NASDAQ: MCHP

Microchip Technology (MCHP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$75.34−2.56 (−3.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

Microchip Technology shares have been volatile this week amid broader semiconductor sector moves, with FormFactor, onsemi, AMD and Monolithic Power Systems also swinging as investors returned to chipmakers following a sell-off tied to AI spending and neocloud debt concerns. The company recently enhanced its PolarFire FPGA platform with EtherCAT and Time Sensitive Networking features for industrial edge applications, and advanced its PIC64 HPSC spaceflight processors, reinforcing its focus on industrial and space computing. Separate commentary noted the stock's return to profitability and exposure to AI, edge computing, aerospace and defense end markets, alongside analyst expectations of 41% year-on-year revenue growth for the upcoming quarterly report.

The stock closed at $75.34, down 3.3%, sitting just below its 50-day average of $75.37 and below its 200-day average of $79.74, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price stands 5.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $79.68.

Earnings are due 5 November after close, falling inside the next 20-trading-day window and adding event risk, with the last reported quarter showing an 8.9% reaction and an average absolute reaction of 6.1% across recent quarters. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 3 buys and 0 sales, while the last 30 days show 4 unusual options signals, with call premium of $9,266,874 against put premium of $690,739. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +5.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Microchip Technology price vs fair value

$79.68$75.34Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $75.34200-day averageGekko Fair Value $79.68

Microchip Technology quick facts

Market cap
$40.91B
P/E ratio
113.6
Forward P/E
21
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Revenue, TTM
$5.12B
Profit margin
9.3%
Dividend yield
2.35%
Beta
1.85
Volume
14.89M avg 11.46M
1-year return
+20.7%
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
50-day average
$75.37
200-day average
$79.74
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
543.0M
52-week range
$48.52$105.91

Microchip Technology swing-trade checklist

Microchip Technology scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $75.34 is below the 50-day ($75.37) and 200-day ($79.74) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.1, Neutral

    Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    5.4% below

    Price is 5.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 4 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports today

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, today — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Microchip Technology stock chart and price history

Microchip Technology closed at $75.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $48.52 to $105.91.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Microchip Technology share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$80$100DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct75.34

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.3%
3 months
+1.3%
6 months
−26.8%
1 year
+20.7%
The full MCHP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MCHP in Gekko

Follow Microchip Technology through every session

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About Microchip Technology

Microchip Technology designs and manufactures embedded control products used to build electronic systems, selling to customers across the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Its main products are microcontrollers, ranging from general-purpose 8-bit units to more complex 32-bit models, along with 32-bit embedded microprocessors used in automotive, industrial, computing, communications, lighting, power supply, motor control, security, and wired and wireless connectivity applications. It also makes field-programmable gate arrays, analog and mixed-signal components, timing and interface products, and memory chips like serial EEPROM and flash for compact devices, plus tools that help engineers program its chips for specific uses.

Beyond chip sales, Microchip licenses its SuperFlash embedded flash and non-volatile memory technology to foundries, device manufacturers, and design partners, who use it to build their own microcontrollers, RF and analog products, and neuromorphic computing chips. The company also offers engineering services, wafer foundry, assembly and test subcontracting, and produces timing systems, application-specific integrated circuits, and aerospace components.

Microchip Technology was founded in 1989 and is based in Chandler, Arizona. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MCHP.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Semiconductors
Website
microchip.com

Microchip Technology GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Microchip Technology’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, up 5.5 points over five sessions.

010058.1Neutral

Up 5.5 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying50+1.8%+5.4%+10.3%+22.8%
Accumulation274−0.3%−0.4%+0.5%+2.0%
Neutral (current zone)334+0.1%−0.3%−1.3%−2.4%
Distribution34+2.2%+3.7%+6.2%−1.4%
Selling5Too few readings yet

Average MCHP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MCHP price, zone by zone.Track MCHP in Gekko

Is Microchip Technology stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Microchip Technology trades 5.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $79.68, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Microchip Technology shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$79.68

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

5.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 26.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$80$78Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MCHP in Gekko

Microchip Technology insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Microchip Technology, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MCHP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MCHP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MCHP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 11
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$50,001 - $100,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Microchip Technology has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2024
$6.50M
As a share of market cap
0.02%
Trailing four quarters
$483.9M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

4signals, 93% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Oct 30, $4.30M in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold MCHP.

