NASDAQ: INTC

Intel (INTC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$58.27−2.28 (−3.8%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Intel closed at $58.27 on 4 November 2026, -3.8% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($99.39) and 200-day ($87.04) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $32.89 to $142.35. The GekkoIndex reads 77.1, in the Buying zone, up 15.8 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $88.16, so the price is 33.9% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 28 January 2027, 84 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 13.1% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 2 open-market insider purchases and 1 Congress purchase and 0 sales. Over the last 30 days there were 6 unusual options signals. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +6.1% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

32 firms rate the stock: 7 buy, 24 hold and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $93.88. A typical daily move is about 11.2%, and a typical 20-day move about 8.2%. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 items read supportive and 0 read as a headwind.

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Intel price vs fair value

$88.16$58.27Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $58.27200-day averageGekko Fair Value $88.16

Intel quick facts

Market cap
$309.7B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
31.2
EPS, TTM
−$2.42
Revenue, TTM
$59.89B
Profit margin
-20.1%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.43
Volume
187.5M avg 127.3M
1-year return
+47.5%
Typical daily move
±11.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
50-day average
$99.39
200-day average
$87.04
Next earnings
Jan 28 after close
Shares outstanding
5.32B
52-week range
$32.89$142.35

Intel swing-trade checklist

Intel scores 5 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

5 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $58.27 sits between the 50-day ($99.39) and 200-day ($87.04) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    77.1, Buying

    Reading 77.1 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    33.9% below

    Price is 33.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 2 open-market insider purchases; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 6 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 84 days

    Next report Jan 28, 2027, 84 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +6.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Intel stock chart and price history

Intel closed at $58.27 on Nov 4, 2026, +47.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $32.89 to $142.35.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Intel share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$50$75$100$125DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct58.27

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−48.2%
3 months
−41.6%
6 months
−48.4%
1 year
+47.5%
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About Intel

Intel makes computing hardware and related services, covering processors, graphics chips, connectivity components, and semiconductor manufacturing. It supplies client and commercial CPUs, discrete GPUs for personal computers, edge computing gear, server processors and networking equipment for data centers, and wafer fabrication with substrates and associated services. It also works on driving assistance and self-driving technology, and on multi-beam mask writing tools used in chip production.

The business is organized into three segments covering client computing, data center and AI, and foundry operations. Products reach the market through internal sales teams as well as distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners, with customers including original equipment and design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other technology and service companies. Intel has also formed a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited aimed at building a multi-layer AI fabric to connect infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into one ecosystem.

Intel was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker INTC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
intel.com

Intel GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Intel’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 77.1, in the Buying zone, up 15.8 points over five sessions.

010077.1Buying

Up 15.8 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)46+1.4%+0.9%−0.9%+5.4%
Accumulation234+1.2%+3.6%+6.3%+10.8%
Neutral3550.0%0.0%+2.5%+14.5%
Distribution60+4.8%+8.9%+13.4%+20.2%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average INTC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the INTC price, zone by zone.Track INTC in Gekko

Is Intel stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Intel trades 33.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $88.16, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Intel shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$88.16

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

33.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 19.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$88$61Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open INTC in Gekko

Intel insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 2 open-market purchases in Intel worth $19.71M, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$19.71Min 2 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Nov 4TAN LIP BU
director, officer: CEO
Purchase150,000$9.71M
Aug 14Lip BU Tan
CEO
Purchase105,263$10.00M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 4

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Intel has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$617.0M
As a share of market cap
0.20%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

6signals, 93% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 24, $12.46M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

9of the funds Gekko tracks hold INTC.

