Depot insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Home Depot, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
David Taylor
House, OH, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 2
traded Sep 22
Lloyd Doggett
House, TX, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 6
traded Sep 17
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$15,001 - $50,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Home Depot has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Apr 28, 2024
$649.0M
As a share of market cap
0.18%
Trailing four quarters
$5.71B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 9, $11.42M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds HD.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Home Depot earnings: next date and track record

Home Depot reports on Nov 17, 2026, before the open (12 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.5%Nov ’24+2.1%Feb ’25−2.3%May ’25+1.8%Aug ’25−6.6%Nov ’25−0.4%Feb ’26+3.6%May ’26+1.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Home Depot reported Q2 2026 sales of $47.9 billion, up 5.7% year-over-year, with comp sales increasing 1.7% and U.S. comps up 1.3%. Adjusted diluted EPS rose to $4.92 from $4.68 in the prior year period, exceeding expectations. Pro segment posted positive comps with strong performance across all Pro cohorts. Key initiatives include Magic Apron AI expansion, Express Delivery (3-hour delivery launched nationally), and next-day appliance delivery in select markets.
Guidance
Management did not provide explicit forward-looking financial targets in this excerpt. Leadership acknowledged ongoing headwinds from consumer uncertainty and housing affordability pressuring larger project demand, while remaining focused on core strategy execution.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 18, 2026$4.92
est $4.71
+4.5%$47.86B
est $47.24B
+1.3%+1.9%
May 19, 2026$3.43
est $3.41
+0.6%$41.77B
est $41.59B
+0.4%+3.6%
Feb 24, 2026$2.72
est $2.53
+7.5%$38.20B
est $38.09B
+0.3%−0.4%
Nov 18, 2025$3.74
est $3.83
−2.3%$41.35B
est $41.17B
+0.5%−6.6%
Aug 19, 2025$4.68
est $4.72
−0.8%$45.28B
est $45.41B
−0.3%+1.8%
May 20, 2025$3.56
est $3.60
−1.1%$39.86B
est $39.30B
+1.4%−2.3%
Feb 25, 2025$3.02
est $3.04
−0.7%$39.70B
est $39.15B
+1.4%+2.1%
Nov 12, 2024$3.67
est $3.66
+0.3%$40.22B
est $39.31B
+2.3%+0.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Home Depot stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Home Depot is $379.00, +6.6% from the last close, from 23 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$379.00consensus 12-month target, +6.6% from the last close
Low $310High $420
Buy17
Hold6
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 23 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 29Stifel NicolausHold, maintained$322−9.4%
Oct 26Stifel NicolausHold, reiterated$322−9.4%
Oct 13Evercore ISIBuy, maintained$400+12.5%
Oct 13BernsteinHold, maintained$344−3.2%
Oct 13Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$400+12.5%
−1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+6.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Home Depot seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Home Depot averaged +6.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+9.6%2021+12.7%2022+9.8%2023+8.5%2024−6.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.0%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.8%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.2%4 of 5

For scale, HD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

Home Depot market cap and key statistics

Home Depot’s market cap is $354.6B, with a P/E ratio of 23.9 and revenue of $169.2B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$354.6B
P/E ratio
23.9
Forward P/E
20.8
EPS, TTM
$14.29
Gekko Fair Value
$333.82

Trading

Volume
8.08M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.74M
52-week high
$397.63
52-week low
$277.15
Shares outstanding
997.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$169.2B
Profit margin
8.4%
Return on equity
104.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+4.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.95
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
Dividend yield
1.41%

Home Depot peers

Home Depot’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LOWLowe's Companies+2.9%Distribution13.0% above
BLDRBuilders FirstSource+3.9%Neutral19.3% below
FNDFloor & Decor+5.5%Neutral5.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Home Depot stock FAQ

What is Home Depot’s market cap?

Home Depot’s market cap is $354.6B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $355.44, with 997.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.9.

What is the Home Depot stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Home Depot is $379.00, +6.6% from the last close. Of the 23 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 17 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Home Depot stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Home Depot is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $355.44 is 6.5% above Gekko Fair Value of $333.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Home Depot report earnings next?

Home Depot is expected to report on Nov 17, 2026, before the market opens (12 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.83 per share on revenue of $42.77B. Home Depot beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.

What is Home Depot’s 52-week high and low?

Home Depot’s 52-week high is $397.63 and its 52-week low is $277.15; it closed at $355.44 on Nov 4, 2026, −6.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $439.37 on Nov 26, 2024.

Is Home Depot stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Home Depot?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Home Depot over the last 30 days, with $11.42M of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 9, 2026 with $11.42M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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