NYSE: AZO

AutoZone (AZO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

AutoZone, Inc. Retail trade sector, specialty stores industry. Market cap $46.61B.

$2,855.31+11.00 (+0.4%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:17 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

AutoZone closes at $2855.31, up 0.4%, though the stock sits below both its 50-day average of $2996.86 and its 200-day average of $3336.15, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 64.5, placing AZO in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 24.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $3793.19. Over the past year the stock is down 32.5%, with declines of 7.2% over one month and 14.6% over six months.

Attention this week centers on the upcoming fiscal fourth-quarter report, due 22 September, with analysts looking for EPS around $54.14 to $54.22 and revenue near $6.71 billion. Separate commentary flags weak aftermarket demand as a concern alongside AutoZone's $1.5 billion share repurchase authorization. Institutional activity also drew notice, including Nykredit A/S taking a new stake valued near $27.3 million and Bank of America Corp DE adding shares worth approximately $233.6 million, while some analysts have trimmed price targets even as the consensus stays at a target near $3,902.70 with 7 firms rating it buy.

Over the next 20 trading days, the earnings date on 22 September sits just 2 days out, placing the report inside the typical holding window and adding to near-term uncertainty, with past reactions averaging 4.1% in magnitude and the last print producing an 11.1% move. Seasonality for this calendar stretch has averaged a 5.3% gain over 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, leaving smart-money signals quiet for now.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $2,855.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $3,793.19

Key stats

Market cap
$46.61B
P/E ratio
19.6
Forward P/E
16.2
EPS, TTM
$145.06
Revenue, TTM
$19.99B
Profit margin
12.4%
Dividend yield
Beta
0.34
Volume
424,845 avg 311,799
1-year return
−32.5%
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$2,996.86
200-day average
$3,336.15
Next earnings
Sep 22 before open
Shares outstanding
16.33M
52-week range
$2,815.00$4,332.68

AutoZone swing-trade checklist

AutoZone scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $2855.31 is below the 50-day ($2996.86) and 200-day ($3336.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.5, Accumulation

    Reading 64.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    24.7% below

    Price is 24.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 2 days

    Reports on Sep 22, 2026, 2 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.3% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

AutoZone stock chart and price history

AutoZone closed at $2,855.31 on Sep 18, 2026, −32.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2,815.00 to $4,332.68.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.2%
3 months
−6.8%
6 months
−14.6%
1 year
−32.5%
The full AZO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AZO in Gekko

Follow AutoZone through every session

Put AZO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About AutoZone

AutoZone supplies parts and accessories used to repair and maintain everyday vehicles, serving drivers of passenger cars, trucks and similar vehicles. Its stock ranges from major components like starters, alternators, brakes and engines to routine maintenance items such as filters, fluids and spark plugs, plus a wide mix of accessories, electronics, cleaning products and general merchandise. The company is widely recognized as a place for both replacement parts and the everyday extras drivers pick up along with them, and it also arranges towing services.

Its operations extend beyond individual retail customers through a program aimed at professional repair shops, giving them financing terms and delivery arrangements for the parts they need. Under the ALLDATA name, the company also sells software used for vehicle diagnostics and repair information. Customers can additionally purchase its full lineup of parts, maintenance products and accessories through its own online channels rather than visiting a physical location.

Founded in 1979, AutoZone is based in Memphis, Tennessee. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker AZO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Retail trade
Industry
Specialty stores
Website
autozone.com

AutoZone GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

AutoZone’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.6 points over five sessions.