2added4opened3trimmed5sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Intel earnings: next date and track record

Intel reports on Jan 28, 2027, after the close (84 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.6%Jan ’25−2.6%Apr ’25−11.9%Jul ’25+3.7%Oct ’25−16.9%Jan ’26+26.5%Apr ’26−10.0%Jul ’26−31.2%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Intel Q3 2026 showed strong DCAI segment growth—its best revenue growth in 15 years—driven by server demand, offset by CCPG weakness from high memory prices and constrained IT budgets. Clearwater Forest (Intel 18A) is shipping for revenue; Diamond Rapids sampling on track for 2027. An Israel factory accident will impact Q4 10nm server shipments. Purpose-built silicon tripled over three years. A PC market slowdown is accelerating due to memory price pressures.
Guidance
Q4 faces headwinds from Israel factory shutdown impacting 10nm server shipments and continued PC market softness from memory prices. CapEx and component purchase commitments expected to increase significantly over coming quarters. PC market normalization timing remains uncertain.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$0.52
est $0.41
+27.9%$16.51B
est $16.56B
−0.3%−31.2%
Jul 23, 2026$0.30
est $0.10
+200.0%$16.13B
est $14.43B
+11.7%−10.0%
Apr 23, 2026$0.29
est $0.02
+1,428.7%$13.58B
est $12.42B
+9.3%+26.5%
Jan 22, 2026$0.15
est $0.08
+84.4%$13.67B
est $13.43B
+1.8%−16.9%
Oct 23, 2025$0.23
est $0.02
+1,191.4%$13.65B
est $13.20B
+3.5%+3.7%
Jul 24, 2025−$0.10
est $0.01
−929.2%$12.86B
est $11.98B
+7.3%−11.9%
Apr 24, 2025$0.13
est $0.01
+1,811.8%$12.67B
est $12.30B
+3.0%−2.6%
Jan 30, 2025$0.13
est $0.12
+9.3%$14.26B
est $13.83B
+3.1%−1.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Intel stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Intel is $93.88, +61.1% from the last close, from 32 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$93.88consensus 12-month target, +61.1% from the last close
Low $70High $145
Buy7
Hold24
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 32 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 30Wells FargoHold, maintained$80+37.3%
Oct 30UBSHold, maintained$80+37.3%
Oct 30Mizuho SecuritiesHold, maintained$88+51.0%
Oct 30Rosenblatt SecuritiesSell, maintained$70+20.1%
Oct 30RBC CapitalHold, maintained$75+28.7%
−0.9%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+6.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±11.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Intel seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Intel averaged +6.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.1%2021+3.4%2022+10.5%2023−0.2%2024+18.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.8%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.5%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+6.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.7%2 of 5

For scale, INTC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.2%.

Intel market cap and key statistics

Intel’s market cap is $309.7B and revenue of $59.89B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$309.7B
Forward P/E
31.2
EPS, TTM
−$2.42
Gekko Fair Value
$88.16

Trading

Volume
187.5M
Avg volume, 20 days
127.3M
52-week high
$142.35
52-week low
$32.89
Shares outstanding
5.32B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$59.89B
Profit margin
-20.1%
Return on equity
-9.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−32.7%

Risk and income

Beta
2.43
Typical daily move
±11.2%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%

Intel peers

Intel’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.7%Accumulation25.3% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.4%Accumulation7.7% below
MUMicron Technology−3.4%Accumulation40.7% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+0.7%Accumulation9.1% below
TXNTexas Instruments−0.6%Neutral15.3% above
ADIAnalog Devices−4.2%Neutral15.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Intel stock FAQ

What is Intel’s market cap?

Intel’s market cap is $309.7B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $58.27, with 5.32B shares outstanding.

What is the Intel stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Intel is $93.88, +61.1% from the last close. Of the 32 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 24 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Intel stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Intel is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $58.27 is 33.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $88.16. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Intel report earnings next?

Intel is expected to report on Jan 28, 2027, after the market closes (84 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.27 per share on revenue of $15.70B. Intel beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.1% on average across the report.

What is Intel’s 52-week high and low?

Intel’s 52-week high is $142.35 and its 52-week low is $32.89; it closed at $58.27 on Nov 4, 2026, +47.5% over the past year.

Is Intel stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Intel?

Gekko flagged 6 unusual options signals in Intel over the last 30 days, with $196.8M of flagged premium in calls and $14.31M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 24, 2026 with $12.46M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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