NYSE: ABG

Asbury Automotive (ABG) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$163.93−3.67 (−2.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Asbury Automotive fell to a 52-week low of $165.65 this week as several analyst actions weighed on the stock. UBS cut its target to $193 from $250 citing slower parts and service growth, higher expenses and rising floor plan interest, while JPMorgan Chase lowered its target to $185 from $190 maintaining an "underweight" rating, and Argus trimmed its target to $165.00 from $167.77. A consensus "Hold" rating from brokerages noted Q2 EPS of $6.82 beating estimates though revenue of $4.38 billion fell short. Separately, the FTC dropped its deceptive practices case against Asbury, a resolution that removes a legal overhang even as the agency said it remains focused on dealership pricing broadly.

ABG closed at $163.93, down 2.2% on the day, sitting below both its 50-day average of $199.23 and 200-day average of $208.53, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock has lost 21.4% over one month and 32.8% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 70, placing it in the Buying zone, while the price sits 49% below the Gekko Fair Value of $321.25.

Asbury next reports earnings on 27 October 2026, 15 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its last report produced a 9.5% reaction, with an average absolute reaction of 4.2% and beats in 4 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point has averaged -1.2% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, leaving the upcoming earnings date and the gap to Gekko Fair Value as the main points worth noting.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Asbury Automotive price vs fair value

▲$321.25$163.93Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $163.93200-day averageGekko Fair Value $321.25

Asbury Automotive quick facts

Market cap
$3.05B
P/E ratio
6.3
Forward P/E
6.4
EPS, TTM
$26.86
Revenue, TTM
$17.97B
Profit margin
2.8%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.78
Volume
271,459 avg 286,343
1-year return
−32.8%
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$199.23
200-day average
$208.53
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
17.95M
52-week range
$163.69$258.75

Asbury Automotive swing-trade checklist

Asbury Automotive scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $163.93 is below the 50-day ($199.23) and 200-day ($208.53) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70, Buying

    Reading 70 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    49.0% below

    Price is 49% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 15 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 15 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Asbury Automotive stock chart and price history

Asbury Automotive closed at $163.93 on Oct 12, 2026, −32.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $163.69 to $258.75.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Asbury Automotive share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$180$200$220$240$260NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct163.93

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−21.4%
3 months
−23.0%
6 months
−20.3%
1 year
−32.8%
The full ABG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ABG in Gekko

Follow Asbury Automotive through every session

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About Asbury Automotive

Asbury Automotive sells new and used vehicles along with the services that come with them, such as repair and maintenance, replacement parts, collision work and reconditioning for used cars. It is also known for pairing vehicle sales with financing and insurance offerings, arranging credit through outside lenders and selling add-ons like extended service contracts, prepaid maintenance, key replacement, dent and appearance protection, and tire, wheel and lease-wear coverage.

The business is split into two segments, its network of Dealerships and Total Care Auto, Powered by Asbury, which handles the finance and protection products. Through its dealership locations and at auctions, it serves everyday retail buyers as well as other dealers and licensed wholesalers.

Asbury Automotive was founded in 1996 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker ABG.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
asburyauto.com

Asbury Automotive GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Asbury Automotive’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70, in the Buying zone, up 1.1 points over five sessions.

010070Buying

Up 1.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)35−0.6%−1.0%+3.6%+4.6%
Accumulation253+0.2%+0.7%+1.6%+3.6%
Neutral3650.0%−0.4%−1.0%−1.7%
Distribution24−2.1%−1.5%−6.2%−10.3%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average ABG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ABG price, zone by zone.Track ABG in Gekko

Is Asbury Automotive stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Asbury Automotive trades 49.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $321.25, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Asbury Automotive shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$321.25

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

49.0% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$321$168Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ABG in Gekko

Asbury Automotive insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Asbury Automotive, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ABG in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ABG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ABG in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ABG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ABG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ABG in Gekko

Buybacks

Asbury Automotive has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$120.8M
As a share of market cap
3.96%
Trailing four quarters
$377.6M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold ABG.