010064.5Accumulation

Down 2.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+0.2%+0.8%+4.0%+2.1%
Accumulation (current zone)196+0.1%+0.3%+0.8%+0.7%
Neutral401+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%+0.5%
Distribution29−1.1%−1.3%−0.6%−0.1%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average AZO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AZO price, zone by zone.Track AZO in Gekko

Is AutoZone stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

AutoZone trades 24.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $3,793.19, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what AutoZone shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$3,793.19

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

24.7% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AZO in Gekko

AutoZone insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AutoZone, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AZO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AZO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AZO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AZO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AZO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AZO in Gekko

Buybacks

AutoZone has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$1.50B, Jun 16, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended May 9, 2026
$580.7M
As a share of market cap
1.25%
Trailing four quarters
$1.77B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds AZO.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

AutoZone earnings: next date and track record

AutoZone reports on Sep 22, 2026, before the open (2 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.0%Sep ’24+0.6%Dec ’24+2.2%Mar ’25−2.1%May ’25+1.4%Sep ’25−9.2%Dec ’25−4.3%Mar ’26−11.1%May ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
May 26, 2026$38.07
est $36.22
+5.1%$4.84B
est $4.86B
−0.4%−11.1%
Mar 3, 2026$27.63
est $27.15
+1.8%$4.27B
est $4.31B
−0.8%−4.3%
Dec 9, 2025$31.04
est $32.75
−5.2%$4.63B
est $4.64B
−0.2%−9.2%
Sep 23, 2025$48.71
est $50.73
−4.0%$6.24B
est $6.25B
−0.1%+1.4%
May 27, 2025$35.36
est $37.11
−4.7%$4.46B
est $4.42B
+1.0%−2.1%
Mar 4, 2025$28.29
est $29.05
−2.6%$3.95B
est $3.98B
−0.8%+2.2%
Dec 10, 2024$32.52
est $33.60
−3.2%$4.28B
est $4.30B
−0.5%+0.6%
Sep 24, 2024$51.58
est $53.53
−3.6%$6.21B
est $6.23B
−0.4%+2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

AutoZone stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for AutoZone is $3,902.70, +36.7% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$3,902.70consensus 12-month target, +36.7% from the last close
Low $3,450High $4,555
Buy7
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18OppenheimerBuy, maintained$3,500+22.6%
Sep 16Morgan StanleyBuy, maintained$3,605+26.3%
Sep 15CitiBuy, maintained$3,450+20.8%
Sep 15UBSBuy, maintained$4,555+59.5%
Sep 14CitiBuy, maintained$3,450+20.8%
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

AutoZone seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, AutoZone averaged +5.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.9%2021+9.2%2022+7.1%2023+3.9%2024−2.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.1%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.3%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.0%3 of 5

For scale, AZO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

AutoZone market cap and key statistics

AutoZone’s market cap is $46.61B, with a P/E ratio of 19.6 and revenue of $19.99B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$46.61B
P/E ratio
19.6
Forward P/E
16.2
EPS, TTM
$145.06
Gekko Fair Value
$3,793.19

Trading

Volume
424,845
Avg volume, 20 days
311,799
52-week high
$4,332.68
52-week low
$2,815.00
Shares outstanding
16.33M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$19.99B
Profit margin
12.4%
Return on equity
0%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+7.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.34
Typical daily move
±2.3%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%

AutoZone stock news this week

Coverage of AutoZone this week reads positive: 10 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

AutoZone peers

AutoZone’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
WMTWalmart+0.5%Accumulation10.6% below
COSTCostco Wholesale+0.3%Buying9.8% above
TGTTarget−1.0%Neutral8.8% above
CVNACarvana−1.3%Accumulation12.8% below
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive+0.1%Accumulation10.5% below
CPRTCopart−1.2%Accumulation5.8% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

AutoZone stock FAQ

What is AutoZone’s market cap?

AutoZone’s market cap is $46.61B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $2,855.31, with 16.33M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.6.

What is the AutoZone stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for AutoZone is $3,902.70, +36.7% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is AutoZone stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate AutoZone is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $2,855.31 is 24.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $3,793.19. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does AutoZone report earnings next?

AutoZone is expected to report on Sep 22, 2026, before the market opens (2 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $54.30 per share on revenue of $6.71B. AutoZone beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.

What is AutoZone’s 52-week high and low?

AutoZone’s 52-week high is $4,332.68 and its 52-week low is $2,815.00; it closed at $2,855.31 on Sep 18, 2026, −32.5% over the past year.

Is AutoZone stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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