NYSE: HD

Home Depot (HD) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Home Depot, Inc. (The). Retail trade sector, home improvement chains industry. Market cap $299.1B.

$299.98−2.53 (−0.8%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Home Depot closes at $299.98, down 0.8%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $331.68 and its 200-day average of $342.18, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 73.4, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while price stands 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $324.42.

Recent coverage centers on Home Depot's operating momentum and its broader market position. Executives noted second-quarter performance exceeded original forecasts, citing strength in Pro sales, delivery investments including Express Delivery, and AI initiatives such as Magic Apron, even as consumer sentiment faces pressure. Separately, Nykredit A/S disclosed a new position of 298,644 shares valued at approximately $105.3 million. Other items touch on a Home Depot Foundation trade-education initiative reaching toward 15 million young people by 2032, a billing dispute involving a North Carolina customer, and the withdrawal of a Home Depot sponsorship from a Los Angeles community event amid criticism tied to ICE raids.

Looking ahead, the next earnings date falls on 17 November 2026, 58 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior report on 18 August showed adjusted EPS of $4.92 versus a $4.71 estimate, with a 1.9% reaction, part of a stretch of 4 beats in the last 8 quarters. Smart-money data shows no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1% gain over 5 years, positive in 3 of them, alongside coverage from 23 analysts, 16 rating it buy, none sell.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $299.98200-day averageGekko Fair Value $324.42

Key stats

Market cap
$299.1B
P/E ratio
21.2
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
$14.28
Revenue, TTM
$169.2B
Profit margin
8.4%
Dividend yield
1.53%
Beta
0.96
Volume
8.02M avg 3.66M
1-year return
−28.1%
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$331.68
200-day average
$342.18
Next earnings
Nov 17 before open
Shares outstanding
997.7M
52-week range
$289.10$421.39

Home Depot swing-trade checklist

Home Depot scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $299.98 is below the 50-day ($331.68) and 200-day ($342.18) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    73.4, Buying

    Reading 73.4 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    7.5% below

    Price is 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 58 days

    Next report Nov 17, 2026, 58 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Home Depot stock chart and price history

Home Depot closed at $299.98 on Sep 18, 2026, −28.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $289.10 to $421.39.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.9%
3 months
−10.3%
6 months
−8.6%
1 year
−28.1%
The full HD chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HD in Gekko

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About Home Depot

Home Depot operates a large chain of retail outlets focused on supplies for fixing up and building out houses. Shoppers can find building materials, garden and lawn items, decor, and products for upkeep and repair work. The company also arranges hands-on installation help for things like flooring, cabinets, countertops, heating and cooling equipment, and windows, and it lets customers rent tools and machinery rather than buy them outright.

Its buyers range from people working on their own houses to tradespeople and businesses, such as contractors, electricians, plumbers, painters, property managers, and repair crews. Purchases can be made in person or through several web storefronts, one for general merchandise and others dedicated to custom window treatments and to textiles and decorative pieces for the home.

The company traces back to its incorporation in 1978 and runs its main offices out of Atlanta, Georgia. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker HD.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Home improvement chains
Website
homedepot.com

Home Depot GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Home Depot’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.4, in the Buying zone, up 3.8 points over five sessions.

010073.4Buying

Up 3.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)35+1.3%+1.5%+2.3%+1.4%
Accumulation239−0.1%+0.3%+0.9%+1.8%
Neutral367−0.2%−0.5%−0.9%−2.0%
Distribution20+1.2%+1.3%0.0%+0.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average HD share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HD price, zone by zone.Track HD in Gekko

Is Home Depot stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Home Depot trades 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $324.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Home Depot shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$324.42

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

7.5% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HD in Gekko

Home Depot insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Home Depot, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HD in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HD insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HD in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HD were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HD, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HD in Gekko

Buybacks

Home Depot has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Apr 28, 2024
$649.0M
As a share of market cap
0.22%
Trailing four quarters
$5.71B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

4of the funds Gekko tracks hold HD.