1added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Asbury Automotive earnings: next date and track record

Asbury Automotive reports on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.3%Oct ’24+8.2%Jan ’25−2.8%Apr ’25−3.1%Jul ’25+1.3%Oct ’25−5.0%Feb ’26+0.7%Apr ’26+9.5%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Asbury Automotive Q2 2026 results reflect ongoing investment in Tekion DMS rollout across store base, with 70%+ implementation complete. New vehicle units declined 6% same-store with PVR of $2,900 same-store/$3,120 all-store. Used retail PVR improved 5% sequentially to $1,930. Markets on Tekion longest showed 12% improvement in units per salesperson and 10% increase in dollars per technician. Company repurchased 7% of 2025 ending share count in H1 2026.
Guidance
Management expects Tekion rollout completion by October 2026, anticipating meaningful operating efficiencies post-implementation. New vehicle PVR sequential declines are flattening, suggesting normalization near current levels. Company maintains balanced capital allocation with continued share repurchases given perceived stock undervaluation.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$6.82
est $6.30
+8.3%$4.38B
est $4.49B
−2.3%+9.5%
Apr 28, 2026$5.37
est $5.78
−7.1%$4.11B
est $4.37B
−6.0%+0.7%
Feb 5, 2026$6.67
est $6.70
−0.4%$4.68B
est $4.90B
−4.7%−5.0%
Oct 28, 2025$7.17
est $6.82
+5.1%$4.80B
est $4.84B
−0.9%+1.3%
Jul 29, 2025$7.43
est $6.82
+8.9%$4.37B
est $4.51B
−3.1%−3.1%
Apr 29, 2025$6.82
est $6.84
−0.3%$4.15B
est $4.42B
−6.2%−2.8%
Jan 30, 2025$7.26
est $6.07
+19.6%$4.50B
est $4.12B
+9.3%+8.2%
Oct 29, 2024$6.35
est $6.58
−3.5%$4.24B
est $4.24B
−0.1%+3.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Asbury Automotive stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Asbury Automotive is $245.36, +49.7% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$245.36consensus 12-month target, +49.7% from the last close
Low $184High $300
Buy1
Hold4
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 7UBSHold, maintained$193+17.7%
Oct 6BarclaysHold, maintained$230+40.3%
Oct 6J.P. MorganSell, maintained$185+12.9%
Oct 5Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$184+12.2%
Oct 4Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$184+12.2%
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Asbury Automotive seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Asbury Automotive averaged −1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−12.5%2021+2.8%2022−8.5%2023+17.2%2024−3.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.6%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.5%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days−1.0%2 of 5

For scale, ABG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

Asbury Automotive market cap and key statistics

Asbury Automotive’s market cap is $3.05B, with a P/E ratio of 6.3 and revenue of $17.97B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.05B
P/E ratio
6.3
Forward P/E
6.4
EPS, TTM
$26.86
Gekko Fair Value
$321.25

Trading

Volume
271,459
Avg volume, 20 days
286,343
52-week high
$258.75
52-week low
$163.69
Shares outstanding
17.95M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$17.97B
Profit margin
2.8%
Return on equity
13.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−19.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.78
Typical daily move
±4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%

Asbury Automotive peers

Asbury Automotive’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+1.4%Neutral2.5% below
COSTCostco Wholesale+1.1%Neutral16.4% above
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive−0.2%Neutral4.7% below
TGTTarget+0.2%Accumulation5.7% above
CVNACarvana−6.6%Accumulation19.7% below
AZOAutoZone−0.7%Neutral28.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Asbury Automotive stock FAQ

What is Asbury Automotive’s market cap?

Asbury Automotive’s market cap is $3.05B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $163.93, with 17.95M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.3.

What is the Asbury Automotive stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Asbury Automotive is $245.36, +49.7% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Asbury Automotive stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Asbury Automotive is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $163.93 is 49.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $321.25. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Asbury Automotive report earnings next?

Asbury Automotive is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (15 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.61 per share on revenue of $4.56B. Asbury Automotive beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.2% on average across the report.

What is Asbury Automotive’s 52-week high and low?

Asbury Automotive’s 52-week high is $258.75 and its 52-week low is $163.69; it closed at $163.93 on Oct 12, 2026, −32.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $312.56 on Jan 30, 2025.

Is Asbury Automotive stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 3 as headwinds (trend, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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