Insider buying last 90 days
$10.00Min 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | Lip BU Tan CEO | Purchase | $10.00M |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NASDAQ: INTC
Intel (INTC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$108.60−0.20 (−0.2%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:18 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryIntel closes at $108.60, down 0.2%, and remains above both its 50-day average of $97.09 and 200-day average of $77.16, with the shorter average above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 50.9, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, while price sits 12.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $96.18.
This week's coverage centers on supply and demand dynamics in Intel's core business. CEO Lip-Bu Tan said Intel is meeting only about 50% of what customers need, with second-quarter revenue up 25% and adjusted gross margin at 41.8%, roughly 12 points higher than a year earlier. Reports of potential memory chip manufacturing partnerships tied to Intel's Ohio complex accompanied a surge in shares alongside SK Hynix, while separate coverage noted a 1.7% slip after the CEO flagged rising memory costs as a pressure point for hardware demand. Commentary also touched on comparisons with Applied Materials, Arm, and Nvidia, along with mentions of Intel's foundry ambitions and AI-related CPU positioning.
Looking ahead, the next earnings report is set for 22 October 2026, after the close, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, smart-money activity includes 1 open-market insider purchase and 2 Congress buys with 0 sales; over the last 30 days there were 5 unusual options signals, with call premium of $72.5 million against put premium of $39.8 million. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.9% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of those years. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $108.60200-day averageGekko Fair Value $96.18
Key stats
- Market cap
- $547.8B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 54.6
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.09
- Revenue, TTM
- $57.03B
- Profit margin
- -19.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.23
- Volume
- 171.0M avg 95.40M
- 1-year return
- +336.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±5.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8%
- 50-day average
- $97.09
- 200-day average
- $77.16
- Next earnings
- Oct 22 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 5.29B
Intel swing-trade checklist
Intel scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $108.60 is above the 50-day ($97.09) and 200-day ($77.16) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
50.9, Neutral
Reading 50.9 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
12.9% above
Price is 12.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase; Congress 2 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 5 unusual options signals.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 32 days
Next report Oct 22, 2026, 32 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Intel stock chart and price history
Intel closed at $108.60 on Sep 18, 2026, +336.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $28.73 to $142.35.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +17.0%
- 3 months
- −18.9%
- 6 months
- +135.2%
- 1 year
- +336.1%
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About Intel
Intel makes computing hardware and related services, covering processors, graphics chips, connectivity components, and semiconductor manufacturing. It supplies client and commercial CPUs, discrete GPUs for personal computers, edge computing gear, server processors and networking equipment for data centers, and wafer fabrication with substrates and associated services. It also works on driving assistance and self-driving technology, and on multi-beam mask writing tools used in chip production.
The business is organized into three segments covering client computing, data center and AI, and foundry operations. Products reach the market through internal sales teams as well as distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners, with customers including original equipment and design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other technology and service companies. Intel has also formed a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited aimed at building a multi-layer AI fabric to connect infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into one ecosystem.
Intel was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker INTC.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Website
- intel.com
Intel GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Intel’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.9, in the Neutral zone, down 2 points over five sessions.
50.9Neutral
Down 2 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 46 | +1.4% | −0.9% | ||
| Accumulation | 223 | +1.6% | +4.8% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 335 | 0.0% | +3.1% | ||
| Distribution | 56 | +5.5% | +16.3% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average INTC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the INTC price, zone by zone.Track INTC in Gekko
Is Intel stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Intel trades 12.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $96.18, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Intel shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$96.18
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
12.9% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open INTC in Gekko
Intel insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Intel worth $10.00M, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy Pelosi House, CA, purchase | $500,001 - $1,000,000 | Aug 24 traded Jul 24 |
| Nancy Pelosi House, CA, purchase | $500,001 - $1,000,000 | Aug 24 traded Jul 23 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Intel has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
- $617.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.11%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
5signals, 65% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bullish flow on Aug 28, $10.66M in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
9of the funds Gekko tracks hold INTC.
2added4opened3trimmed5sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Intel earnings: next date and track record
Intel reports on Oct 22, 2026, after the close (32 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
Expected after the close, 32 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.39
- Revenue estimate
- $16.36B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.6%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Intel reported Q2 2026 results with revenue, gross margin, and EPS all above guidance, marking seven consecutive quarters of exceeding financial expectations. Management cited strongest revenue growth in 15 years driven by severe industry-wide supply constraints across logic silicon, memory, and substrates. Intel 18A yields track ahead of expectations with multiple products ramping. A Google Cloud collaboration was announced to accelerate AI-first transformation.