2added2opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Home Depot earnings: next date and track record

Home Depot reports on Nov 17, 2026, before the open (58 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.5%Nov ’24+2.1%Feb ’25−2.3%May ’25+1.8%Aug ’25−6.6%Nov ’25−0.4%Feb ’26+3.6%May ’26+1.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Home Depot reported Q2 2026 sales of $47.9 billion, up 5.7% year-over-year, with comp sales increasing 1.7% and U.S. comps up 1.3%. Adjusted diluted EPS rose to $4.92 from $4.68 in the prior year period, exceeding expectations. Pro segment posted positive comps with strong performance across all Pro cohorts. Key initiatives include Magic Apron AI expansion, Express Delivery (3-hour delivery launched nationally), and next-day appliance delivery in select markets.
Guidance
Management did not provide explicit forward-looking financial targets in this excerpt. Leadership acknowledged ongoing headwinds from consumer uncertainty and housing affordability pressuring larger project demand, while remaining focused on core strategy execution.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 18, 2026$4.92
est $4.71
+4.5%$47.86B
est $47.24B
+1.3%+1.9%
May 19, 2026$3.43
est $3.41
+0.6%$41.77B
est $41.59B
+0.4%+3.6%
Feb 24, 2026$2.72
est $2.53
+7.5%$38.20B
est $38.09B
+0.3%−0.4%
Nov 18, 2025$3.74
est $3.83
−2.3%$41.35B
est $41.17B
+0.5%−6.6%
Aug 19, 2025$4.68
est $4.72
−0.8%$45.28B
est $45.41B
−0.3%+1.8%
May 20, 2025$3.56
est $3.60
−1.1%$39.86B
est $39.30B
+1.4%−2.3%
Feb 25, 2025$3.02
est $3.04
−0.7%$39.70B
est $39.15B
+1.4%+2.1%
Nov 12, 2024$3.67
est $3.66
+0.3%$40.22B
est $39.31B
+2.3%+0.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Home Depot stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Home Depot is $377.19, +25.7% from the last close, from 23 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$377.19consensus 12-month target, +25.7% from the last close
Low $310High $420
Buy16
Hold7
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 23 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 17UBSBuy, maintained$420+40.0%
Sep 14Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$377+25.7%
Sep 9BernsteinHold, maintained$344+14.7%
Aug 24CitiBuy, reiterated$400+33.3%
Aug 24Stifel NicolausHold, maintained
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+1.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Home Depot seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Home Depot averaged +1.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.2%2021+0.3%2022−5.9%2023+6.5%2024−5.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.1%3 of 5

For scale, HD’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

Home Depot market cap and key statistics

Home Depot’s market cap is $299.1B, with a P/E ratio of 21.2 and revenue of $169.2B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$299.1B
P/E ratio
21.2
Forward P/E
20.2
EPS, TTM
$14.28
Gekko Fair Value
$324.42

Trading

Volume
8.02M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.66M
52-week high
$421.39
52-week low
$289.10
Shares outstanding
997.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$169.2B
Profit margin
8.4%
Return on equity
104.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+4.6%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
Dividend yield
1.53%

Home Depot peers

Home Depot’s 3 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
LOWLowe's Companies−0.4%Accumulation5.7% below
BLDRBuilders FirstSource+1.5%Buying38.7% below
FNDFloor & Decor−0.6%Buying15.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Home Depot stock FAQ

What is Home Depot’s market cap?

Home Depot’s market cap is $299.1B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $299.98, with 997.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.2.

What is the Home Depot stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Home Depot is $377.19, +25.7% from the last close. Of the 23 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 16 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Home Depot stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Home Depot is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $299.98 is 7.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $324.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Home Depot report earnings next?

Home Depot is expected to report on Nov 17, 2026, before the market opens (58 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.87 per share on revenue of $42.80B. Home Depot beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.4% on average across the report.

What is Home Depot’s 52-week high and low?

Home Depot’s 52-week high is $421.39 and its 52-week low is $289.10; it closed at $299.98 on Sep 18, 2026, −28.1% over the past year.

Is Home Depot stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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