0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Microchip Technology earnings: next date and track record

Microchip Technology reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (today), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.1%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.0%Nov ’24−3.0%Feb ’25+15.1%May ’25−6.5%Aug ’25−7.4%Nov ’25−2.8%Feb ’26−3.7%May ’26+8.9%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Microchip reported strong Q1 FY2027 results with total data center exposure reaching approximately $591 million in calendar 2025 (14% of net sales), growing to an estimated $1 billion in calendar 2026, representing 69% year-over-year growth. June quarter data center sales surged 97.8% year-over-year. End market diversification shows industrial (32.2%), data center (17.1%), and aerospace/defense (16.7%) as top segments. All seven end markets posted positive year-over-year growth.
Guidance
MCHP expects total data center net sales of approximately $1 billion in calendar 2026, up ~69% from $591 million in 2025. Management anticipates significant further data center growth in 2027 driven by PCIe Gen6, NVMe, and power management design wins entering production.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.61
est $0.59
+3.4%$1.48B
est $1.46B
+1.8%+8.9%
May 7, 2026$0.57
est $0.50
+14.0%$1.31B
est $1.26B
+3.8%−3.7%
Feb 5, 2026$0.44
est $0.38
+14.8%$1.19B
est $1.18B
+0.2%−2.8%
Nov 6, 2025$0.35
est $0.34
+2.9%$1.14B
est $1.13B
+0.7%−7.4%
Aug 7, 2025$0.27
est $0.24
+13.0%$1.08B
est $1.06B
+1.7%−6.5%
May 8, 2025$0.11
est $0.10
+5.1%$970.5M
est $962.6M
+0.8%+15.1%
Feb 6, 2025$0.20
est $0.28
−27.9%$1.03B
est $1.05B
−1.9%−3.0%
Nov 5, 2024$0.46
est $0.43
+5.9%$1.16B
est $1.15B
+1.0%−1.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Microchip Technology stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Microchip Technology is $105.92, +40.6% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$105.92consensus 12-month target, +40.6% from the last close
Low $80High $135
Buy12
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 22B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, maintained$98+30.1%
Oct 20Wells FargoHold, reiterated$80+6.2%
Oct 15KeyBancBuy, maintained$135+79.2%
Sep 18Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$103+36.7%
Aug 20BMO CapitalBuy, initiated$95+26.1%
−1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Microchip Technology seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Microchip Technology averaged +5.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.8%2021+19.9%2022+11.2%2023−12.2%2024+6.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.6%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.8%4 of 5

For scale, MCHP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.

Microchip Technology market cap and key statistics

Microchip Technology’s market cap is $40.91B, with a P/E ratio of 113.6 and revenue of $5.12B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$40.91B
P/E ratio
113.6
Forward P/E
21
EPS, TTM
$0.67
Gekko Fair Value
$79.68

Trading

Volume
14.89M
Avg volume, 20 days
11.46M
52-week high
$105.91
52-week low
$48.52
Shares outstanding
543.0M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.12B
Profit margin
9.3%
Return on equity
7.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−81.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.85
Typical daily move
±4.8%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
Dividend yield
2.35%

Microchip Technology peers

Microchip Technology’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.7%Accumulation25.3% below
AVGOBroadcom−0.4%Accumulation7.7% below
MUMicron Technology−3.4%Accumulation40.7% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+0.7%Accumulation9.1% below
INTCIntel−0.7%Buying33.9% below
TXNTexas Instruments−0.6%Neutral15.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Semiconductors

Microchip Technology stock FAQ

What is Microchip Technology’s market cap?

Microchip Technology’s market cap is $40.91B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $75.34, with 543.0M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 113.6.

What is the Microchip Technology stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Microchip Technology is $105.92, +40.6% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Microchip Technology stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Microchip Technology is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $75.34 is 5.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $79.68. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Microchip Technology report earnings next?

Microchip Technology is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (today). Analysts expect earnings of $0.94 per share on revenue of $1.61B. Microchip Technology beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.1% on average across the report.

What is Microchip Technology’s 52-week high and low?

Microchip Technology’s 52-week high is $105.91 and its 52-week low is $48.52; it closed at $75.34 on Nov 4, 2026, +20.7% over the past year.

Is Microchip Technology stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Microchip Technology?

Gekko flagged 4 unusual options signals in Microchip Technology over the last 30 days, with $9.27M of flagged premium in calls and $691K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Oct 30, 2026 with $4.30M in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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