- Guidance
- Intel committed to 18A-P risk production for external customers and 14A risk production for internal products in H2 2027, with full high-volume ramp in 2028. Management is substantially increasing investments to support improving demand outlook amid persistent supply constraints.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.30 est $0.10 | $16.13B est $14.43B | −10.0% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $0.29 est $0.02 | $13.58B est $12.42B | +26.5% |
| Jan 22, 2026 | $0.15 est $0.08 | $13.67B est $13.43B | −16.9% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $0.23 est $0.02 | $13.65B est $13.20B | +3.7% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | −$0.10 est $0.01 | $12.86B est $11.98B | −11.9% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.13 est $0.01 | $12.67B est $12.30B | −2.6% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $0.13 est $0.12 | $14.26B est $13.83B | −1.6% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | −$0.46 est −$0.02 | $13.28B est $13.02B | +4.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Intel stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Intel is $116.37, +7.2% from the last close, from 32 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$116.37consensus 12-month target, +7.2% from the last close
Now $108.60Avg $116.37
Low $80High $200
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 32 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Tigress Financial | $145 | +33.5% |
| Sep 14 | Bernstein | $110 | +1.3% |
| Sep 10 | Piper Sandler | $110 | +1.3% |
| Sep 9 | Piper Sandler | $110 | +1.3% |
| Sep 9 | Piper Sandler | $110 | +1.3% |
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Intel seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Intel averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +4.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.6% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, INTC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8%.
Intel market cap and key statistics
Intel’s market cap is $547.8B and revenue of $57.03B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $547.8B
- Forward P/E
- 54.6
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.09
- Gekko Fair Value
- $96.18
Trading
- Volume
- 171.0M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 95.40M
- 52-week high
- $142.35
- 52-week low
- $28.73
- Shares outstanding
- 5.29B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $57.03B
- Profit margin
- -19.8%
- Return on equity
- -10.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −71.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.23
- Typical daily move
- ±5.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±8%
Intel stock news this week
Coverage of Intel this week reads positive: 9 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Intel Can Supply Only About Half of What Its Customers Want. That's a Better Problem Than It Sounds.The Motley Fool, Sep 19
- Intel, Apple, Nvidia and More: 5 Stocks Investors Couldn't Stop Buzzing About This WeekBenzinga, Sep 19
- Applied Materials vs. Intel: Examining Revenue Growth Trajectories of These Artificial Intelligence CompaniesThe Motley Fool, Sep 19
- NVIDIA Vs Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC): Here’s The One Jim Cramer LikesYahoo Finance, Sep 18
- Intel vs. SK Hynix: Which Chip Stock Is Worth Chasing After This Week's Surge?Yahoo Finance, Sep 18
- Jim Cramer Calls Intel (INTC) the Best Stock in Show and Micron (MU) No. 2Yahoo Finance, Sep 18
Intel peers
Intel’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NVDANVIDIA | Neutral | 16.4% below |
| AVGOBroadcom | Accumulation | 0.8% below |
| MUMicron Technology | Neutral | 2.5% above |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices | Neutral | 11.9% above |
| TXNTexas Instruments | Accumulation | 3.3% above |
| KLACKLA | Accumulation | 2.1% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Intel stock FAQ
What is Intel’s market cap?
Intel’s market cap is $547.8B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $108.60, with 5.29B shares outstanding.
What is the Intel stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Intel is $116.37, +7.2% from the last close. Of the 32 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 23 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Intel stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Intel is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $108.60 is 12.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $96.18. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Intel report earnings next?
Intel is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, after the market closes (32 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.39 per share on revenue of $16.36B. Intel beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.6% on average across the report.
What is Intel’s 52-week high and low?
Intel’s 52-week high is $142.35 and its 52-week low is $28.73; it closed at $108.60 on Sep 18, 2026, +336.1% over the past year.
Is Intel stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Intel?
Gekko flagged 5 unusual options signals in Intel over the last 30 days, with $72.46M of flagged premium in calls and $39.78M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Aug 28, 2026 with $10.66M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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